Near-Strike — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$33

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

27.0%

Resolved

Trades

184

lifetime

Volume

$548

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$53

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 20:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 49% $-33

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 173 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Up		+50	$40	100¢	$50	+$10	05-05 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down		-5	$-2	62¢	$-3	$-1	05-05 20:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	30	$75	81	65	+16	open	—	05-05 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	14	$61	10	65	-55	Up	$-1	05-05 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	10	$40	50	0	+50	open	—	05-05 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	17	$34	80	5	+75	open	—	05-05 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	8	$31	258	0	+258	Up	$-31	05-05 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	7	$30	34	30	+4	Up	$-2	05-05 03:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	10	$17	25	25	+0	Up	$-3	05-05 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	2	$17	0	34	-34	Up	$-17	05-05 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	6	$15	25	5	+20	Up	+$8	05-05 04:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	5	$13	17	5	+12	open	—	05-05 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	5	$12	25	0	+25	open	—	05-05 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	3	$11	15	0	+15	Down	+$4	05-05 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	3	$11	50	10	+40	Down	$-1	05-04 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	2	$9	0	10	-10	Up	$-1	05-05 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	3	$9	15	0	+15	Down	$-9	05-05 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	3	$8	10	5	+5	open	—	05-05 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$7	0	24	-24	Down	+$7	05-05 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	3	$7	5	10	-5	Down	+$6	05-05 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$7	10	0	+10	Down	$-7	05-05 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$7	10	0	+10	Up	+$3	05-05 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	3	$7	15	0	+15	Down	$-7	05-04 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$7	10	0	+10	Up	+$4	05-05 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	05-05 07:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	2	$6	6	5	+1	Up	$-1	05-05 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-05 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Up	$-0	05-05 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$5	0	40	-40	Up	+$5	05-05 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	05-05 06:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Up	$-0	05-05 00:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 20:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3889e3…
05-05 20:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x5ab17d…
05-05 20:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x2bc7f1…
05-05 19:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xabf08e…
05-05 19:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x3df847…
05-05 19:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x832a6f…
05-05 19:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xf17a86…
05-05 19:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x514977…
05-05 19:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x9f008a…
05-05 19:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x19bb49…
05-05 19:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x5f2dd8…
05-05 19:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xd8e10c…
05-05 19:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x5a4c24…
05-05 17:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x9980b2…
05-05 16:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe00bac…
05-05 16:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xe265fd…
05-05 15:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xee3f5d…
05-05 15:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8090d2…
05-05 15:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfc0ffd…
05-05 15:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcdbb85…
05-05 15:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb38d47…
05-05 15:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xb8f6bc…
05-05 14:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x675e77…
05-05 14:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x59fd2b…
05-05 13:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x23ec0b…
05-05 12:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xfeccfa…
05-05 12:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x75bc07…
05-05 12:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x98c199…
05-05 12:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xa8a39a…
05-05 12:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x173ad9…
05-05 12:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x795214…
05-05 12:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xea1182…
05-05 07:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x8a20d1…
05-05 07:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0afd05…
05-05 07:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x63d08c…
05-05 07:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xcacd8b…
05-05 07:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xecf60e…
05-05 07:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xc71fc3…
05-05 07:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x85c11f…
05-05 07:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc1ef4f…
05-05 07:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1d48bb…
05-05 07:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9271b7…
05-05 07:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xcde733…
05-05 07:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6e02a5…
05-05 07:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x35e358…
05-05 07:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xae49e9…
05-05 07:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa44241…
05-05 07:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xd5e634…
05-05 07:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xfc4ce5…
05-05 07:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xcb5312…
05-05 07:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x543fe6…
05-05 07:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x272f6c…
05-05 07:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x34906e…
05-05 07:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xacae2e…
05-05 06:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xf5c6a9…
05-05 06:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x31c726…
05-05 06:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb36d70…
05-05 06:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xd312e5…
05-05 06:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1f82b0…
05-05 06:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x896179…
05-05 05:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x8677ad…
05-05 05:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xfb1335…
05-05 05:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x41a0aa…
05-05 05:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf36a66…
05-05 05:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd2f6ed…
05-05 04:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xd3bc94…
05-05 04:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x2be2f0…
05-05 04:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x568a09…
05-05 04:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5cfbd5…
05-05 04:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xed5cbb…
05-05 04:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xe45b87…
05-05 04:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x72d4c0…
05-05 04:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x0c2736…
05-05 04:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x2f163c…
05-05 04:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x2f0ab4…
05-05 04:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x291f15…
05-05 04:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x6d1c78…
05-05 04:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xae6c48…
05-05 04:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x946dcc…
05-05 04:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x7d2a5d…
05-05 04:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xbdedd2…
05-05 04:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x512276…
05-05 04:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x19ce84…
05-05 04:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x616403…
05-05 04:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x20338b…
05-05 04:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x501eca…
05-05 04:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xed980e…
05-05 04:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x3ae833…
05-05 04:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xa6c1d9…
05-05 04:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x400a61…
05-05 04:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5f2455…
05-05 04:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x1971b0…
05-05 04:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8588fd…
05-05 04:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xa0c145…
05-05 04:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb255e8…
05-05 04:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x055589…
05-05 04:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xeb2f48…
05-05 04:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x788048…
05-05 04:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xbc4435…
05-05 04:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x988047…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	56	$9.13K	413	05-05 20:13
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	39	$2.87K	159	05-05 20:09
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	39	$670	174	05-05 20:11
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	33	$993	93	05-05 20:11
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	31	$1.11K	72	05-05 20:11
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	26	$7.94K	177	05-05 21:29
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	25	$682	86	05-05 20:11
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	23	$1.70K	106	05-05 20:08