Scary-Walnut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.52K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.7%

Resolved

4,139

Trades

14,932

lifetime

Volume

$273.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 10-14 19:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 116 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 67% -$1,251

Sports

3% 47% -$277

Other

2% 41% +$20

Tech

0% 0% -$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 547 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 3pm et	48	$1.6K	1,406	1,382	+23	Up	+$133	04-23 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5PM ET	8	$1.2K	638	638	+0	Down	+$38	05-13 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	19	$1.2K	1,477	874	+603	Up	-$138	05-29 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12PM ET	37	$1.1K	799	702	+97	Up	+$67	05-14 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11AM ET	6	$1.0K	554	554	+0	Down	+$49	05-13 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1PM ET	21	$974	537	537	+0	Down	+$26	05-14 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8PM ET	9	$974	523	523	+0	Up	+$63	05-14 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	15	$955	695	695	+0	Down	+$56	05-29 19:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2PM ET	10	$946	496	496	+0	Up	+$46	05-13 20:08
bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 3pm et	4	$936	753	427	+327	Down	-$77	04-22 20:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 19:30 UTC	34	$904	719	719	+0	Down	-$46	07-02 19:34
bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 11am et	33	$884	676	676	+0	Up	+$52	09-30 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11AM ET	25	$841	750	448	+302	Down	-$17	09-10 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	31	$829	552	552	+0	Up	+$229	05-29 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 5PM ET	32	$807	482	394	+88	Down	+$61	09-29 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	19	$791	968	968	+0	Up	+$47	05-29 17:12
bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 2pm et	34	$786	594	444	+151	Up	+$20	04-20 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5PM ET	29	$772	757	584	+173	Down	+$142	04-27 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12PM ET	32	$767	711	711	+0	Up	-$43	05-13 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	18	$724	538	538	+0	Down	+$175	05-29 17:29
bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 2pm et	4	$713	468	455	+12	Up	+$137	04-22 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	7	$694	473	473	+0	Down	+$194	05-29 17:53
bitcoin up or down september 18 2026 3am et	18	$686	370	370	+0	Up	+$40	09-18 07:57
bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 1pm et	18	$678	624	601	+23	Down	+$186	04-24 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	11	$660	460	460	+0	Down	+$160	05-29 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8PM ET	16	$651	346	346	+0	Up	+$39	09-11 00:53
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 10am et	5	$639	406	394	+12	Up	+$160	04-23 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1PM ET	11	$639	361	356	+4	Up	+$46	04-27 17:56
bitcoin up or down april 18 2026 2pm et	10	$581	328	325	+3	Down	+$71	04-18 19:19
bitcoin up or down august 11 2026 2pm et	9	$578	303	303	+0	Down	+$27	08-11 18:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 19:19:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xe42601…
10-10 18:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0xcdb2fe…
10-10 18:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x9dd070…
10-10 18:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	85¢	$7	0x79660a…
10-10 18:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x0ba998…
10-10 18:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xd7c60b…
10-10 18:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x81c0d7…
10-10 18:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x7d3650…
10-10 18:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x02a9df…
10-10 18:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x8834b4…
10-10 18:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x82bce1…
10-10 18:38:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0xfed045…
10-10 18:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	174	23¢	$40	0xc3867e…
10-10 18:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x09a40a…
10-10 18:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0xd9da98…
10-10 18:29:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	92	99¢	$91	0x1daf4a…
10-10 18:28:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x25744f…
10-10 18:28:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x713f08…
10-10 18:28:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x8b8805…
10-10 18:28:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	75¢	$20	0xd983ab…
10-10 18:27:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xe8e38f…
10-10 18:27:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x9d83ef…
10-10 18:27:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x37002b…
10-10 18:27:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x6086bc…
10-10 18:27:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd3e5ff…
10-10 18:22:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x7d8237…
10-10 18:22:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0xed12d4…
10-10 18:22:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	36	92¢	$33	0x6d946a…
10-10 18:21:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xc0f631…
10-10 18:21:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xa2bc63…
10-10 18:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	49	40¢	$19	0xc9171c…
10-10 18:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	40¢	$5	0x05a777…
10-10 18:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x17b254…
10-10 18:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0xaa5b77…
10-10 18:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x11be61…
10-10 18:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xd5508a…
10-10 18:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x78fc52…
10-10 18:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xd12a6f…
10-10 18:14:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0xfe3631…
10-10 18:14:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	20¢	$5	0xcc5a26…
10-10 18:13:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x065192…
10-10 18:13:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x8b2d0d…
10-10 18:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	35	22¢	$8	0x4d3662…
10-10 18:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	40¢	$8	0xe32d09…
10-10 18:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x47ccc6…
10-10 18:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x20b690…
10-10 18:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1956ae…
10-10 18:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0x9ddae4…
10-10 18:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3d22bc…
10-10 18:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0xe7d6ad…
10-10 18:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	40¢	$13	0xdf42a3…
10-10 18:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xbc27fe…
10-10 18:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x30d119…
10-10 18:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe1cf5b…
10-10 18:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8d6870…
10-10 18:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	95	40¢	$38	0xa189c0…
10-09 17:56:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xefb9d5…
10-09 17:56:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x5bdceb…
10-09 17:56:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	41	40¢	$16	0x2f84bc…
10-09 17:56:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1e2cbd…
10-09 17:55:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	27	40¢	$11	0xe3c24a…
10-09 17:55:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x9d53bb…
10-09 17:55:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x82704c…
10-09 17:55:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	60	40¢	$24	0x4294de…
10-09 17:55:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x3e0b3b…
10-09 16:42:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	28	40¢	$11	0xe8da0e…
10-09 16:42:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	60	40¢	$24	0xd68292…
10-09 16:42:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xce2149…
10-09 16:42:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xc30d6a…
10-09 16:42:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xbc6de6…
10-09 16:42:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb6e971…
10-09 16:42:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xb00534…
10-09 16:42:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6ac5b8…
10-09 16:42:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x663c81…
10-09 16:42:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x3ff7c1…
10-09 16:42:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x26d2e2…
10-09 16:42:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x0c131c…
10-09 16:42:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x04d155…
10-09 16:40:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	55	40¢	$22	0x0eb585…
10-09 16:40:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x1bc750…
10-09 16:40:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x186219…
10-09 16:40:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2bf403…
10-09 16:40:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xff2c54…
10-09 16:40:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xa1bfd5…
10-09 16:40:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	27	40¢	$11	0x587627…
10-09 16:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xcab3f3…
10-09 16:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	67	40¢	$27	0x7ba42a…
10-09 16:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x79d25c…
10-09 16:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0x578c77…
10-09 16:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x43ebee…
10-09 16:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2edf8e…
10-09 16:35:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0xc9baa8…
10-09 16:35:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	86	40¢	$34	0xb01b95…
10-09 16:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xab2449…
10-09 16:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0xd1d907…
10-09 16:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xcd291e…
10-09 16:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$5	0xbf8831…
10-09 16:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0xb41e0d…
10-09 16:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x93eecd…
10-09 16:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	60	44¢	$27	0x81fe50…