Sorrowful-Stove — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$181

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

64.1%

Resolved

3,087

Trades

7,402

lifetime

Volume

$31.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-10

last 11-01 10:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 159 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 56% -$196

Other

8% 56% -$7

Tech

7% 81% +$381

Politics

0% 50% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 438 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 1?	No		+99	$15	1¢	$1	-$14	10-30 15:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	5	$623	686	17	+669	Yes	+$59	06-09 02:00
bitcoin above 62k on june 25 2026	50	$403	289	289	+0	No	-$11	06-25 15:45
will a claude mythos model be released by june 12 2026 762	3	$305	419	0	+419	Yes	+$114	06-09 02:39
will solana dip to 70 in august 2026	21	$273	250	250	+0	No	+$18	08-20 10:50
will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	3	$248	313	0	+313	Yes	+$65	07-23 17:52
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	6	$234	813	813	+0	open	—	07-23 17:49
bitcoin up or down on june 16 2026	9	$234	157	157	+0	Down	+$38	06-16 02:11
bitcoin above 62k on june 23 2026	20	$224	190	190	+0	Yes	+$16	06-23 15:58
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 30, 2026?	2	$215	240	0	+240	Yes	+$25	09-28 11:57
bitcoin up or down on june 19 2026	18	$214	207	207	+0	Up	-$17	06-19 13:28
bitcoin above 62k on june 19 2026	22	$208	250	250	+0	Yes	+$19	06-19 15:27
bitcoin above 64k on june 18 2026	13	$208	165	165	+0	No	-$13	06-18 15:42
bitcoin up or down on august 15 2026	20	$207	223	186	+37	Up	+$6	08-15 11:03
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	16	$205	199	199	+0	No	+$19	07-23 19:52
bitcoin above 62k on august 4 2026	17	$199	121	121	+0	Yes	+$23	08-04 02:47
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?	2	$191	200	200	+0	Yes	-$109	09-04 02:44
ethereum above 1600 on june 25 2026	21	$191	167	167	+0	No	+$15	06-25 10:42
bitcoin above 62k on june 26 2026	31	$187	195	195	+0	No	-$42	06-25 21:11
Will Solana reach $120 by December 31, 2026?	31	$180	214	214	+0	Yes	-$21	09-07 16:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	8	$179	118	118	+0	Yes	+$9	10-13 17:32
bitcoin above 62k on august 5 2026	14	$179	116	116	+0	Yes	+$13	08-04 02:47
bitcoin above 62k on july 2 2026	31	$177	163	163	+0	No	+$8	07-02 14:46
will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	2	$177	207	0	+207	Yes	+$30	06-30 17:18
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?	5	$169	332	332	+0	No	+$77	06-14 00:04
will solana reach 75 on august 5	17	$166	163	133	+30	No	+$5	08-05 22:25
will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	17	$164	126	126	+0	No	+$29	06-26 21:54
bitcoin above 62k on august 17 2026	8	$159	94	94	+0	Yes	+$10	08-17 15:48
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	14	$157	121	121	+0	open	—	08-31 01:25
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 14 2026	4	$155	183	0	+183	No	+$28	10-14 17:01
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?	9	$150	87	87	+0	open	—	08-31 01:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 13:25:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 2?	No	SELL	80	12¢	$10	0x441ffb…
11-01 13:25:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 3?	No	SELL	123	20¢	$25	0x05218e…
11-01 10:25:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 1?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x12e042…
11-01 08:33:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 1?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x8fe484…
10-31 00:17:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0x89723c…
10-31 00:17:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0x2846fd…
10-30 21:11:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xf5a646…
10-30 18:00:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	13	66¢	$8	0xd1bd93…
10-30 18:00:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	32	66¢	$21	0x4b0478…
10-30 18:00:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	32	65¢	$21	0x9e3c19…
10-30 15:25:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x1d40de…
10-30 15:25:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x04d0c9…
10-30 15:21:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 1?	No	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x24c572…
10-30 15:18:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 1?	No	BUY	43	15¢	$7	0x5ad409…
10-30 15:18:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 1?	No	BUY	43	15¢	$6	0x0f478c…
10-30 15:17:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 31?	No	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0x41e80c…
10-30 15:17:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 31?	No	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0xdb1607…
10-30 15:17:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 31?	No	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x501e54…
10-30 14:09:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	21	37¢	$8	0xb31910…
10-30 13:35:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x39b2b8…
10-30 13:35:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xd1f819…
10-30 13:12:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xe5e35a…
10-30 13:12:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x81f3da…
10-30 13:05:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0xf1b494…
10-30 13:05:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0xe2bca2…
10-30 03:39:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0xf260c7…
10-30 03:39:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0xb89f03…
10-30 03:30:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x821c23…
10-30 03:05:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0xaaaf70…
10-30 03:05:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x3cc8a5…
10-30 01:19:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xf2385d…
10-30 01:19:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x3ab873…
10-30 00:44:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x666784…
10-30 00:44:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x4e070a…
10-30 00:31:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$2	0xde5c33…
10-30 00:31:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$2	0x9cacb5…
10-30 00:30:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x500120…
10-30 00:27:54	Will Solana dip to $90 in October?	No	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xa44852…
10-29 23:45:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x42d76a…
10-29 23:45:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x3cd8d7…
10-29 19:55:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 26 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x612a46…
10-29 14:48:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 3?	No	BUY	61	11¢	$7	0x60c221…
10-29 14:48:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 3?	No	BUY	61	11¢	$7	0x69a551…
10-29 13:55:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	18	89¢	$16	0xe47ef0…
10-29 09:36:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xf7c76f…
10-29 09:13:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x6050fc…
10-29 08:55:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	27	79¢	$22	0xda765b…
10-29 08:55:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0x8c61c2…
10-27 20:05:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 2?	No	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x3d9c83…
10-27 20:05:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 2?	No	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0xe48e04…
10-27 19:45:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x90a188…
10-27 16:33:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x56b690…
10-27 16:17:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xeff27b…
10-27 11:05:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0x385a8e…
10-27 10:25:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	BUY	22	85¢	$19	0xe3bdb2…
10-27 10:25:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	BUY	22	85¢	$19	0xd4d998…
10-27 04:27:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x596a00…
10-27 04:27:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x00ca44…
10-26 06:16:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	36	48¢	$17	0x96e5f3…
10-26 06:16:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x3724fa…
10-26 06:16:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	39	48¢	$19	0xf07742…
10-26 06:16:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	39	48¢	$19	0xa65e67…
10-26 06:12:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	14	81¢	$11	0xee5080…
10-26 06:12:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	14	81¢	$11	0xe21a7b…
10-26 06:12:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xa4a234…
10-26 06:12:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x18fcf5…
10-26 06:12:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	24	80¢	$19	0xeff6c0…
10-26 06:12:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	24	80¢	$19	0xef4871…
10-25 12:31:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x12ec6a…
10-25 12:31:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	36	16¢	$6	0xe65524…
10-25 12:31:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	36	16¢	$6	0x2318e1…
10-24 03:50:41	Will Solana dip to $100 October 19-25?	No	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x602948…
10-23 12:55:41	Will Solana dip to $100 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	24	22¢	$5	0x98801f…
10-23 12:55:41	Will Solana dip to $100 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	24	22¢	$5	0x8f392c…
10-23 09:23:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	36	74¢	$26	0x9ba9a1…
10-23 08:46:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	22	81¢	$18	0xe94b98…
10-23 08:46:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	22	81¢	$18	0x56edca…
10-23 04:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xa11e67…
10-23 04:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x6051e4…
10-23 04:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xddd50c…
10-23 02:02:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x705ce9…
10-23 02:02:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xdbfca8…
10-23 01:52:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xf0933b…
10-23 01:52:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x67d7ab…
10-23 00:40:12	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	94	2¢	$1	0x836778…
10-21 10:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf33417…
10-21 10:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcad9f9…
10-21 10:49:30	Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?	Yes	SELL	28	74¢	$21	0xfcfdc6…
10-19 21:06:37	Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x80685c…
10-19 21:01:46	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	3¢	$3	0x561edc…
10-17 04:52:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 18?	No	SELL	133	1¢	$1	0x6da140…
10-15 17:13:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	No	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0x98649d…
10-15 12:48:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x3b37b8…
10-15 12:46:29	bitcoin above 80k on october 18 2026	No	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x4e7c87…
10-15 08:58:23	will wti dip to 85 in october 2026	No	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xacbdcc…
10-15 08:56:29	will wti dip to 80 in october 2026	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x83e209…
10-15 08:56:28	will wti dip to 80 in october 2026	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xd98036…
10-15 04:05:20	will solana dip to 100 october 12 18 2026	No	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xb3c7ee…
10-15 04:05:20	will solana dip to 100 october 12 18 2026	No	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x1c92c9…
10-15 04:04:37	bitcoin above 78k on october 17 2026	No	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x2364bd…