Shallow-Actor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.82K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.1%

Resolved

7,792

Trades

28,065

lifetime

Volume

$3.31M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$118

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-16 09:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 220 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 96% +$4,921

Other

7% 90% -$498

Sports

1% 96% +$164

Politics

1% 100% +$232

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 149 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$7.0K	3,585	3,585	+0	No	+$38	05-31 17:01
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 90 114	10	$6.4K	3,213	3,213	+0	No	+$16	02-17 08:54
bitcoin up or down february 16 10am et	21	$5.8K	2,939	2,939	+0	Down	+$44	02-16 15:59
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 3am et	44	$5.7K	5,338	374	+4,965	Down	+$7	03-16 08:56
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-23 04:00 UTC	2	$5.7K	5,681	0	+5,681	Up	+$6	03-23 07:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 07:00 UTC	2	$5.6K	5,560	0	+5,560	Down	+$6	03-19 07:13
bitcoin up or down march 6 6am et	3	$5.5K	4,941	593	+4,348	Down	+$5	03-06 12:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 03:30 UTC	4	$5.3K	5,350	0	+5,350	Down	+$6	03-04 03:44
bitcoin up or down march 3 3pm et	34	$5.3K	5,323	0	+5,323	Down	+$5	03-03 21:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 15:30 UTC	8	$5.2K	5,225	0	+5,225	Up	+$5	03-03 15:42
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	44	$5.2K	2,656	2,656	+0	No	+$64	03-15 03:49
bitcoin up or down march 8 5pm et	17	$5.1K	5,136	0	+5,136	Down	+$5	03-08 22:00
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-23 12:00 UTC	10	$5.0K	5,039	0	+5,039	Up	+$15	03-23 15:52
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 10am et	4	$5.0K	2,500	2,500	+0	Down	+$0	03-25 15:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 05:30 UTC	4	$5.0K	4,994	0	+4,994	Down	+$15	03-03 05:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 08:00 UTC	9	$5.0K	4,975	0	+4,975	Up	+$5	02-26 08:14
bitcoin up or down february 17 12pm et	9	$5.0K	2,500	2,500	+0	Down	+$38	02-17 18:42
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 6am et	12	$5.0K	4,967	0	+4,967	Down	+$10	03-19 10:56
elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 140 164	2	$4.9K	2,491	2,491	+0	No	+$33	01-31 17:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 19:45 UTC	26	$4.9K	4,959	0	+4,959	Up	+$18	03-02 19:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 07:45 UTC	43	$4.8K	4,867	0	+4,867	Down	+$32	02-26 07:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 11:00 UTC	5	$4.8K	4,837	0	+4,837	Down	+$5	03-02 11:15
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-20 12:00 UTC	12	$4.8K	4,837	0	+4,837	Down	+$14	03-20 16:00
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 4am et	7	$4.8K	4,814	0	+4,814	Down	+$6	03-19 08:58
bitcoin up or down march 4 3pm et	15	$4.8K	4,787	0	+4,787	Down	+$5	03-04 21:01
bitcoin up or down march 1 4pm et	6	$4.8K	4,778	0	+4,778	Up	+$5	03-01 21:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	3	$4.8K	2,550	2,550	+0	No	+$26	06-01 10:20
bitcoin up or down march 1 1pm et	5	$4.8K	4,773	0	+4,773	Up	+$7	03-01 20:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 14:15 UTC	2	$4.8K	4,761	0	+4,761	Up	+$5	03-06 14:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 17:15 UTC	30	$4.7K	4,739	0	+4,739	Down	+$5	03-04 17:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 09:37:52	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xae4c04…
10-16 09:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x8e3c48…
10-16 08:58:34	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x021b4f…
10-16 08:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x81e8b1…
10-16 08:27:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcab701…
10-16 06:41:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x093939…
10-16 06:41:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x1a86e0…
10-15 20:36:14	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xb99abc…
10-15 20:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x6d9259…
10-15 19:48:17	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x572bd7…
10-15 19:29:40	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x7e8ed6…
10-15 19:13:49	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x8c14fa…
10-15 19:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xef9606…
10-15 18:56:38	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x810630…
10-15 18:37:25	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xee77ef…
10-15 14:31:50	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xc5fa1f…
10-15 13:23:05	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x491196…
10-15 12:45:07	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xa3fae5…
10-15 12:09:55	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xb46a5d…
10-15 12:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcacc4b…
10-15 11:46:39	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x0e4363…
10-15 11:25:39	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x557f33…
10-15 11:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x89f95e…
10-15 11:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x05fe2f…
10-15 10:56:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0x9894ca…
10-15 10:28:44	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xcabad3…
10-15 09:58:32	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x2aca4b…
10-15 09:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x9a1ade…
10-15 09:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1331ed…
10-15 09:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6aa7c0…
10-15 09:34:59	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x1cad08…
10-15 09:22:23	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc8ecd7…
10-15 09:06:43	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xb736ff…
10-15 08:52:17	bitcoin up or down october 15 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xec1b62…
10-15 08:50:52	bitcoin up or down october 15 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x5253e7…
10-15 08:29:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x25ae52…
10-15 07:48:26	bitcoin up or down october 15 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x512b91…
10-15 07:44:31	bitcoin up or down october 15 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x51f542…
10-15 07:07:44	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x8d9c3d…
10-15 07:07:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x85c631…
10-15 07:05:41	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0xb9ee9f…
10-15 06:49:11	bitcoin up or down october 15 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xeee0e3…
10-15 01:31:31	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 14?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x5bcfa4…
10-15 01:29:56	will bitcoin dip to 80k on october 14 2026	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x5fcb98…
10-14 21:36:16	will bitcoin dip to 81k on october 14 2026	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x5d826d…
10-14 20:32:15	will bitcoin dip to 80k on october 14 2026	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf726f3…
10-14 20:18:45	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 14?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x40a286…
10-14 20:18:40	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 14?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7ce0fb…
10-14 20:18:40	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x41d9fc…
10-14 20:18:27	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 14?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfc53d8…
10-14 19:51:43	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xce381b…
10-14 19:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x2c1086…
10-14 19:48:25	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x0c6e68…
10-14 19:48:19	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x773f4e…
10-14 19:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xcf343a…
10-14 19:18:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 14?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x091655…
10-14 19:12:51	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 14?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x2d9f63…
10-14 19:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb67da7…
10-14 18:56:21	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x330642…
10-14 18:27:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x9cebc9…
10-14 18:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x31f60b…
10-14 17:42:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xef189a…
10-14 17:24:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xf30442…
10-14 16:44:42	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xe75aa2…
10-14 16:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xadc228…
10-14 15:53:19	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x779cb2…
10-14 15:44:51	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc88c67…
10-14 14:48:25	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7a2eab…
10-14 14:48:25	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3d5c96…
10-14 14:48:04	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4a6504…
10-14 14:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x68f83d…
10-14 14:28:00	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x8608a4…
10-14 12:16:35	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x756a79…
10-14 12:16:22	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6031e3…
10-14 12:16:22	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x51f429…
10-14 12:15:49	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 14?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x2e5e4a…
10-14 09:18:41	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x5f4eb6…
10-14 08:48:07	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 14?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x2e6ee2…
10-14 08:40:47	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 14?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x106668…
10-14 08:39:53	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 13?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xb87108…
10-13 22:44:21	will bitcoin dip to 82k on october 13 2026	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1d7d40…
10-13 22:43:19	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x65a235…
10-13 19:07:25	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on October 13?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xee862c…
10-13 18:55:24	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on October 13?	No	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xd3af8f…
10-13 18:55:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on October 13?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x7c8689…
10-13 18:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on October 13?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x4148bf…
10-13 18:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on October 13?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xff45a6…
10-13 17:48:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on October 13?	No	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x40af70…
10-13 17:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on October 13?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x36cd68…
10-13 16:51:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on October 13?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x488bf2…
10-13 14:15:02	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xd7361f…
10-13 11:57:56	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xbc5e74…
10-13 11:54:31	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x8ed6eb…
10-13 09:56:08	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x9556fa…
10-13 09:51:29	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xfa3d54…
10-13 08:56:02	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x5ab1e9…
10-13 08:52:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe3ad52…
10-13 06:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xbc718c…
10-13 06:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x316711…
10-12 22:37:26	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7f22b5…