Unwilling-Hybridisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,105

lifetime

Volume

$29.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 06-14 04:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 75% +$41

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 99 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on april 9 2026	16	$812	642	632	+10	open	—	04-09 14:41
bitcoin up or down on april 20 2026	16	$761	390	589	-199	open	—	04-20 07:25
bitcoin up or down on april 23 2026	9	$687	480	358	+122	open	—	04-23 02:31
bitcoin up or down on april 17 2026	16	$650	360	357	+3	open	—	04-17 14:31
bitcoin up or down on april 21 2026	12	$566	420	418	+2	open	—	04-21 15:36
bitcoin up or down on april 19 2026	29	$565	343	343	+1	open	—	04-19 07:57
bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 7am et	10	$455	235	234	+1	open	—	04-15 11:56
bitcoin up or down on april 5 2026	21	$443	360	359	+1	open	—	04-05 15:36
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 9am et	14	$443	330	329	+1	open	—	03-27 13:53
btc updown 4h 1776816000	7	$412	212	211	+1	open	—	04-22 03:37
bitcoin up or down on april 14 2026	4	$388	200	200	+0	open	—	04-14 13:53
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 11am et	9	$387	260	260	+0	open	—	03-26 15:54
bitcoin up or down on april 16 2026	7	$377	280	278	+2	open	—	04-16 13:53
bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 10pm et	27	$366	366	366	+0	open	—	04-13 02:47
bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 9am et	12	$342	180	179	+1	open	—	04-14 13:52
bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 10am et	12	$324	260	255	+5	open	—	04-15 14:40
bitcoin up or down on april 15 2026	6	$318	180	178	+2	open	—	04-15 15:18
bitcoin up or down on april 12 2026	9	$306	167	169	-2	open	—	04-12 10:34
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 3am et	9	$294	155	170	-15	open	—	04-13 07:52
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	5	$291	255	252	+3	open	—	04-27 12:32
bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 11am et	12	$283	150	149	+1	open	—	04-15 15:55
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 2am et	16	$281	234	232	+2	open	—	03-24 06:50
bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 11pm et	14	$275	200	198	+2	open	—	03-29 03:51
bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 8pm et	17	$274	150	149	+1	open	—	03-30 00:56
bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 11am et	10	$267	150	149	+1	open	—	04-01 15:57
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 12am et	4	$266	140	140	+0	open	—	03-30 05:18
bitcoin up or down on april 4 2026	28	$265	250	250	+0	open	—	04-04 05:10
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 10am et	15	$257	230	230	+0	open	—	03-24 14:45
bitcoin up or down april 18 2026 6am et	9	$254	155	155	+0	open	—	04-18 10:44
bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 9am et	18	$247	150	110	+40	open	—	04-15 13:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 04:04:00	btc updown 4h 1781409600	Down	BUY	60	57¢	$34	0x9ab915…
06-14 00:01:40	btc updown 4h 1781395200	Down	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x24121b…
06-08 14:59:25	bitcoin up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0x9ccacd…
06-07 15:56:42	bitcoin up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x13cf57…
06-07 15:30:03	bitcoin up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x4ae49b…
06-07 15:29:34	bitcoin up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	57	49¢	$28	0x7bd307…
06-07 14:53:57	bitcoin up or down on june 7 2026	Up	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x6e3360…
06-06 16:01:24	bitcoin up or down on june 7 2026	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x301663…
06-02 16:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	60	61¢	$37	0xe3362f…
06-02 12:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2?	Down	SELL	120	97¢	$117	0x8dc1b7…
06-01 16:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	60	51¢	$31	0xb09290…
06-01 15:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	120	49¢	$59	0xeae957…
06-01 13:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xf48318…
05-31 01:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	28	68¢	$19	0xf01c62…
05-31 01:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	Up	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xb3911d…
05-28 04:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x70b2a7…
05-24 04:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x6ff7ef…
05-24 04:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x0a5daf…
05-24 04:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x221559…
05-24 04:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xd683d1…
05-24 04:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x971520…
05-24 04:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xef8f83…
05-24 04:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xdcc964…
05-24 04:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x545a26…
05-24 04:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xabbfa9…
05-24 04:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x8b2fc3…
05-24 04:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x307fba…
05-24 04:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xb176e6…
05-24 04:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x0d8394…
05-24 04:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xfbb72f…
05-24 04:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x21e832…
05-24 04:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x718a64…
05-24 04:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x7ab9ee…
05-24 04:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x750846…
05-24 04:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2f4c37…
05-17 17:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x431466…
05-17 17:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x5c6a67…
05-17 17:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x03dfe2…
05-16 09:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0xa1ab0c…
05-16 07:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xd7a4b7…
05-16 01:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	54	35¢	$19	0x4c62a6…
05-16 00:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0xba1eb9…
05-16 00:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x28d5c0…
05-15 23:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0xc5c00c…
05-15 23:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0xbf07f9…
05-15 23:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0xaf1304…
05-15 23:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x5e63e6…
05-15 23:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	30	25¢	$8	0x2a91e3…
05-15 23:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0x271341…
05-15 23:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0x193e72…
05-15 23:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	15	30¢	$4	0x42df0d…
05-15 21:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	49¢	$16	0xaf2baa…
05-15 21:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	45¢	$19	0x30d7c2…
05-15 21:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x788ef1…
05-15 15:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x3d64f0…
05-12 20:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x6fa38f…
05-12 16:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x4c7916…
05-12 16:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x5409cd…
05-12 16:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x4e758a…
05-12 16:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xc9121f…
05-12 16:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x945414…
05-11 10:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	80	69¢	$55	0x5f2428…
05-10 17:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x0b404c…
05-07 04:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xdfe7c0…
05-07 04:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xdbdab2…
05-07 04:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xb2566b…
05-07 04:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x0ff4fe…
05-07 04:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x08624e…
05-07 04:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	18	80¢	$14	0x044450…
05-04 15:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x4d066a…
05-03 15:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	160	51¢	$82	0x425e6e…
05-03 01:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3?	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd8b359…
05-03 01:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3?	Down	BUY	56	61¢	$34	0xbd217a…
05-03 01:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3?	Down	BUY	9	61¢	$6	0xeb7e9d…
05-03 01:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3?	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x64f60f…
04-29 16:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	135	50¢	$68	0x38d0e3…
04-29 16:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x767b07…
04-28 16:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x9143b8…
04-28 15:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xac22d9…
04-27 12:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	Up	SELL	252	34¢	$86	0x338fe2…
04-27 01:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x493d67…
04-27 01:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	60	80¢	$48	0xcb30fa…
04-27 01:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	93	81¢	$76	0x4538e7…
04-27 00:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	82	80¢	$66	0x814216…
04-26 22:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0xc329b5…
04-26 22:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x7e4cd9…
04-24 11:41:42	btc updown 4h 1777017600	Up	SELL	100	100¢	$99	0xe7cd79…
04-24 11:12:14	btc updown 4h 1777017600	Up	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xd22329…
04-24 05:45:04	bitcoin up or down on april 24 2026	Down	SELL	155	75¢	$116	0x16df0d…
04-24 03:49:06	bitcoin up or down on april 24 2026	Down	BUY	37	73¢	$27	0x15f1e1…
04-24 03:48:44	btc updown 4h 1776988800	Down	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x4871ef…
04-24 03:35:08	bitcoin up or down on april 24 2026	Down	BUY	120	75¢	$90	0xf8fa26…
04-24 03:30:32	btc updown 4h 1776988800	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xc444a7…
04-23 15:06:20	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 23	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xf0e8dd…
04-23 15:02:34	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 23	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xc82b9f…
04-23 11:40:30	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 23	No	BUY	60	96¢	$57	0x434cb5…
04-23 06:50:52	btc updown 4h 1776916800	Up	SELL	60	91¢	$54	0x843550…
04-23 06:23:54	btc updown 4h 1776916800	Up	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0xd37192…
04-23 03:43:54	btc updown 4h 1776902400	Down	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x568cb4…
04-23 03:40:34	btc updown 4h 1776902400	Down	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xbbb2ea…