Suspicious-Snowman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$436

Unrealized P&L

+$14

Hit rate

68.5%

Resolved

192

Trades

10,186

lifetime

Volume

$94.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$217

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 06-05 22:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 46% +$520

Politics

3% 50% $-80

Other

0% 0% $-4

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 793 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$70	80¢	$80	+$10	05-29 00:33
AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	+100	$78	74¢	$74	$-4	05-30 12:58
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	+78	$51	74¢	$57	+$7	06-04 22:27
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+100	$4	6¢	$6	+$2	05-28 20:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	4	$2.2K	1,200	1,200	+0	Yes	+$24	05-06 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	53	$1.5K	1,510	1,000	+510	open	—	04-26 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?	4	$1.3K	860	860	+0	Up	+$419	05-09 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	70	$1.2K	800	800	+0	open	—	05-01 21:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	42	$1.0K	1,000	500	+500	open	—	05-01 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3PM ET	18	$998	761	800	-39	open	—	05-17 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	28	$788	800	400	+400	Up	+$372	05-08 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	25	$774	600	600	+0	open	—	05-17 12:29
btc updown 15m 1776979800	2	$752	800	200	+600	open	—	04-23 21:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	23	$748	760	744	+16	open	—	04-26 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	58	$720	600	600	+0	open	—	05-27 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3PM ET	5	$626	400	426	-26	open	—	04-24 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	44	$621	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	05-01 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4PM ET	9	$595	400	396	+4	open	—	04-24 21:00
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	25	$585	600	300	+300	Up	+$285	05-11 22:52
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	55	$580	500	500	+0	open	—	05-27 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	16	$570	600	300	+300	Up	+$300	05-11 21:40
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 2PM ET	24	$570	400	400	+0	open	—	05-17 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	32	$559	1,320	0	+1,320	Down	$-559	05-08 18:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	5	$557	900	225	+675	Up	+$546	05-08 23:59
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	48	$549	400	400	+0	open	—	05-28 17:04
btc updown 5m 1776981900	25	$540	500	250	+250	open	—	04-23 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	11	$527	700	175	+525	Up	+$331	05-08 18:14
bitcoin up or down april 11 2026 4pm et	8	$510	300	300	+0	open	—	04-11 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	29	$501	600	211	+389	Up	+$289	05-08 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1PM ET	26	$495	500	500	+0	open	—	05-17 17:46
btc updown 15m 1774805400	12	$476	310	308	+2	open	—	03-29 17:45
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 8AM ET	26	$467	900	900	+0	open	—	05-17 12:32
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	96	$464	900	900	+0	open	—	05-27 16:04
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11AM ET	19	$464	364	364	+0	open	—	05-14 16:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 22:31:24	taylor swift x travis kelce get married by august 31	No	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x65c726…
06-04 22:27:06	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	78	65¢	$51	0x601b99…
06-04 00:58:06	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	SELL	50	39¢	$20	0x19dcd6…
06-01 21:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x444ef8…
06-01 21:04:34	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x95def7…
06-01 20:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x60456b…
06-01 20:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xc2b333…
06-01 20:16:51	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xa68ba8…
06-01 20:16:47	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x844e98…
06-01 19:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xe85433…
06-01 19:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0x3137d2…
06-01 19:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0x283d33…
06-01 19:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x54347f…
06-01 18:44:18	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xa0e8d6…
06-01 17:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x8443dd…
06-01 17:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x628d31…
06-01 17:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x32a846…
06-01 17:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	66	95¢	$63	0x574924…
06-01 17:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x4adbdd…
06-01 17:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5c19af…
06-01 17:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	33	50¢	$16	0xd4ced1…
06-01 17:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa7e45f…
06-01 17:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xa51b61…
06-01 17:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9b2581…
06-01 17:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	35	50¢	$18	0x68ac31…
06-01 17:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x29982c…
06-01 17:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1ebc98…
06-01 17:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xc99ddf…
06-01 17:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb53438…
06-01 17:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x952882…
06-01 15:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcc8532…
06-01 14:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x69c844…
06-01 14:11:16	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xd196c8…
06-01 14:11:16	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x9292cf…
06-01 14:10:36	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x8a8d8a…
06-01 14:10:29	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x9cd0bc…
06-01 14:00:43	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$7	0xeeb50b…
06-01 14:00:43	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x94bae5…
06-01 13:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x63c547…
06-01 13:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0xe746f1…
06-01 13:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0x362579…
06-01 13:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xfed984…
06-01 13:28:04	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xd31ca0…
06-01 13:28:04	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x5fed43…
06-01 13:28:03	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	12	13¢	$2	0x8c26a7…
06-01 13:28:01	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x9ee965…
06-01 13:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x2ca072…
06-01 13:03:24	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x394771…
06-01 13:03:01	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xd2d0e1…
06-01 13:02:58	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x306ea3…
06-01 13:02:56	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0xf1501e…
06-01 12:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd8789d…
06-01 12:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x8d85f5…
06-01 12:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xce5168…
06-01 11:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x74ea7e…
06-01 11:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd4c6b1…
06-01 11:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd75bd6…
06-01 10:40:45	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x8d52a2…
05-31 23:39:13	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 7PM ET	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xcc3a5a…
05-31 23:17:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xbbe9a8…
05-31 23:17:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1e4c1f…
05-31 23:15:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x6928cd…
05-31 22:03:57	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5dbd43…
05-31 22:03:43	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x2bbb35…
05-31 22:02:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	25	100¢	$24	0x51aeb8…
05-31 22:02:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x26bd50…
05-31 22:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x4a3914…
05-31 21:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0xabdc37…
05-31 21:46:55	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xd2a66e…
05-31 21:46:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0x38b799…
05-31 21:33:48	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x698780…
05-31 21:33:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x377183…
05-31 21:31:19	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x1d9710…
05-31 21:29:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xc096b0…
05-31 21:27:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x9f0264…
05-31 21:26:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xd4697e…
05-31 21:23:35	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	19	45¢	$9	0x41d4d5…
05-31 21:23:23	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x318f64…
05-31 21:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xeb279b…
05-31 21:11:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x0634ab…
05-31 21:01:06	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1cfed6…
05-31 20:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x74ad90…
05-31 20:09:43	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x33c877…
05-31 20:09:29	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x1df008…
05-31 19:54:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0x4302d2…
05-31 19:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x1886ad…
05-31 19:03:48	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xb8d62b…
05-31 18:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x9dd19e…
05-31 18:51:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x7e79a3…
05-31 18:50:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x253e87…
05-31 18:49:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xab7948…
05-31 18:49:53	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x92747d…
05-31 18:45:25	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x4a642c…
05-31 18:45:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x22fb73…
05-31 18:15:00	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0xd183da…
05-31 18:14:51	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	37	35¢	$13	0x3d516d…
05-31 18:12:22	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x9d55b7…
05-31 18:03:22	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x9492be…
05-31 18:03:22	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x0daf1d…
05-31 18:03:09	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x6f7925…