Natural-Insolence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$47

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.5%

Resolved

2,801

Trades

6,088

lifetime

Volume

$12.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 06-20 17:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 92% +$47

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 760 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$236	446	446	+0	open	—	05-31 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	4	$160	171	0	+171	open	—	05-31 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	3	$45	259	257	+2	open	—	05-31 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$8	11	0	+11	Down	+$2	05-13 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4PM ET	3	$8	8	8	+0	Up	$-0	05-13 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	4	$8	8	0	+8	Up	+$0	05-09 01:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	4	$8	8	0	+8	Down	+$0	05-09 09:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	4	$8	8	0	+8	Up	+$0	05-08 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	4	$8	8	0	+8	Up	+$0	05-09 02:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	4	$8	8	0	+8	Up	+$0	05-08 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1PM ET	3	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	4	$8	8	0	+8	Down	+$0	05-09 07:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	4	$8	8	0	+8	Up	+$0	05-09 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	4	$8	8	0	+8	Down	+$0	05-09 06:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	4	$8	8	0	+8	Down	+$0	05-08 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	4	$8	8	0	+8	Down	+$0	05-09 04:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	4	$8	8	0	+8	Down	+$0	05-09 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	4	$8	8	0	+8	Up	+$0	05-08 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	4	$8	8	0	+8	Up	+$0	05-09 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	4	$8	8	0	+8	Down	+$0	05-09 05:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	4	$8	8	0	+8	Up	+$0	05-09 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	4	$8	8	0	+8	Up	+$0	05-09 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	4	$8	8	0	+8	Down	+$0	05-09 09:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	4	$8	8	0	+8	Down	+$0	05-09 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	4	$8	8	0	+8	Down	+$0	05-08 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	4	$8	8	0	+8	Down	+$0	05-09 04:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	4	$8	8	0	+8	Up	+$0	05-09 11:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	4	$8	8	0	+8	Down	+$0	05-09 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	4	$8	8	0	+8	Up	+$0	05-08 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	4	$8	8	0	+8	Down	+$0	05-09 06:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 17:47:26	btc updown 5m 1781977500	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2323db…
06-20 16:38:02	btc updown 5m 1781973300	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe6025f…
06-20 15:21:25	btc updown 5m 1781968800	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xf0c374…
06-06 14:23:25	btc updown 15m 1780755300	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xcb4b07…
06-06 13:52:03	btc updown 5m 1780753800	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf18c55…
06-06 13:47:19	btc updown 5m 1780753500	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc74c3f…
06-06 13:37:18	btc updown 5m 1780752900	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbe9dc7…
06-06 13:23:01	btc updown 5m 1780752000	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x3ded4d…
06-05 19:02:12	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8b3710…
06-05 18:32:21	btc updown 5m 1780684200	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x05be49…
06-05 18:21:27	btc updown 5m 1780683600	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x855077…
06-05 16:16:18	btc updown 5m 1780676100	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9855f8…
06-05 16:12:33	btc updown 5m 1780675800	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x102065…
06-05 14:37:25	btc updown 5m 1780670100	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xd947bd…
06-05 14:36:13	btc updown 5m 1780670100	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe9a4f2…
06-05 14:01:33	btc updown 5m 1780668000	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x57c783…
06-05 13:51:57	btc updown 5m 1780667400	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x94962a…
06-05 13:46:15	btc updown 5m 1780667100	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x47d017…
06-05 13:36:12	btc updown 5m 1780666500	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6df04f…
06-05 13:31:54	btc updown 5m 1780666200	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x462210…
06-05 11:46:19	btc updown 5m 1780659900	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x002001…
06-05 11:06:15	btc updown 5m 1780657500	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xec051f…
06-05 10:32:22	btc updown 5m 1780655400	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xee0f5e…
06-05 09:15:40	btc updown 5m 1780650900	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x3daf8e…
06-05 08:33:06	btc updown 5m 1780648200	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x271641…
06-05 07:47:49	btc updown 5m 1780645500	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0fbf49…
06-05 07:32:19	btc updown 5m 1780644600	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xada7cf…
06-05 06:38:22	btc updown 5m 1780641300	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1036f3…
06-05 06:16:16	btc updown 5m 1780640100	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x0de99b…
06-05 06:02:40	btc updown 5m 1780639200	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x644a37…
06-05 06:02:39	btc updown 5m 1780639200	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9533cd…
06-05 03:42:13	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xf91b0c…
06-05 03:03:43	btc updown 15m 1780628400	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x014ac3…
06-05 02:47:39	btc updown 5m 1780627500	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x402457…
06-05 02:37:04	btc updown 5m 1780626900	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xe7c7c0…
06-05 02:17:40	btc updown 5m 1780625700	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x4f3f26…
06-05 02:17:40	btc updown 5m 1780625700	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1a3b7f…
06-05 02:17:27	btc updown 15m 1780625700	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6bb16b…
06-05 02:03:18	btc updown 15m 1780624800	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x5e0e30…
06-05 01:38:22	btc updown 15m 1780623000	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x1978f6…
06-05 01:33:07	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x37af22…
06-05 01:19:37	btc updown 15m 1780622100	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x86df4d…
06-05 01:19:36	btc updown 15m 1780622100	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4f19f7…
06-05 01:19:27	btc updown 5m 1780622100	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x33f1a4…
06-05 00:50:37	btc updown 15m 1780620300	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf8c565…
06-05 00:50:36	btc updown 15m 1780620300	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xad5968…
06-05 00:50:34	btc updown 15m 1780620300	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x0948dd…
06-05 00:33:40	btc updown 15m 1780619400	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x241653…
06-05 00:33:39	btc updown 5m 1780619400	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd2d5cc…
06-04 22:47:12	btc updown 15m 1780613100	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x00e2a7…
06-04 22:06:36	btc updown 5m 1780610700	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x219528…
06-04 22:05:31	btc updown 15m 1780610400	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x102d3d…
06-04 22:00:55	btc updown 5m 1780610400	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x14ae63…
06-04 21:42:52	btc updown 5m 1780609200	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x14cc09…
06-04 21:27:40	btc updown 5m 1780608300	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb3497c…
06-04 20:49:40	btc updown 15m 1780605900	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x101806…
06-04 18:31:22	btc updown 15m 1780597800	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xba2028…
06-04 18:31:22	btc updown 5m 1780597800	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9d3b25…
06-04 18:26:45	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5cdfa3…
06-04 17:47:18	btc updown 15m 1780595100	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x652003…
06-04 17:46:36	btc updown 5m 1780595100	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xec4c7d…
06-04 17:02:15	btc updown 5m 1780592400	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x748942…
06-04 16:49:09	btc updown 15m 1780591500	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7b15dc…
06-04 16:38:43	btc updown 15m 1780590600	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3b5b10…
06-04 15:52:58	btc updown 15m 1780587900	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0f9335…
06-04 15:12:31	btc updown 5m 1780585800	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9cafa6…
06-04 13:36:36	btc updown 5m 1780580100	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xdeeffb…
06-04 12:31:37	btc updown 5m 1780576200	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x72cd7b…
06-04 12:03:06	btc updown 5m 1780574400	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x674adc…
06-04 11:32:33	btc updown 5m 1780572600	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x90bb93…
06-04 10:52:19	btc updown 5m 1780570200	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xbf4b25…
06-04 10:37:37	btc updown 5m 1780569300	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4ae305…
06-04 10:17:43	btc updown 5m 1780568100	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x21914f…
06-04 09:32:10	btc updown 5m 1780565400	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xbdee46…
06-04 08:32:00	btc updown 5m 1780561800	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa3133b…
06-04 08:16:40	btc updown 5m 1780560900	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9e5331…
06-04 08:11:28	btc updown 5m 1780560600	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x281859…
06-04 08:02:25	btc updown 5m 1780560000	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x29e746…
06-04 06:52:16	btc updown 5m 1780555800	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xcc5c6e…
06-04 06:16:07	btc updown 5m 1780553700	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe7ef0c…
06-04 05:36:16	btc updown 5m 1780551300	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd24bf3…
06-04 05:12:10	btc updown 5m 1780549800	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x14dea8…
06-04 01:57:40	btc updown 5m 1780538100	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0ff1be…
06-04 01:37:43	btc updown 5m 1780536900	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa68bd6…
06-04 01:02:07	btc updown 5m 1780534800	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1489f1…
06-04 00:17:51	btc updown 5m 1780532100	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9c3fcf…
06-04 00:12:57	btc updown 5m 1780531800	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8e9164…
06-03 18:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xabe045…
06-03 18:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x1a57ad…
06-03 18:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x099e54…
06-03 17:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x1cb56e…
06-03 17:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0bd174…
06-03 16:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x679c9f…
06-03 16:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x14b51a…
06-03 16:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x6fef9c…
06-03 16:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbb5b60…
06-03 16:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x2e8fa7…
06-03 16:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x15df3b…
06-03 15:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x5362a8…
06-03 13:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xed7251…