Frigid-Opinion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$328

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.8%

Resolved

217

Trades

3,589

lifetime

Volume

$91.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 05-08 03:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

45% — —

Other

27% — —

Crypto

21% 52% $-328

Politics

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2307 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel strike lebanon on january 11 2026	28	$4.8K	5,797	3,892	+1,905	open	—	01-10 21:52
es2 lpm cas 2026 02 21 total 2pt5	3	$2.9K	4,637	125	+4,512	open	—	02-21 21:16
nba den gsw 2026 02 22	2	$2.5K	2,160	2,160	+0	open	—	02-22 21:29
cbb byu arz 2026 02 18 total 165pt5	1	$2.5K	4,241	0	+4,241	open	—	02-18 17:31
nba ind was 2026 02 20 total 230pt5	11	$2.4K	2,334	2,334	+0	open	—	02-20 12:28
bitcoin up or down january 18 5pm et	2	$2.3K	1,897	1,897	+0	open	—	01-18 22:50
cbb akron ballst 2026 02 20 total 146pt5	2	$2.2K	2,081	2,072	+9	open	—	02-20 21:35
nba mem mia 2026 02 21 total 238pt5	1	$2.0K	3,665	0	+3,665	open	—	02-21 23:22
bitcoin above 94k on january 14	9	$1.9K	2,160	0	+2,160	open	—	01-14 13:07
nba cle det 2026 02 27 1h total 109pt5	1	$1.6K	2,778	0	+2,778	open	—	02-27 17:32
nba okc nyk 2026 03 04 spread away 3pt5	1	$1.6K	3,004	0	+3,004	open	—	03-04 17:41
bitcoin up or down january 18 5am et	3	$1.6K	826	826	+0	open	—	01-18 10:51
cbb gardwb chsou 2026 02 17 spread home 17pt5	6	$1.6K	2,899	0	+2,899	open	—	02-17 16:40
bitcoin up or down january 18 11am et	7	$1.6K	1,694	702	+993	open	—	01-18 16:47
cs2 hero pssnua 2026 03 04	2	$1.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-04 17:31
russia strike on kyiv municipality by january 11	6	$1.5K	786	786	+0	open	—	01-12 14:40
nba sas det 2026 02 23	1	$1.4K	2,642	0	+2,642	open	—	02-23 22:04
cbb tulane ntx 2026 02 19 total 136pt5	13	$1.2K	2,389	0	+2,389	open	—	02-19 16:59
nba tor ind 2026 01 14 spread away 2pt5	2	$1.2K	1,067	1,067	+0	open	—	01-14 22:36
cbb akron ballst 2026 02 20 total 145pt5	2	$1.2K	2,031	0	+2,031	open	—	02-20 21:37
nba min mil 2026 01 13	1	$1.1K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	01-13 20:22
cbb nw nebr 2026 02 14 spread home 12pt5	2	$1.1K	2,042	0	+2,042	open	—	02-14 17:16
nba nyk tor 2026 03 03 spread away 1pt5	4	$1.1K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	03-03 17:02
nba sas bkn 2026 02 26 total 224pt5	1	$1.1K	2,086	0	+2,086	open	—	02-26 20:23
cbb hou iowast 2026 02 16 spread home 2pt5	1	$1.1K	2,081	0	+2,081	open	—	02-16 18:30
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$1.0K	3,915	0	+3,915	open	—	02-28 16:24
nhl mon ana 2026 03 06	2	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-06 19:35
nba bos lal 2026 02 22	2	$1.0K	2,051	0	+2,051	open	—	02-22 22:27
nba bos den 2026 02 25	1	$1.0K	1,725	0	+1,725	open	—	02-25 21:18
nba uta mem 2026 02 20	1	$1000	1,852	0	+1,852	open	—	02-20 21:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 03:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3e1dc3…
05-08 03:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x00e41e…
05-08 03:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x838230…
05-08 03:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4b412e…
05-08 03:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xdd0e71…
05-08 03:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x09e5de…
05-08 03:15:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x6ba44e…
05-08 03:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6b0c10…
05-08 03:15:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2ab034…
05-08 03:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf746e5…
05-08 03:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb18e57…
05-08 03:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4bd90d…
05-08 03:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x1d8fe8…
05-08 03:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xa89015…
05-08 03:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd8b7a2…
05-08 03:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xbd65ae…
05-08 03:01:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1fa26c…
05-08 03:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xe7a32c…
05-08 03:01:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3e5b9a…
05-08 03:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x020e8e…
05-08 03:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x5395fa…
05-08 03:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x02de5e…
05-08 03:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x03559d…
05-08 03:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6571ce…
05-08 03:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x5e4d42…
05-08 03:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x393fdd…
05-08 02:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xdb1f10…
05-08 02:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4d4c07…
05-08 02:56:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x35c3fe…
05-08 02:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x2c05c5…
05-08 02:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xda8fe7…
05-08 02:55:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd5f3da…
05-08 02:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xccbbc4…
05-08 02:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xafb8ed…
05-08 02:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xff1b3e…
05-08 02:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc900dc…
05-08 02:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4e25a0…
05-08 02:51:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x48bb83…
05-08 02:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x777566…
05-08 02:50:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe9d892…
05-08 02:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa3e315…
05-08 02:46:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x87eae1…
05-08 02:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf56070…
05-08 02:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf40a83…
05-08 02:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x9d8671…
05-08 02:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x15da07…
05-08 02:45:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x107b05…
05-08 02:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x709203…
05-08 02:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x856da2…
05-08 02:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x26f17c…
05-08 02:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x85aa16…
05-08 02:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6599c7…
05-08 02:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x352472…
05-08 02:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa907b0…
05-08 02:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x69572c…
05-08 02:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa70f27…
05-08 02:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x331099…
05-08 02:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x83d2bf…
05-08 02:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9ccc31…
05-08 02:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x6c4691…
05-08 02:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8bf8e4…
05-08 02:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5c6e9f…
05-08 02:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xae5849…
05-08 02:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x34bd47…
05-08 02:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6fb9e2…
05-08 02:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x3e252c…
05-08 02:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x3af98e…
05-08 02:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5ecae6…
05-08 02:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa31816…
05-08 02:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2ca918…
05-08 02:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x100e1d…
05-08 02:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xcf6327…
05-08 02:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x487e60…
05-08 02:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x102eaa…
05-08 02:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0xff5122…
05-08 02:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0bd44b…
05-08 02:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xbd1e72…
05-08 02:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x3b2598…
05-08 02:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x71484c…
05-08 02:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x317736…
05-08 02:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4aa14f…
05-08 02:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa8d32b…
05-08 02:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x93913a…
05-08 02:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc621dc…
05-08 02:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa09249…
05-08 02:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x268bce…
05-08 02:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x205f0d…
05-08 02:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc2640d…
05-08 02:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x343d08…
05-08 02:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1db4e9…
05-08 01:56:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa86965…
05-08 01:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa6fa8f…
05-08 01:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x88e94e…
05-08 01:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe66dff…
05-08 01:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8cd202…
05-08 01:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x4d77ad…
05-08 01:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf80ce5…
05-08 01:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe6fb4c…
05-08 01:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8d9273…
05-08 01:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x45b958…