Sinful-Cupcake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$342

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.3%

Resolved

Trades

3,988

lifetime

Volume

$183.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 08-01 07:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

48% 0% $-58

Crypto

35% 49% $-284

Politics

13% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	23	$6.0K	11,644	11,644	+0	open	—	03-29 08:01
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	47	$5.8K	9,105	9,243	-138	open	—	03-27 07:06
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	16	$5.5K	4,157	5,057	-900	open	—	03-29 07:45
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	8	$3.1K	2,399	2,399	+0	open	—	03-27 08:17
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 65 89	13	$3.0K	2,708	2,708	+0	open	—	02-23 07:33
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$2.9K	1,768	1,768	+0	open	—	02-28 20:17
nba phi cle 2026 03 09 total 227pt5	35	$2.8K	1,873	1,873	+0	open	—	03-10 00:47
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 10 468	12	$2.7K	1,658	1,658	+0	open	—	03-08 21:15
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	7	$2.7K	3,574	3,574	+0	open	—	02-27 14:05
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	2	$2.7K	1,899	1,899	+0	open	—	03-09 20:32
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	18	$2.2K	3,138	3,138	+0	open	—	03-29 07:45
bitcoin above 72k on march 13	14	$2.1K	2,621	2,610	+11	open	—	03-13 08:38
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	7	$2.0K	5,835	5,835	+0	open	—	03-09 19:34
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	28	$2.0K	1,792	1,792	+0	open	—	03-19 18:10
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	8	$1.7K	1,697	1,697	+0	open	—	02-28 06:25
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	37	$1.7K	3,156	3,156	+0	open	—	03-10 13:46
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 65 89	26	$1.7K	1,194	1,192	+2	open	—	04-11 13:52
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 40 64	2	$1.7K	0	1,753	-1,753	open	—	02-22 08:41
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 340 359	56	$1.6K	7,094	7,051	+42	open	—	04-17 02:41
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 320 339	15	$1.6K	2,579	2,498	+80	open	—	04-17 05:46
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 12 278	4	$1.6K	900	900	+0	open	—	03-08 21:15
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 115 139	32	$1.5K	1,010	1,009	+0	open	—	03-11 14:43
bitcoin above 70k on february 26	12	$1.5K	2,492	2,492	+0	open	—	02-25 21:36
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 90 114	9	$1.5K	3,485	3,485	+0	open	—	02-23 16:52
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$1.3K	2,400	2,400	+0	open	—	03-09 19:52
lal bil bar 2026 03 08 bar	3	$1.3K	925	925	+0	open	—	03-07 21:35
nba was mia 2026 03 10 total 242pt5	2	$1.2K	1,208	1,208	+0	open	—	03-10 15:31
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	7	$1.2K	1,508	1,669	-160	open	—	02-24 04:23
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	7	$1.2K	2,049	2,049	+0	open	—	05-04 10:14
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 90 114	45	$1.2K	3,607	3,568	+39	open	—	04-18 15:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 07:20:12	btc updown 15m 1785568500	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x98a2ff…
08-01 06:45:06	btc updown 15m 1785565800	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x942ded…
08-01 06:40:23	btc updown 15m 1785565800	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0e0f61…
08-01 06:40:08	btc updown 15m 1785565800	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf6d54e…
08-01 06:40:05	btc updown 15m 1785565800	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xacc3a6…
08-01 06:39:20	btc updown 15m 1785565800	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x8140f1…
08-01 05:19:51	bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 1am et	Down	SELL	48	62¢	$30	0xa5ed93…
08-01 05:11:47	bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x9ff750…
08-01 05:10:21	bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x7d1eec…
08-01 03:56:21	btc updown 15m 1785555900	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x432f7f…
08-01 02:44:54	btc updown 15m 1785551400	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x59ba2e…
08-01 01:55:12	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 9pm et	Up	SELL	59	92¢	$54	0x14213e…
08-01 01:49:39	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x891dfa…
08-01 01:49:06	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x1c7b6a…
07-31 19:07:11	btc updown 15m 1785524400	Down	SELL	41	88¢	$36	0x207a95…
07-31 19:02:02	btc updown 15m 1785524400	Down	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0x7e02d5…
07-31 18:54:48	btc updown 15m 1785523500	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xf014af…
07-31 18:44:06	btc updown 4h 1785513600	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xb4f66a…
07-31 18:11:02	btc updown 15m 1785520800	Down	SELL	43	90¢	$39	0x924af0…
07-31 18:02:14	btc updown 15m 1785520800	Down	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xebc269…
07-31 18:01:26	btc updown 15m 1785520800	Down	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x0be2eb…
07-31 17:53:30	btc updown 15m 1785519900	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x9835b4…
07-31 17:51:08	btc updown 15m 1785519900	Down	BUY	61	8¢	$5	0x85e25f…
07-31 16:37:44	btc updown 15m 1785515400	Up	BUY	95	5¢	$5	0x73588a…
07-31 16:36:57	btc updown 15m 1785515400	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xf41eb6…
07-31 15:55:21	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	113	86¢	$97	0x120ddb…
07-31 15:38:03	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	59	59¢	$35	0xb43d46…
07-31 15:37:56	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	54	65¢	$35	0x9e858f…
07-31 15:18:05	btc updown 15m 1785510900	Up	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0xfaac3a…
07-31 15:16:35	btc updown 15m 1785510900	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x1993d4…
07-31 15:15:57	btc updown 15m 1785510900	Up	BUY	53	66¢	$35	0x4e0903…
07-31 15:04:54	btc updown 15m 1785510000	Up	BUY	77	45¢	$35	0x5cad05…
07-31 14:43:23	btc updown 15m 1785508200	Down	SELL	48	54¢	$26	0x19a071…
07-31 14:42:23	btc updown 15m 1785508200	Down	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0x1146c0…
07-31 14:17:54	btc updown 15m 1785507300	Up	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0xe80649…
07-31 14:16:51	btc updown 15m 1785507300	Up	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0xb3abf9…
07-31 14:09:38	btc updown 15m 1785506400	Down	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xb151b1…
07-31 14:06:54	btc updown 15m 1785506400	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2d9648…
07-31 14:05:41	btc updown 15m 1785506400	Down	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xdc6c16…
07-31 13:39:20	btc updown 15m 1785504600	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x712822…
07-31 13:12:21	btc updown 15m 1785502800	Down	SELL	47	66¢	$31	0x9d4edd…
07-31 13:05:57	btc updown 15m 1785502800	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x4e9dc5…
07-31 13:04:59	btc updown 15m 1785502800	Down	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0xd71ef0…
07-31 12:55:14	btc updown 15m 1785501900	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x44c970…
07-31 12:54:33	btc updown 15m 1785501900	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x929817…
07-31 12:39:21	btc updown 15m 1785501000	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xb5713a…
07-31 12:38:54	btc updown 15m 1785501000	Up	BUY	31	11¢	$3	0xcf9c81…
07-31 12:37:11	btc updown 15m 1785501000	Up	SELL	113	30¢	$34	0x4a0d7d…
07-31 12:34:06	btc updown 15m 1785501000	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xa50e6b…
07-31 12:33:21	btc updown 15m 1785501000	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x80c594…
07-31 12:32:12	btc updown 15m 1785501000	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xb5af56…
07-31 11:40:29	btc updown 15m 1785497400	Up	BUY	90	6¢	$5	0xae86df…
07-31 11:38:05	btc updown 15m 1785497400	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x1eb2ea…
07-31 11:21:50	btc updown 15m 1785496500	Up	SELL	83	70¢	$58	0x576757…
07-31 11:17:11	btc updown 15m 1785496500	Up	BUY	48	32¢	$15	0x297988…
07-31 11:16:50	btc updown 15m 1785496500	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x6d363f…
07-31 11:16:44	btc updown 15m 1785496500	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xff3584…
07-31 10:22:24	btc updown 15m 1785492900	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x15d5fa…
07-31 10:11:03	btc updown 15m 1785492000	Up	SELL	190	52¢	$98	0x7ac4b4…
07-31 10:07:11	btc updown 15m 1785492000	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xab4692…
07-31 10:03:53	btc updown 15m 1785492000	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xb2e88b…
07-31 10:02:44	btc updown 15m 1785492000	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xf5cd35…
07-31 10:02:08	btc updown 15m 1785492000	Up	BUY	66	53¢	$35	0x57dba8…
07-31 09:57:08	btc updown 15m 1785491100	Down	SELL	106	37¢	$39	0xdc9f93…
07-31 09:54:27	btc updown 15m 1785491100	Down	BUY	106	14¢	$15	0xaa2283…
07-31 09:31:56	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x852807…
07-31 09:29:11	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x2cfd5f…
07-31 09:21:30	bitcoin above 64k on july 31 2026	No	SELL	204	67¢	$137	0xfedde7…
07-31 09:17:20	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0x11369d…
07-31 09:16:38	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xd69659…
07-31 09:16:08	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	52	37¢	$19	0xf67c2b…
07-31 09:10:45	btc updown 15m 1785488400	Up	SELL	53	33¢	$17	0xb3bea1…
07-31 09:09:56	btc updown 15m 1785488400	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x5802af…
07-31 09:06:44	btc updown 15m 1785488400	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x06ef62…
07-31 08:55:44	btc updown 15m 1785487500	Down	SELL	74	68¢	$50	0xee2396…
07-31 08:50:53	btc updown 15m 1785487500	Down	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0x917e3a…
07-31 08:50:26	btc updown 15m 1785487500	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x606ae2…
07-31 08:10:12	sol updown 15m 1785484800	Up	SELL	27	20¢	$5	0xa5bb2b…
07-31 08:00:59	sol updown 15m 1785484800	Up	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x5c50f5…
07-31 07:59:20	sol updown 15m 1785483900	Up	SELL	69	94¢	$65	0x253625…
07-31 07:55:20	sol updown 15m 1785483900	Up	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0xfcc561…
07-31 07:54:29	sol updown 15m 1785483900	Up	BUY	45	78¢	$35	0x3f4d1e…
07-31 07:52:45	btc updown 15m 1785483900	Up	SELL	44	87¢	$38	0x532601…
07-31 07:49:30	btc updown 15m 1785483900	Up	BUY	44	80¢	$35	0x2f8926…
07-31 07:37:27	btc updown 15m 1785483000	Up	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xd34d9f…
07-31 07:33:56	btc updown 15m 1785483000	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcb5fda…
07-31 07:22:08	btc updown 15m 1785482100	Up	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0xe5bfda…
07-31 07:20:29	btc updown 15m 1785482100	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x18943c…
07-31 07:19:38	bitcoin above 64k on july 31 2026	No	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x948f17…
07-31 07:08:20	btc updown 15m 1785481200	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x150986…
07-31 06:59:17	bitcoin above 66k on july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	357	2¢	$5	0x3943ca…
07-31 06:58:41	btc updown 15m 1785480300	Up	SELL	36	31¢	$11	0x797006…
07-31 06:47:42	btc updown 15m 1785480300	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x51e03b…
07-31 06:23:14	btc updown 15m 1785478500	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xe283bf…
07-30 21:25:06	btc updown 15m 1785446100	Down	SELL	15	49¢	$7	0x195c3a…
07-30 21:23:20	btc updown 15m 1785446100	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xb9708f…
07-30 18:25:48	btc updown 15m 1785435300	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xaf7da0…
07-30 17:35:33	btc updown 15m 1785432600	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x54ad73…
07-30 17:27:36	btc updown 5m 1785432300	Up	SELL	24	45¢	$11	0x3b932e…
07-30 17:26:53	btc updown 5m 1785432300	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x99b499…