Realized P&L
+$135
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
60.3%
Resolved
3,550
Trades
4,591
lifetime
Volume
$14.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$70
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-27 08:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 202 days
Categories
Other
62% 60% +$59
Crypto
24% 61% +$78
Politics
7% 46% -$62
Sports
6% 53% +$58
Tech
1% 68% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-27 04:25
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-25 23:56
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-27 04:07
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? Yes +5 $5 97¢ $5 $0 10-27 02:46
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$0 10-26 21:57
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 10-27 04:04
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$0 10-26 03:59
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -5 -$4 82¢ $-4 $0 06-20 17:11
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +5 $4 85¢ $4 $0 10-27 03:44
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +5 $4 80¢ $4 +$0 06-16 17:04
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? No +5 $4 72¢ $4 -$1 10-26 06:11
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5 $4 70¢ $4 $0 10-22 17:19
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No +5 $2 70¢ $4 +$1 10-26 23:33
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -4 -$3 82¢ $-3 $0 05-25 03:44
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes -3 -$3 68¢ $-2 +$0 05-25 03:44
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5 $2 38¢ $2 $0 10-26 05:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? Yes +5 $2 38¢ $2 $0 10-27 08:52
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No -1 -$1 89¢ $-1 $0 05-25 08:22
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 05-25 03:44
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No -1 -$1 68¢ $-1 +$0 09-09 08:51