Limited-Spec — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

10,549

lifetime

Volume

$199.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 08-10 11:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

35% 100% +$5

Politics

32% 100% +$6

Crypto

32% 100% +$1

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	31	$10.5K	8,509	2,173	+6,336	open	—	07-28 22:06
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	57	$7.1K	7,200	0	+7,200	open	—	07-22 06:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	36	$7.0K	5,350	3,261	+2,089	open	—	08-10 14:37
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	31	$6.8K	5,700	1,394	+4,306	open	—	08-10 06:15
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	25	$5.6K	4,377	1,300	+3,077	open	—	06-30 20:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	28	$4.7K	4,370	362	+4,008	open	—	07-26 00:48
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	11	$3.4K	3,015	387	+2,627	open	—	03-04 16:13
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	15	$2.8K	3,050	0	+3,050	open	—	06-24 11:41
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	58	$2.8K	3,168	865	+2,303	open	—	04-08 20:37
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	126	$2.2K	2,352	1,907	+445	open	—	01-31 21:53
will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	13	$2.1K	1,005	1,105	-100	open	—	06-22 13:15
netanyahu out by march 31 854	49	$2.0K	3,320	1,221	+2,098	open	—	03-28 13:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	34	$2.0K	2,083	50	+2,033	open	—	04-28 15:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	19	$1.9K	1,830	100	+1,730	open	—	07-02 15:37
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	36	$1.8K	3,813	1,746	+2,066	open	—	04-30 16:41
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	14	$1.8K	1,812	0	+1,812	open	—	05-24 23:11
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	26	$1.7K	1,513	270	+1,243	open	—	06-03 21:41
Trump out as President by May 31?	15	$1.7K	1,695	0	+1,695	open	—	05-23 22:19
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	7	$1.7K	1,680	0	+1,680	open	—	04-30 18:58
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	9	$1.6K	1,629	0	+1,629	open	—	06-17 21:01
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	8	$1.6K	1,600	0	+1,600	open	—	06-25 22:13
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	20	$1.5K	910	653	+257	open	—	06-30 17:17
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	10	$1.5K	950	741	+209	open	—	07-20 19:39
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	67	$1.5K	4,760	4,754	+7	open	—	04-01 15:39
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	9	$1.4K	768	768	+0	open	—	07-20 16:21
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	58	$1.4K	1,391	0	+1,391	open	—	06-20 12:36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	12	$1.3K	1,371	0	+1,371	open	—	06-25 14:51
Trump out as President before 2027?	5	$1.3K	700	700	+0	open	—	08-02 15:41
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	7	$1.3K	800	500	+300	open	—	06-17 16:58
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	12	$1.3K	940	330	+610	open	—	06-24 14:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 14:37:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x3dbebf…
08-10 11:56:37	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x51c5d3…
08-10 11:54:18	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x7ca8dd…
08-10 10:57:04	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x5daa79…
08-10 10:57:03	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4a79de…
08-10 10:57:01	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x987640…
08-10 09:50:04	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa9d6ba…
08-10 09:42:04	btc updown 15m 1786354200	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe56e33…
08-10 09:42:04	btc updown 15m 1786354200	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xad89ae…
08-10 09:42:04	btc updown 15m 1786354200	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9a1132…
08-10 09:42:04	btc updown 15m 1786354200	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x86282c…
08-10 09:42:03	btc updown 15m 1786354200	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7f7950…
08-10 09:41:16	btc updown 15m 1786354200	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc0ca90…
08-10 09:40:27	btc updown 15m 1786354200	Down	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0x32cc5f…
08-10 08:49:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x234ad3…
08-10 08:43:04	btc updown 15m 1786350600	Down	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x599a8d…
08-10 08:03:58	btc updown 5m 1786348800	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa9b860…
08-10 08:03:57	btc updown 5m 1786348800	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbc60f3…
08-10 08:03:57	btc updown 5m 1786348800	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4e815f…
08-10 08:03:57	btc updown 5m 1786348800	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x18f3df…
08-10 07:57:04	btc updown 15m 1786347900	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb737d0…
08-10 07:57:03	btc updown 15m 1786347900	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc8e8b8…
08-10 07:56:16	btc updown 15m 1786347900	Down	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xeb39bb…
08-10 07:55:54	btc updown 15m 1786347900	Down	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x96b559…
08-10 06:15:27	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0xb5dc6f…
08-10 06:14:31	kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x95f7e6…
08-10 04:41:39	kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	No	BUY	83	89¢	$74	0xbaf4ef…
08-10 03:13:43	btc updown 15m 1786330800	Down	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x7850d1…
08-10 03:13:04	btc updown 15m 1786330800	Down	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xaf3ac9…
08-10 02:49:25	btc updown 5m 1786329900	Down	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0xd89a76…
08-10 02:49:25	btc updown 5m 1786329900	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x908185…
08-10 00:59:54	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x622a61…
08-10 00:59:06	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0d9db8…
08-10 00:58:22	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x7d59d2…
08-10 00:58:22	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	28	99¢	$27	0x4d45ca…
08-10 00:57:37	btc updown 15m 1786322700	Up	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x568fe6…
08-10 00:57:06	btc updown 15m 1786322700	Up	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x85a683…
08-10 00:57:06	btc updown 15m 1786322700	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x1e4b1b…
08-10 00:08:16	btc updown 5m 1786320300	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xd98a31…
08-09 20:14:10	btc updown 15m 1786305600	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbdc3e2…
08-09 20:13:03	btc updown 15m 1786305600	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdc414c…
08-09 20:13:03	btc updown 15m 1786305600	Down	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x5a8d5e…
08-09 20:13:03	btc updown 15m 1786305600	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x428d4d…
08-09 19:29:57	btc updown 15m 1786302900	Up	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xff660e…
08-09 15:59:06	btc updown 15m 1786290300	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xf764c5…
08-09 15:59:06	btc updown 15m 1786290300	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x87ccdf…
08-09 15:56:25	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x33951b…
08-09 14:58:42	btc updown 5m 1786287300	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd56953…
08-09 14:58:25	btc updown 5m 1786287300	Up	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6c3565…
08-09 14:58:25	btc updown 5m 1786287300	Up	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x520de7…
08-09 14:27:48	btc updown 15m 1786284900	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x59ba49…
08-09 14:27:13	btc updown 15m 1786284900	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa20c1a…
08-09 14:27:13	btc updown 15m 1786284900	Down	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x5389d0…
08-09 13:29:24	btc updown 15m 1786281300	Up	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x0e1d65…
08-09 12:30:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	66	56¢	$37	0x7bf043…
08-09 09:27:27	btc updown 15m 1786266900	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x5407ed…
08-09 09:27:25	btc updown 15m 1786266900	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x2ea084…
08-09 08:04:25	btc updown 5m 1786262400	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x24d173…
08-09 08:04:25	btc updown 5m 1786262400	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x177b1c…
08-09 03:13:34	btc updown 15m 1786244400	Down	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x42ad3b…
08-09 01:57:03	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x57ffcc…
08-09 01:57:03	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x501741…
08-09 01:56:58	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9cf961…
08-09 01:56:58	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x55ad3a…
08-09 01:03:07	btc updown 5m 1786237200	Up	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0xe52255…
08-09 00:38:24	btc updown 5m 1786235700	Up	BUY	22	76¢	$17	0x1d8ed5…
08-08 22:57:06	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x546df4…
08-08 22:55:09	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x2c373f…
08-08 22:54:37	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x92d21f…
08-08 22:50:06	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x6e0aa9…
08-08 21:58:22	btc updown 15m 1786225500	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xb869fb…
08-08 21:57:45	btc updown 15m 1786225500	Down	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xfb860c…
08-08 21:57:45	btc updown 15m 1786225500	Down	BUY	28	99¢	$27	0x8f5aba…
08-08 21:57:45	btc updown 15m 1786225500	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x23e93c…
08-08 19:58:06	btc updown 15m 1786218300	Up	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x064831…
08-08 19:56:24	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xf48244…
08-08 19:56:24	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xed9ef9…
08-08 19:56:04	btc updown 15m 1786218300	Up	BUY	33	99¢	$32	0xbffb3c…
08-08 19:56:04	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x2c3512…
08-08 19:55:40	btc updown 15m 1786218300	Up	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0x6a6ab0…
08-08 18:53:48	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe013a6…
08-08 18:53:48	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x30ce2a…
08-08 17:14:18	btc updown 15m 1786208400	Up	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xc2439d…
08-08 17:14:18	btc updown 15m 1786208400	Up	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x42a82b…
08-08 17:14:18	btc updown 15m 1786208400	Up	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x3701df…
08-08 17:14:07	btc updown 5m 1786209000	Up	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0xe63007…
08-08 15:55:46	btc updown 15m 1786203900	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0xa55733…
08-08 15:54:45	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x3f8853…
08-08 15:48:24	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x4130fa…
08-08 12:02:01	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x84f7e1…
08-08 12:00:42	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x909e7a…
08-08 11:58:36	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe00e34…
08-08 11:58:36	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4edf21…
08-08 11:28:42	btc updown 15m 1786187700	Down	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x4f29b6…
08-08 11:28:07	btc updown 15m 1786187700	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe20aba…
08-08 11:28:06	btc updown 15m 1786187700	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x80f6c1…
08-08 08:44:12	btc updown 15m 1786177800	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x14bee5…
08-08 08:34:18	btc updown 5m 1786177800	Up	BUY	22	99¢	$21	0xdb5117…
08-08 08:34:18	btc updown 5m 1786177800	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x90d934…
08-08 05:58:03	btc updown 15m 1786167900	Down	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x03b7d9…