Limited-Spec 0x41c71e…5c0df5
whale hot 19W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$2.90K
Unrealized P&L
+$625
Hit rate
90.6%
Resolved
5,100
Trades
16,113
lifetime
Volume
$505.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$39.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 11-01 17:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 213 days
Categories
Crypto
42% 86% +$606
Other
38% 83% +$1,528
Politics
18% 77% +$812
Tech
2% 80% -$28
Sports
0% 29% -$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 170 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +7,392 $6,987 97¢ $7.2K +$202 10-31 13:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5,105 $4,439 82¢ $4.2K -$227 10-30 00:14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +3,570 $3,323 96¢ $3.4K +$86 10-31 04:49
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +3,536 $3,286 94¢ $3.3K +$20 10-29 17:53
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +2,900 $2,707 96¢ $2.8K +$62 11-01 06:14
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,662 $2,415 94¢ $2.5K +$101 11-01 06:21
Trump out as President before 2027? No +2,500 $2,372 97¢ $2.4K +$49 10-25 09:05
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +2,120 $2,040 98¢ $2.1K +$36 09-22 12:13
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,500 $1,355 94¢ $1.4K +$62 10-29 15:06
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? No +1,409 $1,351 99¢ $1.4K +$43 05-13 02:03
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,312 $1,260 100¢ $1.3K +$46 05-11 03:58
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +1,300 $1,294 99¢ $1.3K -$1 10-31 12:17
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +850 $827 98¢ $833 +$6 10-28 18:18
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +850 $790 96¢ $819 +$30 06-28 09:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +726 $677 97¢ $706 +$29 10-31 11:22
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +630 $572 98¢ $617 +$45 07-01 18:39
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +550 $519 97¢ $536 +$17 09-21 06:10
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 October 26-November 1? No +413 $399 99¢ $409 +$10 11-01 10:20
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No +300 $284 96¢ $288 +$4 10-14 16:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +200 $193 97¢ $195 +$1 10-15 01:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +200 $192 96¢ $193 +$1 10-15 01:58
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No +165 $193 97¢ $160 -$33 10-14 14:29
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +175 $159 90¢ $158 -$1 10-30 18:34
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +150 $137 100¢ $150 +$13 09-29 16:50
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +150 $145 98¢ $147 +$2 10-29 13:25
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +200 $136 70¢ $141 +$5 10-30 19:27
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +125 $118 97¢ $121 +$3 10-24 08:01
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +150 $98 70¢ $106 +$8 10-23 20:45
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $95 99¢ $99 +$4 05-11 16:43
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? Yes +100 $96 99¢ $99 +$3 10-29 21:13