Queasy-Talk — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$46

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

93.3%

Resolved (30d)

2,781

Trades (30d)

3,274

8,360 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$21.6K

$328.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

$37

1 position

First seen

2026-05-10

last 10-29 06:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 170 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 92% -$506

Other

2% 90% +$58

Politics

0% 100% +$2

Sports

0% 88% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 275 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ningbo: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Fajing Sun	Petr Bar Biryukov	—	+38	$35	98¢	$37	+$2	10-29 07:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	6	$846	577	548	+29	Down	-$129	09-15 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4AM ET	3	$820	622	303	+319	Up	-$61	05-14 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12PM ET	4	$816	673	395	+278	Down	-$106	09-10 16:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 01:30 UTC	2	$679	549	521	+27	Down	-$294	09-17 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	4	$650	459	436	+23	Down	-$227	06-02 08:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2AM ET	2	$619	417	396	+21	Down	-$160	09-10 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9PM ET	2	$608	413	392	+21	Up	-$171	09-17 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$600	624	0	+624	Up	+$24	05-11 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$600	608	0	+608	Down	+$8	05-11 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$600	612	0	+612	Down	+$12	05-11 19:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-15 09:15 UTC	4	$594	584	555	+29	Up	-$426	09-15 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	2	$514	306	292	+14	Down	-$72	05-11 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	4	$512	305	290	+15	Down	-$88	06-02 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6AM ET	2	$508	319	303	+16	Down	-$76	05-14 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2PM ET	2	$503	306	292	+14	Up	-$83	05-13 18:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 12:30 UTC	2	$502	567	0	+567	Up	+$65	09-16 12:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 15:15 UTC	2	$502	593	0	+593	Down	+$91	09-14 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	2	$502	554	0	+554	Down	+$52	09-16 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	2	$500	316	300	+16	Down	-$100	05-14 10:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$500	327	295	+32	Up	-$68	05-12 16:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 18:00 UTC	2	$500	553	0	+553	Up	+$53	08-25 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1PM ET	2	$500	408	388	+20	Up	-$300	09-16 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$489	320	305	+16	Down	-$111	05-12 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	2	$488	311	298	+13	Up	-$99	05-12 14:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$475	306	292	+14	Up	-$111	05-14 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	4	$474	282	268	+14	Down	-$36	09-11 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	3	$470	511	0	+511	Down	+$41	09-07 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	2	$450	455	0	+455	Down	+$5	06-02 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	2	$450	455	0	+455	Down	+$5	06-02 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	2	$450	455	0	+455	Down	+$5	06-02 06:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 07:55:40	Ningbo: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Fajing Sun	Petr Bar Biryukov	BUY	38	93¢	$35	0xff0d19…
10-29 07:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x58e6d2…
10-29 07:26:13	Seoul: Alibek Kachmazov vs Seong-Chan Hong	Seong-Chan Hong	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0xdb053b…
10-29 07:21:11	Pan Pacific Open: Naomi Osaka vs Mia Pohankova	Mia Pohankova	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xf92a37…
10-29 06:59:29	Guangzhou Open: Jil Teichmann vs Zeynep Sonmez	Jil Teichmann	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x5924ee…
10-29 04:44:11	Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Elise Mertens	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0xa2b51b…
10-29 04:30:55	Seoul: Terence Atmane vs Taro Daniel	Terence Atmane	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x90c366…
10-29 03:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x3aa189…
10-29 02:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x2ba4e7…
10-29 02:28:53	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Warriors	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa408a6…
10-29 02:21:46	Knicks vs. Bulls	Knicks	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x68b01d…
10-29 01:34:58	Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0xf14bf9…
10-29 01:29:41	Sioux Falls: Jenson Brooksby vs Dylan Dietrich	Dylan Dietrich	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0xc2f115…
10-29 01:19:53	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x229fbc…
10-29 01:14:02	Heat vs. Hawks	Heat	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xb0ac1b…
10-29 00:58:58	Queretaro: Selena Janicijevic vs Elizabeth Mandlik	Elizabeth Mandlik	BUY	37	94¢	$35	0x3f92eb…
10-29 00:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x34f1c6…
10-28 22:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x2e83ff…
10-28 22:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x75d0c7…
10-28 22:29:11	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xda8ab6…
10-28 22:26:04	Curitiba: Nauhany Leme Da Silva vs Luisina Giovannini	Nauhany Leme Da Silva	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x7492f6…
10-28 20:34:05	Guayaquil: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Alex Hernandez	Alex Hernandez	BUY	36	96¢	$35	0xceeaec…
10-28 20:02:53	Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Miguel Tobon	Joaquin Aguilar	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x61c51a…
10-28 19:48:55	Curitiba: Gabriela Ce vs Solana Sierra	Solana Sierra	BUY	38	93¢	$35	0xbbc0b6…
10-28 19:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x833865…
10-28 19:39:53	Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Rinky Hijikata	Taylor Fritz	BUY	38	93¢	$35	0xf788d5…
10-28 18:38:35	Sioux Falls: J.J. Wolf vs Daniel Milavsky	J.J. Wolf	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xaf7362…
10-28 18:32:43	Guayaquil: Daniel Galan vs Mateo Del Pino	Daniel Galan	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x85ed41…
10-28 18:30:56	Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	36	96¢	$35	0xedb1d1…
10-28 18:24:17	Courmayeur: Elizara Yaneva vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Elizara Yaneva	BUY	38	92¢	$35	0x4c0778…
10-28 18:17:26	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-23 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x96db35…
10-28 18:05:37	Courmayeur: Gabriela Knutson vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	36	96¢	$35	0x0e4be6…
10-28 17:43:04	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xdcd1b2…
10-28 17:40:58	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert	Novak Djokovic	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0xe01c9c…
10-28 16:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xd066db…
10-28 16:33:17	Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe	Lorenzo Musetti	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x313f79…
10-28 16:23:49	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x5b90d4…
10-28 16:23:46	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x051afd…
10-28 15:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xedffb1…
10-28 15:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x4ccce7…
10-28 15:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x2de90b…
10-28 15:03:37	Brest: Clement Tabur vs Filippo Romano	Clement Tabur	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x6c3e2e…
10-28 14:53:04	Swiss Indoors Basel: Nuno Borges vs Casper Ruud	Nuno Borges	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xeeccd9…
10-28 14:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x54b9be…
10-28 14:46:47	Courmayeur: Elsa Jacquemot vs Caroline Werner	Caroline Werner	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x342433…
10-28 13:54:50	Brest: Federico Cina vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	Federico Cina	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xa1f01e…
10-28 13:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x509876…
10-28 12:53:11	Guangzhou Open: Han Shi vs Dayana Yastremska	Han Shi	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x90cc95…
10-28 11:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0xd33ed0…
10-28 11:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x97ee4b…
10-28 11:31:11	Brest: Inaki Montes vs Toby Samuel	Toby Samuel	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x4919c9…
10-28 11:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x38b019…
10-28 11:01:05	Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Janice Tjen	Harriet Dart	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x682644…
10-28 10:47:56	Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xb9610a…
10-28 09:19:34	Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x246990…
10-28 08:22:32	Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Sinja Kraus	Paula Badosa	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xb57ccc…
10-28 07:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x25fd92…
10-28 07:44:44	Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Mert Alkaya	Mert Alkaya	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xa20b00…
10-28 07:39:50	Ningbo: Charles Broom vs Yaroslav Demin	Yaroslav Demin	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x99a426…
10-28 07:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$2	0xef264d…
10-28 06:48:38	Guangzhou Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Lanlana Tararudee	Katerina Siniakova	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x8ebb2f…
10-28 06:26:37	Pan Pacific Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maya Joint	Maya Joint	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x519c41…
10-28 06:15:38	Ningbo: Yuta Shimizu vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu	Yu-Hsiou Hsu	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x2d3169…
10-28 05:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x304c6d…
10-28 05:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x6d4715…
10-28 05:08:26	Seoul: Billy Harris vs Aleksandar Vukic	Billy Harris	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x3bdd2b…
10-28 04:45:56	Seoul: Yun-Seong Chung vs Yunchaokete Bu	Yun-Seong Chung	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xbe77f1…
10-28 04:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x099350…
10-28 04:10:50	Pan Pacific Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Kamilla Rakhimova	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x914447…
10-28 02:58:09	Guayaquil: Emilio Camacho vs Angel Veliz	Emilio Camacho	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xbceb9d…
10-28 02:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x88f036…
10-28 02:00:48	Queretaro: Nadia Podoroska vs Alice Rame	Nadia Podoroska	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xa30b69…
10-28 01:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xfd9e7f…
10-28 00:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$2	0x8858b7…
10-28 00:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x5f3595…
10-28 00:37:26	Guayaquil: Gonzalo Bueno vs Alex Barrena	Gonzalo Bueno	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x1fa500…
10-27 22:36:03	Sioux Falls: Sebastian Dominko vs Karl Poling	Sebastian Dominko	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xbf3d74…
10-27 22:31:15	Erste Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Grigor Dimitrov	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xbb5e60…
10-27 22:27:09	Guayaquil: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri	Diego Dedura-Palomero	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x76265a…
10-27 22:25:20	Guayaquil: Franco Roncadelli vs Valerio Aboian	Valerio Aboian	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xfa02c1…
10-27 22:19:33	Queretaro: Valeriya Strakhova vs Sofia Costoulas	Valeriya Strakhova	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xa0a0b5…
10-27 21:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x996090…
10-27 21:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xc00694…
10-27 21:02:41	Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Tomasz Berkieta	Liam Draxl	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x400012…
10-27 21:01:11	Queretaro: Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano vs Carmen Andreea Herea	Carmen Andreea Herea	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x4e89ef…
10-27 20:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xfea3e7…
10-27 20:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$2	0x94c5c4…
10-27 20:32:44	Curitiba: Berta Bonardi vs Marjorie Souza	Marjorie Souza	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xd2c8c2…
10-27 20:18:51	Queretaro: Fiona Ferro vs Sofia Johnson	Fiona Ferro	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xf96690…
10-27 19:58:03	Guayaquil: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Rodrigo Pacheco	Rodrigo Pacheco	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xca090a…
10-27 19:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x328713…
10-27 19:42:36	Brest: Hugo Grenier vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x01fa1c…
10-27 19:28:06	Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Martin Landaluce	Alexander Zverev	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x9d6fe6…
10-27 19:09:39	Queretaro: Polona Hercog vs Martina Capurro	Polona Hercog	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xaae3c8…
10-27 18:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x12515f…
10-27 18:02:18	Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Botic van de Zandschulp	Alex Michelsen	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x9e1022…
10-27 17:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$2	0xf5e0de…
10-27 17:56:17	Queretaro: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Emiliana Arango	Elizabeth Mandlik	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x228f97…
10-27 17:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x2ece2a…
10-27 17:39:54	Queretaro: Martina Colmegna vs Zuzanna Pawlikowska	Martina Colmegna	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x34fe52…