Sorrowful-Stove — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$66

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.0%

Resolved

354

Trades

6,059

lifetime

Volume

$23.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 08-10 18:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 50% $-66

Tech

7% — —

Other

2% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 437 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	5	$623	686	17	+669	open	—	06-09 02:00
bitcoin above 62k on june 25 2026	50	$403	289	289	+0	open	—	06-25 15:45
will a claude mythos model be released by june 12 2026 762	3	$305	419	0	+419	open	—	06-09 02:39
will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	3	$248	313	0	+313	open	—	07-23 17:52
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	6	$234	813	813	+0	open	—	07-23 17:49
bitcoin up or down on june 16 2026	9	$234	157	157	+0	open	—	06-16 02:11
bitcoin above 62k on june 23 2026	20	$224	190	190	+0	open	—	06-23 15:58
bitcoin up or down on june 19 2026	18	$214	207	207	+0	open	—	06-19 13:28
bitcoin above 64k on june 18 2026	13	$208	165	165	+0	open	—	06-18 15:42
bitcoin above 62k on june 19 2026	20	$207	250	234	+15	open	—	06-19 15:27
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	16	$205	199	199	+0	open	—	07-23 19:52
ethereum above 1600 on june 25 2026	21	$191	167	167	+0	open	—	06-25 10:42
bitcoin above 62k on august 4 2026	16	$188	106	121	-14	open	—	08-04 02:47
bitcoin above 62k on june 26 2026	31	$187	195	195	+0	open	—	06-25 21:11
bitcoin above 62k on august 5 2026	14	$179	116	116	+0	open	—	08-04 02:47
bitcoin above 62k on july 2 2026	31	$177	163	163	+0	open	—	07-02 14:46
will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	2	$177	207	0	+207	open	—	06-30 17:18
will solana reach 75 on august 5	17	$166	163	133	+30	open	—	08-05 22:25
will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	17	$164	126	126	+0	open	—	06-26 21:54
will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	12	$144	96	96	+0	open	—	07-14 22:28
bitcoin up or down on june 24 2026	9	$135	122	96	+26	open	—	06-24 13:32
bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 8pm et	7	$129	124	118	+7	open	—	07-31 00:40
bitcoin above 62k on june 27 2026	32	$129	121	121	+0	open	—	06-26 16:21
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	3	$126	94	94	+0	open	—	06-11 02:48
bitcoin above 62k on july 7 2026	19	$119	87	87	+0	open	—	07-07 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29?	4	$115	76	76	+0	open	—	05-29 02:59
ethereum above 1600 on june 26 2026	18	$112	109	94	+16	open	—	06-26 00:21
will bitcoin reach 66k july 6 12 2026	19	$109	85	81	+3	open	—	07-12 00:20
bitcoin above 62k on july 3 2026	21	$108	119	100	+19	open	—	07-03 11:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	11	$108	100	100	+0	open	—	07-14 10:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 02:45:04	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 10pm et	Down	SELL	14	69¢	$9	0x478110…
08-11 02:43:34	btc updown 15m 1786415400	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xbf9287…
08-11 02:37:58	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xcb8e77…
08-11 02:37:30	btc updown 15m 1786415400	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x6cec1c…
08-11 02:36:01	btc updown 5m 1786415700	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x9ff6f8…
08-11 02:02:03	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xe72509…
08-10 18:37:09	btc updown 5m 1786386900	Up	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0xc15111…
08-10 18:35:22	btc updown 5m 1786386900	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xa93eac…
08-10 18:32:15	btc updown 5m 1786386600	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x9885c4…
08-10 18:31:42	btc updown 5m 1786386600	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x984cb1…
08-10 18:30:34	btc updown 5m 1786386600	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xfcc173…
08-10 18:27:00	btc updown 5m 1786386300	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x7b42fe…
08-10 17:44:45	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x6b979d…
08-10 17:44:40	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x70cdc1…
08-10 17:44:25	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x17309f…
08-10 17:44:21	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6d5dd4…
08-10 17:41:18	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc64390…
08-10 17:40:34	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6588ad…
08-10 17:40:27	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x3ce838…
08-10 17:40:13	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x774be7…
08-10 17:40:04	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x01700d…
08-10 17:39:51	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0ef382…
08-10 17:39:43	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x2730fd…
08-10 17:39:33	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe23c2f…
08-10 17:38:57	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xefa588…
08-10 17:38:45	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x55ec9f…
08-10 17:38:34	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd0deba…
08-10 17:38:24	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x0447b5…
08-10 17:38:16	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Down	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x4ef078…
08-10 17:38:12	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Down	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0xcd850c…
08-10 17:38:03	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$2	0x9d4048…
08-10 17:37:58	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Down	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0x8bc0e3…
08-10 17:37:54	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Up	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x8c6d32…
08-10 17:37:49	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Up	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x2615fd…
08-10 17:37:45	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Down	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x180f86…
08-10 17:37:27	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Up	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0xf0b2e1…
08-10 17:37:15	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xee8673…
08-10 17:37:04	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Down	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0x830aed…
08-10 17:35:55	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Down	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0x37be50…
08-10 17:35:37	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Up	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0x2a711e…
08-10 17:35:18	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xff4704…
08-10 17:35:10	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5e05d8…
08-10 17:35:03	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x99596d…
08-10 17:34:55	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Down	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xe76951…
08-10 17:34:48	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x991db6…
08-10 17:34:33	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Down	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x5f1cbb…
08-10 17:34:25	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Down	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xcfee12…
08-10 17:34:16	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x90f890…
08-10 17:33:43	btc updown 5m 1786383000	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3d0cfc…
08-10 17:33:36	btc updown 5m 1786383000	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x214b5a…
08-10 17:33:24	btc updown 5m 1786383000	Down	BUY	9	27¢	$3	0xaa71d8…
08-10 17:33:16	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x02071c…
08-10 17:33:09	btc updown 5m 1786383000	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x53d905…
08-10 17:32:54	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x56d0e7…
08-10 17:32:46	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0e3941…
08-10 17:32:39	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x1fa330…
08-10 17:32:28	btc updown 5m 1786383000	Down	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0xde3ca2…
08-10 17:32:19	btc updown 5m 1786383000	Down	BUY	19	34¢	$6	0xf24ecf…
08-10 17:32:09	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd6cf19…
08-10 17:32:00	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x825fca…
08-10 17:31:52	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf1c2c5…
08-10 17:31:45	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Down	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0xf01fed…
08-10 17:31:30	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$3	0x906545…
08-10 17:31:21	btc updown 5m 1786383000	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x136741…
08-10 17:31:13	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa4fa47…
08-10 17:31:06	btc updown 5m 1786383000	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb4fd87…
08-10 17:30:55	btc updown 5m 1786383000	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x8d130f…
08-10 17:30:46	btc updown 15m 1786383000	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xd7e0e3…
08-10 17:30:37	btc updown 5m 1786383000	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x601d18…
08-10 17:29:13	btc updown 5m 1786382700	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x094472…
08-10 17:29:07	btc updown 15m 1786382100	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0941ff…
08-10 17:28:45	btc updown 5m 1786382700	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x357f40…
08-10 17:28:31	btc updown 5m 1786382700	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6ad7a1…
08-10 17:28:24	btc updown 5m 1786382700	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x32198e…
08-10 17:28:13	btc updown 5m 1786382700	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf5275c…
08-10 17:28:06	btc updown 5m 1786382700	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb11c38…
08-10 17:27:57	btc updown 5m 1786382700	Up	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0xfbfcc6…
08-10 17:27:45	btc updown 5m 1786382700	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0x94bf84…
08-10 17:27:15	btc updown 15m 1786382100	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xef51de…
08-10 17:24:36	btc updown 5m 1786382400	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xc6500b…
08-10 17:24:24	btc updown 5m 1786382400	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3983c8…
08-10 17:24:16	btc updown 5m 1786382400	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x11b929…
08-10 17:23:51	btc updown 5m 1786382400	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xbcc45f…
08-10 17:23:37	btc updown 5m 1786382400	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x1ee9e6…
08-10 17:23:27	btc updown 5m 1786382400	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc82a5a…
08-10 17:23:16	btc updown 15m 1786382100	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5597c6…
08-10 17:23:04	btc updown 15m 1786382100	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xdd0d87…
08-10 17:22:57	btc updown 15m 1786382100	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x698712…
08-10 17:22:48	btc updown 15m 1786382100	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xfc9f97…
08-10 17:22:40	btc updown 15m 1786382100	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x05170c…
08-10 17:22:31	btc updown 15m 1786382100	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x642f43…
08-10 17:22:24	btc updown 15m 1786382100	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x344986…
08-10 17:22:12	btc updown 15m 1786382100	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xafc0b0…
08-10 17:22:04	btc updown 15m 1786382100	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x4fcdab…
08-10 17:21:54	btc updown 15m 1786382100	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xd42f55…
08-10 17:21:45	btc updown 15m 1786382100	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x716b46…
08-10 17:21:34	btc updown 15m 1786382100	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x15f743…
08-10 17:21:25	btc updown 15m 1786382100	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x47e786…
08-10 17:21:18	btc updown 15m 1786382100	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xb08dfd…
08-10 17:21:10	btc updown 15m 1786382100	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xb89602…