Limited-Spec 0x41c71e…5c0df5
whale hot 15W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$2.82K
Unrealized P&L
+$374
Hit rate
90.1%
Resolved
4,987
Trades
15,559
lifetime
Volume
$483.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$48.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 10-28 18:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 209 days
Categories
Crypto
41% 86% +$692
Other
39% 83% +$1,328
Politics
18% 78% +$814
Tech
2% 89% +$3
Sports
0% 29% -$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 170 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +6,492 $6,117 97¢ $6.3K +$164 10-20 08:05
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? No +5,909 $5,826 100¢ $5.9K +$62 10-28 03:10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? No +4,500 $4,435 100¢ $4.5K +$49 10-26 01:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5,105 $4,451 82¢ $4.2K -$290 10-27 10:40
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026? No +3,076 $3,009 100¢ $3.1K +$62 10-23 15:29
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2,770 $2,565 94¢ $2.6K +$52 10-16 20:33
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +2,836 $2,649 90¢ $2.6K -$82 10-24 17:26
Trump out as President before 2027? No +2,500 $2,372 96¢ $2.4K +$25 10-25 09:05
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +2,120 $2,040 98¢ $2.1K +$45 09-22 12:13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,025 $2,012 100¢ $2.0K +$10 10-24 12:03
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? No +1,409 $1,351 99¢ $1.4K +$43 05-13 02:03
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,500 $1,375 92¢ $1.4K +$12 10-23 09:46
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,312 $1,260 99¢ $1.3K +$41 05-11 03:58
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,400 $1,262 92¢ $1.3K +$19 10-25 23:30
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,362 $1,195 92¢ $1.3K +$58 10-23 18:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1,035 $976 96¢ $995 +$19 10-25 18:48
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +850 $790 97¢ $825 +$35 06-28 09:45
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +850 $827 96¢ $819 -$8 10-28 18:18
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +630 $572 97¢ $611 +$40 07-01 18:39
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +550 $519 97¢ $536 +$17 09-21 06:10
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +400 $401 99¢ $396 -$5 10-27 06:33
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +344 $333 100¢ $344 +$12 10-28 13:59
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No +300 $284 96¢ $290 +$6 10-14 16:14
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? No +200 $198 100¢ $200 +$1 10-18 06:07
will bitcoin dip to 60k in october 2026 No +200 $196 100¢ $200 +$4 10-05 14:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +200 $193 97¢ $194 +$0 10-15 01:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +200 $192 96¢ $192 +$1 10-15 01:58
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No +165 $193 97¢ $161 -$33 10-14 14:29
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? No +150 $146 100¢ $149 +$4 10-25 18:23
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +150 $137 99¢ $149 +$12 09-29 16:50