Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4?
Up won
Total volume
$96,779
Trades
2,064
Unique wallets
253
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
99¢
Latest NO mid
1¢
End date
2026-10-04
First seen
2026-10-03
last 10-04 16:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+8.7¢
(top1%: 78% YES on $60.4K
vs crowd: 69% YES on $85.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 25 | $52.3K | $14.6K | +$37.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 70 | $4.2K | $9.9K | $5.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 67 | $1.9K | $1.9K | +$48 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 91 | $687 | $246 | +$442 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 21 | $46.9K | $13.5K | +$33.4K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 45 | $3.1K | $799 | +$2.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 12 | $56 | $330 | $274 |
| Median | 17 | $187 | $102 | +$85 |
| Below median | 76 | $354 | $224 | +$130 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 23 | $776 | $304 | +$472 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 33 | $2.1K | $3.3K | $1.2K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 26 | $5.7K | $8.0K | $2.4K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Up | +32,339 | $23,529 | $23,529 | 103 | 10-04 14:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x785c…4c82 | Down | +15,165 | $18 | $18 | 18 | 10-04 15:59 |
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Down | +14,141 | $7,066 | $7,066 | 20 | 10-04 15:20 |
| Whopping-Anesthesiology 0xaad0…f61d | Up | +14,121 | $14,082 | $14,482 | 13 | 10-04 15:50 |
| Appropriate-Banner 0x160d…6f25 | Down | +5,021 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-04 15:49 |
| Oily-Container 0x0fe4…01b7 | Down | +4,936 | $802 | $802 | 35 | 10-04 14:50 |
| Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | Down | +4,314 | $1,268 | $3,296 | 132 | 10-04 15:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394 | Down | +3,054 | $1,081 | $1,081 | 19 | 10-04 07:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x00cb…e987 | Up | +2,865 | $1,148 | $1,148 | 6 | 10-04 05:52 |
| Numb-Champagne 0xbf5f…c035 | Down | +2,494 | $1,452 | $1,452 | 1 | 10-03 16:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x4163…521c | Down | +2,057 | $127 | $127 | 18 | 10-04 15:59 |
| Ornate-Outrun 0x7c69…5aeb | Up | +1,395 | $1,384 | $1,384 | 14 | 10-04 15:50 |
| Oily-Container 0x0fe4…01b7 | Up | +1,388 | $612 | $612 | 13 | 10-03 22:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Up | +1,349 | $1,313 | $1,313 | 5 | 10-04 15:59 |
| Red-Intelligence 0x1ce1…2f49 | Up | +1,143 | $683 | $683 | 1 | 10-04 07:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x946a…e93f | Down | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 6 | 10-04 15:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x00cb…e987 | Down | +977 | $37 | $37 | 2 | 10-04 15:20 |
| These-Compromise 0x71a7…6fcf | Up | +977 | $391 | $391 | 1 | 10-03 16:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xca2b…3489 | Down | +965 | $264 | $264 | 21 | 10-04 12:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xca2b…3489 | Up | +911 | $660 | $660 | 27 | 10-04 12:17 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Down | +860 | $67 | $67 | 15 | 10-04 15:02 |
| Ideal-Friction 0xbd3f…d12d | Down | +850 | $399 | $399 | 7 | 10-04 05:38 |
| Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed | Down | +818 | $299 | $299 | 9 | 10-04 09:27 |
| Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed | Up | +818 | $633 | $633 | 9 | 10-04 15:54 |
| Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Up | +759 | $730 | $1,191 | 34 | 10-04 15:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3 | Down | +614 | $240 | $240 | 7 | 10-04 09:27 |
| Fearful-Volume 0x9441…be7b | Up | +608 | $466 | $466 | 60 | 10-04 14:56 |
| Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88 | Down | +600 | $180 | $180 | 3 | 10-04 09:27 |
| Likely-Feeling 0x629c…a4cd | Up | +600 | $585 | $585 | 10 | 10-04 15:56 |
| Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Up | +585 | $452 | $1,367 | 105 | 10-04 15:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | +523 | $400 | $400 | 32 | 10-04 15:32 |
| Tame-Crude 0xd825…a76e | Up | +500 | $375 | $375 | 1 | 10-04 08:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | +496 | $116 | $116 | 24 | 10-04 15:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Up | +481 | $170 | $10,399 | 231 | 10-04 15:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x853d…c7e7 | Down | +469 | $31 | $31 | 23 | 10-04 15:59 |
| Jaunty-Towel 0xe0d1…82b1 | Up | +450 | $220 | $220 | 6 | 10-03 16:20 |
| Jaunty-Towel 0xe0d1…82b1 | Down | +450 | $220 | $220 | 19 | 10-03 17:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394 | Up | +420 | $195 | $195 | 3 | 10-03 21:05 |
| Horrible-Blackbird 0xa0fd…237c | Down | +400 | $37 | $37 | 6 | 10-04 13:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x9a6e…1711 | Down | +383 | $21 | $34 | 6 | 10-04 15:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xb93e…b67a | Down | +350 | $157 | $157 | 8 | 10-03 18:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xb970…0000 | Down | +338 | $89 | $281 | 10 | 10-04 09:29 |
| Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | Up | +322 | $145 | $145 | 6 | 10-04 03:41 |
| Rash-Consul 0x2cce…6e85 | Down | +316 | $1,273 | $1,281 | 17 | 10-04 16:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf49…d80d | Down | +314 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-04 15:43 |
| Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Down | +309 | $323 | $1,495 | 107 | 10-04 15:02 |
| Sinful-Cupcake 0xef24…a44d | Down | +300 | $27 | $27 | 3 | 10-04 14:27 |
| Exalted-Performance-Chef 0x074a…f120 | Up | +250 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-03 16:30 |
| Exalted-Performance-Chef 0x074a…f120 | Down | +250 | $100 | $100 | 4 | 10-04 06:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xac4c…2200 | Down | +233 | $60 | $60 | 6 | 10-04 12:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x6ac6…2958 | Down | +216 | $97 | $97 | 15 | 10-04 05:48 |
| Dramatic-Cheese 0x083c…65f2 | Up | +209 | $106 | $106 | 16 | 10-04 05:50 |
| Testy-Connection 0x726f…d8e7 | Up | +208 | $95 | $95 | 4 | 10-03 17:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xe461…a797 | Up | +204 | $108 | $108 | 6 | 10-04 06:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x7cd5…2b75 | Up | +202 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 10-03 21:05 |
| Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88 | Up | +200 | $82 | $82 | 1 | 10-03 16:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3 | Up | +190 | $87 | $87 | 1 | 10-03 17:35 |
| Lonely-Astrolabe 0x4028…7ce8 | Up | +141 | $93 | $93 | 1 | 10-04 07:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xac4c…2200 | Up | +138 | $115 | $115 | 7 | 10-04 14:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xeb6f…5597 | Up | +136 | $60 | $60 | 6 | 10-04 04:12 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 16:07:49 | Rash-Consul 0x2cce…6e85 | Down | SELL | 94 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2a537f… |
| 10-04 16:07:49 | Infantile-Advancement 0xc684…1422 | Up | SELL | 94 | 100¢ | $94 | 0x2a537f… |
| 10-04 16:03:22 | Edible-Bay 0xfa9e…d90f | Up | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x30c7ae… |
| 10-04 16:03:22 | Rash-Consul 0x2cce…6e85 | Down | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x30c7ae… |
| 10-04 15:59:52 | Rash-Consul 0x2cce…6e85 | Down | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcd9a86… |
| 10-04 15:59:52 | (anonymous) 0x8d57…b05f | Up | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xcd9a86… |
| 10-04 15:59:49 | Rash-Consul 0x2cce…6e85 | Down | SELL | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf6a561… |
| 10-04 15:59:49 | (anonymous) 0x853d…c7e7 | Down | BUY | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf6a561… |
| 10-04 15:59:49 | (anonymous) 0x4163…521c | Down | BUY | 576 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xa6265b… |
| 10-04 15:59:49 | Rash-Consul 0x2cce…6e85 | Down | SELL | 576 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xa6265b… |
| 10-04 15:59:40 | (anonymous) 0x785c…4c82 | Down | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x645238… |
| 10-04 15:59:40 | Rash-Consul 0x2cce…6e85 | Down | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x645238… |
| 10-04 15:59:32 | Rash-Consul 0x2cce…6e85 | Down | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xdb9577… |
| 10-04 15:59:32 | (anonymous) 0x785c…4c82 | Down | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xdb9577… |
| 10-04 15:59:25 | (anonymous) 0x785c…4c82 | Down | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x580931… |
| 10-04 15:59:25 | Rash-Consul 0x2cce…6e85 | Down | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x580931… |
| 10-04 15:59:17 | (anonymous) 0x785c…4c82 | Down | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x0123a6… |
| 10-04 15:59:17 | Rash-Consul 0x2cce…6e85 | Down | SELL | 533 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x0123a6… |
| 10-04 15:59:17 | (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Up | BUY | 467 | 100¢ | $467 | 0x0123a6… |
| 10-04 15:56:56 | (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Up | BUY | 374 | 100¢ | $373 | 0x336c4a… |
| 10-04 15:56:56 | Likely-Feeling 0x629c…a4cd | Up | BUY | 32 | 99¢ | $32 | 0x336c4a… |
| 10-04 15:56:56 | (anonymous) 0x853d…c7e7 | Up | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x336c4a… |
| 10-04 15:56:56 | (anonymous) 0x785c…4c82 | Down | BUY | 567 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x336c4a… |
| 10-04 15:56:56 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Up | BUY | 160 | 100¢ | $160 | 0x336c4a… |
| 10-04 15:55:31 | (anonymous) 0x785c…4c82 | Down | BUY | 360 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xb34586… |
| 10-04 15:55:31 | Likely-Feeling 0x629c…a4cd | Up | BUY | 80 | 99¢ | $79 | 0xb34586… |
| 10-04 15:55:31 | (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Up | BUY | 280 | 100¢ | $280 | 0xb34586… |
| 10-04 15:54:41 | Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed | Up | BUY | 206 | 100¢ | $206 | 0xcdb8a4… |
| 10-04 15:54:41 | (anonymous) 0x785c…4c82 | Down | BUY | 295 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xcdb8a4… |
| 10-04 15:54:41 | Likely-Feeling 0x629c…a4cd | Up | BUY | 88 | 99¢ | $87 | 0xcdb8a4… |
| 10-04 15:54:34 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Down | SELL | 161 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x63f3ac… |
| 10-04 15:54:34 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Up | BUY | 160 | 100¢ | $160 | 0x63f3ac… |
| 10-04 15:54:34 | (anonymous) 0x785c…4c82 | Down | BUY | 494 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x63f3ac… |
| 10-04 15:54:34 | Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed | Up | BUY | 173 | 100¢ | $172 | 0x63f3ac… |
| 10-04 15:54:25 | (anonymous) 0x785c…4c82 | Down | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xc185ae… |
| 10-04 15:54:25 | Strange-Topic 0x56d5…10a6 | Down | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xc185ae… |
| 10-04 15:52:53 | (anonymous) 0x4163…521c | Down | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x86bf08… |
| 10-04 15:52:53 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Up | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x86bf08… |
| 10-04 15:50:53 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Up | SELL | 52 | 100¢ | $52 | 0xd7e2b5… |
| 10-04 15:50:53 | (anonymous) 0x07e5…4b14 | Up | BUY | 52 | 100¢ | $52 | 0xd7e2b5… |
| 10-04 15:50:50 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Down | SELL | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x67471c… |
| 10-04 15:50:50 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Up | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x67471c… |
| 10-04 15:50:50 | (anonymous) 0x785c…4c82 | Down | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x67471c… |
| 10-04 15:50:50 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Down | SELL | 109 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x67471c… |
| 10-04 15:50:41 | Ornate-Outrun 0x7c69…5aeb | Up | BUY | 128 | 100¢ | $127 | 0xd59934… |
| 10-04 15:50:41 | Whopping-Anesthesiology 0xaad0…f61d | Up | BUY | 771 | 100¢ | $771 | 0xd59934… |
| 10-04 15:50:41 | (anonymous) 0x785c…4c82 | Down | BUY | 949 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xd59934… |
| 10-04 15:50:41 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Down | SELL | 51 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd59934… |
| 10-04 15:50:32 | (anonymous) 0x785c…4c82 | Down | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xbcc337… |
| 10-04 15:50:32 | Whopping-Anesthesiology 0xaad0…f61d | Up | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0xbcc337… |
| 10-04 15:50:23 | Whopping-Anesthesiology 0xaad0…f61d | Up | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0x2d369e… |
| 10-04 15:50:23 | (anonymous) 0x785c…4c82 | Down | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x2d369e… |
| 10-04 15:50:14 | Whopping-Anesthesiology 0xaad0…f61d | Up | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0x0db8a1… |
| 10-04 15:50:14 | (anonymous) 0x785c…4c82 | Down | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x0db8a1… |
| 10-04 15:50:05 | (anonymous) 0x785c…4c82 | Down | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x8898f1… |
| 10-04 15:50:05 | Whopping-Anesthesiology 0xaad0…f61d | Up | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0x8898f1… |
| 10-04 15:49:58 | (anonymous) 0x785c…4c82 | Down | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x7588e2… |
| 10-04 15:49:58 | Whopping-Anesthesiology 0xaad0…f61d | Up | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0x7588e2… |
| 10-04 15:49:47 | Whopping-Anesthesiology 0xaad0…f61d | Up | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0x487deb… |
| 10-04 15:49:47 | (anonymous) 0x785c…4c82 | Down | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x487deb… |
| 10-04 15:49:38 | Whopping-Anesthesiology 0xaad0…f61d | Up | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0x902f94… |
| 10-04 15:49:38 | (anonymous) 0x785c…4c82 | Down | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x902f94… |
| 10-04 15:49:11 | Whopping-Anesthesiology 0xaad0…f61d | Up | BUY | 5,021 | 100¢ | $5,016 | 0x1219c5… |
| 10-04 15:49:11 | Appropriate-Banner 0x160d…6f25 | Down | BUY | 5,021 | 0¢ | $5 | 0x1219c5… |
| 10-04 15:48:49 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Up | SELL | 109 | 100¢ | $109 | 0xf7226f… |
| 10-04 15:48:49 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Down | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf7226f… |
| 10-04 15:48:49 | Whopping-Anesthesiology 0xaad0…f61d | Up | BUY | 1,329 | 100¢ | $1,328 | 0xf7226f… |
| 10-04 15:48:49 | (anonymous) 0x946a…e93f | Down | BUY | 783 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xf7226f… |
| 10-04 15:48:37 | Ornate-Outrun 0x7c69…5aeb | Up | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xb87146… |
| 10-04 15:48:37 | (anonymous) 0x946a…e93f | Down | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb87146… |
| 10-04 15:48:31 | Ornate-Outrun 0x7c69…5aeb | Up | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x4cdae6… |
| 10-04 15:48:31 | Back-Invention 0xcb95…93f8 | Up | SELL | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x4cdae6… |
| 10-04 15:48:08 | Back-Invention 0xcb95…93f8 | Up | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xff76db… |
| 10-04 15:48:08 | (anonymous) 0x946a…e93f | Down | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xff76db… |
| 10-04 15:47:28 | Ornate-Outrun 0x7c69…5aeb | Up | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x41f687… |
| 10-04 15:47:28 | Back-Invention 0xcb95…93f8 | Up | SELL | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x41f687… |
| 10-04 15:46:55 | (anonymous) 0x946a…e93f | Down | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd5899e… |
| 10-04 15:46:55 | Back-Invention 0xcb95…93f8 | Up | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xd5899e… |
| 10-04 15:46:23 | Ornate-Outrun 0x7c69…5aeb | Up | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xaf4621… |
| 10-04 15:46:23 | Back-Invention 0xcb95…93f8 | Up | SELL | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xaf4621… |
| 10-04 15:46:16 | (anonymous) 0x946a…e93f | Down | BUY | 117 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2d4bcc… |
| 10-04 15:46:16 | Drab-Heaven 0xaff3…6ecc | Down | SELL | 117 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2d4bcc… |
| 10-04 15:45:35 | (anonymous) 0x946a…e93f | Down | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x95318c… |
| 10-04 15:45:35 | (anonymous) 0x8c17…9098 | Down | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x95318c… |
| 10-04 15:45:35 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Down | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x95318c… |
| 10-04 15:45:35 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Down | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x95318c… |
| 10-04 15:45:35 | Back-Invention 0xcb95…93f8 | Up | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x95318c… |
| 10-04 15:44:59 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Up | SELL | 23 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x86025a… |
| 10-04 15:44:59 | (anonymous) 0xf59d…302c | Up | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x86025a… |
| 10-04 15:44:56 | Back-Invention 0xcb95…93f8 | Up | SELL | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x63087c… |
| 10-04 15:44:56 | Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed | Up | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x63087c… |
| 10-04 15:44:40 | (anonymous) 0x3284…9be4 | Up | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x29d480… |
| 10-04 15:44:40 | Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed | Up | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x29d480… |
| 10-04 15:43:59 | Back-Invention 0xcb95…93f8 | Up | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xc7c1be… |
| 10-04 15:43:59 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Up | SELL | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xc7c1be… |
| 10-04 15:43:16 | (anonymous) 0xdf49…d80d | Down | BUY | 314 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xa22b51… |
| 10-04 15:43:16 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Up | BUY | 160 | 99¢ | $159 | 0xa22b51… |
| 10-04 15:43:16 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Down | SELL | 117 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa22b51… |
| 10-04 15:43:16 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Down | SELL | 37 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa22b51… |
| 10-04 15:40:01 | (anonymous) 0x853d…c7e7 | Down | BUY | 22 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1d9a2e… |