Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
open
Total volume
$3,863
$10 in 24h
Trades
71
Unique wallets
45
Liquidity
$5,475
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-12 20:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.0¢
(top1%: 88% YES on $1.3K
vs crowd: 88% YES on $3.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $861 | $143 | +$719 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $1.6K | $23 | +$1.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 36 | $428 | $216 | +$212 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $1.1K | $154 | +$995 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $1.4K | $83 | +$1.3K |
| Median | 3 | $23 | $1 | +$22 |
| Below median | 10 | $3 | $9 | $6 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $50 | $3 | +$47 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $19 | $4 | +$16 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $130 | $8 | +$122 |
| unranked | 10 | $100 | $120 | $20 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +1,454 | $861 | $861 | 4 | 05-12 17:47 |
| Monumental-Congressperson 0x27d8…d41f | Up | +1,272 | $1,270 | $1,270 | 1 | 05-12 19:47 |
| Frightening-Sphynx 0x623f…19a0 | Down | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 19:56 |
| Sad-Gyro 0xbc9b…1b9c | Up | +692 | $257 | $257 | 4 | 05-12 17:12 |
| Defenseless-Parser 0x52f1…d0ea | Down | +370 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-12 17:52 |
| Awesome-Beating 0x7eec…75e8 | Down | +333 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 19:41 |
| Fresh-Anarchist 0x8f14…1e77 | Up | +255 | $130 | $130 | 1 | 05-12 16:01 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | +234 | $143 | $143 | 1 | 05-12 17:12 |
| Klutzy-Dreamer 0xed49…721a | Up | +150 | $78 | $78 | 1 | 05-12 16:06 |
| Square-Citrus 0x2c41…57a6 | Down | +142 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 05-12 16:01 |
| Unwilling-Hybridisation 0x75fe…da36 | Up | +100 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 05-12 16:01 |
| Leafy-Scorpion 0x8606…c04f | Up | +80 | $79 | $79 | 1 | 05-12 19:17 |
| Hoarse-Dickey 0xfe16…60be | Down | +54 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-12 18:07 |
| Writhing-Vision 0xc882…0662 | Up | +48 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 05-12 16:01 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Down | +34 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-12 18:27 |
| Humiliating-Crop 0x8278…c9b5 | Up | +23 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-12 16:51 |
| Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Up | +20 | $19 | $19 | 4 | 05-12 19:02 |
| Clueless-Frog 0x3b40…494c | Up | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-12 18:37 |
| Safe-Irony 0xa08b…855b | Up | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-12 18:37 |
| Gigantic-Apology 0x8320…904e | Down | +20 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-12 16:16 |
| Questionable-Bob 0x8d6c…3a8a | Up | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 18:57 |
| Back-Consent 0xebac…67e5 | Down | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-12 16:47 |
| Original-Feed 0x8375…b1d7 | Up | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 16:06 |
| Metallic-Disguise 0xa2a2…b095 | Down | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 16:31 |
| Villainous-Founding 0xd42c…9a9e | Down | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 17:36 |
| Boiling-Suburb 0xd881…50d4 | Up | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 17:42 |
| Sophisticated-Leptocephalus 0x4605…b773 | Up | +7 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-12 17:52 |
| Humiliating-Crop 0x8278…c9b5 | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 17:31 |
| Gigantic-Apology 0x8320…904e | Up | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 16:47 |
| Extra-Small-Screamer 0xd325…8c5f | Down | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 16:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x820a…9aa0 | Up | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 23:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x8923…0385 | Down | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 00:43 |
| Vital-Functionality-Proposition 0x76cd…d6db | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 17:21 |
| Sophisticated-Analgesia 0xdc84…536c | Up | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 16:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x600e…ba89 | Up | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 01:18 |
| Sweet-Pineapple 0xb221…4604 | Up | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 18:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 20:00:10 | Orderly-Balance 0xea58…520c | Up | SELL | 42 | 100¢ | $42 | 0xdfdc26… |
| 05-12 19:56:22 | Frightening-Sphynx 0x623f…19a0 | Down | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x4e96ef… |
| 05-12 19:55:40 | Likely-Feeling 0x629c…a4cd | Up | SELL | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x64eb85… |
| 05-12 19:47:34 | Monumental-Congressperson 0x27d8…d41f | Up | BUY | 1,272 | 100¢ | $1,270 | 0xeb1c7a… |
| 05-12 19:41:26 | Awesome-Beating 0x7eec…75e8 | Down | BUY | 333 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xcf9364… |
| 05-12 19:17:24 | Leafy-Scorpion 0x8606…c04f | Up | BUY | 80 | 99¢ | $79 | 0x72fe29… |
| 05-12 19:02:28 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Up | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xb84ac1… |
| 05-12 19:02:27 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Up | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x8f9518… |
| 05-12 19:02:25 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Up | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x8b4e53… |
| 05-12 19:02:21 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Up | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xda98f6… |
| 05-12 19:02:20 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Down | SELL | 33 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xcfbc7b… |
| 05-12 18:57:40 | Questionable-Bob 0x8d6c…3a8a | Up | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x215a80… |
| 05-12 18:56:40 | Third-Boulevard 0x8a8c…2a8a | Down | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4f4b98… |
| 05-12 18:37:27 | Fatal-Painting 0x91b6…9d00 | Down | SELL | 37 | 8¢ | $3 | 0xcc172d… |
| 05-12 18:37:27 | Safe-Irony 0xa08b…855b | Up | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x8eb9fe… |
| 05-12 18:37:25 | Paltry-Turtle 0x35cd…9fa9 | Down | SELL | 325 | 9¢ | $29 | 0xdb94ac… |
| 05-12 18:37:25 | Clueless-Frog 0x3b40…494c | Up | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xf130d8… |
| 05-12 18:37:22 | Sweet-Pineapple 0xb221…4604 | Up | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xc24879… |
| 05-12 18:32:22 | Posh-Igloo 0x4d5b…acdc | Down | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xf6a940… |
| 05-12 18:27:34 | Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Down | BUY | 21 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xddc6e1… |
| 05-12 18:11:36 | Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Down | BUY | 13 | 25¢ | $3 | 0x56f0ee… |
| 05-12 18:07:19 | Hoarse-Dickey 0xfe16…60be | Down | BUY | 54 | 28¢ | $15 | 0xd8f08a… |
| 05-12 17:52:27 | Defenseless-Parser 0x52f1…d0ea | Down | BUY | 370 | 27¢ | $100 | 0x131e9a… |
| 05-12 17:52:25 | Sophisticated-Leptocephalus 0x4605…b773 | Up | BUY | 2 | 71¢ | $1 | 0xbfe872… |
| 05-12 17:47:24 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 31 | 70¢ | $22 | 0xfdad78… |
| 05-12 17:47:22 | Sophisticated-Leptocephalus 0x4605…b773 | Up | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0xe8794e… |
| 05-12 17:42:14 | Boiling-Suburb 0xd881…50d4 | Up | BUY | 8 | 66¢ | $5 | 0x8cf249… |
| 05-12 17:36:28 | Villainous-Founding 0xd42c…9a9e | Down | BUY | 8 | 36¢ | $3 | 0x319a7c… |
| 05-12 17:32:23 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 24 | 65¢ | $16 | 0xef3084… |
| 05-12 17:32:21 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Down | SELL | 16 | 35¢ | $5 | 0xa96ee9… |
| 05-12 17:32:21 | (anonymous) 0xa2bf…cbbd | Up | SELL | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0x76a8a6… |
| 05-12 17:31:23 | Humiliating-Crop 0x8278…c9b5 | Down | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x957d26… |
| 05-12 17:27:08 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 1,384 | 59¢ | $817 | 0x0f608f… |
| 05-12 17:21:37 | Incomparable-Porpoise 0x34f4…16bd | Up | SELL | 81 | 54¢ | $44 | 0xb0e07f… |
| 05-12 17:21:35 | Vital-Functionality-Proposition 0x76cd…d6db | Down | BUY | 2 | 44¢ | $1 | 0xe8e1af… |
| 05-12 17:16:36 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Down | SELL | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x300d22… |
| 05-12 17:16:34 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Down | SELL | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x9cb033… |
| 05-12 17:16:32 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 15 | 50¢ | $8 | 0x3c95e1… |
| 05-12 17:16:31 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Down | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xc52d26… |
| 05-12 17:16:29 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Down | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x98f491… |
| 05-12 17:12:26 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 234 | 61¢ | $143 | 0x292556… |
| 05-12 17:12:24 | Everlasting-Squeegee 0xb5ff…3fcd | Down | SELL | 626 | 61¢ | $382 | 0xdd084c… |
| 05-12 17:12:17 | Sad-Gyro 0xbc9b…1b9c | Up | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xd85565… |
| 05-12 17:06:37 | Sad-Gyro 0xbc9b…1b9c | Up | BUY | 624 | 38¢ | $237 | 0xd0f605… |
| 05-12 17:01:33 | Sad-Gyro 0xbc9b…1b9c | Up | BUY | 19 | 30¢ | $6 | 0xdb0786… |
| 05-12 17:01:24 | Sad-Gyro 0xbc9b…1b9c | Up | BUY | 44 | 29¢ | $13 | 0x3a487a… |
| 05-12 16:57:17 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Down | SELL | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xc3fbd7… |
| 05-12 16:57:16 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Down | SELL | 2 | 71¢ | $1 | 0xd4c269… |
| 05-12 16:57:14 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Down | SELL | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0xf4c0cc… |
| 05-12 16:56:32 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Down | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x3cddcd… |
| 05-12 16:51:33 | Humiliating-Crop 0x8278…c9b5 | Up | BUY | 14 | 22¢ | $3 | 0x0926fe… |
| 05-12 16:51:29 | Humiliating-Crop 0x8278…c9b5 | Up | BUY | 9 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xf39cc9… |
| 05-12 16:47:21 | Back-Consent 0xebac…67e5 | Down | BUY | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0xc8f494… |
| 05-12 16:47:21 | Gigantic-Apology 0x8320…904e | Up | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x609bf9… |
| 05-12 16:47:21 | Capital-Frock 0x5c80…e169 | Up | SELL | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xb28421… |
| 05-12 16:36:33 | Extra-Small-Screamer 0xd325…8c5f | Down | BUY | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0xc1fe56… |
| 05-12 16:31:18 | Metallic-Disguise 0xa2a2…b095 | Down | BUY | 9 | 55¢ | $5 | 0x1c05e4… |
| 05-12 16:26:24 | Sophisticated-Analgesia 0xdc84…536c | Up | BUY | 2 | 48¢ | $1 | 0xa93cd8… |
| 05-12 16:16:19 | Gigantic-Apology 0x8320…904e | Down | BUY | 20 | 54¢ | $11 | 0x4dba42… |
| 05-12 16:06:41 | Klutzy-Dreamer 0xed49…721a | Up | BUY | 150 | 52¢ | $78 | 0x9fe015… |
| 05-12 16:06:18 | Original-Feed 0x8375…b1d7 | Up | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0x1066b6… |
| 05-12 16:01:54 | Square-Citrus 0x2c41…57a6 | Down | BUY | 142 | 53¢ | $75 | 0x13e157… |
| 05-12 16:01:30 | Unwilling-Hybridisation 0x75fe…da36 | Up | BUY | 51 | 49¢ | $25 | 0xc9121f… |
| 05-12 16:01:28 | Buzzing-Industrialization 0x4d51…885f | Down | SELL | 22 | 51¢ | $11 | 0x2d603a… |
| 05-12 16:01:28 | Writhing-Vision 0xc882…0662 | Up | BUY | 8 | 49¢ | $4 | 0xfc813a… |
| 05-12 16:01:24 | Fresh-Anarchist 0x8f14…1e77 | Up | BUY | 255 | 51¢ | $130 | 0xf62985… |
| 05-12 16:01:23 | Writhing-Vision 0xc882…0662 | Up | BUY | 40 | 51¢ | $20 | 0xe7c38e… |
| 05-12 16:01:21 | Unwilling-Hybridisation 0x75fe…da36 | Up | BUY | 49 | 51¢ | $25 | 0x945414… |
| 05-12 01:18:16 | (anonymous) 0x600e…ba89 | Up | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0xf97311… |
| 05-12 00:43:41 | (anonymous) 0x8923…0385 | Down | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0x900800… |
| 05-11 23:12:53 | (anonymous) 0x820a…9aa0 | Up | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0xdeda1b… |