Limited-Spec 0x41c71e…5c0df5
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$2.81K
Unrealized P&L
+$292
Hit rate
90.1%
Resolved
4,978
Trades
15,530
lifetime
Volume
$481.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$47.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 10-28 01:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 209 days
Categories
Crypto
41% 86% +$686
Other
39% 83% +$1,328
Politics
18% 78% +$814
Tech
2% 89% +$3
Sports
0% 29% -$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 170 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +6,492 $6,117 97¢ $6.3K +$170 10-20 08:05
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? No +4,909 $4,830 100¢ $4.9K +$57 10-22 05:20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? No +4,500 $4,435 100¢ $4.5K +$44 10-26 01:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5,105 $4,451 82¢ $4.2K -$290 10-27 10:40
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026? No +3,076 $3,009 100¢ $3.1K +$62 10-23 15:29
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2,770 $2,565 94¢ $2.6K +$24 10-16 20:33
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +2,836 $2,649 90¢ $2.6K -$82 10-24 17:26
Trump out as President before 2027? No +2,500 $2,372 95¢ $2.4K +$7 10-25 09:05
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +2,120 $2,040 98¢ $2.1K +$44 09-22 12:13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,025 $2,012 100¢ $2.0K +$11 10-24 12:03
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1,700 $1,647 96¢ $1.6K -$20 10-25 03:43
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? No +1,409 $1,351 99¢ $1.4K +$43 05-13 02:03
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,500 $1,375 92¢ $1.4K +$12 10-23 09:46
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,312 $1,260 99¢ $1.3K +$41 05-11 03:58
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,400 $1,262 92¢ $1.3K +$19 10-25 23:30
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,362 $1,195 92¢ $1.2K +$51 10-23 18:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1,035 $976 96¢ $994 +$17 10-25 18:48
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +850 $790 97¢ $825 +$36 06-28 09:45
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +630 $572 98¢ $619 +$47 07-01 18:39
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +550 $519 98¢ $536 +$17 09-21 06:10
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +400 $401 98¢ $391 -$10 10-27 06:33
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No +300 $284 96¢ $290 +$6 10-14 16:14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +294 $285 96¢ $283 -$3 10-27 18:19
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? No +200 $198 100¢ $200 +$1 10-18 06:07
will bitcoin dip to 60k in october 2026 No +200 $196 100¢ $200 +$4 10-05 14:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +200 $193 97¢ $194 +$1 10-15 01:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +200 $192 96¢ $192 $0 10-15 01:58
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No +165 $193 97¢ $160 -$33 10-14 14:29
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? No +150 $146 100¢ $149 +$4 10-25 18:23
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +150 $137 99¢ $149 +$12 09-29 16:50