Realized P&L
-$3.45K
Unrealized P&L
-$101
Hit rate
66.3%
Resolved
447
Trades
4,163
lifetime
Volume
$47.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$337
21 positions
First seen
2026-05-02
last 09-07 13:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 75 days
Categories
Crypto
67% 57% -$3,276
Other
15% 14% -$867
Politics
15% 26% +$1,127
Sports
3% 43% -$383
Tech
0% 11% -$50
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +1,639 $113 4¢ $61 -$53 06-29 04:26
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes +174 $44 34¢ $60 +$17 06-12 05:56
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +943 $81 5¢ $50 -$31 05-08 22:01
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +100 $35 34¢ $33 -$1 05-13 08:17
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,041 $22 3¢ $27 +$5 05-06 16:23
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +1,000 $61 2¢ $22 -$38 05-05 05:45
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +400 $19 5¢ $21 +$2 05-05 07:38
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? Yes +705 $61 2¢ $16 -$46 06-19 23:52
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +300 $14 5¢ $15 +$1 05-07 23:11
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +619 -$5 2¢ $12 +$17 05-24 04:17
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +362 $25 2¢ $9 -$16 07-01 21:44
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Yes +215 $9 2¢ $4 -$5 05-06 06:26
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $9 4¢ $4 -$5 05-03 20:34
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +100 $9 3¢ $3 -$6 05-05 11:38
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +205 $24 0¢ $0 -$23 05-05 03:26
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1 $0 18¢ $0 $0 05-06 16:24
2026 Balance of Power: Other Yes +146 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 05-10 10:44
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +0 -$10 95¢ $0 +$10 06-06 15:07
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +0 -$6 30¢ $0 +$6 06-19 16:14
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 -$30 31¢ $0 +$30 05-23 15:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +0 -$37 20¢ $0 +$37 05-12 08:20