Dimpled-Technique — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.55K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.5%

Resolved

362

Trades

1,143

lifetime

Volume

$46.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 11-01 00:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 127 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 44% -$1,546

Other

0% 36% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	3	$9.4K	5,792	5,792	+0	No	+$58	06-16 02:27
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	15	$8.0K	3,947	5,697	-1,750	No	-$225	06-08 09:18
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	16	$5.7K	3,071	3,071	+0	No	+$378	07-20 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	12	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	Up	+$220	05-16 15:24
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	2	$903	488	488	+0	Yes	+$63	05-04 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	3	$755	500	500	+0	Down	+$235	05-05 11:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	9	$644	889	889	+0	Up	-$200	10-23 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	25	$543	757	307	+450	Up	-$159	09-18 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	7	$476	869	446	+423	Down	-$205	05-16 11:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$465	308	308	+0	Up	+$145	05-06 14:26
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-21 08:00 UTC	14	$400	792	0	+792	Up	-$400	08-21 08:00
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-17 20:00 UTC	13	$394	900	0	+900	Up	-$394	08-17 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	1	$389	778	0	+778	Down	-$389	10-22 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	25	$376	392	392	+0	Up	-$24	05-28 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	13	$358	400	400	+0	Up	+$10	10-02 01:48
bitcoin up or down august 19 2026 12pm et	8	$350	385	385	+0	Down	-$50	08-19 16:10
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-17 08:00 UTC	6	$321	220	220	+0	Down	+$119	09-17 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	6	$315	470	470	+0	Down	-$164	10-22 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	5	$300	400	200	+200	Up	-$100	10-29 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	18	$277	191	187	+4	Down	+$45	04-26 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	7	$271	561	0	+561	Down	-$271	05-16 04:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1PM ET	14	$251	220	200	+20	Up	+$49	05-17 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	3	$246	160	160	+0	Down	+$70	05-05 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1PM ET	2	$239	139	139	+0	Up	+$39	04-29 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	5	$229	456	0	+456	Down	+$227	09-09 12:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	4	$208	400	0	+400	Down	+$192	09-12 17:06
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 20:00 UTC	1	$204	400	0	+400	Down	+$196	08-31 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	9	$200	360	0	+360	Down	-$200	09-10 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	2	$200	400	0	+400	Up	+$200	09-01 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	1	$200	385	0	+385	Up	-$200	05-05 11:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 00:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x747d88…
10-31 12:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x92f5dc…
10-30 16:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x6252c0…
10-30 15:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x5ddbaa…
10-30 15:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x7108a8…
10-30 15:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0xdcc3aa…
10-30 15:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0x8a7096…
10-30 15:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	125	12¢	$15	0xdb0286…
10-30 15:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	125	15¢	$19	0xa86ff6…
10-30 15:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x9ca7f7…
10-30 15:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	124	24¢	$30	0x63906b…
10-30 12:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	125	49¢	$61	0x9f5981…
10-30 00:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	90	50¢	$45	0x17b147…
10-29 23:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfd561d…
10-29 10:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	95	6¢	$6	0x5d4ae5…
10-29 10:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x948d84…
10-29 04:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xba0006…
10-29 04:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0xefaec4…
10-29 04:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	199	50¢	$100	0xefaec4…
10-29 04:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	170	50¢	$85	0x948661…
10-29 04:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xf1af52…
10-27 22:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x32a18e…
10-27 16:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe06e97…
10-27 11:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x409672…
10-27 11:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0xcd54b2…
10-27 11:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	191	20¢	$38	0x00486b…
10-27 11:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0x61e2b7…
10-27 11:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x8ef5dc…
10-27 10:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x52cc0a…
10-27 09:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x86d7f3…
10-27 09:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0xbedb8f…
10-27 05:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x45d7f7…
10-27 00:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xad63c8…
10-27 00:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x5ae6be…
10-26 18:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x3613b7…
10-26 15:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0xff9123…
10-26 12:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf05ab3…
10-26 00:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x6187c6…
10-25 03:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x29205d…
10-24 04:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0xbc6ff7…
10-24 04:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	47	42¢	$20	0xb3a7ae…
10-23 01:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0xcbabbe…
10-23 01:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	285	25¢	$71	0x10d47c…
10-23 01:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	601	25¢	$150	0x7c5be0…
10-23 01:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x7d3d34…
10-23 01:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	40	43¢	$17	0x3b2150…
10-23 01:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	51	48¢	$24	0x1670a0…
10-23 01:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	754	48¢	$362	0x666fce…
10-23 01:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe9cfcd…
10-23 00:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	39	42¢	$16	0xc0f174…
10-22 16:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	778	50¢	$389	0x01de9f…
10-22 15:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	380	16¢	$61	0xb15323…
10-22 15:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	60	16¢	$10	0x98bbfc…
10-22 15:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0x537870…
10-22 12:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x6fd31e…
10-22 12:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	420	51¢	$214	0x3508d8…
10-22 12:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	51¢	$25	0x6a66cf…
10-22 08:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	240	50¢	$120	0x89dbe9…
10-21 16:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	118	51¢	$60	0x8cf730…
10-21 14:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	86	20¢	$17	0xf21b41…
10-21 12:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	86	46¢	$40	0xd30a81…
10-21 08:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0x3436f5…
10-21 08:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x631ae3…
10-20 16:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x724ee1…
10-20 12:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xc110b3…
10-20 11:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x9816a5…
10-20 08:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	40	50¢	$20	0xac9f0b…
10-20 08:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x3be2e4…
10-20 08:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xac1b73…
10-20 04:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x63f3cd…
10-19 08:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	101	50¢	$50	0xd00b40…
10-19 08:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xf17125…
10-19 05:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x6c7b60…
10-19 05:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	30	35¢	$10	0x0de3f9…
10-19 05:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0x82fa72…
10-19 04:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	80	52¢	$42	0xc8a2d7…
10-19 04:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb341e8…
10-19 04:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x9f3a78…
10-19 04:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x9362c9…
10-19 04:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb6f2a1…
10-19 00:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xbe458c…
10-19 00:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0x02f40a…
10-18 16:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xcae448…
10-18 16:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x1fbf50…
10-18 15:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x804aa1…
10-18 12:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xbe88c9…
10-18 12:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x42b40f…
10-18 09:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x7d6a3d…
10-18 09:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0xee48fc…
10-18 08:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x2e6e68…
10-17 17:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0x129467…
10-17 16:03:48	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-17 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x04bcf6…
10-17 13:04:15	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-17 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xa9cd27…
10-17 13:04:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-17 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x9c7956…
10-17 09:01:30	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-17 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0xfc66a1…
10-17 09:01:30	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-17 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0xa3d193…
10-17 08:59:45	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-17 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x957a95…
10-17 06:39:42	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0xa0c095…
10-17 06:39:32	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x54798b…
10-17 06:36:24	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xd79bd9…