Optimistic-Mast — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.7%

Resolved

Trades

141

lifetime

Volume

$15.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$110

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 07-12 12:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-10

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12PM ET	9	$2.8K	4,764	4,764	+0	open	—	05-29 16:50
bitcoin up or down june 25 2026 1pm et	3	$1.3K	1,149	1,149	+0	open	—	06-25 17:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	3	$1.1K	2,974	592	+2,382	open	—	05-23 18:40
bitcoin up or down june 25 2026 4pm et	5	$939	3,109	3,109	+0	open	—	06-25 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11AM ET	3	$797	915	509	+406	open	—	05-23 15:45
btc updown 15m 1782416700	2	$718	781	781	+0	open	—	06-25 19:57
btc updown 15m 1783849500	2	$697	565	565	+0	open	—	07-12 09:53
btc updown 4h 1776110400	1	$550	1,019	0	+1,019	open	—	04-13 20:04
btc updown 4h 1776096000	1	$450	599	0	+599	open	—	04-13 16:43
btc updown 15m 1782404100	2	$354	231	231	+0	open	—	06-25 16:30
btc updown 15m 1783850400	2	$350	1,502	0	+1,502	open	—	07-12 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1PM ET	2	$304	350	350	+0	open	—	05-29 17:49
btc updown 15m 1782423900	2	$293	426	426	+0	open	—	06-25 21:53
bitcoin up or down june 25 2026 5pm et	2	$255	179	179	+0	open	—	06-25 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1PM ET	2	$246	178	178	+0	open	—	05-22 17:50
btc updown 15m 1782405000	1	$210	1,252	0	+1,252	open	—	06-25 16:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2PM ET	1	$175	360	0	+360	open	—	05-29 18:00
btc updown 15m 1783863900	2	$172	358	0	+358	open	—	07-12 13:47
btc updown 15m 1776079800	1	$170	325	0	+325	open	—	04-13 11:31
btc updown 15m 1783787400	2	$169	139	139	+0	open	—	07-11 16:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2PM ET	1	$150	273	0	+273	open	—	05-22 18:00
btc updown 5m 1783844700	1	$150	288	0	+288	open	—	07-12 08:25
btc updown 5m 1783788900	2	$145	96	96	+0	open	—	07-11 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12PM ET	2	$143	94	94	+0	open	—	05-22 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12PM ET	1	$140	370	0	+370	open	—	05-23 16:22
btc updown 5m 1783788000	2	$139	169	169	+0	open	—	07-11 16:44
bitcoin up or down june 25 2026 3pm et	2	$129	421	421	+0	open	—	06-25 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12PM ET	1	$110	385	0	+385	open	—	06-02 16:08
btc updown 5m 1783786800	3	$108	69	69	+0	open	—	07-11 16:25
btc updown 5m 1776028200	2	$100	5,091	0	+5,091	open	—	04-12 21:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 13:47:46	btc updown 15m 1783863900	Up	BUY	92	24¢	$22	0xfacea7…
07-12 13:46:32	btc updown 15m 1783863900	Up	BUY	266	56¢	$150	0x375ac1…
07-12 12:34:29	btc updown 15m 1783859400	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x0bec23…
07-12 12:31:19	btc updown 15m 1783859400	Up	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xecbe93…
07-12 10:09:41	btc updown 15m 1783850400	Up	BUY	686	7¢	$50	0x6a0162…
07-12 10:04:29	btc updown 15m 1783850400	Up	BUY	817	37¢	$300	0xc41d52…
07-12 09:53:38	btc updown 15m 1783849500	Down	SELL	565	70¢	$397	0xf3c944…
07-12 09:45:31	btc updown 15m 1783849500	Down	BUY	565	53¢	$300	0x507afb…
07-12 08:40:34	btc updown 5m 1783845600	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xeab576…
07-12 08:31:56	btc updown 5m 1783845000	Down	BUY	330	30¢	$100	0xed6625…
07-12 08:25:40	btc updown 5m 1783844700	Up	BUY	288	52¢	$150	0x5df0bc…
07-12 08:21:25	btc updown 5m 1783844400	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xb9bf9b…
07-12 08:15:41	btc updown 5m 1783844100	Down	BUY	193	52¢	$100	0x50e70c…
07-12 08:10:20	btc updown 5m 1783843800	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x9ffe31…
07-12 07:48:58	btc updown 5m 1783842300	Up	SELL	53	81¢	$43	0x71f63f…
07-12 07:47:28	btc updown 5m 1783842300	Up	BUY	227	11¢	$25	0xf92f08…
07-12 07:46:34	btc updown 5m 1783842300	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xf337c5…
07-12 07:42:13	btc updown 5m 1783842000	Up	SELL	76	63¢	$48	0x8de003…
07-12 07:40:35	btc updown 5m 1783842000	Up	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xa8c59c…
07-11 17:06:04	btc updown 5m 1783789500	Down	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x9fdccc…
07-11 16:59:16	btc updown 5m 1783788900	Up	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0xf53010…
07-11 16:55:17	btc updown 5m 1783788900	Up	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x298ff1…
07-11 16:53:07	btc updown 5m 1783788600	Down	SELL	51	88¢	$45	0x1b4193…
07-11 16:51:17	btc updown 5m 1783788600	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xead93f…
07-11 16:49:49	btc updown 5m 1783788300	Up	SELL	61	98¢	$60	0xf235f4…
07-11 16:45:56	btc updown 5m 1783788300	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xbd1224…
07-11 16:44:22	btc updown 5m 1783788000	Up	SELL	169	53¢	$89	0x1b0c01…
07-11 16:41:28	btc updown 5m 1783788000	Up	BUY	169	30¢	$50	0x6aec1e…
07-11 16:37:32	btc updown 15m 1783787400	Down	SELL	139	86¢	$119	0xf7fa58…
07-11 16:33:04	btc updown 15m 1783787400	Down	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0x178713…
07-11 16:29:10	btc updown 5m 1783787100	Up	SELL	58	40¢	$23	0xce034a…
07-11 16:27:47	btc updown 5m 1783787100	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xb516d8…
07-11 16:25:08	btc updown 5m 1783786800	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x0298e1…
07-11 16:24:32	btc updown 5m 1783786800	Up	SELL	44	75¢	$33	0x46876c…
07-11 16:21:23	btc updown 5m 1783786800	Up	BUY	69	73¢	$50	0x317976…
07-11 16:18:07	btc updown 5m 1783786500	Down	SELL	63	58¢	$36	0x16b0af…
07-11 16:15:52	btc updown 5m 1783786500	Down	BUY	63	29¢	$18	0xda0767…
06-25 21:53:17	btc updown 15m 1782423900	Down	SELL	426	22¢	$93	0xf46a1e…
06-25 21:45:38	btc updown 15m 1782423900	Down	BUY	426	47¢	$200	0x2850e3…
06-25 21:27:13	bitcoin up or down june 25 2026 5pm et	Up	SELL	179	87¢	$155	0xcfcfdb…
06-25 21:01:52	bitcoin up or down june 25 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x0d9478…
06-25 20:54:56	bitcoin up or down june 25 2026 4pm et	Down	SELL	263	23¢	$60	0xf694f8…
06-25 20:54:31	bitcoin up or down june 25 2026 4pm et	Down	SELL	254	14¢	$36	0xd2d706…
06-25 20:54:31	bitcoin up or down june 25 2026 4pm et	Down	SELL	2,592	19¢	$493	0x8f07b5…
06-25 20:27:50	bitcoin up or down june 25 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	1,417	7¢	$100	0x1cd8cb…
06-25 20:05:07	bitcoin up or down june 25 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	1,693	15¢	$250	0xe3e7c2…
06-25 19:57:02	btc updown 15m 1782416700	Up	SELL	781	66¢	$518	0x3e3144…
06-25 19:47:50	btc updown 15m 1782416700	Up	BUY	781	26¢	$200	0x8154d6…
06-25 19:45:02	bitcoin up or down june 25 2026 3pm et	Up	SELL	421	7¢	$29	0x52c468…
06-25 19:25:32	bitcoin up or down june 25 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	421	24¢	$100	0xfd12d9…
06-25 17:32:44	bitcoin up or down june 25 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	1,149	76¢	$878	0xaf8103…
06-25 17:08:07	bitcoin up or down june 25 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	754	40¢	$300	0xf7ff64…
06-25 17:06:08	bitcoin up or down june 25 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	395	38¢	$150	0x2b2870…
06-25 16:31:49	btc updown 15m 1782405000	Up	BUY	1,252	17¢	$210	0x86b817…
06-25 16:30:41	btc updown 15m 1782404100	Down	SELL	231	99¢	$229	0x2d11a0…
06-25 16:15:58	btc updown 15m 1782404100	Down	BUY	231	54¢	$125	0xfd5ed3…
06-25 15:51:17	btc updown 5m 1782402600	Down	BUY	588	17¢	$100	0xf7de4a…
06-20 06:23:11	mlb bos nyy 2026 06 06	New York Yankees	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x829cd7…
06-10 02:30:16	mlb bos nyy 2026 06 06	New York Yankees	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xdbfe8c…
06-02 16:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	385	29¢	$110	0x602c5c…
06-01 01:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	95	37¢	$35	0xb7065e…
06-01 00:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	75	33¢	$25	0x980523…
05-31 23:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7PM ET	Down	SELL	61	81¢	$49	0xdd3848…
05-31 23:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xf532bd…
05-31 23:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x756f37…
05-31 23:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x3f566b…
05-31 22:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	22	17¢	$4	0x51c71d…
05-31 22:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xfdbdc6…
05-31 22:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x42ae5a…
05-31 21:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	25	88¢	$22	0xa63023…
05-31 21:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x3cab3d…
05-31 21:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x17ffbd…
05-31 21:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xf9e3f3…
05-31 21:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x4a80f9…
05-31 20:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x3f7993…
05-31 20:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x896798…
05-31 20:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0xed41e5…
05-31 19:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	11	78¢	$8	0xf15dc0…
05-31 19:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xe5d6fd…
05-31 19:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	15	89¢	$13	0xe8a493…
05-31 19:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x596506…
05-31 19:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xdcf22a…
05-31 18:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xfcc6f3…
05-31 18:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x83b023…
05-29 18:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	360	49¢	$175	0xa2e33c…
05-29 17:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	350	55¢	$194	0x942fa9…
05-29 17:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	350	31¢	$110	0xc8df6f…
05-29 16:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	1,052	3¢	$32	0xc72848…
05-29 16:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	1,644	2¢	$26	0x9e63b3…
05-29 16:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	263	83¢	$218	0x96ff71…
05-29 16:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	2,470	18¢	$453	0xef641b…
05-29 16:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	225	21¢	$47	0x0fe959…
05-29 16:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	1,292	78¢	$1,009	0x3cb1fe…
05-29 16:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	1,555	23¢	$350	0xc9ac44…
05-29 16:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	513	79¢	$404	0xfe1fbb…
05-29 16:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	513	59¢	$300	0x898599…
05-29 15:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	6,320	1¢	$50	0x5c7945…
05-29 15:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	745	6¢	$48	0x8d975f…
05-28 12:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x0a4448…
05-23 20:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	101	30¢	$30	0xdf8de5…