Carefree-Apparatus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.66K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.9%

Resolved

345

Trades

9,531

lifetime

Volume

$160.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 07-20 23:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 51% +$1,659

Other

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 514 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	1	$4.1K	6,931	+6,931	open	—	07-13 02:37
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	1	$1000	1,538	+1,538	open	—	06-13 09:01
fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	8	$740	1,200	+1,200	open	—	06-23 06:56
fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 goals harry kane gte1	3	$650	1,000	+1,000	open	—	06-23 06:38
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	1	$200	370	+370	open	—	07-15 12:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10PM ET	4	$184	400	+400	Down	+$16	05-07 01:58
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1AM ET	11	$184	400	+400	open	—	05-27 05:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9AM ET	2	$184	400	+400	open	—	05-25 12:56
bitcoin up or down march 5 3am et	3	$184	400	+400	open	—	03-05 07:59
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 6PM ET	5	$184	400	+400	open	—	05-26 22:05
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12PM ET	10	$184	400	+400	open	—	05-27 16:16
bitcoin up or down march 14 3pm et	2	$184	400	+400	open	—	03-14 18:57
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 10PM ET	4	$184	400	+400	open	—	05-27 02:56
bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 10am et	2	$184	400	+400	open	—	04-07 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2PM ET	2	$184	400	+400	open	—	05-04 17:57
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4PM ET	10	$184	400	+400	open	—	05-26 20:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2AM ET	4	$184	400	+400	open	—	05-27 06:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11PM ET	3	$184	400	+400	Down	+$16	05-07 02:57
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 4AM ET	43	$184	400	+400	open	—	05-27 08:10
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10AM ET	2	$184	400	+400	open	—	05-27 14:22
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 8AM ET	11	$184	400	+400	open	—	05-27 12:20
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 7PM ET	4	$184	400	+400	open	—	04-28 23:01
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 4am et	2	$184	400	+400	open	—	03-27 07:58
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 12AM ET	4	$184	400	+400	open	—	04-29 04:22
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 6AM ET	2	$184	400	+400	open	—	05-27 10:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7PM ET	2	$184	400	+400	open	—	04-28 23:07
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 1am et	2	$184	400	+400	open	—	04-21 05:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10PM ET	4	$184	400	+400	open	—	05-27 02:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11PM ET	3	$184	400	+400	open	—	05-27 03:20
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 6AM ET	4	$184	400	+400	open	—	04-29 10:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 04:59:30	ethereum up or down july 21 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x54ad34…
07-21 04:51:43	bitcoin up or down july 21 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xaf3c0e…
07-21 03:59:10	ethereum up or down july 21 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0x5187c7…
07-21 03:56:39	ethereum up or down july 21 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0x1e74f4…
07-21 03:54:04	bitcoin up or down july 21 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0xd5e864…
07-21 03:42:45	bitcoin up or down july 21 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xda153f…
07-21 03:41:18	bitcoin up or down july 21 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0x1a2e8b…
07-21 03:37:21	bitcoin up or down july 21 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x11fb47…
07-21 03:36:46	solana up or down july 21 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x311ce5…
07-21 02:58:51	ethereum up or down july 20 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x0fd49f…
07-21 02:57:42	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x4be36a…
07-21 01:58:37	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0x3341ea…
07-21 01:57:10	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x4792db…
07-21 01:55:45	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	53	46¢	$24	0x859166…
07-21 01:53:51	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0xc5205d…
07-21 01:48:46	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$4	0x4cd9c4…
07-21 01:47:03	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x85851b…
07-21 00:43:58	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xd1e09a…
07-20 23:56:22	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x75d78d…
07-20 20:55:25	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	23	46¢	$11	0xf0ad07…
07-20 20:47:40	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x39c903…
07-20 19:55:21	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xbff9ee…
07-20 19:37:39	solana up or down july 20 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xd1b168…
07-20 18:57:45	solana up or down july 20 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x35a237…
07-20 18:57:24	ethereum up or down july 20 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0x863091…
07-20 17:59:31	ethereum up or down july 20 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	32	46¢	$15	0x5c8a58…
07-20 17:59:04	solana up or down july 20 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x7e485a…
07-20 17:58:54	ethereum up or down july 20 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	18	46¢	$8	0xc57f53…
07-20 17:58:43	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xdd28a7…
07-20 15:59:07	solana up or down july 20 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x8679b2…
07-20 15:56:28	ethereum up or down july 20 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x470fbd…
07-20 15:55:03	solana up or down july 20 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x6eecff…
07-20 15:46:40	solana up or down july 20 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x9f355b…
07-20 15:42:19	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x2917b5…
07-20 14:56:42	solana up or down july 20 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xd84085…
07-20 14:56:42	solana up or down july 20 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x9ac542…
07-20 14:56:42	solana up or down july 20 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x8cdc78…
07-20 14:56:40	solana up or down july 20 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0xe5d237…
07-20 13:58:25	solana up or down july 20 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x727692…
07-20 13:58:24	solana up or down july 20 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xbceb50…
07-20 13:58:24	solana up or down july 20 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x399040…
07-20 13:43:06	solana up or down july 20 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf75321…
07-20 12:52:37	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xb7b9f5…
07-20 12:43:27	ethereum up or down july 20 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x8a1556…
07-20 11:59:27	solana up or down july 20 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xce7797…
07-20 11:59:27	solana up or down july 20 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x5b5265…
07-20 11:59:25	solana up or down july 20 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5b1b8a…
07-20 11:59:07	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xd879ec…
07-20 11:59:04	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x098c27…
07-20 11:58:54	ethereum up or down july 20 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0x180523…
07-20 11:58:52	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	1	46¢	$1	0xf29140…
07-20 11:57:45	ethereum up or down july 20 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb74e72…
07-20 11:57:43	ethereum up or down july 20 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7b9fd5…
07-20 11:55:03	solana up or down july 20 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xa26bfc…
07-20 10:56:54	solana up or down july 20 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x94fab2…
07-20 10:56:48	solana up or down july 20 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0x67238a…
07-20 09:57:36	solana up or down july 20 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x2ad4bb…
07-20 09:57:36	solana up or down july 20 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x104d07…
07-20 09:57:34	solana up or down july 20 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc5cff7…
07-20 09:55:43	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x64e940…
07-20 09:55:40	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x74e592…
07-20 09:51:16	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xbf44f6…
07-20 09:46:57	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xa1e664…
07-20 08:39:06	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	28	46¢	$13	0xec207f…
07-20 07:58:04	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	23	46¢	$11	0xdc654d…
07-20 07:51:04	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x3bdb25…
07-20 07:47:16	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xff39b6…
07-20 07:44:33	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0xa26a41…
07-20 07:34:33	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf24ecc…
07-20 07:33:12	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	75	46¢	$34	0x7c4935…
07-20 06:59:03	solana up or down july 20 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0x096eab…
07-20 06:58:21	solana up or down july 20 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xdf5be2…
07-20 06:58:21	solana up or down july 20 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x41ea1a…
07-20 06:58:19	solana up or down july 20 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x72aa7b…
07-20 06:55:21	ethereum up or down july 20 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x6f362e…
07-20 06:49:52	ethereum up or down july 20 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xbf986c…
07-20 06:43:16	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xaf1645…
07-20 06:29:24	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	90	46¢	$41	0x42f82e…
07-20 05:59:18	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	79	46¢	$37	0x7a790e…
07-20 05:59:03	solana up or down july 20 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x5908fd…
07-20 05:59:03	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x1f5ee8…
07-20 05:58:51	ethereum up or down july 20 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xd10eb1…
07-20 05:57:52	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0xe84998…
07-20 05:57:04	solana up or down july 20 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x4e201d…
07-20 05:56:57	solana up or down july 20 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x6259ae…
07-20 05:54:27	solana up or down july 20 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xf10d24…
07-20 05:54:27	solana up or down july 20 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xea9e23…
07-20 05:54:25	solana up or down july 20 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x80b42d…
07-20 04:58:21	solana up or down july 20 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x8a9186…
07-20 04:58:19	solana up or down july 20 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x8ea236…
07-20 04:58:18	solana up or down july 20 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x27262b…
07-20 03:35:31	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xaed944…
07-20 02:50:03	solana up or down july 19 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x36ad70…
07-20 02:29:19	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x9b877a…
07-20 02:15:45	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xf48c91…
07-20 02:09:39	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	89	46¢	$41	0xf81ea2…
07-20 00:54:52	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe01250…
07-20 00:45:03	solana up or down july 19 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x9edd47…
07-19 23:55:31	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xd78bcc…
07-19 22:56:09	solana up or down july 19 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xb54c28…