Crisp-Lesson — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.44K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

78.5%

Resolved

427

Trades

801

lifetime

Volume

$74.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$93

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-10

last 10-29 05:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 59% +$1,210

Other

20% 72% +$2,209

Sports

15% 48% -$984

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	—	+40	$9	20¢	$8	-$1	10-29 06:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win on 2026-06-30?	2	$4.7K	2,667	2,667	+0	Yes	+$664	06-30 22:56
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	12	$2.8K	1,716	1,716	+0	Yes	+$55	03-16 02:37
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	3	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	Cavaliers	+$390	05-09 21:58
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	2	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	France	+$499	06-30 22:56
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 11pm et	2	$1.3K	750	742	+7	Up	+$206	03-20 04:01
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	2	$1.3K	769	769	+0	Yes	+$262	06-30 18:59
ethereum up or down july 16 2026 12pm et	6	$1.2K	738	738	+0	Down	+$284	07-16 17:01
ucl ars lev 2026 03 17 spread home 1pt5	3	$1.0K	673	673	+0	Arsenal FC	+$321	03-17 22:24
nba ind sac 2026 03 10 spread home 3pt5	2	$912	612	612	+0	Kings	+$312	03-11 05:58
bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 12am et	2	$852	790	782	+8	Up	-$270	03-20 04:53
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?	2	$836	486	486	+0	Yes	+$136	05-09 18:25
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 2am et	3	$832	559	553	+6	Up	+$48	03-26 07:00
bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 1am et	2	$810	532	524	+8	Down	+$244	03-20 06:03
bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 10am et	5	$804	404	404	+0	Up	+$4	07-16 15:00
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 1am et	3	$748	454	449	+5	Down	+$153	03-26 06:13
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 11am et	2	$730	391	390	+1	Up	+$50	03-24 16:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 01:50 UTC	2	$686	359	359	+0	Up	+$25	03-15 01:55
nba mia cha 2026 03 17 spread home 3pt5	2	$681	431	431	+0	Hornets	+$181	03-18 01:36
Thunder vs. Lakers	4	$665	1,448	1,448	+0	Thunder	-$637	05-12 05:20
bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 2am et	2	$662	407	402	+5	Up	+$146	03-21 07:06
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1pm et	2	$657	404	399	+5	Down	+$145	03-25 17:57
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	2	$647	443	443	+0	Manchester City FC	+$239	05-09 18:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 02:45 UTC	4	$635	396	391	+5	Up	+$152	03-20 03:00
nba mia cha 2026 03 17	2	$630	380	380	+0	Hornets	+$129	03-18 01:35
nba chi lac 2026 03 13	2	$628	336	336	+0	Clippers	+$43	03-14 04:52
bitcoin up or down march 15 2026 11am et	2	$597	326	324	+2	Down	+$53	03-15 15:59
nba tor lac 2026 03 25 spread home 4pt5	3	$596	362	362	+0	Clippers	+$127	03-26 04:55
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 11am et	2	$582	388	382	+6	Down	+$188	03-17 16:09
ethereum up or down july 16 2026 10pm et	8	$525	930	390	+540	Down	-$495	07-17 02:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 08:45 UTC	3	$521	325	321	+4	Up	+$125	03-15 09:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 06:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0x667a6b…
10-29 06:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	56	4¢	$2	0x3fe85e…
10-29 06:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	82	12¢	$10	0xf64b74…
10-29 06:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x154d44…
10-29 06:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x4f1849…
10-29 06:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xd1fc7f…
10-29 06:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0xa66a7a…
10-29 06:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x78e608…
10-29 05:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x84313d…
10-29 05:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xe44b03…
10-29 05:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xe79760…
10-29 05:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xa57262…
10-29 04:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	68	99¢	$67	0x733bd3…
10-29 04:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	68	21¢	$14	0x082aae…
10-29 04:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x721d98…
10-29 04:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x1cf9b9…
10-29 04:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xc1635c…
10-29 03:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xcdeba1…
10-29 03:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x7abec5…
10-29 03:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x6a7592…
10-29 03:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x11a0bd…
10-29 02:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0xbb9b8e…
10-29 02:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xbd0d7a…
10-29 02:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xc0895a…
10-29 02:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0x3c0b66…
10-29 02:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	95	9¢	$9	0x8bbb40…
10-29 02:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xd075a3…
10-29 02:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x991083…
10-29 01:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	250	6¢	$15	0xaeca21…
10-29 01:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x2d2fa4…
10-29 01:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	751	0¢	$1	0x75bd14…
10-29 01:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x0a2d9a…
10-29 01:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	250	12¢	$30	0xd21a6f…
10-29 01:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x3448dd…
10-29 01:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	188	16¢	$30	0x519ba2…
10-29 01:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	214	28¢	$60	0x1cdc6a…
10-29 01:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xe13312…
10-29 01:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x59308a…
10-29 01:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xd172b7…
10-29 00:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	127	25¢	$32	0x74bb93…
10-29 00:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xf76641…
10-29 00:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x4aa52b…
10-29 00:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x1e4169…
10-29 00:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x265cf5…
10-29 00:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xce6004…
10-28 16:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x31c0f7…
10-28 16:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x4e5046…
10-28 16:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	68	22¢	$15	0xa3a6bb…
10-28 16:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0xb94d9d…
10-28 16:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xc8fb1a…
10-28 16:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3038d5…
10-28 15:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x9fb132…
10-28 14:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x5afd97…
10-28 11:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	183	99¢	$182	0x9ec903…
10-28 11:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x7ffde7…
10-28 11:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xe24d90…
10-28 11:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x516d01…
10-28 11:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x77e4d7…
10-28 11:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	161	99¢	$159	0x7c3f02…
10-28 10:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x6c4fc9…
10-28 10:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xe0ad45…
10-28 10:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x06681b…
10-28 10:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xb3e3f5…
10-28 10:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x1931cc…
10-28 10:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xd6afa7…
10-28 10:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xc720a6…
10-28 10:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x81a951…
10-28 09:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x07f58a…
10-28 09:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x6336c7…
10-28 09:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xcc4153…
10-28 09:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	77	99¢	$76	0x585e1f…
10-28 09:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x22032f…
10-26 08:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x56caea…
10-26 08:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x293832…
10-26 07:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0xeb980b…
10-26 05:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	56	63¢	$35	0xbf2979…
10-26 05:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x92b053…
10-26 04:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x8ed71f…
10-26 04:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	39	52¢	$20	0xa8273d…
10-26 04:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	79	99¢	$78	0xb6bb62…
10-26 04:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x87f72c…
10-26 04:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0x375924…
10-26 03:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	116	16¢	$19	0xb90587…
10-26 03:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	35	16¢	$6	0x44bd9c…
10-26 03:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x958a73…
10-26 03:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd6810b…
10-26 03:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xb1e9b8…
10-26 03:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	37¢	$9	0xaa7df5…
10-26 03:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0x6e3eb6…
10-26 03:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x497a02…
10-26 03:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0x7583ed…
10-26 02:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x3e50ec…
10-26 02:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0xffc760…
10-26 02:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x6df224…
10-26 02:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0x829d01…
10-26 01:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	71	2¢	$1	0xb9f783…
10-26 01:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xa5720b…
10-26 01:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x9c8764…
10-26 01:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x60323f…
10-26 01:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x1145a7…