Limited-Spec 0x41c71e…5c0df5
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$11
Unrealized P&L
+$33
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
8
Trades
8,910
lifetime
Volume
$90.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$3.91K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 06-09 17:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Crypto
39% 100% +$1
Politics
34% 100% +$6
Other
27% 100% +$5
Tech
0% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 596 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +500 $488 99¢ $493 +$5 06-08 01:19
Trump out as President by June 30? No +400 $395 99¢ $397 +$3 06-03 21:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +400 $386 99¢ $396 +$10 06-03 05:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +400 $326 82¢ $330 +$4 06-09 17:28
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +300 $278 92¢ $278 $-0 06-08 09:40
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +267 $261 99¢ $264 +$3 06-07 16:12
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? No +237 $234 99¢ $235 +$0 06-09 12:29
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +250 $230 92¢ $230 +$1 06-06 04:42
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No -268 $-219 86¢ $-229 $-9 06-05 18:55
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No +210 $207 99¢ $208 +$1 06-10 01:46
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No +200 $198 99¢ $199 +$1 06-03 22:51
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +109 $103 94¢ $102 $-1 06-09 17:51
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No +100 $99 99¢ $99 +$0 06-04 15:21
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No +100 $95 99¢ $99 +$4 06-02 18:58
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +100 $93 94¢ $94 +$2 06-03 09:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes -80 $-64 68¢ $-54 +$10 05-31 20:53
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -50 $-48 98¢ $-49 $-2 06-03 16:50
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +50 $47 94¢ $47 +$0 05-28 21:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No +50 $43 86¢ $43 $-0 06-02 13:43
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30? No +30 $28 98¢ $29 +$1 06-08 14:23
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? Yes +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 06-04 18:29
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? No +13 $13 100¢ $13 +$0 06-01 06:30
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-09 06:58