Confused-Sauerkraut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$66

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.0%

Resolved

106

Trades

2,006

lifetime

Volume

$20.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 06-10 00:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 65% $-61

Other

2% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	17	$1.5K	1,765	1,765	+0	open	—	05-19 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23?	26	$1.3K	4,584	5,613	-1,029	open	—	05-23 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	17	$1.2K	1,497	1,472	+25	open	—	05-22 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	18	$1.1K	1,330	1,330	+0	open	—	05-18 12:07
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?	6	$908	1,671	1,771	-100	open	—	05-20 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	7	$817	862	862	+0	open	—	05-17 05:08
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	11	$720	800	800	+0	open	—	05-21 10:26
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?	3	$606	687	687	+0	open	—	05-15 19:04
Ethereum Up or Down on May 16?	3	$413	595	595	+0	open	—	05-16 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?	14	$305	311	306	+5	Up	+$16	05-09 10:33
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	3	$242	250	250	+0	open	—	05-14 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	4	$208	270	270	+0	open	—	05-13 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8PM ET	2	$196	136	136	+0	Down	+$76	05-08 01:24
Ethereum Up or Down on May 19?	2	$172	210	210	+0	open	—	05-18 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	3	$141	111	111	+0	Up	+$26	05-07 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	2	$132	258	258	+0	Up	$-28	05-10 11:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	2	$123	96	96	+0	Up	+$21	05-07 17:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET	3	$119	73	73	+0	Down	+$19	05-08 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	5	$118	105	105	+0	open	—	05-04 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	17	$112	117	117	+0	Down	+$12	05-12 01:16
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	4	$107	152	152	+0	Up	+$7	05-06 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	3	$101	81	81	+0	Down	+$21	05-06 17:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	2	$100	80	80	+0	Down	+$20	05-06 17:42
Ethereum Up or Down on May 26?	3	$99	82	82	+0	open	—	05-26 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	4	$95	92	92	+0	Down	+$15	05-05 21:29
BNB Up or Down on May 19?	7	$92	143	143	+0	open	—	05-19 10:38
Ethereum Up or Down on May 14?	3	$80	100	100	+0	open	—	05-13 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	4	$78	100	100	+0	Down	$-0	05-13 08:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET	2	$78	48	48	+0	Down	+$18	05-08 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	2	$77	50	50	+0	Down	+$17	05-06 14:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 00:44:12	xagusd up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0x1b1845…
06-09 23:28:25	djia up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0x7cfa4f…
06-09 23:24:21	xauusd up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	51	35¢	$18	0x99b214…
06-09 22:56:42	xauusd up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x73f96c…
06-09 22:56:40	xauusd up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xf18a19…
06-09 21:09:21	xauusd up or down on june 9 2026	Down	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xf3bd7c…
06-09 20:19:51	btc updown 15m 1781036100	Down	SELL	14	80¢	$11	0xb917cc…
06-09 20:19:51	btc updown 15m 1781036100	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x29730c…
06-09 20:15:24	btc updown 15m 1781036100	Down	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x476fd3…
06-09 20:11:54	btc updown 15m 1781035200	Down	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x865725…
06-09 19:42:13	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 3pm et	Down	SELL	26	50¢	$13	0x28389c…
06-09 19:42:12	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 3pm et	Down	SELL	14	50¢	$7	0xd57d9c…
06-09 19:30:31	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa7b450…
06-09 19:25:42	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x9fcd30…
06-09 19:25:39	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x0f5acf…
06-09 19:25:36	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xaec298…
06-09 19:25:36	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x94e5c5…
06-09 19:24:37	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x858b17…
06-09 19:24:37	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x5732e6…
06-09 19:24:30	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x249933…
06-09 19:07:54	btc updown 15m 1781031600	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x703d20…
06-09 18:25:52	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 2pm et	Down	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xc4b37b…
06-09 18:07:57	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x93b7ef…
06-09 18:07:57	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x56772b…
06-09 17:51:15	btc updown 15m 1781027100	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xea3f6c…
06-09 17:42:37	bitcoin up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0xc898c8…
06-09 17:14:49	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 12pm et	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa58868…
06-09 16:45:39	btc updown 4h 1781020800	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe09821…
06-09 16:45:39	btc updown 4h 1781020800	Down	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x08c32a…
06-09 16:33:36	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x78a54e…
06-09 16:19:21	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xc4a50d…
06-09 16:19:21	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xbbe568…
06-09 16:12:55	aapl up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0xa1c53f…
06-09 15:26:24	googl up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x2bb6a4…
06-09 15:25:12	googl up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x5f1576…
06-09 14:19:04	xauusd up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xdba661…
06-09 14:18:52	xauusd up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x49053c…
06-09 14:18:48	xauusd up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x8983f3…
06-09 14:18:46	xauusd up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	32	35¢	$11	0xc02521…
06-09 14:17:16	btc updown 15m 1781014500	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xaa9c72…
06-09 14:17:16	btc updown 15m 1781014500	Up	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x864eff…
06-09 14:10:16	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x19762e…
06-09 14:10:03	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xdcb2f9…
06-09 14:04:09	btc updown 15m 1781013600	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x8f15bf…
06-09 14:04:09	btc updown 15m 1781013600	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x018c86…
06-09 14:01:45	btc updown 15m 1781013600	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x0f9c79…
06-09 13:42:36	btc updown 15m 1781011800	Down	BUY	1	43¢	$1	0x8e05e2…
06-09 13:42:36	btc updown 15m 1781011800	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x196d40…
06-09 13:42:36	btc updown 15m 1781011800	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0c1879…
06-09 13:36:13	btc updown 15m 1781011800	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x870a8c…
06-09 13:22:07	msft up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xe60120…
06-09 13:14:10	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x661a16…
06-09 13:14:09	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x9759fc…
06-09 12:28:37	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x7a998e…
06-09 12:23:21	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x92c183…
06-09 12:23:19	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x7dd5b0…
06-09 12:12:42	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x752d04…
06-09 11:03:28	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xe6eb15…
06-09 11:03:28	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x751edc…
06-09 11:03:27	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xb2c543…
06-09 10:07:13	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x8441cd…
06-09 10:07:13	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x0f3608…
06-09 10:05:57	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x4f78b3…
06-09 10:00:06	googl up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x55c257…
06-09 09:59:49	googl up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x254247…
06-09 09:36:22	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0x5d54f3…
06-09 09:36:12	googl up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x422585…
06-09 09:28:22	amzn up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xaf3b50…
06-09 09:08:12	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x861230…
06-09 09:08:12	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x126601…
06-09 08:05:19	btc updown 4h 1780992000	Up	BUY	29	38¢	$11	0xd49f4e…
06-09 08:05:16	btc updown 4h 1780992000	Up	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0x282f20…
06-09 05:43:21	xauusd up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x5ee61d…
06-09 05:43:13	xauusd up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x22976c…
06-09 05:43:03	xauusd up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x44f8b0…
06-09 05:42:06	xauusd up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd0c757…
06-09 02:02:19	btc updown 4h 1780963200	Up	SELL	23	24¢	$6	0x95c65e…
06-09 02:02:15	btc updown 4h 1780963200	Up	SELL	27	24¢	$6	0x6886ed…
06-09 01:59:51	bitcoin up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x7e06f9…
06-09 00:25:03	btc updown 4h 1780963200	Up	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xd99f73…
06-08 22:16:01	aapl up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	18	35¢	$6	0x877222…
06-08 22:15:46	aapl up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x2e1b14…
06-08 21:00:33	btc updown 4h 1780948800	Down	BUY	47	35¢	$16	0x1fbe5b…
06-08 21:00:30	btc updown 4h 1780948800	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xd823c4…
06-08 21:00:30	btc updown 4h 1780948800	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x481ea8…
06-08 20:18:57	btc updown 4h 1780948800	Up	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xc322ea…
06-08 20:08:48	xauusd up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x5a8667…
06-08 20:07:36	googl up or down on june 8 2026	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x637d06…
06-08 20:06:25	xauusd up or down on june 8 2026	Down	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x224e00…
06-08 20:05:39	amzn up or down on june 8 2026	Down	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x9edb73…
06-08 20:05:27	aapl up or down on june 8 2026	Down	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x713f48…
06-08 20:02:28	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 3pm et	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x17a624…
06-08 19:52:33	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xc0048e…
06-08 19:52:31	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0x1ded14…
06-08 19:22:19	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x5c8c1d…
06-08 19:22:19	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x588abf…
06-08 19:22:18	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xcae518…
06-08 19:22:18	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x6268b7…
06-08 18:22:07	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2pm et	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xbeb3a3…
06-08 18:22:07	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2pm et	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xa5a6b7…