Scary-Walnut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$81

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.0%

Resolved

211

Trades

8,238

lifetime

Volume

$146.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 07-01 04:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 83% $-81

Other

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 472 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 3pm et	48	$1.6K	1,406	1,382	+23	open	—	04-23 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5PM ET	8	$1.2K	638	638	+0	Down	+$38	05-13 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	19	$1.2K	1,477	874	+603	open	—	05-29 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12PM ET	37	$1.1K	799	702	+97	open	—	05-14 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11AM ET	6	$1.0K	554	554	+0	Down	+$49	05-13 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1PM ET	21	$974	537	537	+0	open	—	05-14 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8PM ET	9	$974	523	523	+0	Up	+$63	05-14 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	15	$955	695	695	+0	open	—	05-29 19:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2PM ET	10	$946	496	496	+0	Up	+$46	05-13 20:08
bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 3pm et	4	$936	753	427	+327	open	—	04-22 20:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	31	$829	552	552	+0	open	—	05-29 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	19	$791	968	968	+0	open	—	05-29 17:12
bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 2pm et	34	$786	594	444	+151	open	—	04-20 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5PM ET	29	$772	757	584	+173	open	—	04-27 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12PM ET	32	$767	711	711	+0	Up	$-43	05-13 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	18	$724	538	538	+0	open	—	05-29 17:29
bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 2pm et	4	$713	468	455	+12	open	—	04-22 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	7	$694	473	473	+0	open	—	05-29 17:53
bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 1pm et	18	$678	624	601	+23	open	—	04-24 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	11	$660	460	460	+0	open	—	05-29 17:43
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 10am et	5	$639	406	394	+12	open	—	04-23 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1PM ET	11	$639	361	356	+4	open	—	04-27 17:56
bitcoin up or down april 18 2026 2pm et	10	$581	328	325	+3	open	—	04-18 19:19
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 7pm et	3	$562	798	0	+798	open	—	04-23 23:38
bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 8pm et	4	$561	389	251	+138	open	—	04-23 01:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4PM ET	32	$557	343	335	+8	open	—	04-27 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	22	$524	338	338	+0	open	—	05-29 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3PM ET	7	$523	283	283	+0	open	—	05-14 20:38
btc updown 5m 1780551600	5	$514	349	349	+0	open	—	06-04 05:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2PM ET	7	$500	702	177	+525	open	—	04-27 19:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 04:05:31	mlb laa sea 2026 06 30 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	40	72¢	$29	0x832350…
07-01 04:05:13	mlb laa sea 2026 06 30 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xf21e05…
07-01 03:34:55	btc updown 5m 1782876600	Down	SELL	61	96¢	$59	0x33e4eb…
07-01 03:34:53	btc updown 5m 1782876600	Down	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0xf76cd1…
07-01 03:34:02	btc updown 5m 1782876600	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x3f783f…
07-01 03:33:40	btc updown 5m 1782876600	Down	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x3f38b2…
07-01 03:33:29	btc updown 5m 1782876600	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xe2e692…
07-01 03:33:11	btc updown 5m 1782876600	Down	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0xd3c8c6…
06-30 23:44:49	btc updown 5m 1782862800	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xa19b03…
06-30 23:44:47	btc updown 5m 1782862800	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x9e70f0…
06-30 23:44:41	btc updown 5m 1782862800	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x9b2e5a…
06-30 23:23:37	btc updown 5m 1782861600	Down	BUY	78	77¢	$60	0xaac336…
06-30 23:12:46	btc updown 5m 1782861300	Down	BUY	125	48¢	$60	0xece013…
06-30 20:53:17	btc updown 5m 1782852600	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x865f44…
06-30 20:52:34	btc updown 5m 1782852600	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x57a804…
06-30 20:51:11	btc updown 5m 1782852600	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xb4234d…
06-30 20:50:55	btc updown 5m 1782852600	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x6e4a63…
06-30 20:50:50	btc updown 5m 1782852600	Down	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x49ed5d…
06-30 20:50:31	btc updown 5m 1782852600	Up	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xebcbe4…
06-30 20:50:08	btc updown 15m 1782852300	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x0be32f…
06-30 20:47:50	btc updown 5m 1782852300	Up	SELL	71	98¢	$69	0x0462f0…
06-30 20:46:35	btc updown 5m 1782852300	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xffd9fa…
06-30 20:46:26	btc updown 5m 1782852300	Down	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x30872f…
06-30 20:46:07	btc updown 5m 1782852300	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x6da19e…
06-30 20:45:44	btc updown 5m 1782852300	Down	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x721ad8…
06-30 20:45:19	btc updown 5m 1782852000	Down	SELL	65	99¢	$64	0x85d5ed…
06-30 20:43:47	btc updown 5m 1782852000	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xf05113…
06-30 20:42:19	btc updown 5m 1782852000	Up	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x41bffb…
06-30 20:42:14	btc updown 5m 1782852000	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x949c83…
06-30 20:41:31	btc updown 5m 1782852000	Down	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xb8e7cc…
06-30 20:38:22	btc updown 5m 1782851700	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x017cc9…
06-30 20:38:08	btc updown 5m 1782851700	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xb7221d…
06-30 20:37:56	btc updown 5m 1782851700	Down	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xf9a9f9…
06-30 20:26:59	btc updown 5m 1782851100	Down	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x871697…
06-30 20:26:46	btc updown 5m 1782851100	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x1acd70…
06-30 20:26:35	btc updown 5m 1782851100	Up	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x43b967…
06-30 20:20:31	btc updown 5m 1782850800	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xc2eb38…
06-30 20:18:49	btc updown 5m 1782850500	Down	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0x9c6d79…
06-30 20:16:58	btc updown 5m 1782850500	Up	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0x9227a4…
06-30 20:16:13	btc updown 5m 1782850500	Down	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x9ed194…
06-30 20:15:43	btc updown 5m 1782850500	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x6b8a4b…
06-30 20:15:23	btc updown 5m 1782850500	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xb069ca…
06-30 20:14:35	btc updown 15m 1782849600	Up	SELL	112	97¢	$108	0x2185bf…
06-30 20:13:56	btc updown 5m 1782850200	Up	SELL	96	82¢	$79	0xed67e9…
06-30 20:13:37	btc updown 5m 1782850200	Down	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0xba17dd…
06-30 20:13:23	btc updown 5m 1782850200	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3fbb00…
06-30 20:12:32	btc updown 5m 1782850200	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xb3481a…
06-30 20:12:02	btc updown 15m 1782849600	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x127c1f…
06-30 20:11:07	btc updown 5m 1782850200	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xde3358…
06-30 20:10:43	btc updown 5m 1782850200	Up	BUY	86	70¢	$60	0x28ce48…
06-30 20:10:13	btc updown 15m 1782849600	Down	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x148534…
06-30 20:10:01	btc updown 15m 1782849600	Down	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xf49ae2…
06-30 20:03:04	btc updown 5m 1782849600	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x312d51…
06-30 20:02:53	btc updown 15m 1782849600	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xba4a5b…
06-30 20:02:11	btc updown 15m 1782849600	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x65d77d…
06-30 20:01:59	btc updown 15m 1782849600	Up	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x996971…
06-30 20:01:46	btc updown 15m 1782849600	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x9b207d…
06-30 20:00:26	btc updown 5m 1782849600	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xa70e76…
06-30 19:59:31	eth updown 15m 1782848700	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0xdcc0d8…
06-30 19:59:31	eth updown 15m 1782848700	Up	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x60a59d…
06-30 19:59:31	eth updown 15m 1782848700	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x3f7022…
06-30 19:59:31	eth updown 15m 1782848700	Up	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x3b787c…
06-30 19:59:31	eth updown 15m 1782848700	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x202295…
06-30 19:59:31	eth updown 15m 1782848700	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x0a6733…
06-30 19:59:29	eth updown 15m 1782848700	Up	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0xff196f…
06-30 19:59:29	eth updown 15m 1782848700	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xe66425…
06-30 19:59:29	eth updown 15m 1782848700	Up	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x9ab13a…
06-30 19:59:29	eth updown 15m 1782848700	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x4faf5f…
06-30 19:59:23	btc updown 15m 1782848700	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xfc23bd…
06-30 19:59:23	btc updown 15m 1782848700	Up	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0xd453ff…
06-30 19:59:23	btc updown 15m 1782848700	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xcf33ec…
06-30 19:59:23	btc updown 15m 1782848700	Up	SELL	22	97¢	$22	0xbdf4e3…
06-30 19:59:23	btc updown 15m 1782848700	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xa47ac9…
06-30 19:59:23	btc updown 15m 1782848700	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x4ede31…
06-30 19:59:23	btc updown 15m 1782848700	Up	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0x4cc215…
06-30 19:59:23	btc updown 15m 1782848700	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x342933…
06-30 19:59:23	btc updown 15m 1782848700	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x24a514…
06-30 19:59:23	btc updown 15m 1782848700	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x17fbf3…
06-30 19:59:22	btc updown 15m 1782848700	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xd5462b…
06-30 19:59:22	btc updown 15m 1782848700	Up	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xbe08ee…
06-30 19:59:22	btc updown 15m 1782848700	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x875ea9…
06-30 19:59:22	btc updown 15m 1782848700	Up	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x48add3…
06-30 19:59:20	btc updown 5m 1782849300	Up	SELL	35	96¢	$34	0xf8a259…
06-30 19:59:20	btc updown 5m 1782849300	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x20b477…
06-30 19:57:38	btc updown 5m 1782849300	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xf862e9…
06-30 19:54:19	btc updown 5m 1782849300	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xcaaceb…
06-30 19:52:49	eth updown 15m 1782848700	Up	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x3c1976…
06-30 19:52:05	btc updown 15m 1782848700	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x013f35…
06-30 19:51:29	btc updown 15m 1782848700	Up	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x8523da…
06-30 19:51:19	btc updown 15m 1782848700	Up	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xe52a42…
06-30 19:50:32	btc updown 15m 1782848700	Down	BUY	115	52¢	$60	0x9ecfc7…
06-30 19:49:50	eth updown 15m 1782848700	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x03e8e9…
06-30 19:49:29	btc updown 5m 1782848700	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xeb019c…
06-30 19:49:29	btc updown 5m 1782848700	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x207ad3…
06-30 19:48:22	btc updown 5m 1782848700	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xd1ecc3…
06-30 19:48:10	btc updown 5m 1782848700	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xbfc3e9…
06-30 19:48:04	btc updown 5m 1782848700	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x8ccf5a…
06-30 19:37:02	btc updown 5m 1782848100	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x922aed…
06-30 19:35:25	btc updown 5m 1782848100	Up	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xdbe95d…
06-30 19:34:08	btc updown 15m 1782847800	Down	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x6fe142…