Exalted-Performance-Chef — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

29.2%

Resolved (7d)

2,426

Trades (7d)

5,125

10,153 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$26.8K

$60.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

8 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 11-01 03:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 51% +$905

Other

2% 74% -$207

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 1256 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+204	$5	4¢	$7	+$2	09-18 11:22
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+150	$5	3¢	$4	-$1	09-18 11:22
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+4	$0	5¢	$0	$0	09-18 11:45
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+1	$0	16¢	$0	$0	09-18 11:45
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+5	$0	3¢	$0	$0	09-18 11:45
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+5	$0	2¢	$0	$0	09-18 11:45
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+2	$0	5¢	$0	$0	09-18 11:45
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+1	$0	10¢	$0	$0	09-18 11:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	13	$290	200	200	+0	Down	+$90	05-20 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	14	$283	200	200	+0	Up	+$97	05-20 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	11	$282	200	200	+0	Down	+$98	05-21 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$282	200	200	+0	Down	+$98	05-23 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20?	14	$280	700	0	+700	Up	+$70	10-20 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	7	$280	700	0	+700	Up	+$70	10-20 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23?	19	$280	700	0	+700	Down	+$70	10-23 02:37
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	21	$277	686	14	+671	Down	+$64	10-22 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	5	$276	200	200	+0	Down	+$104	05-19 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	21	$262	200	200	+0	Down	+$118	05-20 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 11?	8	$216	271	271	+0	Up	-$1	10-11 04:28
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	17	$206	350	350	+0	Up	-$73	10-24 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?	3	$205	350	350	+0	Up	-$75	10-18 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	5	$201	350	350	+0	Down	-$79	10-26 01:46
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?	4	$200	500	0	+500	Up	+$50	10-12 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 16?	3	$200	500	0	+500	Down	+$50	10-16 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12?	2	$200	500	0	+500	Down	+$50	10-11 21:14
bitcoin up or down on october 14 2026	7	$200	500	0	+500	Down	+$50	10-14 03:30
bitcoin up or down on october 17 2026	3	$200	500	0	+500	Up	+$50	10-16 17:16
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4?	5	$200	500	0	+500	Up	+$50	10-04 06:22
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9?	6	$200	500	0	+500	Up	+$50	10-08 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	19	$200	500	0	+500	Down	+$50	10-17 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 27?	14	$200	350	350	+0	Up	-$80	10-27 06:51
bitcoin up or down on october 15 2026	17	$172	364	136	+229	Up	-$6	10-15 02:28
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	8	$168	400	0	+400	Down	+$32	10-23 10:01
bitcoin up or down on october 1 2026	2	$160	400	0	+400	Up	+$40	09-30 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2?	2	$150	250	250	+0	Up	-$50	10-02 03:01
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	11	$150	250	250	+0	Up	-$50	10-04 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	10	$150	250	250	+0	Down	-$50	10-07 01:57
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?	15	$150	250	250	+0	Down	-$50	10-08 04:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 08:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?	Down	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x1af3b4…
11-01 08:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xbfb01d…
11-01 03:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x535cd0…
11-01 02:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x6ed07e…
11-01 01:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x0fc7ff…
11-01 01:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x036678…
11-01 00:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x0bb63b…
10-31 23:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0x4b50bb…
10-31 23:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xc06451…
10-31 23:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$3	0x72a9fc…
10-31 23:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x56c224…
10-31 22:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xc5a6b7…
10-31 22:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb97326…
10-31 22:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xa729dc…
10-31 22:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x862198…
10-31 21:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x4771e2…
10-31 21:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	26	40¢	$10	0x292940…
10-31 20:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0x3ef967…
10-31 20:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd2769b…
10-31 20:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x62c6cb…
10-31 20:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x05b2bc…
10-31 19:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	21	40¢	$8	0xbb4d23…
10-31 19:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x5734d5…
10-31 19:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$3	0x3b9fd6…
10-31 18:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x212af3…
10-31 17:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	26	40¢	$11	0x6c1d3d…
10-31 17:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0x2df3f5…
10-31 16:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	21	40¢	$8	0xad676e…
10-31 16:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x838567…
10-31 16:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7b9a01…
10-31 15:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x3db5a6…
10-31 14:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x66c4dc…
10-31 13:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x074cfe…
10-31 12:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x8b17f4…
10-31 10:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xb30e9e…
10-31 09:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x14568b…
10-31 09:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6846b1…
10-31 08:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x30cfd1…
10-31 07:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xf98f4c…
10-31 07:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x592239…
10-31 07:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x21eede…
10-31 07:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x5e1f89…
10-31 06:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x4e0cdd…
10-31 05:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x8a95ae…
10-31 04:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	27	40¢	$11	0x523671…
10-31 04:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x3e7aab…
10-31 02:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xd8f782…
10-31 01:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x276277…
10-31 00:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xd9445c…
10-31 00:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	27	40¢	$11	0x35fa95…
10-31 00:00:51	spx up or down on november 2 2026	Down	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xa5c1f9…
10-30 23:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	24	40¢	$10	0x653db6…
10-30 23:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x43e6cd…
10-30 21:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xe46e6f…
10-30 20:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	22	40¢	$9	0x17b688…
10-30 20:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4cd3e7…
10-30 20:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xa9d9ce…
10-30 19:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x9cf941…
10-30 18:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x2ff6bc…
10-30 17:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xa0c4ba…
10-30 17:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x3e6bfb…
10-30 16:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xbae84d…
10-30 15:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x7720c3…
10-30 14:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xbb5154…
10-30 12:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xe376b7…
10-30 10:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xa20931…
10-30 09:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xc90744…
10-30 08:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xea3f9e…
10-30 08:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	24	40¢	$9	0x4cefee…
10-30 08:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xc3d484…
10-30 06:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xf9b6e8…
10-30 05:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x5366f3…
10-30 04:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	23	40¢	$9	0xffaa67…
10-30 04:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd466e3…
10-30 04:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x30d0e0…
10-30 03:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	19	40¢	$8	0x24e734…
10-30 03:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6f4d60…
10-30 03:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xff98d9…
10-30 03:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xcaf946…
10-30 03:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0d42e4…
10-30 02:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	40¢	$10	0x2e86d7…
10-30 02:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x175e2b…
10-30 01:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x2159b5…
10-30 00:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	19	40¢	$8	0x26d130…
10-30 00:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x12b08c…
10-29 23:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xbd292e…
10-29 22:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xcc7bdd…
10-29 20:44:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 30?	Up	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0x823a73…
10-29 20:29:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 30?	Up	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0xddcd87…
10-29 20:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Up	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x2b44a8…
10-29 20:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Up	SELL	19	18¢	$3	0xeeff93…
10-29 20:01:16	spx up or down on october 30 2026	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x747888…
10-29 20:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x62b123…
10-29 19:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x4cf24b…
10-29 17:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x0b651f…
10-29 16:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xa5d26d…
10-29 16:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x477e63…
10-29 15:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xd46e07…
10-29 14:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xcdebb6…
10-29 13:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	19	40¢	$7	0x991f4d…