Back-Invention — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

74.6%

Resolved

Trades

3,045

lifetime

Volume

$132.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 07-21 23:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% $-18

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 176 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes		-11	$-1	8¢	$-1	+$0	06-11 19:48
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	Yes		-20	$-1	2¢	$-0	+$1	06-18 19:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on june 28 2026	79	$7.5K	3,770	3,770	+0	open	—	06-28 15:37
bitcoin up or down on july 4 2026	51	$3.9K	1,955	1,955	+0	open	—	07-04 15:31
bitcoin up or down on june 7 2026	40	$3.7K	1,864	1,864	+0	open	—	06-07 15:29
btc updown 4h 1782144000	24	$2.2K	1,078	1,078	+0	open	—	06-22 19:54
bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 2pm et	24	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-06 18:57
eth updown 4h 1783252800	22	$1.9K	936	936	+0	open	—	07-05 15:53
bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 6pm et	18	$1.8K	900	900	+0	open	—	06-19 22:55
btc updown 4h 1782244800	21	$1.6K	801	800	+0	open	—	06-23 23:57
btc updown 4h 1782302400	22	$1.6K	800	800	+0	open	—	06-24 15:09
bitcoin up or down on june 24 2026	20	$1.6K	792	792	+0	open	—	06-24 15:25
btc updown 4h 1781798400	26	$1.5K	817	730	+87	open	—	06-18 20:00
eth updown 4h 1783771200	10	$1.5K	750	750	+0	open	—	07-11 15:28
eth updown 4h 1782676800	21	$1.4K	725	725	+0	open	—	06-28 23:58
sol updown 4h 1780574400	14	$1.4K	701	701	+0	open	—	06-04 15:56
btc updown 4h 1781193600	15	$1.4K	700	700	+0	open	—	06-11 19:52
xrp updown 4h 1782576000	17	$1.3K	648	648	+0	open	—	06-27 19:37
bitcoin up or down june 27 2026 9am et	24	$1.3K	651	651	+0	open	—	06-27 13:58
sol updown 4h 1782763200	17	$1.3K	640	640	+0	open	—	06-29 23:43
eth updown 4h 1783267200	12	$1.3K	628	628	+0	open	—	07-05 19:52
bitcoin up or down on june 27 2026	21	$1.1K	552	552	+0	open	—	06-27 16:00
bitcoin up or down july 11 2026 4pm et	11	$1.0K	515	515	+0	open	—	07-11 20:59
bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 6pm et	12	$1.0K	505	505	+0	open	—	06-22 22:54
bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 9am et	10	$995	500	500	+0	open	—	06-28 13:55
bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 3pm et	31	$954	480	480	+0	open	—	07-02 20:01
bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 8am et	11	$926	467	467	+0	open	—	07-04 12:52
ethereum up or down july 11 2026 10am et	9	$898	450	450	+0	open	—	07-11 14:51
bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 5pm et	20	$887	445	445	+0	open	—	06-29 21:57
btc updown 4h 1781899200	15	$875	450	427	+23	open	—	06-20 00:00
ethereum up or down on june 27 2026	16	$850	428	428	+0	open	—	06-27 15:50
bitcoin up or down june 24 2026 11am et	10	$849	425	425	+0	open	—	06-24 15:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 23:05:04	btc updown 5m 1784674800	Down	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0x72a889…
07-21 23:04:42	btc updown 5m 1784674800	Down	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xb18fde…
07-21 22:59:39	eth updown 5m 1784674500	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x57c8a8…
07-21 22:50:01	eth updown 5m 1784673900	Down	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x948ce8…
07-21 22:49:49	eth updown 5m 1784673900	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x362c10…
07-21 22:44:48	eth updown 5m 1784673600	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xca25f8…
07-21 22:39:42	eth updown 5m 1784673300	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x0f670c…
07-21 22:29:40	sol updown 5m 1784672700	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x813e60…
07-21 22:24:58	eth updown 5m 1784672400	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x737fe8…
07-21 22:19:51	eth updown 5m 1784672100	Down	BUY	113	97¢	$110	0x23301a…
07-21 21:55:01	eth updown 5m 1784670600	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x8b3b74…
07-21 21:39:43	eth updown 5m 1784669700	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x4fb92a…
07-21 21:39:25	eth updown 5m 1784669700	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xe327bd…
07-21 21:14:42	eth updown 5m 1784668200	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xfd65a7…
07-21 21:11:36	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc12aa7…
07-21 21:11:25	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x234220…
07-20 22:54:54	eth updown 5m 1784587800	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x26a675…
07-20 22:44:49	eth updown 5m 1784587200	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x2692ed…
07-20 22:43:34	btc updown 15m 1784586600	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5eb273…
07-20 22:43:31	btc updown 15m 1784586600	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xef5430…
07-20 22:43:27	btc updown 15m 1784586600	Down	SELL	92	100¢	$91	0x1c90dd…
07-20 22:42:49	btc updown 15m 1784586600	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x03e0f5…
07-20 22:34:51	eth updown 5m 1784586600	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3ee95d…
07-20 21:59:45	eth updown 5m 1784584500	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x2f2fe0…
07-20 21:34:33	eth updown 5m 1784583000	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x4f05c0…
07-20 21:29:55	eth updown 5m 1784582700	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x84964b…
07-20 21:29:33	eth updown 5m 1784582700	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x7eecf4…
07-20 21:19:46	eth updown 5m 1784582100	Up	BUY	103	98¢	$100	0x50602f…
07-20 21:19:31	eth updown 5m 1784582100	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x3e5e26…
07-20 20:54:51	eth updown 5m 1784580600	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x8bdd4b…
07-20 20:24:57	eth updown 5m 1784578800	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x6c17ea…
07-20 19:40:00	eth updown 5m 1784576100	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x516106…
07-20 19:29:52	btc updown 15m 1784574900	Up	BUY	38	91¢	$35	0x134337…
07-20 19:24:57	btc updown 5m 1784575200	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xd27618…
07-20 19:09:57	eth updown 5m 1784574300	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x3a8f8d…
07-19 21:54:54	eth updown 5m 1784497800	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x2d0698…
07-19 21:50:01	eth updown 5m 1784497500	Up	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x40b3f9…
07-19 21:49:28	eth updown 5m 1784497500	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x29bf82…
07-19 21:39:31	eth updown 5m 1784496900	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x33f57d…
07-19 21:31:42	btc updown 5m 1784496300	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x9962ee…
07-19 21:30:00	btc updown 5m 1784496300	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xbca8dd…
07-19 21:24:57	eth updown 5m 1784496000	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xdaa972…
07-19 20:29:52	eth updown 5m 1784492700	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xd56868…
07-19 20:24:33	eth updown 5m 1784492400	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xccced0…
07-19 20:19:43	eth updown 5m 1784492100	Down	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0x8b6d3f…
07-19 18:59:22	eth updown 5m 1784487300	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x1d32a2…
07-19 18:57:16	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 2pm et	Down	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x6bc931…
07-19 18:57:04	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa4e6f0…
07-19 18:55:07	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 2pm et	Down	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x992e7a…
07-19 18:54:24	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb2cee7…
07-19 18:49:58	eth updown 5m 1784486700	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xf33c93…
07-19 18:44:40	eth updown 5m 1784486400	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xc444fc…
07-19 18:39:54	eth updown 5m 1784486100	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xf094a9…
07-19 18:09:45	eth updown 5m 1784484300	Down	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x58ba10…
07-19 18:09:45	eth updown 5m 1784484300	Down	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0x3862c0…
07-19 18:09:43	eth updown 5m 1784484300	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x89123e…
07-19 18:09:43	eth updown 5m 1784484300	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x1ac2bf…
07-19 18:09:42	eth updown 5m 1784484300	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x16a572…
07-19 18:09:36	eth updown 5m 1784484300	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x82012a…
07-19 18:09:36	eth updown 5m 1784484300	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x60a7e1…
07-19 18:09:34	eth updown 5m 1784484300	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x918cc4…
07-19 18:09:34	eth updown 5m 1784484300	Down	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x39bb36…
07-19 18:09:34	eth updown 5m 1784484300	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x00a192…
07-19 18:09:33	eth updown 5m 1784484300	Down	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x0e18fa…
07-19 18:09:01	eth updown 5m 1784484300	Down	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x78f5eb…
07-19 18:02:10	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x7a32d8…
07-19 18:00:00	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7f2438…
07-19 17:54:57	eth updown 5m 1784483400	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x504eef…
07-19 17:54:39	eth updown 5m 1784483400	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x098419…
07-19 17:44:27	eth updown 15m 1784482200	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x393df7…
07-19 16:49:46	eth updown 5m 1784479500	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x1546a7…
07-19 16:44:37	eth updown 5m 1784479200	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x700665…
07-19 16:39:33	eth updown 5m 1784478900	Down	BUY	113	97¢	$110	0x887e70…
07-19 16:34:54	eth updown 5m 1784478600	Down	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xf54a62…
07-19 16:34:36	eth updown 5m 1784478600	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x12e87d…
07-19 15:34:57	btc updown 5m 1784475000	Down	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x042f43…
07-19 15:27:16	bitcoin up or down on july 19 2026	Up	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x5f40f8…
07-19 15:27:04	bitcoin up or down on july 19 2026	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3e2155…
07-18 22:34:52	eth updown 5m 1784413800	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xac4725…
07-18 22:29:12	btc updown 15m 1784412900	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x763a52…
07-18 22:28:40	btc updown 15m 1784412900	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x39aace…
07-18 22:19:51	eth updown 5m 1784412900	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x03b7f1…
07-18 22:14:58	eth updown 15m 1784412000	Up	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x599f30…
07-18 22:14:22	eth updown 15m 1784412000	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2404ce…
07-18 22:10:00	btc updown 5m 1784412300	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x72aed2…
07-18 21:54:45	sol updown 5m 1784411400	Up	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x8aeec9…
07-18 21:53:51	sol updown 5m 1784411400	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xecce46…
07-18 21:49:21	eth updown 5m 1784411100	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x097704…
07-18 21:39:52	eth updown 5m 1784410500	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x6651a6…
07-18 21:39:31	eth updown 5m 1784410500	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xdf90d7…
07-18 16:54:34	eth updown 5m 1784393400	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x4e1833…
07-18 16:54:07	eth updown 5m 1784393400	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x2f7000…
07-18 16:53:03	btc updown 5m 1784393400	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xf66d77…
07-18 16:19:00	eth updown 5m 1784391300	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xa04f5f…
07-18 16:18:12	eth updown 5m 1784391300	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xe2ea70…
07-18 16:15:00	btc updown 15m 1784390400	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x502e16…
07-18 16:14:51	btc updown 15m 1784390400	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xa9ecc7…
07-18 16:08:46	eth updown 5m 1784390700	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x861bff…
07-18 15:59:30	eth updown 5m 1784390100	Down	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x48d6e1…
07-18 15:53:46	eth updown 5m 1784389800	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x50080d…