Crisp-Lesson — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.20K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.9%

Resolved

447

Trades

848

lifetime

Volume

$75.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$89

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 10-29 16:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 57% +$976

Other

20% 72% +$2,209

Sports

15% 48% -$984

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win on 2026-06-30?	2	$4.7K	2,667	2,667	+0	Yes	+$664	06-30 22:56
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	12	$2.8K	1,716	1,716	+0	Yes	+$55	03-16 02:37
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	3	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	Cavaliers	+$390	05-09 21:58
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	2	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	France	+$499	06-30 22:56
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 11pm et	2	$1.3K	750	742	+7	Up	+$206	03-20 04:01
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	2	$1.3K	769	769	+0	Yes	+$262	06-30 18:59
ethereum up or down july 16 2026 12pm et	6	$1.2K	738	738	+0	Down	+$284	07-16 17:01
ucl ars lev 2026 03 17 spread home 1pt5	3	$1.0K	673	673	+0	Arsenal FC	+$321	03-17 22:24
nba ind sac 2026 03 10 spread home 3pt5	2	$912	612	612	+0	Kings	+$312	03-11 05:58
bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 12am et	2	$852	790	782	+8	Up	-$270	03-20 04:53
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?	2	$836	486	486	+0	Yes	+$136	05-09 18:25
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 2am et	3	$832	559	553	+6	Up	+$48	03-26 07:00
bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 1am et	2	$810	532	524	+8	Down	+$244	03-20 06:03
bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 10am et	5	$804	404	404	+0	Up	+$4	07-16 15:00
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 1am et	3	$748	454	449	+5	Down	+$153	03-26 06:13
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 11am et	2	$730	391	390	+1	Up	+$50	03-24 16:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 01:50 UTC	2	$686	359	359	+0	Up	+$25	03-15 01:55
nba mia cha 2026 03 17 spread home 3pt5	2	$681	431	431	+0	Hornets	+$181	03-18 01:36
Thunder vs. Lakers	4	$665	1,448	1,448	+0	Thunder	-$637	05-12 05:20
bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 2am et	2	$662	407	402	+5	Up	+$146	03-21 07:06
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1pm et	2	$657	404	399	+5	Down	+$145	03-25 17:57
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	2	$647	443	443	+0	Manchester City FC	+$239	05-09 18:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 02:45 UTC	4	$635	396	391	+5	Up	+$152	03-20 03:00
nba mia cha 2026 03 17	2	$630	380	380	+0	Hornets	+$129	03-18 01:35
nba chi lac 2026 03 13	2	$628	336	336	+0	Clippers	+$43	03-14 04:52
bitcoin up or down march 15 2026 11am et	2	$597	326	324	+2	Down	+$53	03-15 15:59
nba tor lac 2026 03 25 spread home 4pt5	3	$596	362	362	+0	Clippers	+$127	03-26 04:55
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 11am et	2	$582	388	382	+6	Down	+$188	03-17 16:09
ethereum up or down july 16 2026 10pm et	8	$525	930	390	+540	Down	-$495	07-17 02:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 08:45 UTC	3	$521	325	321	+4	Up	+$125	03-15 09:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 16:43:10	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x722209…
10-29 15:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0xb58003…
10-29 15:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x57efe5…
10-29 15:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0xe68dbf…
10-29 14:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	116	5¢	$6	0x91fe00…
10-29 14:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	116	8¢	$9	0x5980b7…
10-29 14:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	160	12¢	$20	0x9d66d6…
10-29 14:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x09b610…
10-29 14:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	514	0¢	$1	0x5aaafe…
10-29 14:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	237	4¢	$10	0xf221a1…
10-29 14:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	214	7¢	$15	0xa0f20c…
10-29 14:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0xa3e40b…
10-29 14:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x923716…
10-29 13:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0x42850b…
10-29 12:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	63	46¢	$29	0x60d65b…
10-29 12:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x90af7d…
10-29 12:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0xea6a3b…
10-29 12:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xd66826…
10-29 12:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x4b4cae…
10-29 11:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x4bd913…
10-29 11:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0xca31bf…
10-29 10:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	250	10¢	$25	0x1e8bf4…
10-29 10:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	610	1¢	$8	0x342853…
10-29 10:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	610	2¢	$10	0xb7857f…
10-29 10:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x952dfb…
10-29 10:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x521f06…
10-29 10:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xfc26b2…
10-29 10:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x718a31…
10-29 10:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xa87101…
10-29 09:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x694c7f…
10-29 09:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xe379a7…
10-29 09:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x42b1aa…
10-29 09:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xee27cb…
10-29 07:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xb36506…
10-29 07:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x3816cd…
10-29 07:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x13c1fb…
10-29 06:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x65c5fa…
10-29 06:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x57f148…
10-29 06:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x471a1c…
10-29 06:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0x667a6b…
10-29 06:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	56	4¢	$2	0x3fe85e…
10-29 06:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	82	12¢	$10	0xf64b74…
10-29 06:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x154d44…
10-29 06:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x4f1849…
10-29 06:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xd1fc7f…
10-29 06:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0xa66a7a…
10-29 06:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x78e608…
10-29 05:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x84313d…
10-29 05:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xe44b03…
10-29 05:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xe79760…
10-29 05:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xa57262…
10-29 04:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	68	99¢	$67	0x733bd3…
10-29 04:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	68	21¢	$14	0x082aae…
10-29 04:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x721d98…
10-29 04:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x1cf9b9…
10-29 04:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xc1635c…
10-29 03:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xcdeba1…
10-29 03:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x7abec5…
10-29 03:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x6a7592…
10-29 03:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x11a0bd…
10-29 02:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0xbb9b8e…
10-29 02:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xbd0d7a…
10-29 02:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xc0895a…
10-29 02:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0x3c0b66…
10-29 02:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	95	9¢	$9	0x8bbb40…
10-29 02:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xd075a3…
10-29 02:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x991083…
10-29 01:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	250	6¢	$15	0xaeca21…
10-29 01:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x2d2fa4…
10-29 01:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	751	0¢	$1	0x75bd14…
10-29 01:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x0a2d9a…
10-29 01:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	250	12¢	$30	0xd21a6f…
10-29 01:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x3448dd…
10-29 01:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	188	16¢	$30	0x519ba2…
10-29 01:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	214	28¢	$60	0x1cdc6a…
10-29 01:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xe13312…
10-29 01:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x59308a…
10-29 01:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xd172b7…
10-29 00:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	127	25¢	$32	0x74bb93…
10-29 00:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xf76641…
10-29 00:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x4aa52b…
10-29 00:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x1e4169…
10-29 00:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x265cf5…
10-29 00:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xce6004…
10-28 16:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x31c0f7…
10-28 16:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x4e5046…
10-28 16:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	68	22¢	$15	0xa3a6bb…
10-28 16:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0xb94d9d…
10-28 16:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xc8fb1a…
10-28 16:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3038d5…
10-28 15:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x9fb132…
10-28 14:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x5afd97…
10-28 11:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	183	99¢	$182	0x9ec903…
10-28 11:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x7ffde7…
10-28 11:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xe24d90…
10-28 11:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x516d01…
10-28 11:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x77e4d7…
10-28 11:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	161	99¢	$159	0x7c3f02…
10-28 10:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x6c4fc9…
10-28 10:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xe0ad45…