Queasy-Talk — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$245

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

87.1%

Resolved (90d)

4,329

Trades (90d)

5,296

8,452 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$102.1K

$330.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

$33

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 10-30 10:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 171 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 92% -$541

Other

3% 90% -$29

Politics

0% 100% +$2

Sports

0% 88% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 275 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	—	+38	$35	84¢	$32	-$3	10-30 10:49
Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider	Alexandra Eala	—	+2	$2	16¢	$0	-$2	10-30 09:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	6	$846	577	548	+29	Down	-$129	09-15 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4AM ET	3	$820	622	303	+319	Up	-$61	05-14 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12PM ET	4	$816	673	395	+278	Down	-$106	09-10 16:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 01:30 UTC	2	$679	549	521	+27	Down	-$294	09-17 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	4	$650	459	436	+23	Down	-$227	06-02 08:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2AM ET	2	$619	417	396	+21	Down	-$160	09-10 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9PM ET	2	$608	413	392	+21	Up	-$171	09-17 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$600	624	0	+624	Up	+$24	05-11 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$600	608	0	+608	Down	+$8	05-11 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$600	612	0	+612	Down	+$12	05-11 19:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-15 09:15 UTC	4	$594	584	555	+29	Up	-$426	09-15 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	2	$514	306	292	+14	Down	-$72	05-11 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	4	$512	305	290	+15	Down	-$88	06-02 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6AM ET	2	$508	319	303	+16	Down	-$76	05-14 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2PM ET	2	$503	306	292	+14	Up	-$83	05-13 18:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 12:30 UTC	2	$502	567	0	+567	Up	+$65	09-16 12:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 15:15 UTC	2	$502	593	0	+593	Down	+$91	09-14 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	2	$502	554	0	+554	Down	+$52	09-16 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	2	$500	316	300	+16	Down	-$100	05-14 10:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$500	327	295	+32	Up	-$68	05-12 16:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 18:00 UTC	2	$500	553	0	+553	Up	+$53	08-25 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1PM ET	2	$500	408	388	+20	Up	-$300	09-16 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$489	320	305	+16	Down	-$111	05-12 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	2	$488	311	298	+13	Up	-$99	05-12 14:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$475	306	292	+14	Up	-$111	05-14 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	4	$474	282	268	+14	Down	-$36	09-11 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	3	$470	511	0	+511	Down	+$41	09-07 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	2	$450	455	0	+455	Down	+$5	06-02 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	2	$450	455	0	+455	Down	+$5	06-02 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	2	$450	455	0	+455	Down	+$5	06-02 06:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 10:49:55	Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	BUY	38	92¢	$35	0x12c723…
10-30 09:35:10	Guangzhou Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jil Teichmann	Kaitlin Quevedo	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0x4dd103…
10-30 09:34:42	Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider	Alexandra Eala	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x1bd2fc…
10-30 09:29:39	Guangzhou Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jil Teichmann	Kaitlin Quevedo	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x436edb…
10-30 08:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xe20869…
10-30 08:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$2	0x20e3f3…
10-30 08:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	49	92¢	$45	0x7dd5bd…
10-30 07:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6b0199…
10-30 07:44:46	Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	Yes	SELL	40	31¢	$12	0x3ec75a…
10-30 07:43:55	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-23 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	7	64¢	$5	0xfd2427…
10-30 07:43:54	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-23 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	18	64¢	$12	0xe64d88…
10-30 07:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xcf0d6d…
10-30 07:21:40	Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Harriet Dart	Harriet Dart	BUY	38	92¢	$35	0x18093d…
10-30 07:02:36	Ningbo: Mert Alkaya vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu	Yu-Hsiou Hsu	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xdbb0d5…
10-30 06:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xad93e9…
10-30 05:52:19	Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Harriet Dart	Paula Badosa	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x244824…
10-30 05:48:18	Pan Pacific Open: Mia Pohankova vs Alycia Parks	Mia Pohankova	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0xdbcd5a…
10-30 05:47:07	Seoul: Omar Jasika vs Yun-Seong Chung	Omar Jasika	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0xccd33a…
10-30 05:46:09	Ningbo: Yaroslav Demin vs Harold Mayot	Yaroslav Demin	BUY	37	94¢	$35	0x09c490…
10-30 05:43:00	Pan Pacific Open: Mia Pohankova vs Alycia Parks	Mia Pohankova	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x7c8e41…
10-30 04:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xdc160f…
10-30 04:29:19	Seoul: Omar Jasika vs Yun-Seong Chung	Omar Jasika	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xe651cf…
10-30 04:29:12	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3cbe24…
10-30 04:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x6ce954…
10-30 04:15:42	Queretaro: Tamara Zidansek vs Alicia Herrero Linana	Tamara Zidansek	BUY	39	90¢	$35	0xfe27c5…
10-30 03:57:22	Pan Pacific Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maya Joint	Kamilla Rakhimova	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x7efde8…
10-30 03:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x8e75b8…
10-30 03:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$2	0xafc48a…
10-30 03:19:21	Seoul: Sho Shimabukuro vs Coleman Wong	Coleman Wong	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x79d4eb…
10-30 02:47:19	Pan Pacific Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maya Joint	Kamilla Rakhimova	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x3dcd17…
10-30 02:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	75	93¢	$70	0x7ada47…
10-30 01:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xfeedf4…
10-30 01:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x736501…
10-30 01:28:12	Sioux Falls: Mitchell Krueger vs Darwin Blanch	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	38	92¢	$35	0x0bf44d…
10-30 01:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x68f87f…
10-30 00:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xa04984…
10-30 00:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xcb0673…
10-30 00:14:22	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7e861c…
10-29 23:21:42	Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Jerome Kym	Jerome Kym	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x48faa6…
10-29 23:11:42	Queretaro: Tatjana Maria vs Martina Colmegna	Tatjana Maria	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0xb27788…
10-29 23:01:13	Will Old Dominion win Vocal Group of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	No	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0xfb3b65…
10-29 22:54:40	Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xfdbf4b…
10-29 22:12:04	Queretaro: Polona Hercog vs Valeriya Strakhova	Valeriya Strakhova	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0x8fffa9…
10-29 22:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	76	92¢	$70	0x461008…
10-29 21:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x784f60…
10-29 21:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x0d190e…
10-29 21:38:24	Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado	Nick Hardt	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x168620…
10-29 21:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	77	91¢	$70	0xa58996…
10-29 21:30:33	Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xbdf3e9…
10-29 21:26:51	Guayaquil: Gonzalo Bueno vs Carlos Maria Zarate	Carlos Maria Zarate	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x5e0f4f…
10-29 21:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	78	90¢	$70	0xcc7b4d…
10-29 21:09:25	Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado	Nick Hardt	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x735976…
10-29 20:49:31	Curitiba: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Julia Grabher	Julia Grabher	BUY	37	94¢	$35	0x688ba6…
10-29 20:41:39	Sioux Falls: Sebastian Dominko vs Valentin Royer	Sebastian Dominko	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x10e337…
10-29 20:32:21	Sioux Falls: Sebastian Dominko vs Valentin Royer	Sebastian Dominko	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xc6be10…
10-29 20:23:09	Brest: Laslo Djere vs Stefano Travaglia	Stefano Travaglia	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x91fc54…
10-29 20:22:49	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0x3152ce…
10-29 20:06:49	Curitiba: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Julia Grabher	Julia Grabher	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xda8abc…
10-29 20:04:25	Guayaquil: Tomas Barrios vs Joaquin Aguilar	Joaquin Aguilar	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0x6d7f7f…
10-29 19:46:39	Courmayeur: Anna Blinkova vs Katarina Zavatska	Anna Blinkova	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x3df827…
10-29 19:38:22	Sioux Falls: Max Hans Rehberg vs Stefan Kozlov	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	36	96¢	$35	0x7db338…
10-29 19:27:31	Guayaquil: Tomas Barrios vs Joaquin Aguilar	Joaquin Aguilar	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xfcfb39…
10-29 19:19:39	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Novak Djokovic	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xe96b5b…
10-29 19:01:07	Sioux Falls: Max Hans Rehberg vs Stefan Kozlov	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xb60815…
10-29 17:10:35	Courmayeur: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Ayla Aksu	Ayla Aksu	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0xd60f83…
10-29 16:50:41	Courmayeur: Susan Bandecchi vs Elsa Jacquemot	Elsa Jacquemot	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0xe17e08…
10-29 16:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$2	0x94777a…
10-29 16:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x4b5947…
10-29 16:23:56	Curitiba: Julia Riera vs Yasmine Kabbaj	Julia Riera	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x2dd722…
10-29 16:11:56	Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils	Arthur Fils	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0x043f12…
10-29 15:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x180183…
10-29 14:59:16	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x77db77…
10-29 14:57:55	Courmayeur: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Erika Andreeva	Marina Bassols Ribera	BUY	38	91¢	$35	0x021d93…
10-29 14:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	76	92¢	$70	0x110384…
10-29 14:44:08	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Cameron Norrie	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0x31a8eb…
10-29 13:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa69678…
10-29 12:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x77df81…
10-29 12:01:53	Ningbo: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui	Jie Cui	BUY	38	93¢	$35	0x31afb0…
10-29 12:00:44	Guangzhou Open: Anna Bondar vs Kaitlin Quevedo	Kaitlin Quevedo	BUY	36	96¢	$35	0x7a1cea…
10-29 11:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xc9d439…
10-29 10:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa2f2e5…
10-29 10:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x093920…
10-29 10:00:19	Ningbo: Yi Zhou vs Jake Delaney	Jake Delaney	BUY	38	91¢	$35	0x72657d…
10-29 09:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$2	0x7404fa…
10-29 09:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x5c2368…
10-29 09:30:59	Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun	Maria Timofeeva	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x7e5a0c…
10-29 09:14:32	Pan Pacific Open: Elena Rybakina vs Yulia Putintseva	Elena Rybakina	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0xc32352…
10-29 08:50:29	Ningbo: Naoya Honda vs Liam Broady	Liam Broady	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x59aa98…
10-29 08:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x8f1394…
10-29 08:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x58495f…
10-29 07:55:40	Ningbo: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Fajing Sun	Petr Bar Biryukov	BUY	38	93¢	$35	0xff0d19…
10-29 07:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x58e6d2…
10-29 07:26:13	Seoul: Alibek Kachmazov vs Seong-Chan Hong	Seong-Chan Hong	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0xdb053b…
10-29 07:21:11	Pan Pacific Open: Naomi Osaka vs Mia Pohankova	Mia Pohankova	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xf92a37…
10-29 06:59:29	Guangzhou Open: Jil Teichmann vs Zeynep Sonmez	Jil Teichmann	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x5924ee…
10-29 04:44:11	Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Elise Mertens	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0xa2b51b…
10-29 04:30:55	Seoul: Terence Atmane vs Taro Daniel	Terence Atmane	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x90c366…
10-29 03:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x3aa189…
10-29 02:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x2ba4e7…
10-29 02:28:53	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Warriors	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa408a6…