Crushing-Fugato — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

73.6%

Resolved

Trades

300

lifetime

Volume

$1.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$113

10 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 17:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 68% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 265 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	+39	$32	92¢	$36	+$4	05-05 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	+18	$15	100¢	$18	+$3	05-05 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	+15	$11	99¢	$15	+$4	05-05 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	+11	$10	94¢	$10	+$1	05-05 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	Up	+9	$7	100¢	$9	+$2	05-05 15:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	+8	$7	88¢	$7	$-0	05-05 16:32
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	+5	$1	100¢	$5	+$4	05-05 16:24
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	+5	$4	98¢	$5	+$1	05-05 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	+12	$9	36¢	$4	$-5	05-05 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	+5	$5	64¢	$3	$-2	05-05 17:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	4	$32	39	+39	open	—	05-05 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	3	$27	35	+35	open	—	05-05 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	5	$25	31	+31	open	—	05-05 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	4	$20	25	+25	Down	+$5	05-04 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	4	$17	24	+24	Down	+$7	05-05 03:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	7	$16	38	+38	open	—	05-05 08:51
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET	4	$16	20	+20	open	—	05-05 09:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$15	17	+17	open	—	05-05 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$15	18	+18	open	—	05-05 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	3	$14	15	+15	open	—	05-05 11:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	2	$14	17	+17	open	—	05-05 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	3	$14	15	+15	Down	+$1	05-04 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	5	$13	27	+27	open	—	05-05 10:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	4	$13	20	+20	open	—	05-05 09:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$12	17	+17	open	—	05-05 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$12	13	+13	open	—	05-05 10:06
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	3	$11	15	+15	open	—	05-05 09:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	3	$11	15	+15	open	—	05-05 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	3	$11	15	+15	open	—	05-05 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	3	$11	16	+16	open	—	05-05 10:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	4	$10	20	+20	Down	$-10	05-05 04:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	3	$10	15	+15	open	—	05-05 08:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$10	10	+10	Down	+$0	05-04 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	05-05 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	3	$10	15	+15	open	—	05-05 09:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	3	$9	15	+15	Up	$-9	05-05 05:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$9	11	+11	open	—	05-05 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$9	10	+10	Up	+$1	05-04 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	2	$9	11	+11	Down	+$2	05-04 22:19
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$9	10	+10	Down	+$1	05-04 20:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 17:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xffe61c…
05-05 17:12:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xc4cac5…
05-05 17:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0x3052f7…
05-05 17:09:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x5a3e82…
05-05 17:09:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x9bb12c…
05-05 17:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x6ae77e…
05-05 17:02:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9b891c…
05-05 16:42:36	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xa68b68…
05-05 16:32:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0xca82a4…
05-05 16:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x266a2a…
05-05 16:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x36b079…
05-05 16:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xc900f3…
05-05 16:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	83¢	$11	0xb179c7…
05-05 16:24:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x5b9a94…
05-05 16:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa5f21b…
05-05 16:12:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x7d91cd…
05-05 15:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xcf0ad5…
05-05 15:54:26	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf00e2e…
05-05 15:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x1dfc95…
05-05 15:52:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x913c14…
05-05 15:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x37785e…
05-05 15:37:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xee05a4…
05-05 15:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xa17b4b…
05-05 15:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x5d93f8…
05-05 15:32:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x7fde66…
05-05 15:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xb9ac01…
05-05 15:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x8f60bf…
05-05 15:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xba6040…
05-05 15:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x62f200…
05-05 15:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x3d3ae1…
05-05 15:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x729efe…
05-05 15:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	77¢	$13	0x93c19f…
05-05 15:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x2aacee…
05-05 15:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x4e0968…
05-05 15:22:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x21dcee…
05-05 15:22:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x2f403a…
05-05 15:19:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xf5996b…
05-05 15:19:44	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x007d93…
05-05 15:17:22	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x7a16fa…
05-05 15:17:16	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xa9edce…
05-05 15:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x7b6be1…
05-05 15:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0xee757e…
05-05 15:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$7	0x972220…
05-05 14:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x5b3d55…
05-05 14:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x057601…
05-05 14:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x6de1b8…
05-05 14:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xcc1aac…
05-05 14:39:52	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x9184f7…
05-05 14:22:18	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x676142…
05-05 14:22:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x5c409d…
05-05 14:12:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x3acbf8…
05-05 14:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x10c52c…
05-05 14:05:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x96a6f9…
05-05 13:57:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x9d1c83…
05-05 13:57:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x7a75d8…
05-05 13:57:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xb33e3d…
05-05 13:50:34	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc2affb…
05-05 13:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb8f1b9…
05-05 13:42:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xdafe6b…
05-05 13:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x8914e9…
05-05 13:41:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x34a9e9…
05-05 13:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x94a601…
05-05 13:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xd6e087…
05-05 13:25:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9172e8…
05-05 13:21:56	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x145d62…
05-05 13:07:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xeed16f…
05-05 13:07:06	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x3f6aa3…
05-05 13:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb8386a…
05-05 12:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	71¢	$8	0x7aae1c…
05-05 12:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xd13473…
05-05 12:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x6b925d…
05-05 12:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x3f0d33…
05-05 12:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x35499e…
05-05 12:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x3c751c…
05-05 12:31:46	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x60b821…
05-05 12:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x58b7d0…
05-05 12:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x259d58…
05-05 12:15:26	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	32¢	$2	0x1cf8dc…
05-05 12:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x29e110…
05-05 12:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd4105c…
05-05 12:05:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x2a529c…
05-05 12:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0xacaa5f…
05-05 11:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x66bf00…
05-05 11:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x751f92…
05-05 11:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe4b451…
05-05 11:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x28c3c8…
05-05 11:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xa7fdd5…
05-05 11:46:46	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xcd0d0b…
05-05 11:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x17ed2f…
05-05 11:41:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xda1f77…
05-05 11:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xac702e…
05-05 11:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x1da670…
05-05 11:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe821c8…
05-05 11:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x7872b6…
05-05 11:21:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x79318f…
05-05 11:21:40	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x957c49…
05-05 11:21:36	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x256597…
05-05 11:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x26ad61…
05-05 11:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xac12c3…
05-05 11:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf7a6af…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	151	$23.7K	1,021	05-05 17:14
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	130	$15.8K	645	05-05 17:07
Authentic-Bonsai-Compassion 0x473e…c0f6	123	$2.33K	474	05-05 17:14
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	122	$2.24K	324	05-05 17:07
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	122	$1.85K	434	05-05 17:12
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	111	$3.31K	252	05-05 17:14
(anonymous) 0x8176…709a	107	$2.06K	226	05-05 17:14
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	106	$2.97K	232	05-05 17:14