Realized P&L
-$39.0K
Unrealized P&L
-$41
Hit rate
65.6%
Resolved
6,003
Trades
15,318
lifetime
Volume
$866.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$57
Open exposure
$7.97K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-24
last 10-27 10:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 65 days
Categories
Other
80% 56% -$28,518
Crypto
18% 45% -$5,198
Politics
2% 40% -$4,923
Sports
0% 44% -$330
Tech
0% 25% -$46
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 580 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +2,253 $2,185 98¢ $2.2K +$24 10-24 03:29
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,592 $790 62¢ $982 +$192 10-23 16:48
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +1,010 $873 70¢ $712 -$160 10-27 01:18
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +769 $600 82¢ $627 +$27 10-23 16:53
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +841 $740 72¢ $601 -$139 10-23 17:02
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +500 $466 99¢ $493 +$27 09-23 04:41
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +748 $507 66¢ $490 -$17 10-23 16:37
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +737 $501 66¢ $483 -$18 10-23 16:33
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,056 $287 26¢ $280 -$7 10-17 05:48
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +181 $165 92¢ $166 +$1 10-11 01:22
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +605 $131 20¢ $121 -$10 10-25 12:23
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +112 $82 93¢ $104 +$22 10-26 19:02
Trump out as President before 2027? No +106 $100 96¢ $101 +$1 09-19 10:34
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +107 $65 92¢ $99 +$34 10-08 20:41
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? No +91 $75 90¢ $82 +$7 10-17 19:21
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +61 $59 98¢ $59 $0 09-26 13:12
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +42 $41 98¢ $41 $0 09-26 13:12
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +46 $33 74¢ $34 +$1 09-22 21:37
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +97 $35 34¢ $33 -$1 10-26 10:52
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +174 $30 18¢ $32 +$2 08-30 07:58
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +104 $12 30¢ $31 +$18 10-18 06:31
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +30 $25 88¢ $27 +$2 10-17 19:21
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? No +198 $83 13¢ $25 -$58 10-01 08:21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +37 $15 63¢ $24 +$9 09-02 19:15
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +29 $23 81¢ $23 +$1 10-03 07:46
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +23 $20 94¢ $22 +$2 09-27 13:22
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +116 $17 17¢ $19 +$2 09-21 11:34
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +245 $20 8¢ $19 -$2 10-23 19:18
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +187 $17 8¢ $16 -$1 10-07 22:03
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +20 $16 76¢ $15 $0 10-05 15:47