Musty-Cappelletti — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 06-07 09:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 100% +$1

Politics

4% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1AM ET	1	$34	34	+34	open	—	05-04 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10PM ET	1	$28	29	+29	open	—	05-04 02:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10PM ET	1	$28	28	+28	open	—	04-28 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4AM ET	1	$26	26	+26	Up	+$0	05-08 08:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$26	26	+26	Down	+$0	05-07 03:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$26	26	+26	Down	+$0	05-08 03:38
bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	1	$25	25	+25	open	—	06-05 09:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3AM ET	1	$25	25	+25	open	—	05-19 07:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2AM ET	1	$25	25	+25	open	—	05-21 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9PM ET	1	$25	25	+25	open	—	04-28 01:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2AM ET	1	$25	25	+25	open	—	05-20 06:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4AM ET	1	$25	25	+25	Down	+$0	05-07 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11PM ET	1	$25	25	+25	open	—	05-19 03:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	1	$24	24	+24	open	—	05-21 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9PM ET	1	$24	24	+24	Up	+$0	05-07 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$24	24	+24	open	—	04-28 03:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	1	$24	24	+24	open	—	05-20 09:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	1	$23	23	+23	open	—	05-26 09:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$23	23	+23	open	—	04-27 03:41
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on May 5?	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	05-05 09:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$22	22	+22	open	—	04-27 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3AM ET	1	$22	22	+22	open	—	05-26 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10PM ET	1	$22	22	+22	open	—	04-30 02:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	1	$22	22	+22	open	—	05-18 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11PM ET	1	$21	21	+21	open	—	04-30 03:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	05-27 01:58
bitcoin above 66k on june 7 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	06-07 09:03
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3?	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	06-03 09:05
bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 3am et	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	06-05 07:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	1	$19	19	+19	Yes	+$0	05-08 09:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 09:03:24	bitcoin above 66k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1efe83…
06-05 09:07:49	bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0ffdab…
06-05 07:50:15	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x26af11…
06-04 08:14:34	bitcoin above 56k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xaf6ccd…
06-03 09:05:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc08e76…
06-01 06:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe8eb22…
05-31 09:23:12	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xda2509…
05-31 09:23:00	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xf75224…
05-29 01:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf2e2f9…
05-27 01:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x907c6e…
05-26 09:11:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x6c4cdf…
05-26 07:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x2ccd8b…
05-21 09:15:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xfee2bf…
05-21 06:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x05d14e…
05-20 09:20:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xa7e4f2…
05-20 06:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x725fb8…
05-19 09:18:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x845a13…
05-19 07:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x78f217…
05-19 03:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xdb31ea…
05-18 09:03:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x99693b…
05-18 09:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x8cfdc7…
05-13 01:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf9b99c…
05-08 09:22:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x5c2e54…
05-08 08:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x20245c…
05-08 07:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x3440a7…
05-08 03:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb4606f…
05-07 08:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x4f4e06…
05-07 03:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x809fe7…
05-07 01:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x554b65…
05-05 09:10:28	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x9fb783…
05-04 05:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x9b000c…
05-04 02:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x98f1f9…
05-04 01:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xfcadee…
04-30 03:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xd7fb3e…
04-30 02:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x3a76b5…
04-30 01:53:58	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x6e0d5b…
04-30 01:51:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb97739…
04-30 01:49:38	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x0bab30…
04-30 01:10:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6a4ea2…
04-28 09:10:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x4406e2…
04-28 06:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x536694…
04-28 05:52:00	Solana Up or Down - April 28, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x50dd9a…
04-28 03:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x814df0…
04-28 03:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x94fc9b…
04-28 02:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x1d7ec8…
04-28 01:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xcecccf…
04-27 09:06:12	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on April 27?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x24a6f2…
04-27 09:05:08	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3bba7f…
04-27 07:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x1eaf7d…
04-27 03:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x6f0064…