Agile-Outlay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$48.2K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.5%

Resolved

28,009

Trades

149,372

lifetime

Volume

$3.07M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 11-01 13:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 85 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 37% +$48,156

Other

0% 47% +$33

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 792 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 9am et	34	$2.2K	1,826	1,786	+40	Down	-$306	04-20 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	28	$2.1K	1,740	1,538	+202	Up	-$105	05-02 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1AM ET	28	$2.0K	1,590	883	+706	Up	+$53	04-26 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11AM ET	22	$2.0K	1,614	899	+715	Up	-$99	05-29 15:44
bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 12pm et	60	$1.9K	1,439	1,033	+405	Down	+$99	04-24 16:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12PM ET	27	$1.9K	1,601	1,188	+413	Down	-$199	05-01 16:57
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 10pm et	29	$1.9K	999	998	+2	Up	+$35	04-22 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET	18	$1.9K	1,697	693	+1,004	Down	+$87	05-04 10:23
bitcoin up or down april 18 2026 9pm et	24	$1.8K	1,237	1,210	+27	Down	+$189	04-19 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	24	$1.7K	1,201	899	+302	Down	+$42	05-27 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12AM ET	11	$1.7K	1,500	300	+1,200	Up	+$83	06-03 04:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	10	$1.7K	1,171	869	+302	Up	+$22	05-30 05:12
xrp up or down april 16 2026 9am et	26	$1.7K	1,146	935	+211	Down	-$106	04-16 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12AM ET	147	$1.7K	1,201	999	+203	Up	+$303	04-26 04:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	20	$1.6K	1,064	1,061	+3	Up	-$66	05-02 21:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4AM ET	24	$1.6K	1,070	670	+400	Up	+$74	05-01 08:50
ethereum up or down april 16 2026 11am et	18	$1.6K	1,054	652	+402	Up	+$75	04-16 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10AM ET	14	$1.6K	1,501	1,199	+302	Down	-$681	05-26 14:45
bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 9am et	21	$1.6K	1,719	990	+730	Down	+$57	04-15 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9AM ET	22	$1.6K	1,372	770	+602	Up	+$37	05-02 13:55
ethereum up or down april 20 2026 9am et	18	$1.6K	1,015	996	+20	Down	+$87	04-20 13:50
bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 2am et	12	$1.6K	1,217	799	+418	Up	+$12	04-20 06:45
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 6am et	56	$1.6K	1,551	933	+619	Down	+$138	04-23 10:54
bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 6pm et	16	$1.6K	1,224	804	+421	Up	+$48	04-15 23:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 10:00 UTC	26	$1.6K	1,003	799	+204	Down	+$13	04-23 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET	19	$1.6K	899	728	+171	Up	+$57	06-13 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	22	$1.5K	804	798	+6	Up	+$54	04-26 18:28
xrp up or down april 16 2026 11am et	23	$1.5K	1,269	266	+1,003	Up	+$16	04-16 15:57
bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 6am et	27	$1.5K	1,363	1,338	+24	Down	+$129	04-17 10:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8PM ET	17	$1.5K	1,200	400	+800	Up	+$105	05-15 00:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 13:57:07	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xe24be4…
11-01 13:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x5e482b…
11-01 13:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xed6734…
11-01 13:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x65285b…
11-01 13:52:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x0bc663…
11-01 13:52:24	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x79088c…
11-01 13:50:37	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xd3e983…
11-01 13:48:04	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x3b26b3…
11-01 13:37:01	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xeead5f…
11-01 13:37:01	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xeb2c42…
11-01 13:37:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xac9019…
11-01 13:37:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x43f39c…
11-01 13:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x10a556…
11-01 13:35:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x1f567a…
11-01 13:33:21	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xc851d6…
11-01 13:33:21	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x86a379…
11-01 13:26:52	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xcbe47e…
11-01 13:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x987f08…
11-01 13:26:21	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x0aa095…
11-01 13:25:34	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x85a48c…
11-01 13:12:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd131ae…
11-01 13:10:04	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x7cee4a…
11-01 13:09:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xd921da…
11-01 13:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xf3c0f1…
11-01 12:16:22	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xe06a26…
11-01 12:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x8f7625…
11-01 12:16:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x3b038b…
11-01 12:16:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x333b42…
11-01 12:15:58	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x6c5dad…
11-01 12:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x43377c…
11-01 12:15:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x3f5896…
11-01 12:15:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x2b5735…
11-01 12:15:55	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x879ada…
11-01 12:15:40	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xcceeeb…
11-01 12:15:40	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x921f5d…
11-01 12:15:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x3b2941…
11-01 12:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x174406…
11-01 12:15:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x159895…
11-01 12:15:40	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x05ba59…
11-01 12:15:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x38aef9…
11-01 12:15:24	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x240b8d…
11-01 12:12:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4a8b1f…
11-01 12:09:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x8ffae1…
11-01 12:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x0fc018…
11-01 12:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x1042ed…
11-01 12:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xe55849…
11-01 12:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xb6ec87…
11-01 12:02:06	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xf08acd…
11-01 12:01:58	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x2bf5cc…
11-01 12:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x1c8b6e…
11-01 11:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x78718e…
11-01 11:52:28	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xfca53e…
11-01 11:52:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x424672…
11-01 11:51:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x5227bf…
11-01 11:50:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xf15b12…
11-01 11:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x7e49a7…
11-01 11:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x1d60d1…
11-01 11:46:52	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x563d15…
11-01 11:42:55	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa50a79…
11-01 11:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xa7ef9c…
11-01 11:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6770c2…
11-01 11:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x90a2c0…
11-01 11:39:06	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x2f2471…
11-01 11:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xc7babf…
11-01 11:38:10	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x1e1f23…
11-01 11:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x55ce53…
11-01 11:35:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xe43f64…
11-01 11:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x3aca2f…
11-01 11:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x080f0d…
11-01 11:32:09	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0x1d866c…
11-01 11:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xcf1514…
11-01 11:26:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x171fc6…
11-01 11:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x73e66e…
11-01 11:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x3f319e…
11-01 11:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	46¢	$1	0xd80b84…
11-01 11:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xbf9f8a…
11-01 11:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xc35f5c…
11-01 11:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x263cf2…
11-01 11:20:13	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb8511b…
11-01 11:17:09	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x1ea775…
11-01 11:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xc79828…
11-01 11:15:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0xad16e5…
11-01 11:15:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x74f2ca…
11-01 11:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x88c4c9…
11-01 11:12:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xb7d666…
11-01 11:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x770a3f…
11-01 11:12:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x8b674c…
11-01 11:11:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x201250…
11-01 11:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xee3fa6…
11-01 11:11:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x063ad1…
11-01 11:08:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x438134…
11-01 11:06:10	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xbda605…
11-01 11:06:09	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x7f0f44…
11-01 11:05:16	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x66b0b0…
11-01 11:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x4a4f96…
11-01 11:01:39	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x2c9701…
11-01 10:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x719d53…
11-01 10:57:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x8d44fb…
11-01 10:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x923f64…
11-01 10:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x4c29fa…