Extraneous-Paperwork — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

92.9%

Resolved

Trades

143

lifetime

Volume

$2.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$14

1 position

First seen

2026-03-13

last 07-04 16:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

43% 83% $-4

Crypto

39% 100% +$2

Sports

13% 100% +$12

Politics

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	No		+18	$15	78¢	$14	$-1	06-10 03:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	4	$386	200	200	+0	open	—	05-07 05:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$129	80	80	+0	open	—	07-02 03:04
btc updown 5m 1781275200	3	$105	56	56	+0	open	—	06-12 14:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	1	$93	100	0	+100	open	—	05-07 07:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	1	$66	70	0	+70	open	—	05-16 04:07
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	2	$62	70	0	+70	open	—	04-23 01:04
mlb sd phi 2026 06 03	1	$61	67	0	+67	open	—	06-04 00:35
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	1	$58	64	0	+64	open	—	05-16 04:09
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	1	$51	62	0	+62	open	—	06-01 12:45
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Inner Circle (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs	1	$50	61	0	+61	open	—	06-01 14:45
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$47	51	0	+51	open	—	05-14 05:09
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	1	$43	50	0	+50	open	—	05-26 02:23
btc updown 4h 1783137600	3	$40	80	0	+80	open	—	07-04 04:00
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$37	44	0	+44	open	—	05-18 01:15
bitcoin above 60k on june 9 2026	2	$34	37	0	+37	open	—	06-08 09:29
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$30	33	0	+33	open	—	05-09 01:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	2	$28	16	16	+0	open	—	04-16 09:01
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	1	$28	30	0	+30	Milwaukee Brewers	+$2	05-09 01:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	1	$27	32	0	+32	open	—	05-09 01:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	1	$27	30	0	+30	open	—	05-14 05:05
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	2	$26	50	0	+50	open	—	05-18 05:24
nba phi bos 2026 04 19	1	$26	30	0	+30	open	—	04-19 17:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	1	$25	30	0	+30	open	—	05-07 05:53
btc updown 5m 1781276100	1	$25	48	0	+48	open	—	06-12 14:54
btc updown 5m 1781275500	1	$25	42	0	+42	open	—	06-12 14:48
Connecticut Sun vs. New York Liberty	2	$25	28	0	+28	New York Liberty	+$3	05-07 07:56
btc updown 5m 1781276400	1	$24	50	0	+50	open	—	06-12 14:57
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$24	28	0	+28	open	—	05-23 13:08
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	1	$24	27	0	+27	Colorado Rockies	+$3	05-09 01:07
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Ground Zero (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A	1	$24	26	0	+26	TYLOO	+$2	05-11 05:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 16:03:55	bitcoin up or down on july 5 2026	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf6824c…
07-04 15:21:17	btc updown 15m 1783178100	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x8a5781…
07-04 15:13:05	btc updown 15m 1783178100	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x2e63f2…
07-04 15:00:37	btc updown 15m 1783177200	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x94d4ce…
07-04 11:58:38	btc updown 4h 1783166400	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x88d8b4…
07-04 05:22:26	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x6c9a90…
07-04 04:00:04	btc updown 4h 1783137600	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x8a9167…
07-04 04:00:02	btc updown 4h 1783137600	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3d3dae…
07-04 03:45:07	btc updown 15m 1783136700	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x82a36c…
07-04 00:00:04	btc updown 4h 1783123200	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xaeb2d8…
07-03 16:06:16	bitcoin up or down on july 4 2026	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xacde47…
07-03 15:11:38	btc updown 15m 1783091700	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xb09ad2…
07-03 13:45:08	btc updown 15m 1783086300	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xb600ab…
07-03 13:45:08	btc updown 15m 1783086300	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x46be1b…
07-03 13:04:13	btc updown 4h 1783080000	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x76efd6…
07-03 13:01:37	btc updown 4h 1783080000	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x6f3b0b…
07-03 12:50:29	btc updown 4h 1783080000	Down	BUY	1	53¢	$0	0xcb04b1…
07-03 12:50:26	btc updown 4h 1783080000	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc8e456…
07-03 12:50:25	btc updown 4h 1783080000	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xead8d8…
07-03 12:24:38	btc updown 4h 1783080000	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x9fe6e5…
07-03 08:01:25	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x8a0739…
07-03 06:58:11	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0x7a9d62…
07-02 07:55:25	btc updown 15m 1782978300	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x79fa11…
07-02 07:04:40	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0x21a09d…
07-02 03:04:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	80	85¢	$68	0x8c0940…
06-12 14:57:16	btc updown 5m 1781276400	Up	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x66d258…
06-12 14:54:37	btc updown 5m 1781276100	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xd2f56a…
06-12 14:48:49	btc updown 5m 1781275500	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x8f43fa…
06-12 14:45:10	btc updown 5m 1781275200	Down	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0xe3c9a7…
06-12 14:41:49	btc updown 5m 1781275200	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xa37ab3…
06-12 14:41:43	btc updown 5m 1781275200	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x34a896…
06-10 12:18:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	83¢	$18	0x37c321…
06-10 03:11:07	Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xe04b2e…
06-08 09:29:37	bitcoin above 60k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0x54eeb1…
06-08 09:21:28	bitcoin above 60k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0x261699…
06-06 14:09:36	Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xa90e89…
06-06 13:53:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	80	76¢	$61	0x1880e0…
06-04 00:38:16	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	BUY	29	74¢	$21	0xd9a2d9…
06-04 00:35:46	mlb sd phi 2026 06 03	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	67	90¢	$61	0xe1777e…
06-01 14:45:29	Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Inner Circle (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs	L1ga Team	BUY	61	83¢	$50	0xfebe42…
06-01 12:45:42	LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Karmine Corp	BUY	62	83¢	$51	0x1b8aba…
05-26 02:23:10	LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster Challengers	BUY	50	87¢	$43	0x26e2c2…
05-23 13:08:54	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	28	86¢	$24	0xc6d870…
05-18 05:24:09	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	No	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x8763a6…
05-18 01:58:37	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	No	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xf1a203…
05-18 01:15:10	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	44	86¢	$37	0x68c0e6…
05-16 04:09:17	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Jannik Sinner	BUY	64	91¢	$58	0xa00abd…
05-16 04:07:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	70	95¢	$66	0x2679dd…
05-14 14:46:53	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xbdf1c0…
05-14 11:59:58	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x16dcf9…
05-14 11:40:08	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x3ffb92…
05-14 08:29:56	New York Liberty vs. Portland Fire	New York Liberty	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0x2f827a…
05-14 08:24:57	New York Liberty vs. Portland Fire	New York Liberty	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x8947c9…
05-14 05:46:22	New York Liberty vs. Portland Fire	New York Liberty	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x129dbf…
05-14 05:09:32	LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	BUY	51	92¢	$47	0xc27d91…
05-14 05:05:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x72f7bf…
05-11 05:49:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	24	90¢	$21	0xdda8f9…
05-11 05:42:02	Bengaluru 2: Dominik Palan vs Maan Kesharwani	Dominik Palan	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x9528d5…
05-11 05:40:12	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Ground Zero (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A	TYLOO	BUY	26	91¢	$24	0x980a1d…
05-09 01:19:41	New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x7a0e30…
05-09 01:17:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xdf490e…
05-09 01:15:37	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x205273…
05-09 01:09:44	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	17	77¢	$13	0xa04abc…
05-09 01:07:52	Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	27	89¢	$24	0x82d947…
05-09 01:01:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	32	84¢	$27	0x1c511a…
05-07 08:37:37	Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanxi Loongs	Zhejiang Lions	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xbea83c…
05-07 07:59:32	Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs SINQU (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C	ALGO Esports	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x8d35c5…
05-07 07:56:07	Connecticut Sun vs. New York Liberty	New York Liberty	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x154037…
05-07 07:55:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xb07dcd…
05-07 07:49:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	71¢	$13	0x7f2fb2…
05-07 07:47:26	Connecticut Sun vs. New York Liberty	New York Liberty	BUY	16	89¢	$15	0x49fc3d…
05-07 07:46:52	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	27	88¢	$24	0xc628a2…
05-07 07:46:24	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Simona Waltert	Simona Waltert	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xbd2f25…
05-07 05:54:47	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x7dd013…
05-07 05:53:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$25	0xbf24d7…
04-23 02:44:36	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	45	93¢	$42	0x71f85f…
04-23 02:23:16	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	154	93¢	$143	0xcd6f21…
04-23 02:18:50	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0xfbc1f0…
04-23 01:04:28	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	27	90¢	$24	0x48ad7f…
04-23 01:04:18	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	43	88¢	$38	0x042318…
04-19 17:05:18	nba phi bos 2026 04 19	Celtics	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0xa56ae5…
04-19 17:02:42	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xa9ab91…
04-16 09:29:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x12e768…
04-16 09:23:18	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 0 39	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x4f9e84…
04-16 09:13:34	claude 4pt7 released by april 17 411	Yes	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xb10f9c…
04-16 09:10:38	cs2 lavked bbp 2026 04 16	Lavked	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xf0ff5d…
04-16 09:01:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	SELL	16	98¢	$15	0xa6ad0d…
04-15 09:33:04	ethereum up or down on april 15 2026	Down	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0x56ed59…
04-15 09:21:14	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x361e8b…
04-14 04:49:45	bitcoin above 72k on april 14	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x909408…
04-13 00:30:41	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xb54eea…
04-13 00:27:55	bitcoin above 68k on april 13	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x72a218…
04-11 14:40:03	will bitcoin dip to 71k on april 11	No	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0x829149…
04-11 14:37:41	bitcoin above 70k on april 12	Yes	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x3a8966…
04-09 04:52:23	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0xdc41ff…
04-08 13:20:27	lol tes we 2026 04 08	Top Esports	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xe44f79…
04-08 13:17:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xb7a158…
04-07 02:08:17	nba okc lal 2026 04 07	Thunder	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x307ea1…
04-06 02:10:31	nba lac sac 2026 04 05	Clippers	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x74881c…
04-06 02:07:53	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 300 319	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x408265…