Stimulating-Impropriety — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$364

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.5%

Resolved

942

Trades

2,101

lifetime

Volume

$30.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 11-10 00:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 57% -$304

Other

4% 64% -$60

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down july 13 2026 1am et	2	$733	483	483	+0	Up	+$232	07-13 06:05
bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 1pm et	2	$500	302	302	+0	Down	+$102	07-15 18:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12AM ET	3	$445	293	293	+0	Down	+$141	11-02 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8PM ET	2	$440	278	278	+0	Up	+$115	09-17 01:08
bitcoin up or down on july 14 2026	2	$434	634	0	+634	Up	-$434	07-13 18:26
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-30 20:00 UTC	2	$385	249	249	+0	Down	+$102	06-30 23:40
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on November 5?	5	$351	222	222	+0	Up	+$93	11-05 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11PM ET	2	$303	204	204	+0	Up	+$104	11-03 05:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 05:15 UTC	3	$290	372	0	+372	Up	-$118	07-16 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4PM ET	2	$284	186	186	+0	Up	+$88	11-06 22:04
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-14 16:00 UTC	1	$275	475	0	+475	Down	-$275	08-14 18:06
bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 9pm et	2	$266	167	167	+0	Up	+$67	08-02 02:01
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-01 00:00 UTC	2	$265	527	0	+527	Up	-$265	07-01 00:19
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-03 08:00 UTC	1	$264	432	0	+432	Down	-$264	08-03 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7PM ET	2	$263	168	168	+0	Up	+$72	09-17 00:02
bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 12am et	40	$251	202	135	+67	Down	+$19	06-30 05:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 09:15 UTC	1	$240	333	0	+333	Up	+$93	08-03 09:18
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?	3	$235	489	0	+489	Up	+$254	10-31 00:27
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on November 6?	5	$212	132	132	+0	Up	+$52	11-06 23:31
bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 3am et	4	$209	353	0	+353	Down	-$209	08-03 07:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	2	$209	145	145	+0	Up	+$80	10-02 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	3	$208	132	132	+0	Up	+$56	11-06 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7AM ET	2	$206	139	139	+0	Up	+$72	09-16 12:02
bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 8pm et	2	$200	259	0	+259	Up	+$59	08-02 00:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3PM ET	2	$190	131	131	+0	Up	+$71	11-01 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3AM ET	2	$190	125	125	+0	Down	+$60	09-01 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 5AM ET	2	$188	124	124	+0	Up	+$59	09-16 10:03
bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 1am et	21	$181	123	123	+0	Down	+$65	07-08 06:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 00:00 UTC	2	$176	237	0	+237	Up	+$61	08-02 00:02
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-01 20:00 UTC	2	$164	278	0	+278	Up	+$114	08-01 20:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 00:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	77	43¢	$33	0x51f310…
11-09 23:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x0927da…
11-09 23:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x91683a…
11-09 23:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x7c5929…
11-09 06:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0xefadc5…
11-09 05:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?	Down	BUY	19	84¢	$16	0xaf08bc…
11-09 05:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x774274…
11-09 05:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0xfde87c…
11-09 05:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0xdd945a…
11-09 05:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x96111b…
11-09 05:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x48c44e…
11-09 05:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	28	99¢	$27	0x342994…
11-09 04:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0xdbfdf3…
11-09 04:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?	Down	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0xe4b7aa…
11-09 04:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	28	47¢	$13	0xe7218e…
11-09 03:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xf24b85…
11-09 03:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x3f482d…
11-09 03:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xc95646…
11-09 03:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	73¢	$13	0xe5ae06…
11-09 03:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xccfbef…
11-09 03:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x1cd026…
11-09 02:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0x4f9805…
11-09 02:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	21	77¢	$16	0x916bd1…
11-09 02:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	46	52¢	$24	0xbf04cb…
11-09 02:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfc4dfa…
11-09 02:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x910dda…
11-09 02:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x28ef42…
11-09 02:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xc7fea8…
11-09 01:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	61	87¢	$53	0xc97679…
11-09 01:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x345478…
11-09 01:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	64	51¢	$33	0x3045d6…
11-09 01:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0xf3fae4…
11-09 01:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x3db9ee…
11-09 01:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	31	61¢	$19	0x2aa0db…
11-09 01:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x797560…
11-09 00:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	47¢	$11	0xc5100d…
11-09 00:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x08d064…
11-09 00:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	34	99¢	$33	0x5ad1f3…
11-09 00:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$23	0xb191ec…
11-09 00:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0x7304be…
11-09 00:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x99fe0b…
11-09 00:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x56405b…
11-09 00:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x8a6014…
11-09 00:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x10e415…
11-09 00:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	83	69¢	$57	0x3cb46d…
11-09 00:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x539398…
11-09 00:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x33bdf1…
11-09 00:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xa4d6d0…
11-08 23:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x5d2db4…
11-08 23:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	75¢	$17	0x8eb0c2…
11-08 23:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0xb42109…
11-08 23:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0xb2cb50…
11-08 23:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x76a26a…
11-08 23:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	59¢	$7	0xfb896f…
11-08 23:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x6f84f5…
11-08 23:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	32	57¢	$18	0x6b455d…
11-08 23:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	37	51¢	$19	0x7b5062…
11-08 23:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	48	41¢	$20	0x287d4f…
11-08 23:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	73¢	$29	0x05f2e9…
11-08 23:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x6dcfcc…
11-08 22:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x86e54a…
11-08 22:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	56	51¢	$28	0xa748bb…
11-08 22:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x8e6456…
11-08 22:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x72e057…
11-08 22:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x45ced5…
11-06 23:31:51	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	132	100¢	$132	0x17645c…
11-06 23:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	132	100¢	$132	0xcc8719…
11-06 23:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x4fb2ba…
11-06 23:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	41	63¢	$26	0xdbf869…
11-06 23:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x8b750c…
11-06 23:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	97	41¢	$40	0x8ab485…
11-06 22:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0xdadb54…
11-06 22:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	29	75¢	$22	0xfd6627…
11-06 22:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	186	100¢	$186	0x011626…
11-06 21:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x7f8e9d…
11-06 21:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x6d50ed…
11-06 21:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	186	53¢	$98	0x723ffd…
11-06 20:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x6bdef6…
11-06 20:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xdde084…
11-06 20:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x993b29…
11-06 09:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0xeda050…
11-06 09:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x64db98…
11-06 09:00:13	Gold Up or Down - November 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	132	50¢	$66	0x31e2e9…
11-06 08:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	97	51¢	$50	0xfd9d90…
11-06 01:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x476253…
11-06 01:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x684b64…
11-06 01:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x8c052b…
11-06 01:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xd40125…
11-06 01:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x89f352…
11-06 01:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x1db331…
11-06 00:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x132944…
11-06 00:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x4bd0d0…
11-05 23:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x3fd3fd…
11-05 23:40:39	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x06f72f…
11-05 23:40:21	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x61af39…
11-05 23:40:04	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xaf3486…
11-05 23:09:51	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on November 5?	Up	SELL	222	100¢	$222	0x3b4471…
11-05 23:08:19	wti up or down on november 6 2026	Up	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xe51ea0…
11-05 19:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x2ec926…
11-05 19:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x7cfe7f…