Ornate-Outrun — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.89K

Unrealized P&L

+$18

Hit rate

92.7%

Resolved

2,885

Trades

15,469

lifetime

Volume

$3.00M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$194

Open exposure

$3.25K

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 10-27 13:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 178 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 95% +$3,894

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 242 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	Yes	+1,595	$1,588	100¢	$1.6K	+$5	10-27 14:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	+1,062	$1,009	96¢	$1.0K	+$11	10-27 09:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	No	+636	$633	100¢	$634	+$2	10-27 14:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 22?	14	$6.7K	3,411	3,411	+0	Yes	+$56	10-22 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9?	37	$6.1K	4,174	3,591	+582	Up	-$66	10-09 15:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 09:15 UTC	12	$6.0K	4,148	1,913	+2,236	Up	+$18	07-10 09:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 23?	47	$5.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$77	10-23 15:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 17:00 UTC	31	$5.8K	2,917	2,917	+0	Down	+$0	07-14 17:12
bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 11am et	5	$5.5K	2,763	2,763	+0	Up	+$1	07-06 15:52
bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 10am et	5	$5.4K	2,706	2,706	+0	Up	+$0	07-15 15:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 12:15 UTC	27	$5.4K	2,729	2,728	+0	Up	$0	07-14 12:29
bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 9pm et	16	$5.3K	2,926	2,340	+585	Down	+$4	07-08 02:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	10	$5.2K	4,020	1,500	+2,520	No	+$103	10-26 01:14
bitcoin up or down june 27 2026 1pm et	81	$5.1K	3,439	1,681	+1,758	Down	+$16	06-27 17:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 16?	7	$4.8K	2,403	2,403	+0	Yes	+$48	10-16 15:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 01:35 UTC	2	$4.6K	2,331	2,331	+0	Down	+$21	07-08 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	13	$4.5K	2,259	2,258	+1	Up	+$0	07-10 12:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 12:30 UTC	23	$4.5K	2,526	1,975	+551	Down	+$6	07-01 12:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	5	$4.4K	2,223	2,223	+0	Yes	+$3	10-23 15:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 16:45 UTC	2	$4.4K	2,229	2,229	+0	Up	-$2	06-30 16:58
bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 5am et	6	$4.4K	2,195	2,195	+0	Down	+$3	07-06 10:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-03 15:00 UTC	52	$4.4K	2,263	2,162	+100	Up	+$1	07-03 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	2	$4.4K	2,192	2,192	+0	Down	+$2	06-30 14:44
bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 8am et	16	$4.4K	2,188	2,188	+0	Down	+$5	06-30 12:56
bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 7am et	5	$4.4K	2,184	2,184	-0	Down	$0	06-30 12:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 20:30 UTC	103	$4.4K	2,197	2,197	+0	Up	-$2	07-04 20:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 12:30 UTC	7	$4.3K	3,085	1,310	+1,775	Down	+$28	07-08 12:43
bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 3am et	6	$4.3K	2,156	2,156	+0	Up	+$4	07-06 08:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 04:45 UTC	6	$4.3K	2,164	2,164	+0	Down	-$3	06-30 04:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 12:15 UTC	33	$4.3K	2,192	2,129	+63	Down	+$1	06-30 12:29
bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 1pm et	3	$4.3K	2,132	2,132	+0	Up	+$0	07-09 18:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 16:50 UTC	88	$4.3K	2,148	2,147	+0	Up	+$0	07-07 16:54
bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 2am et	3	$4.3K	2,132	2,132	+0	Down	+$8	07-06 07:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 14:51:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	636	99¢	$633	0x0af3fb…
10-27 14:43:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1,090	100¢	$1,088	0xb0309e…
10-27 14:34:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd100c9…
10-27 13:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	226	99¢	$223	0x57071b…
10-27 13:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	619	99¢	$613	0xc8714e…
10-27 13:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	170	99¢	$168	0x4042a9…
10-27 13:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x0ea445…
10-27 13:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xdafffe…
10-27 13:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xaaa0f9…
10-27 13:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x75e1bf…
10-27 13:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe94bcb…
10-27 13:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xca8cf7…
10-27 13:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x8adcb3…
10-27 13:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x209393…
10-27 13:28:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x7a8da4…
10-27 13:25:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27?	Yes	SELL	1,719	100¢	$1,717	0x711ae0…
10-27 13:20:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	491	99¢	$486	0x36c2c4…
10-27 10:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	487	100¢	$486	0x1b4b2d…
10-27 10:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	138	99¢	$137	0xa07248…
10-27 10:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0x8dfa1b…
10-27 10:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	218	99¢	$215	0x1a0639…
10-27 10:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	481	100¢	$481	0xd6bfd7…
10-27 10:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xaf3cbb…
10-27 10:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x6d9e34…
10-27 10:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0x680b31…
10-27 10:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	224	99¢	$221	0x21fcb4…
10-27 09:44:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xeb5af3…
10-27 07:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	483	99¢	$478	0x844bdd…
10-27 07:48:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	Yes	SELL	207	96¢	$197	0x05f2a3…
10-27 07:48:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	Yes	SELL	253	95¢	$242	0xee6c41…
10-27 07:48:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	Yes	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x990c1f…
10-27 07:15:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1,619	99¢	$1,603	0x2044ef…
10-27 06:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	1,604	100¢	$1,602	0xfebfd2…
10-27 06:28:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	446	96¢	$426	0xd9a42a…
10-27 06:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	205	100¢	$205	0xb3c535…
10-27 06:25:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x5ea626…
10-27 06:24:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x37ed37…
10-27 06:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe812e6…
10-27 06:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x8db409…
10-27 06:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x2d01c8…
10-27 06:19:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	BUY	1,000	95¢	$950	0x4eca3a…
10-27 05:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3,026	100¢	$3,023	0xba2a47…
10-27 05:45:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x760682…
10-27 05:13:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0x47f6ee…
10-27 04:08:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x7c3b35…
10-27 03:41:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	635	100¢	$634	0xebeef1…
10-27 03:35:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	165	100¢	$164	0x2fce47…
10-27 03:27:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	170	98¢	$167	0x60b810…
10-27 03:19:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	534	98¢	$521	0xbd4ba1…
10-27 02:55:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$14	0xe82ecc…
10-27 02:55:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x71e5c1…
10-27 02:46:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x5d12e3…
10-27 02:45:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x5d5a91…
10-27 02:45:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0xcfae61…
10-27 02:35:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	498	98¢	$486	0x05736c…
10-27 02:29:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	148	98¢	$145	0xe93551…
10-27 01:08:26	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	194	52¢	$101	0xae2a74…
10-26 18:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3,058	100¢	$3,055	0x16cb77…
10-26 18:29:21	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xfac920…
10-26 17:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x132056…
10-26 16:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8663c5…
10-26 16:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x507dd8…
10-26 15:43:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1,050	100¢	$1,048	0x7a044a…
10-26 15:42:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	1,049	100¢	$1,048	0xc566f9…
10-26 15:42:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	288	100¢	$287	0x9d110b…
10-26 15:40:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x9b14c0…
10-26 15:40:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x04f1f0…
10-26 15:40:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x7b63ff…
10-26 15:40:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	214	100¢	$214	0x65ff45…
10-26 15:37:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x9be533…
10-26 15:09:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	949	99¢	$941	0xf380c5…
10-26 15:08:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x74dba3…
10-26 10:51:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x65e631…
10-26 10:41:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	47	99¢	$46	0xcc7013…
10-26 10:41:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	274	99¢	$271	0x08a524…
10-26 10:40:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	1,609	99¢	$1,592	0x959a30…
10-26 01:14:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd4abe7…
10-25 23:27:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	1,019	97¢	$989	0xf64728…
10-25 23:27:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x104c5d…
10-25 15:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb68d40…
10-25 15:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xa14017…
10-25 15:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd1fb5c…
10-25 14:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	592	99¢	$589	0x9be5b7…
10-25 14:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0x122cdc…
10-25 05:38:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$480	0x8654ef…
10-25 05:18:32	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	600	30¢	$180	0xce07af…
10-25 02:48:12	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x1e8945…
10-25 02:46:56	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$990	0xbc859a…
10-24 23:35:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	No	SELL	768	94¢	$722	0xbe02ff…
10-24 23:35:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	No	SELL	383	94¢	$360	0xbb46da…
10-24 23:35:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	No	SELL	249	94¢	$234	0xb68207…
10-24 23:35:02	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	200	65¢	$130	0xace8dc…
10-24 23:32:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0xb340f3…
10-24 14:27:21	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x09002d…
10-24 14:16:50	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xfe7e5e…
10-24 04:52:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	1,000	93¢	$930	0xdc8d16…
10-24 00:44:03	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xa3eb09…
10-23 22:51:24	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	90	30¢	$27	0xc80747…
10-23 22:48:56	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x863318…
10-23 22:46:39	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	67	70¢	$47	0xe6dd97…