Realized P&L
+$436
Unrealized P&L
-$64
Hit rate
68.5%
Resolved
192
Trades
11,458
lifetime
Volume
$124.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$964
10 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 06-27 02:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Crypto
81% 46% +$520
Other
13% 0% $-4
Politics
3% 50% $-80
Sports
3%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 793 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No -300 $-207 73¢ $-219 $-12 06-14 17:48
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30? No -222 $-192 94¢ $-207 $-15 06-15 15:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -121 $-116 100¢ $-121 $-5 06-14 14:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No -200 $-102 57¢ $-115 $-13 06-17 08:12
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-93 100¢ $-100 $-7 06-14 11:01
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? No -100 $-93 99¢ $-99 $-6 06-14 10:50
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 $-46 50¢ $-50 $-5 06-17 08:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -40 $-26 80¢ $-32 $-6 06-16 06:36
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -22 $-20 74¢ $-16 +$4 06-19 08:06
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $4 $5 +$1 05-28 20:35