Exalted-Performance-Chef — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$926

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

55.1%

Resolved

4,776

Trades

9,145

lifetime

Volume

$55.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$72

17 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 10-28 15:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 54% +$1,116

Other

3% 75% -$190

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 1256 trades/day

Open positions (17) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	—	+15	$8	100¢	$15	+$8	10-28 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	—	+15	$8	99¢	$15	+$7	10-28 15:15
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	—	+10	$5	98¢	$10	+$5	10-28 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	—	+15	$8	52¢	$8	+$0	10-28 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	—	+15	$8	48¢	$7	$0	10-28 15:25
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+204	$5	3¢	$7	+$2	09-18 11:22
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+150	$5	3¢	$4	-$1	09-18 11:22
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	—	+5	$3	50¢	$3	$0	10-28 15:25
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	—	+5	$2	50¢	$2	$0	10-28 15:25
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+4	$0	5¢	$0	$0	09-18 11:45
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+1	$0	16¢	$0	$0	09-18 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	—	+15	$8	1¢	$0	-$8	10-28 15:15
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	—	+10	$5	2¢	$0	-$5	10-28 15:20
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+5	$0	2¢	$0	$0	09-18 11:45
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+2	$0	5¢	$0	$0	09-18 11:45
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+5	$0	2¢	$0	$0	09-18 11:45
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+1	$0	10¢	$0	$0	09-18 11:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	13	$290	200	200	+0	Down	+$90	05-20 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	14	$283	200	200	+0	Up	+$97	05-20 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	11	$282	200	200	+0	Down	+$98	05-21 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$282	200	200	+0	Down	+$98	05-23 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20?	14	$280	700	0	+700	Up	+$70	10-20 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	7	$280	700	0	+700	Up	+$70	10-20 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23?	19	$280	700	0	+700	Down	+$70	10-23 02:37
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	21	$277	686	14	+671	Down	+$64	10-22 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	5	$276	200	200	+0	Down	+$104	05-19 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	21	$262	200	200	+0	Down	+$118	05-20 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 11?	8	$216	271	271	+0	Up	-$1	10-11 04:28
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	17	$206	350	350	+0	Up	-$73	10-24 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?	3	$205	350	350	+0	Up	-$75	10-18 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	5	$201	350	350	+0	Down	-$79	10-26 01:46
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?	4	$200	500	0	+500	Up	+$50	10-12 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 16?	3	$200	500	0	+500	Down	+$50	10-16 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12?	2	$200	500	0	+500	Down	+$50	10-11 21:14
bitcoin up or down on october 14 2026	7	$200	500	0	+500	Down	+$50	10-14 03:30
bitcoin up or down on october 17 2026	3	$200	500	0	+500	Up	+$50	10-16 17:16
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4?	5	$200	500	0	+500	Up	+$50	10-04 06:22
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9?	6	$200	500	0	+500	Up	+$50	10-08 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	19	$200	500	0	+500	Down	+$50	10-17 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 27?	14	$200	350	350	+0	Up	-$80	10-27 06:51
bitcoin up or down on october 15 2026	17	$172	364	136	+229	Up	-$6	10-15 02:28
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	8	$168	400	0	+400	Down	+$32	10-23 10:01
bitcoin up or down on october 1 2026	2	$160	400	0	+400	Up	+$40	09-30 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2?	2	$150	250	250	+0	Up	-$50	10-02 03:01
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	11	$150	250	250	+0	Up	-$50	10-04 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	10	$150	250	250	+0	Down	-$50	10-07 01:57
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?	15	$150	250	250	+0	Down	-$50	10-08 04:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 15:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x48fab6…
10-28 15:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x20fd36…
10-28 15:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xb74a7b…
10-28 15:25:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb62357…
10-28 15:25:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1299c4…
10-28 15:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xe90786…
10-28 15:20:11	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf0106b…
10-28 15:20:11	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5ce944…
10-28 15:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x7ba4f0…
10-28 15:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xeb734c…
10-28 15:15:10	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xab53c5…
10-28 15:15:10	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x7961a7…
10-28 15:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x15ad45…
10-28 15:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x37f640…
10-28 15:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x8600cf…
10-28 15:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x1606dd…
10-28 15:10:08	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x469bdc…
10-28 15:10:08	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1c2166…
10-28 15:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xa2bced…
10-28 15:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x63f879…
10-28 15:05:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xbf7732…
10-28 15:05:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2bcd4a…
10-28 15:00:13	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x62b920…
10-28 15:00:13	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x35368d…
10-28 15:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x587258…
10-28 15:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xca9fae…
10-28 14:55:13	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe4e383…
10-28 14:55:13	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x244e8a…
10-28 14:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x92c6cc…
10-28 14:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x7a9beb…
10-28 14:50:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf7def0…
10-28 14:50:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x187ad3…
10-28 14:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xe126de…
10-28 14:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x3688cd…
10-28 14:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xfe1ae1…
10-28 14:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x7494ef…
10-28 14:45:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb14270…
10-28 14:45:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x456c8d…
10-28 14:40:13	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf82b2d…
10-28 14:40:13	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x33d37b…
10-28 14:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xc93d95…
10-28 14:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x971de2…
10-28 14:35:11	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd9aaa0…
10-28 14:35:11	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7e2d1b…
10-28 14:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xe3c780…
10-28 14:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x0dfc56…
10-28 14:30:10	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7b0cc8…
10-28 14:30:10	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x100978…
10-28 14:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xa4898f…
10-28 14:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x35fcd6…
10-28 14:25:10	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x900d05…
10-28 14:25:08	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa552c4…
10-28 14:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x7daad7…
10-28 14:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x0eb0a9…
10-28 14:20:08	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9b3b4b…
10-28 14:20:08	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x89cff1…
10-28 14:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xd1662a…
10-28 14:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xc6cd95…
10-28 14:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xabb9d9…
10-28 14:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x6b3ac1…
10-28 14:15:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x40ecf4…
10-28 14:15:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1fef91…
10-28 14:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x47299f…
10-28 14:10:11	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdb5576…
10-28 14:10:11	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2e7cc5…
10-28 14:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x979861…
10-28 14:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x55511c…
10-28 14:05:10	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7a81aa…
10-28 14:05:10	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x719afc…
10-28 14:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x664809…
10-28 14:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xcc8616…
10-28 14:00:08	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe43aa9…
10-28 14:00:08	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb1b395…
10-28 14:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x2dbff8…
10-28 14:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x2720b5…
10-28 13:55:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc902a7…
10-28 13:55:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x060f73…
10-28 13:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xf018db…
10-28 13:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xeea7fc…
10-28 13:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x0dff86…
10-28 13:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x037c53…
10-28 13:50:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5d0859…
10-28 13:50:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xcb5dce…
10-28 13:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x8dc9a1…
10-28 13:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xd08eea…
10-28 13:45:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xff25a7…
10-28 13:45:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x35597e…
10-28 13:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xcab2a0…
10-28 13:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xf04a34…
10-28 13:40:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcaef0a…
10-28 13:40:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9994cd…
10-28 13:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xbef145…
10-28 13:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x403564…
10-28 13:35:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd2922b…
10-28 13:35:02	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2eb3c9…
10-28 13:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	41	40¢	$17	0xc028ac…
10-28 13:30:11	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xad8c0a…
10-28 13:30:11	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x56d181…
10-28 13:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	9	40¢	$3	0x340751…
10-28 13:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xb797ea…