Ornate-Outrun — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$386

Unrealized P&L

+$41

Hit rate

90.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

295

15,890 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$116.3K

$3.18M lifetime

Avg / trade

$200

Open exposure

$2.01K

1 position

First seen

2026-04-13

last 11-06 03:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 187 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 95% +$2,550

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 242 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on November 5?	No		+2,014	$1,969	100¢	$2.0K	+$41	11-06 03:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 22?	14	$6.7K	3,411	3,411	+0	Yes	+$56	10-22 15:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	10	$6.4K	4,616	2,679	+1,937	No	-$723	11-05 16:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 3?	18	$6.3K	4,555	1,775	+2,780	No	+$40	11-03 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9?	37	$6.1K	4,174	3,591	+582	Up	-$66	10-09 15:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 09:15 UTC	12	$6.0K	4,148	1,913	+2,236	Up	+$18	07-10 09:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 29?	5	$6.0K	2,994	2,994	-0	Yes	+$3	10-29 15:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 23?	47	$5.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$77	10-23 15:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 17:00 UTC	31	$5.8K	2,917	2,917	+0	Down	+$0	07-14 17:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?	10	$5.7K	2,866	2,866	+0	Yes	+$47	10-29 15:02
bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 11am et	5	$5.5K	2,763	2,763	+0	Up	+$1	07-06 15:52
bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 10am et	5	$5.4K	2,706	2,706	+0	Up	+$0	07-15 15:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 12:15 UTC	27	$5.4K	2,729	2,728	+0	Up	$0	07-14 12:29
bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 9pm et	16	$5.3K	2,926	2,340	+585	Down	+$4	07-08 02:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	10	$5.2K	4,020	1,500	+2,520	No	+$103	10-26 01:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 4?	5	$5.2K	2,631	2,631	+0	Yes	+$28	11-04 16:37
bitcoin up or down june 27 2026 1pm et	81	$5.1K	3,439	1,681	+1,758	Down	+$16	06-27 17:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	11	$5.0K	2,538	2,538	+0	No	+$48	11-01 02:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 29?	6	$5.0K	2,486	2,486	+0	No	+$12	10-29 15:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on October 30?	4	$4.8K	2,436	2,436	+0	No	+$22	10-31 01:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 16?	7	$4.8K	2,403	2,403	+0	Yes	+$48	10-16 15:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	4	$4.7K	2,380	2,380	+0	Yes	+$19	10-30 15:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30?	6	$4.7K	2,361	2,361	+1	Yes	+$21	10-30 15:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 01:35 UTC	2	$4.6K	2,331	2,331	+0	Down	+$21	07-08 01:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	6	$4.5K	2,286	2,286	+0	Yes	+$21	10-28 15:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	13	$4.5K	2,259	2,258	+1	Up	+$0	07-10 12:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	6	$4.5K	2,233	2,233	+0	No	+$4	10-27 15:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 12:30 UTC	23	$4.5K	2,526	1,975	+551	Down	+$6	07-01 12:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	5	$4.4K	2,223	2,223	+0	Yes	+$3	10-23 15:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 16:45 UTC	2	$4.4K	2,229	2,229	+0	Up	-$2	06-30 16:58
bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 5am et	6	$4.4K	2,195	2,195	+0	Down	+$3	07-06 10:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 03:46:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	384	97¢	$371	0xc3501a…
11-06 03:42:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0x8d726b…
11-06 03:16:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	400	98¢	$392	0x352cce…
11-06 03:16:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x268703…
11-06 03:14:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x09efb1…
11-06 03:13:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x8f5795…
11-06 03:12:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$981	0x7bfa3d…
11-06 03:06:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xb69579…
11-06 00:03:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on November 5?	No	SELL	235	94¢	$221	0xa58b3b…
11-06 00:03:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on November 5?	No	SELL	107	94¢	$101	0x31298d…
11-06 00:02:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on November 5?	No	SELL	1,525	98¢	$1,494	0xf81526…
11-05 22:17:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on November 5?	No	SELL	158	94¢	$149	0x9a726c…
11-05 21:12:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	344	98¢	$338	0xc69385…
11-05 20:53:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$980	0x7b93f3…
11-05 20:09:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	362	94¢	$340	0x447027…
11-05 20:05:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	138	94¢	$130	0x0fb11a…
11-05 19:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xba3154…
11-05 19:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0xe34fb6…
11-05 19:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1,368	100¢	$1,366	0xf3e87f…
11-05 19:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1,500	99¢	$1,485	0x76bb98…
11-05 19:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x7745ee…
11-05 19:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x496691…
11-05 19:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3e273e…
11-05 19:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1fc6f3…
11-05 19:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x09ee3e…
11-05 19:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x69df2f…
11-05 19:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xcfb4a4…
11-05 19:05:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	180	96¢	$173	0x186dab…
11-05 18:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	213	100¢	$213	0x8ea65c…
11-05 18:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x739f65…
11-05 18:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x402928…
11-05 18:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x5d56b9…
11-05 18:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x607e5e…
11-05 18:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0cec6c…
11-05 18:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8789ee…
11-05 18:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	976	100¢	$975	0x89e76f…
11-05 18:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf47fd0…
11-05 18:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x463004…
11-05 18:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	391	99¢	$387	0xb33555…
11-05 16:48:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	1,937	100¢	$1,935	0xa982fa…
11-05 15:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x16affe…
11-05 15:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	487	100¢	$486	0x0ea106…
11-05 15:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	560	100¢	$559	0x0b4c15…
11-05 14:58:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 5?	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x404644…
11-05 14:56:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	Yes	SELL	1,000	70¢	$700	0x885c85…
11-05 14:56:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	Yes	SELL	1,679	70¢	$1,177	0xe1c448…
11-05 12:39:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	482	96¢	$465	0xc13933…
11-05 12:34:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	196	96¢	$190	0xc0b727…
11-05 12:07:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	500	97¢	$485	0x4eab91…
11-05 11:24:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0x7cdaaf…
11-05 10:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xe9ebbb…
11-05 10:37:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	1,000	98¢	$977	0xeca6b9…
11-05 10:21:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	69	97¢	$67	0xe1144f…
11-05 09:07:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	132	97¢	$128	0x80d0c1…
11-05 03:45:37	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on November 4?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0xaf2d65…
11-05 03:19:25	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	995	99¢	$985	0xa4ad58…
11-05 03:18:45	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	335	99¢	$331	0x0df44e…
11-04 22:45:07	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	116	97¢	$113	0x35eb44…
11-04 22:45:07	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x063b9d…
11-04 22:45:06	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	74	97¢	$72	0xcd8791…
11-04 22:43:01	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	286	97¢	$277	0xc9b7d9…
11-04 16:49:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	1,846	100¢	$1,841	0xe2e752…
11-04 16:48:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	756	100¢	$754	0x04aee1…
11-04 16:45:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x204cb2…
11-04 16:37:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 4?	Yes	SELL	2,631	100¢	$2,628	0x5226cd…
11-04 15:44:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2bbe91…
11-04 15:44:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0xb8f7b7…
11-04 15:44:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	1,558	99¢	$1,546	0xbcbae8…
11-04 15:41:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 4?	Yes	SELL	1,599	100¢	$1,598	0xa7a255…
11-04 15:26:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	1,019	98¢	$1,001	0xd3e338…
11-04 15:03:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 4?	Yes	SELL	400	100¢	$400	0x1f7b08…
11-04 14:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	603	100¢	$601	0xfbf769…
11-04 14:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x431bb2…
11-04 14:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	139	100¢	$138	0x51f26d…
11-04 14:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0x5cc837…
11-04 14:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	332	98¢	$326	0x6e5509…
11-04 14:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xfe12d1…
11-04 14:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x05fda7…
11-04 14:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	119	98¢	$117	0xba5f79…
11-04 14:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	424	98¢	$415	0xd5e8b8…
11-04 14:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x925525…
11-04 14:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x0a773b…
11-04 14:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	581	99¢	$575	0x074c04…
11-04 13:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	576	100¢	$575	0x38f93e…
11-04 12:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xf28c2e…
11-04 12:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5298fe…
11-04 12:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7c84b9…
11-04 12:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9020f9…
11-04 12:09:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	483	98¢	$473	0x10418a…
11-04 12:07:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	357	98¢	$350	0xdb0d1f…
11-04 12:07:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x69f854…
11-04 12:06:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x5ca79f…
11-04 12:02:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	361	98¢	$356	0x63802d…
11-04 12:02:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0xae0c17…
11-04 12:00:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	72	99¢	$71	0x9ef1f3…
11-04 11:59:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	324	99¢	$319	0xece3ca…
11-04 11:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	234	100¢	$234	0xf20dd3…
11-04 08:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1,500	99¢	$1,485	0x74db92…
11-04 08:00:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4?	No	SELL	500	93¢	$465	0x71179d…
11-04 07:15:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	396	93¢	$368	0x9b9d93…