Limited-Spec 0x41c71e…5c0df5 Create alert
whale hot 19W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$2.92K
Unrealized P&L
+$555
Hit rate
90.6%
Resolved
5,124
Trades
16,260
lifetime
Volume
$510.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$40.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 11-02 23:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 214 days
Categories
Crypto
42% 86% +$628
Other
37% 83% +$1,528
Politics
18% 77% +$812
Tech
2% 80% -$28
Sports
0% 29% -$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 170 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +7,392 $6,987 97¢ $7.2K +$202 10-31 13:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5,105 $4,439 82¢ $4.2K -$227 10-30 00:14
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +4,300 $4,037 94¢ $4.1K +$26 11-01 19:20
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +3,570 $3,323 96¢ $3.4K +$86 10-31 04:49
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +3,536 $3,286 93¢ $3.3K +$2 10-29 17:53
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,662 $2,415 94¢ $2.5K +$101 11-01 06:21
Trump out as President before 2027? No +2,500 $2,372 96¢ $2.4K +$39 10-25 09:05
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +2,120 $2,040 98¢ $2.1K +$41 09-22 12:13
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,500 $1,355 94¢ $1.4K +$62 10-29 15:06
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? No +1,409 $1,351 99¢ $1.4K +$43 05-13 02:03
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,312 $1,260 99¢ $1.3K +$42 05-11 03:58
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +1,300 $1,294 100¢ $1.3K +$2 10-31 12:17
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +850 $827 98¢ $833 +$6 10-28 18:18
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +850 $790 96¢ $818 +$28 06-28 09:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +726 $677 97¢ $703 +$27 10-31 11:22
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +630 $572 96¢ $607 +$35 07-01 18:39
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +550 $519 98¢ $539 +$20 09-21 06:10
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No +300 $284 96¢ $288 +$4 10-14 16:14
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +250 $241 97¢ $242 +$0 11-02 15:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +200 $193 97¢ $195 +$2 10-15 01:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +200 $192 96¢ $192 +$0 10-15 01:58
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No +165 $193 97¢ $160 -$33 10-14 14:29
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +175 $159 91¢ $159 -$1 10-30 18:34
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +200 $136 76¢ $151 +$15 10-30 19:27
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +150 $137 100¢ $150 +$13 09-29 16:50
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +125 $118 98¢ $122 +$4 10-24 08:01
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +150 $98 72¢ $109 +$11 10-23 20:45
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $95 99¢ $99 +$4 05-11 16:43
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? Yes +100 $96 98¢ $98 +$2 10-29 21:13
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? Yes +100 $98 98¢ $98 $0 10-29 16:27