Ornate-Outrun — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$531

Unrealized P&L

+$22

Hit rate

93.5%

Resolved (90d)

785

Trades (90d)

4,307

16,143 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$964.6K

$3.28M lifetime

Avg / trade

$203

Open exposure

$2.32K

1 position

First seen

2026-04-13

last 11-14 14:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 196 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 95% +$2,886

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 149 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 14?	No		+2,325	$2,300	100¢	$2.3K	+$22	11-14 14:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 22?	14	$6.7K	3,411	3,411	+0	Yes	+$56	10-22 15:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	10	$6.4K	4,616	2,679	+1,937	No	-$723	11-05 16:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 3?	18	$6.3K	4,555	1,775	+2,780	No	+$40	11-03 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9?	37	$6.1K	4,174	3,591	+582	Up	-$66	10-09 15:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 09:15 UTC	12	$6.0K	4,148	1,913	+2,236	Up	+$18	07-10 09:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 29?	5	$6.0K	2,994	2,994	-0	Yes	+$3	10-29 15:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on November 12?	11	$5.9K	4,322	2,078	+2,244	No	-$378	11-13 04:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 23?	47	$5.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$77	10-23 15:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 17:00 UTC	31	$5.8K	2,917	2,917	+0	Down	+$0	07-14 17:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?	10	$5.7K	2,866	2,866	+0	Yes	+$47	10-29 15:02
bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 11am et	5	$5.5K	2,763	2,763	+0	Up	+$1	07-06 15:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 11?	8	$5.4K	2,736	2,736	+0	No	+$36	11-11 16:51
bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 10am et	5	$5.4K	2,706	2,706	+0	Up	+$0	07-15 15:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 12:15 UTC	27	$5.4K	2,729	2,728	+0	Up	$0	07-14 12:29
bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 9pm et	16	$5.3K	2,926	2,340	+585	Down	+$4	07-08 02:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	10	$5.2K	4,020	1,500	+2,520	No	+$103	10-26 01:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 4?	5	$5.2K	2,631	2,631	+0	Yes	+$28	11-04 16:37
bitcoin up or down june 27 2026 1pm et	81	$5.1K	3,439	1,681	+1,758	Down	+$16	06-27 17:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	11	$5.0K	2,538	2,538	+0	No	+$48	11-01 02:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 29?	6	$5.0K	2,486	2,486	+0	No	+$12	10-29 15:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on November 5?	20	$4.9K	3,504	1,502	+2,002	No	+$34	11-06 04:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 11?	9	$4.9K	2,473	2,473	+0	No	+$22	11-11 14:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on November 11?	11	$4.9K	2,468	2,468	+0	No	+$22	11-12 03:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on November 10?	6	$4.9K	2,439	2,439	+0	No	+$22	11-11 03:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on October 30?	4	$4.8K	2,436	2,436	+0	No	+$22	10-31 01:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 16?	7	$4.8K	2,403	2,403	+0	Yes	+$48	10-16 15:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	4	$4.7K	2,380	2,380	+0	Yes	+$19	10-30 15:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30?	6	$4.7K	2,361	2,361	+1	Yes	+$21	10-30 15:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 01:35 UTC	2	$4.6K	2,331	2,331	+0	Down	+$21	07-08 01:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	6	$4.5K	2,286	2,286	+0	Yes	+$21	10-28 15:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 14:28:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 14?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x8efe19…
11-14 14:27:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 14?	No	BUY	755	99¢	$748	0x0d3649…
11-14 14:26:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 14?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc7d35e…
11-14 14:26:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 14?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$13	0xa725fd…
11-14 14:26:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 14?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9d2578…
11-14 14:25:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 14?	No	BUY	1,513	99¢	$1,496	0x513307…
11-14 09:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x62e290…
11-14 09:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	329	100¢	$329	0x0e5290…
11-14 09:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x4131d7…
11-14 03:32:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on November 13?	No	BUY	495	99¢	$490	0x9694e1…
11-14 03:32:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on November 13?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x4a5ce1…
11-14 03:32:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on November 13?	No	BUY	158	99¢	$156	0xcf0e07…
11-14 03:32:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on November 13?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xc94bd6…
11-14 03:32:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on November 13?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x284341…
11-13 14:50:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	271	99¢	$268	0x0fbe22…
11-13 14:50:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	208	99¢	$206	0x2d3321…
11-13 04:53:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	2,244	99¢	$2,230	0xfc7dd1…
11-13 04:52:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on November 12?	No	SELL	2,234	100¢	$2,231	0xc1a4ef…
11-13 04:30:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	1,668	100¢	$1,660	0x686120…
11-13 03:54:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on November 12?	No	SELL	300	80¢	$240	0xcbc538…
11-13 03:54:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on November 12?	No	SELL	1,778	80¢	$1,421	0xa72d63…
11-13 02:19:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0x7f3a18…
11-13 01:27:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	178	99¢	$176	0xbcd398…
11-13 01:05:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0xfe2f0b…
11-13 01:05:15	Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on November 12?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xac04ed…
11-13 01:00:21	Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on November 12?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xe3579e…
11-13 01:00:21	Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on November 12?	No	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x8332f2…
11-13 00:42:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	66	98¢	$64	0x2d7179…
11-13 00:36:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0xd317fa…
11-13 00:36:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x1c6958…
11-12 21:23:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	387	98¢	$379	0xfcffb9…
11-12 17:30:34	Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	142	99¢	$141	0xf29e83…
11-12 16:18:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	221	100¢	$220	0x663d25…
11-12 16:16:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 12?	Yes	SELL	220	100¢	$220	0xf30acb…
11-12 16:14:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 12?	Yes	SELL	281	100¢	$281	0x7248d1…
11-12 15:39:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd5b810…
11-12 15:33:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	495	100¢	$493	0x90901c…
11-12 14:23:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 12?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0xbcc85c…
11-12 11:11:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	495	99¢	$490	0xedb270…
11-12 08:57:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	500	97¢	$485	0xee1b17…
11-12 06:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xfbbbe1…
11-12 06:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xb54591…
11-12 06:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x7e605f…
11-12 06:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x310dbf…
11-12 06:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0xdeeb7b…
11-12 06:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x53ca21…
11-12 06:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x3790d5…
11-12 04:40:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x32eab3…
11-12 04:38:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7a7edb…
11-12 04:38:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xadab28…
11-12 04:34:01	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on November 11?	No	SELL	466	100¢	$465	0x940c9f…
11-12 04:27:16	Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on November 11?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa4b931…
11-12 04:26:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	70	98¢	$68	0xc97ff8…
11-12 04:26:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xa120ff…
11-12 04:25:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x158c9e…
11-12 04:25:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	468	98¢	$460	0x8f2211…
11-12 04:21:03	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x8619b9…
11-12 04:17:36	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x6a4cc7…
11-12 04:11:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on November 11?	No	SELL	1,160	100¢	$1,159	0x630b71…
11-12 04:11:09	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$127	0xd277e7…
11-12 04:03:22	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0xce04ec…
11-12 03:43:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	225	99¢	$223	0xce83f7…
11-12 03:14:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on November 11?	No	SELL	923	100¢	$923	0x18eeda…
11-12 03:05:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on November 11?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7735f2…
11-12 02:47:57	Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc20409…
11-12 01:37:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	422	98¢	$413	0x3e27ca…
11-12 01:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x26ee4f…
11-12 01:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	238	99¢	$236	0x68ce6f…
11-12 01:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0x268ef8…
11-12 01:21:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	428	99¢	$424	0xc36cb5…
11-12 01:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x539f15…
11-12 01:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe811b0…
11-12 01:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x05fe40…
11-12 01:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1,617	100¢	$1,615	0xd221ad…
11-12 01:05:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	238	99¢	$235	0x0a272f…
11-12 01:04:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	97	99¢	$96	0x82a751…
11-12 00:59:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x811283…
11-12 00:25:43	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on November 11?	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0xfe2f61…
11-11 21:41:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on November 11?	No	SELL	1,540	100¢	$1,538	0x595c93…
11-11 17:52:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x66b272…
11-11 17:45:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd8838d…
11-11 17:45:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8f0235…
11-11 17:37:34	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$492	0x5865ac…
11-11 16:58:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	1,724	100¢	$1,721	0xf60e01…
11-11 16:57:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	439	100¢	$438	0x3b4e53…
11-11 16:57:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x31d29f…
11-11 16:57:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	341	100¢	$340	0xc86284…
11-11 16:51:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 11?	No	SELL	2,506	100¢	$2,504	0x578629…
11-11 14:34:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	86	99¢	$85	0xf226e3…
11-11 14:34:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	1,116	99¢	$1,105	0x46fac0…
11-11 14:21:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xa8249b…
11-11 14:21:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	1,254	98¢	$1,228	0x57e005…
11-11 14:19:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 11?	No	SELL	898	100¢	$897	0x1375b7…
11-11 10:42:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	398	99¢	$394	0x8eca4e…
11-11 10:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	889	100¢	$888	0xbc12c7…
11-11 08:29:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 11?	No	SELL	230	96¢	$221	0x3865c3…
11-11 07:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	667	100¢	$667	0xa2302c…
11-11 07:25:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	118	96¢	$113	0xf04401…
11-11 07:25:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	112	96¢	$107	0xc284ec…
11-11 07:19:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x3f4719…