Realized P&L
+$11
Unrealized P&L
-$327
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
8
Trades
9,537
lifetime
Volume
$162.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$4.33K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 07-21 05:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
38% 100% +$6
Other
35% 100% +$5
Crypto
26% 100% +$1
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +1,550 $1,426 94¢ $1.5K +$38 06-24 11:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,050 $1,087 74¢ $782 $-305 07-17 18:40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +400 $382 98¢ $391 +$8 07-16 22:00
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +390 $358 98¢ $382 +$23 07-01 18:39
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No -339 $-283 92¢ $-314 $-31 06-25 13:59
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +300 $281 96¢ $286 +$6 06-28 09:45
Trump out as President before 2027? No +200 $182 92¢ $185 +$3 06-30 21:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +188 $162 56¢ $104 $-57 07-09 07:22
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +109 $93 90¢ $97 +$4 07-20 19:39
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +80 $74 94¢ $76 +$2 06-27 04:02
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -77 $-44 92¢ $-71 $-27 07-20 16:21
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +50 $45 96¢ $48 +$3 06-24 03:55
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +50 $47 96¢ $48 +$1 05-28 21:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No +50 $43 92¢ $46 +$3 06-02 13:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +40 $34 94¢ $38 +$3 06-10 17:38