Wavy-Ambiguity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$384

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.5%

Resolved

13,073

Trades

16,852

lifetime

Volume

$55.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 10-08 18:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 184 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 88% +$389

Other

0% 77% +$1

Politics

0% 50% +$0

Sports

0% 33% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	3	$90	97	0	+97	Down	-$4	05-15 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$60	61	0	+61	Down	+$1	05-13 14:19
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	3	$53	57	0	+57	Up	+$1	04-29 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4PM ET	3	$51	26	26	+0	Up	+$1	04-28 21:00
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 22:30 UTC	6	$50	31	26	+5	Down	-$2	04-01 22:46
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$50	59	0	+59	Down	+$9	04-29 09:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$50	52	0	+52	Up	+$2	05-14 16:07
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	05-14 19:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Up	-$50	05-14 15:44
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	4	$49	52	0	+52	Up	-$7	05-14 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8AM ET	2	$41	21	21	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 13:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 17:00 UTC	3	$41	38	11	+27	Up	-$19	07-23 17:15
bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 9am et	5	$41	21	21	+0	Down	+$1	08-20 13:51
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	2	$40	20	20	+0	Up	+$0	04-29 08:31
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	2	$40	20	20	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 10:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	1	$40	41	0	+41	Down	+$1	05-08 19:27
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$40	51	0	+51	Up	$0	05-14 15:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$40	48	0	+48	Down	+$8	05-15 15:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$40	41	0	+41	Up	+$1	05-11 16:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$40	42	0	+42	Down	+$2	05-14 18:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 09:15 UTC	2	$39	50	50	+0	Down	+$19	09-25 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$38	49	0	+49	Down	+$5	05-08 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3AM ET	2	$38	20	20	+0	Up	+$2	04-28 08:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$35	40	0	+40	Down	-$2	05-15 15:44
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	3	$35	42	0	+42	Down	-$8	05-14 16:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	3	$35	40	0	+40	Down	-$1	05-04 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$33	38	0	+38	Up	-$33	05-12 16:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$33	38	0	+38	Up	+$1	05-12 10:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 20:15 UTC	2	$33	39	0	+39	Down	+$3	04-20 20:29
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$32	40	0	+40	Up	+$5	05-14 15:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 18:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x2943aa…
10-08 18:14:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xd50892…
10-08 09:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x5dae3e…
10-08 08:40:11	Solana Up or Down - October 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x2cb5e6…
10-08 08:39:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6dccab…
10-07 16:49:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x8d04ad…
10-07 16:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x00bd53…
10-07 15:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x4e3612…
10-07 15:58:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xffcc94…
10-07 11:43:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x805e8d…
10-07 11:43:23	Solana Up or Down - October 7, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xacc54b…
10-06 07:54:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3a6099…
10-06 07:53:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xac139d…
10-06 07:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x82a517…
10-06 04:14:16	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x292dfd…
10-06 04:14:04	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xcdb778…
10-06 04:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf2b4a7…
10-05 14:09:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x279269…
10-05 06:58:32	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x26e996…
10-05 06:58:26	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xaf57a1…
10-05 06:58:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xf4dca9…
10-05 06:52:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x91d2f2…
10-05 06:52:16	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x239434…
10-04 21:10:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x601de9…
10-04 21:10:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xfad530…
10-04 21:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x93d702…
10-04 20:41:41	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xc83bc9…
10-04 20:41:35	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xe85747…
10-04 20:41:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xaaba38…
10-04 20:41:14	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3494fc…
10-04 13:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x603837…
10-04 13:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfe5864…
10-04 11:58:40	solana up or down october 4 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xf761ac…
10-04 11:57:32	bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xca62a0…
10-02 17:12:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc8f415…
10-02 17:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x355a16…
10-02 17:02:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x32c0a7…
10-02 17:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7afddd…
10-02 16:58:15	XRP Up or Down - October 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf2ce5f…
10-02 16:57:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x11e325…
10-02 15:54:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x4d2563…
10-02 15:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x849ed5…
10-02 15:18:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xc01d80…
10-02 15:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x00447e…
10-02 15:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x994ac2…
10-01 14:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x6ab1fc…
10-01 14:56:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa161b3…
10-01 14:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x2c640d…
09-29 21:58:21	XRP Up or Down - September 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfff34d…
09-29 21:50:53	XRP Up or Down - September 29, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x9be7a0…
09-29 21:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe06af7…
09-29 17:33:08	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7f2cda…
09-29 17:32:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x2d6433…
09-29 12:29:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xb35fce…
09-28 00:44:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xda2a0d…
09-28 00:44:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xaf1bda…
09-28 00:44:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xe7d96d…
09-27 21:44:05	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9f8893…
09-27 21:43:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe1f406…
09-27 13:19:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x406ea7…
09-26 22:14:26	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x637690…
09-26 22:13:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x2e7cad…
09-26 21:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x5def32…
09-26 21:53:21	Ethereum Up or Down - September 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xed9be6…
09-26 21:27:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x088d4c…
09-26 21:07:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x151a63…
09-26 21:07:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xe19cb9…
09-26 20:51:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xce7e6b…
09-26 20:50:54	bitcoin up or down september 26 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3051e6…
09-26 17:43:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x3a0c94…
09-26 17:43:29	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x624b00…
09-26 17:43:17	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xccacf3…
09-26 17:43:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfc87ac…
09-26 12:03:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x861796…
09-26 11:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x2f640d…
09-26 11:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xd15f63…
09-26 10:23:50	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc309b7…
09-26 10:18:06	Ethereum Up or Down - September 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfbaca7…
09-26 10:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xce47ac…
09-26 07:54:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd40158…
09-26 07:39:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xd877cb…
09-25 22:24:44	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x6033e0…
09-25 22:24:32	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x66aebd…
09-25 22:23:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x8781a7…
09-25 22:11:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xb10f21…
09-25 22:10:47	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb81b09…
09-25 19:29:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf44e70…
09-25 15:37:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x4e243b…
09-25 15:26:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x862aee…
09-25 15:25:57	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xb351fe…
09-25 15:24:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x3c892c…
09-25 14:13:29	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x31c375…
09-25 14:13:15	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x13d44b…
09-25 14:13:00	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xae818e…
09-25 13:57:06	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x4df9ff…
09-25 13:56:57	xrp up or down september 25 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb3dbc0…
09-25 13:38:53	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x9c4208…
09-25 13:38:48	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0e91bd…
09-25 13:38:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe63fef…
09-25 13:38:23	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x692526…