Humble-Replacement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$191

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.1%

Resolved

159

Trades

616

lifetime

Volume

$1.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 10-26 21:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 33% +$310

Other

41% 16% -$557

Sports

7% 38% +$57

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on June 11?	17	$388	54,701	0	+54,701	Down	-$388	06-11 13:46
solana up or down on june 4 2026	9	$257	1,278	1,278	+0	Down	+$180	06-04 03:23
Ethereum Up or Down on October 13?	3	$195	408	408	+0	Down	+$114	10-13 04:57
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-03 20:00 UTC	3	$127	126	126	+0	Down	+$56	06-03 21:36
Warriors vs. Trail Blazers	15	$79	167	167	+0	Trail Blazers	+$45	10-08 03:49
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 22?	1	$73	1,039	0	+1,039	Down	-$73	10-22 05:39
Ethereum Up or Down on October 3?	2	$57	185	185	+0	Down	+$20	10-03 04:00
wti up or down on july 20 2026	4	$53	160	160	+0	Up	-$11	07-20 04:11
solana up or down on july 12 2026	3	$48	317	317	+0	Down	+$16	07-12 09:46
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 April 27-May 3?	5	$47	7,188	7,105	+83	No	-$33	05-03 23:24
wti up or down on august 3 2026	3	$38	3,120	3,120	+0	Down	-$25	08-03 14:27
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on October 1?	3	$33	164	64	+100	Down	+$24	10-01 16:49
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 15?	12	$32	4,263	4,263	+0	Yes	+$23	05-15 05:12
Solana Up or Down - October 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	3	$27	31	31	+0	Up	+$21	10-13 02:25
solana above 80 on february 26	4	$21	942	942	+0	Yes	-$19	02-26 18:41
efa por1 ars 2026 01 11 ars	2	$20	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	01-11 15:57
Hawks vs. Spurs	3	$19	60	60	+0	Hawks	+$10	10-09 01:09
bnb up or down on october 5 2026	10	$17	45	45	+0	Up	+$8	10-05 04:45
xagusd up or down on july 21 2026	2	$17	283	283	+0	Up	-$11	07-21 14:16
ethereum above 1900 on march 10	8	$16	1,110	1,110	+0	Yes	$0	03-10 13:39
solana up or down july 20 2026 2pm et	3	$15	114	114	+0	Down	+$3	07-20 18:19
bitcoin above 80k on january 31	3	$14	846	846	+0	Yes	+$3	01-31 14:00
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-19 20:00 UTC	7	$13	534	534	+0	Up	-$11	08-19 23:13
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3PM ET	2	$11	9	9	+0	Down	+$6	05-14 20:04
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 3?	21	$11	10,775	28	+10,747	No	-$11	06-03 05:35
efa mnu bha 2026 01 11 mnu	1	$11	36	0	+36	No	-$11	01-11 17:24
ethereum above 2500 on february 1	7	$10	169	169	+0	No	-$7	02-01 15:19
acn sen egy 2026 01 14 egy	1	$10	45	0	+45	No	-$10	01-14 16:10
Bucks vs. Thunder	3	$10	44	44	+0	Bucks	+$5	10-08 01:47
bitcoin above 66k on march 12	1	$9	1,231	0	+1,231	Yes	-$9	03-12 01:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 21:22:18	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x27dd71…
10-24 01:13:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	65	0¢	$0	0x8b7450…
10-22 05:39:01	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	1,039	7¢	$73	0xd33b7f…
10-22 00:15:21	Bulls vs. Raptors	Bulls	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5dc85b…
10-21 20:23:51	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xcf3313…
10-21 16:58:36	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 4 - 2 RB Leipzig?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x419634…
10-20 17:43:09	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 3 FC Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0x40a0b5…
10-19 22:00:03	BNB Up or Down - October 19, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x92913c…
10-18 17:26:53	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 1 - 1 Sevilla FC?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x179a57…
10-18 01:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xfb7d80…
10-18 01:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xd26d5b…
10-17 23:45:27	Exact Score: Atlanta United FC 1 - 2 Inter Miami CF?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x817370…
10-17 14:27:27	Exact Score: Real Betis Balompié 2 - 4 FC Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	95	4¢	$4	0xdaa1c4…
10-17 03:41:50	Trail Blazers vs. Warriors	Trail Blazers	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xcb4dc0…
10-17 01:26:15	Kings vs. Spurs	Kings	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x756a3e…
10-17 01:17:29	Raptors vs. Pistons	Raptors	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x09bf13…
10-17 01:13:30	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0xa39dc5…
10-17 01:09:05	Hawks vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa6e15a…
10-17 00:56:56	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb04b66…
10-17 00:39:27	Raptors vs. Pistons	Raptors	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xe18023…
10-17 00:39:27	Raptors vs. Pistons	Raptors	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x481b0a…
10-16 22:29:53	lol fur c9 2026 10 16	FURIA Esports	SELL	15	23¢	$3	0xab0fc6…
10-16 22:05:18	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd2d963…
10-16 21:24:38	lol fur c9 2026 10 16	FURIA Esports	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x8d0443…
10-16 20:07:11	lol mvk kc 2026 10 16	MVK Esports	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa26945…
10-16 01:14:01	LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	FURIA Esports	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xc46184…
10-16 00:48:04	Exact Score: Estudiantes de La Plata 1 - 2 CR Flamengo?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6c393a…
10-16 00:17:33	dota2 amaru skyrea 2026 10 15	Amaru Gaming	SELL	14	14¢	$2	0x76e502…
10-15 23:28:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0x0583df…
10-15 22:49:46	dota2 amaru skyrea 2026 10 15	Amaru Gaming	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x224c0b…
10-15 22:15:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6887db…
10-14 19:31:30	Exact Score: Manchester City FC 3 - 3 Paris Saint-Germain FC?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3e167e…
10-14 13:14:20	xagusd up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x2d3d05…
10-14 01:34:43	Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x708e2a…
10-13 23:37:07	Knicks vs. Raptors	Knicks	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0xc34102…
10-13 23:37:06	Knicks vs. Raptors	Knicks	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0xd0f4e2…
10-13 23:36:52	Knicks vs. Raptors	Knicks	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x2d1f08…
10-13 18:30:00	Exact Score: Al-Ittihad Club 2 - 1 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9ccf1b…
10-13 17:47:04	dota2 playti hkr 2026 10 13	Hokori	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd7cdb6…
10-13 16:30:15	Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 1 Lille OSC?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x68fe93…
10-13 16:18:01	Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 1 - 3 FC Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd25500…
10-13 16:17:09	Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 1 Manchester United FC?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4cee64…
10-13 16:15:28	Exact Score: Al Sadd SC 1 - 2 Al Hilal SFC?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x4e41f4…
10-13 06:10:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0x5c8dcf…
10-13 06:02:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xac57a9…
10-13 05:13:12	ewy up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x109e7d…
10-13 04:57:57	Ethereum Up or Down on October 13?	Up	SELL	408	38¢	$155	0xb893df…
10-13 02:25:18	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	31	77¢	$24	0x1d4016…
10-13 00:51:50	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x949f22…
10-13 00:51:48	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xca4c57…
10-12 22:59:48	Ethereum Up or Down on October 13?	Up	BUY	140	10¢	$14	0x1c0a54…
10-12 22:59:44	Ethereum Up or Down on October 13?	Up	BUY	268	10¢	$27	0x13c80f…
10-12 20:10:26	Exact Score: Al Nassr Club 3 - 0 FK Neftchi Fargona?	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0x0afb56…
10-12 18:13:27	Exact Score: Al Nassr Club 3 - 0 FK Neftchi Fargona?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x88dfe2…
10-12 09:47:46	Counter-Strike: MARTYRDOM vs MARKandLARRY (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #3 Playoffs	MARTYRDOM	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0xbf658e…
10-12 09:40:31	Counter-Strike: MARTYRDOM vs MARKandLARRY (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #3 Playoffs	MARTYRDOM	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf9c97d…
10-11 16:20:28	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb070c1…
10-11 15:38:27	Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Aurora Young Blood (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 6: Open Qualifier Playoffs	MASONIC	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa928d5…
10-11 09:16:54	Overwatch: HUNENG vs SHENGSHI Esports (BO5) - OCS China Stage 3 Group Stage	SHENGSHI Esports	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xeaaeec…
10-11 01:01:07	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0x506aa2…
10-10 19:01:43	LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	G2 NORD	BUY	99	1¢	$1	0x344db4…
10-10 18:57:58	LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	G2 NORD	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xfa479d…
10-10 18:06:16	Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4fdea4…
10-10 18:02:04	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 1 - 1 Villarreal CF?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x995ed9…
10-10 16:11:03	Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 2 Tottenham Hotspur FC?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xfb6eeb…
10-10 16:00:37	Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 2 - 0 Parma Calcio 1913?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x92723d…
10-10 13:14:48	Exact Score: 1. FSV Mainz 05 1 - 2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb9dafe…
10-10 13:08:30	Exact Score: FC Augsburg 0 - 3 FC Bayern München?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa1c297…
10-10 01:08:11	Exact Score: Club Puebla 2 - 1 Club León FC?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x6c71b9…
10-10 00:24:34	LoL: Disguised vs Fuego (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs	Fuego	BUY	130	1¢	$1	0x85f5f6…
10-09 23:25:26	Exact Score: Deportivo Maldonado 1 - 2 Liverpool Montevideo?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf74260…
10-09 21:47:19	Exact Score: Instituto AC Córdoba 1 - 3 CA Boca Juniors?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x06dbdd…
10-09 18:22:08	Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 3 - 1 SV Werder Bremen?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7e050e…
10-09 18:14:07	Exact Score: Racing Club de Lens 1 - 0 Olympique Lyonnais?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc410d9…
10-09 17:50:59	LoL: Galions vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	Kaufland Hangry Knights	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0x39c6ec…
10-09 17:17:22	Exact Score: Al Nassr Saudi Club 3 - 1 Al Diraiyah Saudi Club?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9d5a92…
10-09 17:06:58	LoL: Galions vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	Kaufland Hangry Knights	BUY	47	1¢	$0	0x053d59…
10-09 17:04:48	LoL: Galions vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	Kaufland Hangry Knights	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x86887a…
10-09 17:01:45	lol gal khk 2026 10 09	Kaufland Hangry Knights	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xbedee7…
10-09 13:55:25	Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 2 Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa84198…
10-09 12:58:40	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xb1c286…
10-09 12:58:40	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x5887df…
10-09 09:12:07	Ethereum Up or Down on October 9?	Down	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xe0b0fa…
10-09 02:47:36	Ethereum Up or Down on October 9?	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x64a1c3…
10-09 01:09:12	Hawks vs. Spurs	Hawks	SELL	60	24¢	$14	0xadc19c…
10-09 00:38:48	Hawks vs. Spurs	Hawks	BUY	55	8¢	$4	0x0f7b8d…
10-09 00:37:33	Hawks vs. Spurs	Hawks	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x1e73c9…
10-08 19:21:32	BNB Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0x2850c4…
10-08 18:00:48	BNB Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x310e70…
10-08 09:20:29	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 8?	Down	BUY	26	9¢	$2	0x4755cb…
10-08 03:49:35	Warriors vs. Trail Blazers	Warriors	SELL	167	37¢	$62	0x4b5a12…
10-08 02:19:23	Warriors vs. Trail Blazers	Warriors	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xea24d7…
10-08 02:19:23	Warriors vs. Trail Blazers	Warriors	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x5a9519…
10-08 02:19:22	Warriors vs. Trail Blazers	Warriors	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xc60f13…
10-08 02:19:22	Warriors vs. Trail Blazers	Warriors	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x873c63…
10-08 02:19:22	Warriors vs. Trail Blazers	Warriors	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x6617bd…
10-08 02:19:22	Warriors vs. Trail Blazers	Warriors	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x251744…
10-08 02:19:20	Warriors vs. Trail Blazers	Warriors	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xe09fee…
10-08 02:19:20	Warriors vs. Trail Blazers	Warriors	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xd06b22…
10-08 02:19:20	Warriors vs. Trail Blazers	Warriors	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xae1d35…