Confused-Sauerkraut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.20K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.7%

Resolved

1,537

Trades

3,544

lifetime

Volume

$31.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 10-29 16:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 137 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 54% -$889

Other

9% 46% -$298

Sports

0% 38% -$17

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23?	39	$1.7K	5,770	5,613	+157	Down	-$441	05-23 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	17	$1.5K	1,765	1,765	+0	Up	+$174	05-19 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	17	$1.2K	1,497	1,472	+25	Down	+$90	05-22 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	18	$1.1K	1,330	1,330	+0	Down	+$57	05-18 12:07
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?	6	$908	1,671	1,771	-100	Up	-$412	05-20 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	7	$817	862	862	+0	Down	+$96	05-17 05:08
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	11	$720	800	800	+0	Down	+$82	05-21 10:26
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?	3	$606	687	687	+0	Down	+$81	05-15 19:04
Ethereum Up or Down on May 16?	3	$413	595	595	+0	Down	+$16	05-16 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?	14	$305	311	306	+5	Up	+$16	05-09 10:33
will ethereum reach 2000 in august 2026	1	$284	516	0	+516	Yes	-$284	08-15 18:45
will ethereum reach 1900 on august 16	3	$278	167	167	-0	Yes	+$40	08-16 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	3	$242	250	250	+0	Down	+$44	05-14 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	4	$208	270	270	+0	Up	+$14	05-13 22:40
bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 8am et	14	$199	133	103	+30	Up	-$10	06-19 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8PM ET	2	$196	136	136	+0	Down	+$76	05-08 01:24
Ethereum Up or Down on May 19?	2	$172	210	210	+0	Up	+$21	05-18 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4PM ET	2	$166	89	89	+0	Up	+$11	08-24 21:04
will bitcoin dip to 62k august 10 16 2026	2	$163	88	88	+0	No	+$8	08-16 15:23
will bitcoin reach 66k august 17 23 2026	1	$157	196	0	+196	Yes	-$157	08-17 10:32
aapl up or down on june 16 2026	20	$155	200	200	+0	Up	+$23	06-16 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 5PM ET	2	$154	84	84	+0	Up	+$13	08-24 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	3	$141	111	111	+0	Up	+$26	05-07 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	2	$132	258	258	+0	Up	-$28	05-10 11:25
aapl up or down on june 12 2026	3	$126	140	70	+70	Down	+$14	06-12 20:10
googl up or down on june 12 2026	5	$126	140	70	+70	Up	+$14	06-12 20:10
xauusd up or down on june 12 2026	12	$125	140	70	+70	Up	+$13	06-12 21:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	2	$123	96	96	+0	Up	+$21	05-07 17:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12PM ET	3	$119	73	73	+0	Down	+$19	05-08 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	5	$118	105	105	+0	Up	+$34	05-04 19:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 16:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa5d26d…
10-29 16:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x3b2113…
10-29 16:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x17b092…
10-29 01:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x14e812…
10-28 18:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x09f20e…
10-28 16:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xa5a38b…
10-28 16:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x250360…
10-28 16:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xa5f472…
10-28 16:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x0a7bd2…
10-28 16:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6c3c17…
10-28 13:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf12390…
10-27 21:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6de5e1…
10-27 15:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x579a03…
10-27 10:47:00	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xbd6461…
10-26 16:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x9a0007…
10-24 16:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xd2c99c…
10-24 16:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x2e2834…
10-23 21:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 24?	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xae60fc…
10-23 16:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0xd43393…
10-23 16:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x9d3e22…
10-23 01:51:54	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x46fb28…
10-22 19:28:42	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x4d9fa6…
10-22 16:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x1347e6…
10-22 13:53:15	xauusd up or down on october 23 2026	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xae1845…
10-21 16:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0xd1f29d…
10-20 16:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xa2c290…
10-20 16:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x918509…
10-19 16:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x9d6f71…
10-19 16:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x270802…
10-19 16:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x5df9be…
10-19 16:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xf94625…
10-18 16:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xe2663c…
10-18 16:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x0f7373…
10-17 22:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x4abbec…
10-17 22:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3b3da8…
10-17 16:19:53	bitcoin up or down october 17 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xfcce85…
10-17 16:00:17	bitcoin up or down october 17 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x30b9aa…
10-16 22:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4488a3…
10-16 16:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x8fcd97…
10-15 22:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x41f919…
10-15 22:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2e8c8a…
10-15 16:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x1f94d0…
10-14 16:06:57	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x38bf30…
10-13 16:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xbe6f31…
10-13 16:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x9cd8b6…
10-12 16:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x14ef4b…
10-12 16:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x616c44…
10-11 16:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xcab01b…
10-11 16:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x102d11…
10-10 18:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xff0394…
10-10 16:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xc88f23…
10-10 16:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x4efd91…
10-10 16:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x07f5b0…
10-10 15:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x3acf08…
10-10 15:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x4502e6…
10-10 15:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x947972…
10-10 15:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x3c0299…
10-10 14:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xd86c30…
10-10 13:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xf400be…
10-10 01:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x9febbb…
10-10 01:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x1e2d3a…
10-10 00:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xd57121…
10-10 00:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x757d2f…
10-09 16:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 10?	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9c14fe…
10-09 10:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x9967b7…
10-09 01:12:27	xauusd up or down on october 9 2026	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xfe52c5…
10-08 01:04:43	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 8?	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x915f2f…
10-07 21:11:26	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x262137…
10-07 02:01:47	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xfc7416…
10-06 22:09:03	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 6?	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x392852…
10-06 15:28:08	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xe08157…
10-06 10:33:45	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 6?	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x8475f2…
10-06 02:34:51	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 6?	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x88a598…
10-05 22:15:05	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 5?	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4019ea…
10-05 15:22:38	xauusd up or down on october 5 2026	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x3d0d4c…
10-05 09:39:40	bitcoin up or down october 5 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x67be29…
10-05 09:12:10	bitcoin up or down october 5 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5de748…
10-04 20:14:10	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 5?	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xdb833a…
10-03 23:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x59c37d…
10-03 17:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe002fb…
10-03 15:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9c130c…
10-03 15:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa4ab88…
10-03 00:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x308294…
10-02 23:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x2adc83…
10-02 21:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x30bd17…
10-02 17:11:09	Ethereum Up or Down on October 3?	Up	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0xa700a5…
10-02 17:06:56	ethereum up or down on october 3 2026	Up	BUY	26	35¢	$9	0x93e38e…
10-02 16:42:11	ethereum up or down on october 3 2026	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe28520…
10-02 16:38:47	bitcoin up or down on october 3 2026	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x3a6227…
10-02 00:22:03	spx opens up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9a7101…
10-01 17:28:02	Ethereum Up or Down on October 2?	Down	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0xc0f835…
10-01 16:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2?	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xda75ee…
10-01 15:31:32	Ethereum Up or Down on October 1?	Up	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x570857…
10-01 04:14:08	Ethereum Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xb7ff52…
10-01 04:12:05	ethereum up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0xde23db…
10-01 04:10:59	ethereum up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x873e3c…
10-01 04:10:02	Ethereum Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0xd045f1…
10-01 04:04:21	ethereum up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x76e710…
10-01 04:03:29	ethereum up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x125181…
09-30 18:48:51	bitcoin up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x34aecf…