Milky-Rethinking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.10K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

733

Trades

2,280

lifetime

Volume

$27.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 09-17 21:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 40% -$3,090

Other

4% 41% -$3

Sports

0% 22% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 8pm et	8	$1.3K	1,795	1,568	+227	Up	+$131	03-31 00:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 00:35 UTC	3	$757	1,243	1,224	+19	Up	-$26	03-31 00:37
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 7pm et	6	$634	1,450	1,436	+14	Up	+$188	03-30 23:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 05:45 UTC	4	$563	756	718	+38	Up	+$98	03-31 05:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 00:00 UTC	5	$529	1,365	792	+573	Down	-$71	03-31 00:08
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC	16	$507	629	615	+14	Up	+$235	06-04 03:53
bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 5pm et	6	$476	574	547	+27	Up	+$99	04-17 21:57
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-18 08:00 UTC	16	$421	4,159	0	+4,159	Down	-$421	04-18 11:09
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-17 20:00 UTC	5	$395	496	473	+23	Down	+$35	04-17 21:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	3	$363	432	428	+4	No	+$26	03-31 05:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 00:45 UTC	1	$362	1,305	0	+1,305	Up	-$362	03-31 00:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 06:00 UTC	1	$346	0	365	-365	Up	-$19	03-31 06:05
bitcoin up or down april 18 2026 6am et	3	$315	930	0	+930	Down	-$315	04-18 10:13
bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 8pm et	13	$306	1,509	1,072	+437	Down	+$54	06-04 00:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 16:00 UTC	7	$288	545	472	+73	Up	+$57	04-12 16:13
bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 5pm et	10	$284	570	565	+5	Down	-$12	03-21 21:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 23:20 UTC	4	$257	589	313	+276	Up	+$1	03-30 23:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 23:30 UTC	3	$251	417	328	+88	Up	+$46	03-30 23:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 00:30 UTC	2	$232	437	431	+6	Down	+$32	03-31 00:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	2	$230	570	566	+3	Yes	+$19	03-31 05:45
bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 4pm et	12	$226	763	559	+204	Up	-$4	03-21 20:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 16:15 UTC	7	$219	338	320	+18	Down	+$54	04-12 16:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 00:00 UTC	2	$208	623	617	+6	Up	+$14	03-31 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	7	$206	317	317	+0	Down	+$43	05-05 05:46
bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 2am et	2	$205	761	0	+761	Down	-$205	03-31 06:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 23:30 UTC	2	$199	372	366	+5	Up	-$1	03-30 23:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	8	$199	245	245	+0	Down	+$129	05-05 06:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 07:45 UTC	5	$195	664	320	+345	Up	+$9	03-31 07:59
ethereum up or down february 27 6am et	6	$179	441	341	+100	Down	-$21	02-27 11:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	2	$172	345	342	+3	Yes	-$25	03-31 05:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 21:50:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x8e6671…
09-17 21:50:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x624782…
09-17 21:50:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x495ec1…
09-17 21:50:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x2dbfea…
09-17 21:50:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x3e58ec…
09-17 21:50:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe8202c…
09-17 21:50:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8ca89c…
09-17 21:50:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x364e34…
09-17 21:50:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x408ab7…
09-17 21:49:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x8464e5…
09-17 21:49:43	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xbba78e…
09-17 21:48:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x004e1d…
09-17 21:48:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xf4291d…
09-17 21:48:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xd305a1…
09-17 21:47:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x0446d0…
09-17 21:47:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x5119de…
09-17 21:46:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xb0ce28…
09-17 21:45:42	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x836151…
09-17 21:45:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x67d9ee…
09-17 21:45:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x3e3da9…
09-17 21:45:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x7fd25c…
09-17 21:43:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9f6b15…
09-17 21:42:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x725875…
09-17 21:41:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x3f8f39…
09-17 21:39:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd32bc1…
09-17 21:37:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	53	53¢	$28	0x792939…
09-17 21:37:27	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 5pm et	Up	SELL	24	58¢	$14	0xa1a6fd…
09-17 21:36:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:35 UTC	Up	SELL	12	65¢	$8	0x2e729a…
09-17 21:35:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x8b6a01…
09-17 21:32:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	68	38¢	$26	0x76c19e…
09-17 21:31:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x7e5f24…
09-17 21:31:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x1b0ba1…
09-17 21:31:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xc26a77…
09-17 21:30:37	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x66f655…
09-17 21:30:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xd8ef3b…
09-17 21:30:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x515fe3…
09-17 21:28:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	116	1¢	$1	0x5e1833…
09-17 21:28:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xba0c72…
09-17 21:25:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd2ee18…
09-17 21:23:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xea9675…
09-17 21:22:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x3d96dd…
09-17 21:17:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xd6a4d0…
09-17 21:17:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x96f734…
09-17 21:14:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x97d532…
09-17 21:14:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6516c4…
09-17 21:14:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x3befe5…
09-17 21:11:15	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 5pm et	Down	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0xa2eae8…
09-17 21:11:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3776a9…
09-17 21:10:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xcfc429…
09-17 21:10:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x399edb…
09-17 21:10:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x02b0b6…
09-17 21:09:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:05 UTC	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xe717ac…
09-17 21:06:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x3ac15f…
09-17 21:06:27	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 21:00 UTC	Down	SELL	41	67¢	$27	0x38ce2f…
09-17 21:04:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 21:00 UTC	Down	SELL	25	61¢	$15	0x4c214a…
09-17 21:03:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:00 UTC	Down	SELL	35	93¢	$33	0x75349d…
09-17 21:02:48	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0xb38762…
09-17 21:01:52	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc9bc5c…
09-17 21:01:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x9526a9…
09-17 21:01:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x663d6a…
09-17 21:01:13	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x319c3a…
09-17 21:00:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xbb691c…
09-17 21:00:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x299281…
09-17 20:58:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xe0c97b…
09-17 20:57:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x7527b9…
09-17 20:52:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:50 UTC	Up	SELL	56	52¢	$29	0x2ff5b8…
09-17 20:51:52	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	98	5¢	$5	0x138710…
09-17 20:51:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xaa1eed…
09-17 20:50:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xfcec87…
09-17 20:50:07	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	44	11¢	$5	0xd00026…
09-17 20:49:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x04bd8d…
09-17 20:49:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x811b9d…
09-17 20:49:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb38e9c…
09-17 20:49:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa782de…
09-17 20:49:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x31d1e7…
09-17 20:49:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9ac0ae…
09-17 20:49:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc66ab3…
09-17 20:49:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6e14a3…
09-15 22:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	314	31¢	$97	0x2198c6…
09-15 22:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15,832	1¢	$100	0x1c54a6…
09-15 21:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x972d96…
09-15 21:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6c11d7…
09-15 21:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x31daeb…
09-15 21:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x222e3e…
09-15 21:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x02860c…
09-15 21:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x01827b…
09-15 21:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xcb943d…
09-15 21:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xb0d7ea…
09-15 21:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	38¢	$10	0x21d5a3…
09-15 21:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xe1f529…
09-15 21:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xcc9c49…
09-15 21:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xeff360…
09-15 21:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x530591…
09-15 21:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x80d6c1…
09-15 21:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xa02538…
09-15 21:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x4c77c0…
09-15 21:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	161	53¢	$86	0xb175b1…
09-15 21:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xa15b31…
09-15 21:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xab7468…
09-15 21:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x5b6e7b…