Wavy-Ambiguity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$47

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.1%

Resolved

825

Trades

13,692

lifetime

Volume

$42.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 06-09 18:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 89% +$47

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 382 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	3	$90	97	0	+97	open	—	05-15 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$60	61	0	+61	Down	+$1	05-13 14:19
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	3	$53	57	0	+57	open	—	04-29 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4PM ET	3	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	04-28 21:00
eth updown 15m 1775082600	6	$50	31	26	+5	open	—	04-01 22:46
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$50	59	0	+59	open	—	04-29 09:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	05-14 16:07
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	05-14 19:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	05-14 15:44
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	4	$49	52	0	+52	open	—	05-14 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8AM ET	2	$41	21	21	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 13:01
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-29 08:31
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	2	$40	20	20	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 10:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	1	$40	41	0	+41	Down	+$1	05-08 19:27
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$40	51	0	+51	open	—	05-14 15:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$40	48	0	+48	open	—	05-15 15:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$40	41	0	+41	Up	+$1	05-11 16:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$40	42	0	+42	open	—	05-14 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$38	49	0	+49	Down	+$5	05-08 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3AM ET	2	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	04-28 08:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$35	40	0	+40	open	—	05-15 15:44
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	3	$35	42	0	+42	open	—	05-14 16:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	3	$35	40	0	+40	Down	$-1	05-04 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$33	38	0	+38	Up	$-33	05-12 16:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$33	38	0	+38	Up	+$1	05-12 10:19
btc updown 15m 1776716100	2	$33	39	0	+39	open	—	04-20 20:29
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$32	40	0	+40	open	—	05-14 15:19
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	4	$32	33	0	+33	open	—	04-29 20:49
btc updown 5m 1774556100	2	$32	33	0	+33	open	—	03-26 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$31	32	0	+32	open	—	05-14 17:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 22:13:51	eth updown 15m 1781042400	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xd54938…
06-09 22:13:48	eth updown 15m 1781042400	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x047746…
06-09 22:13:31	btc updown 5m 1781043000	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x1cc481…
06-09 22:13:09	eth updown 5m 1781043000	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb9f203…
06-09 22:09:19	btc updown 5m 1781042700	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x495989…
06-09 21:58:28	sol updown 15m 1781041500	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb8815f…
06-09 21:57:18	eth updown 5m 1781042100	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xb79a08…
06-09 21:56:54	eth updown 15m 1781041500	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x933607…
06-09 21:56:45	eth updown 15m 1781041500	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa8f765…
06-09 21:55:09	btc updown 15m 1781041500	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x2ef4d3…
06-09 21:54:22	xrp updown 5m 1781041800	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x676b00…
06-09 21:39:24	sol updown 5m 1781040900	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x4a8dd8…
06-09 21:39:10	eth updown 5m 1781040900	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xb69821…
06-09 21:38:57	btc updown 5m 1781040900	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x1b378c…
06-09 21:27:48	eth updown 5m 1781040300	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xbaeb27…
06-09 21:25:01	sol updown 5m 1781040000	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x79d09d…
06-09 21:24:55	sol updown 5m 1781040000	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x70eb7d…
06-09 21:21:39	btc updown 5m 1781040000	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4b0a11…
06-09 21:14:34	xrp updown 5m 1781039400	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe39ad3…
06-09 21:14:21	eth updown 5m 1781039400	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x3a5711…
06-09 21:14:06	eth updown 15m 1781038800	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x96be51…
06-09 21:13:46	btc updown 15m 1781038800	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x58622c…
06-09 21:13:22	sol updown 15m 1781038800	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf1f08a…
06-09 21:13:06	btc updown 15m 1781038800	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x02e7b1…
06-09 20:29:21	btc updown 5m 1781036700	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdb9434…
06-09 20:29:07	eth updown 5m 1781036700	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x57741a…
06-09 19:55:52	eth updown 15m 1781034300	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb7c63d…
06-09 19:55:39	btc updown 15m 1781034300	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf7e5af…
06-09 19:49:07	xrp updown 5m 1781034300	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x0831d5…
06-09 19:44:54	btc updown 15m 1781033400	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xa9b2a4…
06-09 19:43:40	eth updown 5m 1781034000	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa20ffe…
06-09 19:42:39	btc updown 15m 1781033400	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x3c0a02…
06-09 19:37:51	btc updown 5m 1781033700	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x874509…
06-09 19:37:37	eth updown 5m 1781033700	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x8b9c6e…
06-09 19:29:04	btc updown 5m 1781033100	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x0e7fc4…
06-09 18:13:33	eth updown 5m 1781028600	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x2b932c…
06-09 18:13:19	btc updown 5m 1781028600	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xfd680f…
06-09 18:04:12	sol updown 5m 1781028000	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9009df…
06-09 18:04:06	sol updown 5m 1781028000	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf16cf8…
06-09 18:03:43	btc updown 5m 1781028000	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x92434b…
06-09 18:03:24	eth updown 5m 1781028000	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xa5d482…
06-09 16:33:39	eth updown 5m 1781022600	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x95c3e7…
06-09 16:29:49	eth updown 15m 1781021700	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xcd4c71…
06-09 16:29:34	btc updown 15m 1781021700	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x88dc9b…
06-09 16:14:45	eth updown 5m 1781021400	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8716c6…
06-09 16:14:22	eth updown 5m 1781021400	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf67462…
06-09 16:13:58	btc updown 5m 1781021400	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6216fc…
06-09 16:09:15	btc updown 5m 1781021100	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x66ddd5…
06-09 16:04:49	xrp updown 5m 1781020800	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x01223e…
06-09 16:04:30	btc updown 5m 1781020800	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1dfc7d…
06-09 16:04:04	eth updown 5m 1781020800	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x475cc1…
06-09 15:59:52	eth updown 5m 1781020500	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5d76d2…
06-09 15:59:40	btc updown 5m 1781020500	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xec82c4…
06-09 15:40:45	btc updown 15m 1781019000	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd9f061…
06-09 15:40:27	eth updown 15m 1781019000	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x434f04…
06-09 15:19:25	btc updown 5m 1781018100	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x69ec0f…
06-09 15:19:13	sol updown 5m 1781018100	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x138d24…
06-09 15:19:00	eth updown 5m 1781018100	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xb18ba1…
06-09 13:59:57	sol updown 5m 1781013300	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc75e5c…
06-09 13:59:37	eth updown 5m 1781013300	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x8a403e…
06-09 13:59:09	eth updown 15m 1781012700	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x84f82e…
06-09 13:58:58	btc updown 15m 1781012700	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x175177…
06-09 13:58:45	eth updown 5m 1781013300	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4f1d52…
06-09 12:27:04	eth updown 15m 1781007300	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x8d39a7…
06-09 08:13:54	eth updown 5m 1780992600	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xbd9abf…
06-09 08:13:40	btc updown 5m 1780992600	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xaee140…
06-09 08:13:25	sol updown 5m 1780992600	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xa716c7…
06-08 22:58:15	eth updown 5m 1780959300	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x153f8f…
06-08 22:58:00	btc updown 5m 1780959300	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x9475ea…
06-08 22:57:24	btc updown 15m 1780958700	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xa7135c…
06-08 22:57:04	ethereum up or down june 8 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x825f16…
06-08 22:53:31	sol updown 5m 1780959000	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x6ffa1d…
06-08 22:52:34	eth updown 5m 1780959000	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xff9756…
06-08 22:43:40	xrp updown 15m 1780957800	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x56da76…
06-08 22:42:49	btc updown 5m 1780958400	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa7e770…
06-08 22:42:07	btc updown 15m 1780957800	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x3d72b6…
06-08 22:41:54	eth updown 15m 1780957800	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x72d4f1…
06-08 22:38:39	btc updown 5m 1780958100	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xcc3c8d…
06-08 22:38:19	eth updown 5m 1780958100	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa3d9bc…
06-08 22:29:58	eth updown 5m 1780957500	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x74fe66…
06-08 22:29:54	eth updown 5m 1780957500	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xecda02…
06-08 22:29:30	sol updown 15m 1780956900	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x35eb27…
06-08 22:09:31	btc updown 5m 1780956300	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x827e25…
06-08 21:29:36	btc updown 15m 1780953300	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xbb11b5…
06-08 18:44:51	sol updown 5m 1780944000	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x507bbd…
06-08 18:44:34	eth updown 5m 1780944000	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x75aa1a…
06-08 18:43:52	eth updown 5m 1780944000	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xa56818…
06-08 18:12:45	eth updown 5m 1780942200	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf4d924…
06-08 18:12:37	eth updown 5m 1780942200	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x84a150…
06-08 18:12:25	xrp updown 5m 1780942200	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xbaad37…
06-08 18:12:13	sol updown 5m 1780942200	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xecacac…
06-08 17:39:42	sol updown 5m 1780940100	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x243d36…
06-08 17:39:04	eth updown 5m 1780940100	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc9cef7…
06-08 17:38:49	sol updown 5m 1780940100	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xeeeb01…
06-08 17:38:22	eth updown 5m 1780940100	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6e69f6…
06-08 17:14:39	xrp updown 5m 1780938600	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x65c206…
06-08 17:10:42	eth updown 15m 1780938000	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xe425e4…
06-08 17:10:21	btc updown 15m 1780938000	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x021cab…
06-08 16:44:27	sol updown 5m 1780936800	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x122b84…
06-08 16:44:06	btc updown 5m 1780936800	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xfc14f8…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	897	$270.5K	19,735	06-02 21:54
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	838	$54.2K	8,344	06-09 21:53
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	812	$95.6K	7,844	06-09 21:50
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	764	$257.5K	42,329	06-09 21:54
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	703	$255.9K	11,163	06-09 21:38
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	691	$142.7K	24,048	06-09 21:39
Weird-Peak 0x9f5f…a008	679	$183.8K	18,358	06-08 22:09
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	657	$89.6K	35,115	06-09 21:54