Tame-Crude — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.64K

Unrealized P&L

-$43

Hit rate

83.3%

Resolved

4,311

Trades

34,436

lifetime

Volume

$1.52M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

$476

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 00:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 236 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 81% +$4,984

Other

3% 56% -$3,348

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 506 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+500	$468	95¢	$475	+$6	10-27 07:46
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+500	$50	0¢	$0	-$50	07-21 03:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	31	$9.3K	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	+$682	03-25 03:43
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	11	$8.8K	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	+$1,228	02-11 09:03
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	6	$7.4K	4,500	3,250	+1,250	Yes	+$369	01-28 16:15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	9	$6.8K	8,000	0	+8,000	Yes	+$1,160	07-06 00:59
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	11	$6.7K	12,000	0	+12,000	No	-$6,710	09-14 09:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$4.8K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$250	05-02 10:42
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9?	13	$3.0K	3,525	2,525	+1,000	Down	-$92	09-09 11:13
bitcoin up or down february 6 11pm et	41	$2.8K	1,900	1,900	+0	Down	-$517	02-07 05:41
bitcoin up or down on september 22 2026	17	$2.7K	3,000	2,999	+1	Up	-$1,250	09-22 15:19
ethereum up or down on august 21 2026	6	$2.5K	3,000	0	+3,000	Up	+$480	08-21 11:32
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24?	32	$2.5K	5,500	0	+5,500	Up	+$3,000	08-24 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 23?	20	$2.4K	4,000	3,000	+1,000	Up	-$665	08-23 15:12
bitcoin up or down on august 28 2026	14	$2.4K	6,000	324	+5,676	Down	-$2,364	08-28 15:21
bitcoin up or down january 7 10pm et	21	$2.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	Down	+$51	01-08 04:34
bitcoin up or down january 7 7pm et	28	$2.0K	1,504	1,600	-96	Up	-$498	01-08 02:29
bitcoin up or down february 20 6am et	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Down	+$7	02-20 12:26
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 3?	7	$2.0K	3,000	2,000	+1,000	Up	-$375	09-03 09:29
solana up or down february 6 11pm et	15	$2.0K	1,250	1,300	-50	Down	-$386	02-07 05:42
bitcoin up or down january 7 11pm et	14	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Up	+$57	01-08 05:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 00:20 UTC	63	$1.9K	1,400	1,000	+400	Up	-$126	08-04 00:24
bitcoin up or down february 16 2pm et	8	$1.9K	988	988	+0	Up	+$91	02-16 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11?	19	$1.9K	2,500	1,499	+1,001	Up	-$280	09-11 13:44
bitcoin up or down january 6 6pm et	23	$1.8K	980	1,003	-23	Up	+$143	01-07 00:35
xrp up or down february 16 8am et	19	$1.8K	900	900	+0	Down	+$21	02-16 14:04
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 1AM ET	10	$1.8K	905	905	+0	Down	+$56	05-04 05:59
bitcoin up or down january 15 12pm et	23	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	Down	+$72	01-15 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 5?	7	$1.7K	2,500	1,000	+1,500	Up	+$180	09-05 13:50
bitcoin up or down february 7 11am et	43	$1.7K	1,200	1,200	+0	Down	-$158	02-07 17:49
bitcoin up or down february 5 9pm et	13	$1.7K	900	900	+0	Down	+$25	02-06 03:45
bitcoin up or down february 18 6am et	9	$1.6K	840	840	+0	Down	+$40	02-18 12:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 00:27:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0x1bb412…
10-28 00:27:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xc11fb9…
10-28 00:26:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x4dc252…
10-28 00:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	300	80¢	$240	0x3b6b62…
10-27 21:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x7d1e83…
10-27 21:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xe93c4e…
10-27 21:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x220ae9…
10-27 21:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x720937…
10-27 21:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	36	93¢	$33	0xceb7a3…
10-27 20:36:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x79d2cc…
10-27 20:36:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2fb0ff…
10-27 20:35:53	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	70	83¢	$58	0x2f0c7d…
10-27 20:35:51	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x433377…
10-27 20:35:44	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	90	83¢	$75	0xb56baf…
10-27 20:35:44	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x1770da…
10-27 20:35:42	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	37	82¢	$31	0x824160…
10-27 20:35:38	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x76d4e6…
10-27 20:35:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	95	89¢	$85	0x981895…
10-27 19:40:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	200	84¢	$167	0x03123d…
10-27 19:40:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xdb66cd…
10-27 19:40:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x3b7f1d…
10-27 19:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	189	85¢	$161	0x3fca00…
10-27 19:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0xc620f3…
10-27 19:40:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xa6e754…
10-27 19:40:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x2feabe…
10-27 16:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x48f431…
10-27 16:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe443ff…
10-27 16:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xd93a34…
10-27 15:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 27?	Down	SELL	26	8¢	$2	0x9cda6d…
10-27 15:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 27?	Down	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0x9c5cc3…
10-27 15:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 27?	Down	SELL	80	8¢	$6	0x90a164…
10-27 15:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 27?	Down	SELL	92	8¢	$7	0x8ef864…
10-27 15:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 27?	Down	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x754207…
10-27 15:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 27?	Down	SELL	80	8¢	$6	0x1472dc…
10-27 15:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 27?	Down	SELL	86	8¢	$7	0xa00956…
10-27 15:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	500	83¢	$413	0xb91bc9…
10-27 15:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 27?	Down	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x1a2110…
10-27 15:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 27?	Down	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0x517051…
10-27 15:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 27?	Down	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x4be69c…
10-27 15:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 27?	Down	SELL	25	20¢	$5	0xb19e93…
10-27 15:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 27?	Down	SELL	55	20¢	$11	0x09f65b…
10-27 08:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	97	14¢	$14	0xd188ce…
10-27 08:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xb9dcb8…
10-27 08:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xad399d…
10-27 08:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	88	14¢	$12	0x55dc74…
10-27 08:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0x1083d6…
10-27 08:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	200	48¢	$96	0xdda356…
10-27 08:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x86489c…
10-27 08:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x2fd12b…
10-27 08:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x0b2f5b…
10-27 08:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	400	87¢	$350	0x959a72…
10-27 07:46:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	94¢	$468	0x4d1d0a…
10-27 07:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	100	51¢	$51	0xb667fb…
10-27 07:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xd97f9b…
10-27 07:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	500	80¢	$400	0x20124c…
10-14 08:39:23	bitcoin up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0x0e89b0…
10-14 07:42:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	300	90¢	$271	0xd90eda…
10-14 06:26:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:15 UTC	Down	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0xed7c89…
10-14 06:26:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0xb98d4d…
10-14 06:26:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:15 UTC	Down	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x7351c7…
10-14 06:26:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:15 UTC	Down	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0xec084e…
10-14 06:26:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:15 UTC	Down	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x0d6b4f…
10-14 06:26:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x9f80c9…
10-14 06:25:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x9a4a8c…
10-14 06:25:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x818a0e…
10-14 06:25:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:15 UTC	Down	SELL	24	75¢	$18	0xc5d796…
10-14 06:25:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:15 UTC	Down	SELL	40	75¢	$30	0x215887…
10-14 06:19:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x3d73c2…
10-14 06:18:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	19	60¢	$11	0x0515a1…
10-14 06:18:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x153b83…
10-14 06:11:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xd733cb…
10-14 06:11:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xca915b…
10-14 06:11:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	338	78¢	$264	0xc70079…
10-14 06:11:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	57	78¢	$44	0x8142f1…
10-14 06:11:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x473bb4…
10-14 06:11:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x1690e8…
10-14 06:11:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x131cfe…
10-14 06:11:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x022da1…
10-14 06:11:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	78¢	$12	0xb51047…
10-14 04:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x99fe2f…
10-14 04:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	300	84¢	$252	0x9b7bec…
10-14 04:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	60	82¢	$49	0xb716eb…
10-14 01:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	400	86¢	$346	0x8fe540…
10-14 01:40:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	400	84¢	$336	0xcd83c3…
10-14 01:09:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	400	82¢	$330	0x4a2935…
10-14 00:26:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x68c471…
10-14 00:26:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x488531…
10-14 00:25:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa4863d…
10-14 00:25:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x784b75…
10-14 00:25:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	59	80¢	$47	0x2afd0e…
10-14 00:25:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	7	35¢	$2	0xa043b3…
10-14 00:25:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0xa02b96…
10-14 00:24:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0xb76403…
10-13 23:24:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x8bd5b6…
10-13 23:23:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x9450a4…
10-13 22:59:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:55 UTC	Up	SELL	68	21¢	$14	0xb76f68…
10-13 22:57:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	68	55¢	$37	0x085185…
10-13 22:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0x05aa24…
10-13 22:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	30	40¢	$12	0xecfa5a…
10-13 22:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0x615d51…