Single-Survivor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

6.9%

Resolved

717

Trades

2,285

lifetime

Volume

$8.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 06-14 23:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 13% $-41

Politics

15% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 147 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$650	833	833	+0	open	—	05-23 21:59
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	3	$595	554	554	+0	open	—	04-30 10:59
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$526	528	528	+0	open	—	06-14 23:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$160	2,667	0	+2,667	open	—	04-23 17:47
btc updown 5m 1776954600	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	04-23 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	04-27 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	05-01 01:08
btc updown 5m 1776836400	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	04-22 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$7	2	5	-3	Up	+$0	05-06 21:54
btc updown 5m 1777047300	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	04-24 16:19
btc updown 5m 1777057200	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	04-24 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$7	2	5	-3	Down	+$0	05-11 01:04
btc updown 5m 1776842400	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	04-22 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$7	2	5	-3	Down	+$0	05-06 07:54
btc updown 5m 1776959400	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	04-23 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	04-28 01:33
btc updown 5m 1776908400	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	04-23 01:44
btc updown 5m 1776956400	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	04-23 15:04
btc updown 5m 1776970800	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	04-23 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	05-02 03:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$7	2	5	-3	Up	+$0	05-08 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	04-28 03:29
btc updown 5m 1776958200	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	04-23 15:34
btc updown 5m 1777054200	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	04-24 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	04-30 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$6	2	5	-3	Up	+$0	05-07 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	05-04 03:59
btc updown 5m 1777055400	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	04-24 18:34
btc updown 5m 1776814800	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	04-21 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	04-30 16:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 23:03:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	528	84¢	$442	0xb8090b…
06-11 19:31:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	528	16¢	$84	0x34aaad…
06-10 15:18:06	btc updown 5m 1781104500	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x35cb20…
06-10 15:13:09	btc updown 5m 1781104200	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x9ce508…
06-10 14:48:12	btc updown 5m 1781102700	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x8e71da…
06-10 14:43:09	btc updown 5m 1781102400	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xa67232…
06-10 14:28:31	btc updown 15m 1781100900	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x25c74c…
06-10 14:28:28	btc updown 5m 1781101500	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xe6a8cc…
06-10 14:23:10	btc updown 5m 1781101200	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xd03f80…
06-10 14:18:07	btc updown 5m 1781100900	Down	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x59210e…
06-10 14:13:28	btc updown 5m 1781100600	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x06a627…
06-10 14:13:25	btc updown 15m 1781100000	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x4cdf37…
06-10 13:48:06	btc updown 5m 1781099100	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x94b1ae…
06-10 13:43:07	btc updown 5m 1781098800	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xdb3880…
06-10 13:28:06	btc updown 5m 1781097900	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x5e1661…
06-10 13:18:21	btc updown 5m 1781097300	Down	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xc5b7d1…
06-10 13:13:13	btc updown 15m 1781096400	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x8b803b…
06-10 13:13:09	btc updown 5m 1781097000	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x4d7057…
06-10 13:03:07	btc updown 5m 1781096400	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xb559f9…
06-10 12:58:12	btc updown 5m 1781096100	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x7eab4b…
06-10 12:53:12	btc updown 5m 1781095800	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xb2c43e…
06-10 12:48:04	btc updown 5m 1781095500	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xc04dde…
06-10 12:43:07	btc updown 5m 1781095200	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0x57d31e…
06-10 12:38:18	btc updown 5m 1781094900	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa8224b…
06-10 08:28:04	btc updown 5m 1781079900	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xa5c45c…
06-10 07:48:30	btc updown 5m 1781077500	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xe95eab…
06-10 07:33:39	btc updown 5m 1781076600	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x2f8e0e…
06-10 03:58:28	btc updown 15m 1781063100	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xf23410…
06-10 03:18:09	btc updown 5m 1781061300	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6fd3be…
06-10 01:48:04	btc updown 5m 1781055900	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6b3f21…
06-09 23:23:09	btc updown 5m 1781047200	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf7707c…
06-09 23:18:45	btc updown 5m 1781046900	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x860787…
06-09 22:43:10	btc updown 15m 1781044200	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x778c62…
06-09 19:33:46	btc updown 5m 1781033400	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x4261e1…
06-09 18:53:30	btc updown 5m 1781031000	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0xdcc07f…
06-09 16:33:15	btc updown 5m 1781022600	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xac0d15…
06-09 15:03:18	btc updown 5m 1781017200	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xef07ee…
06-09 14:48:10	btc updown 5m 1781016300	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x491dcc…
06-09 14:38:07	btc updown 5m 1781015700	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x53257d…
06-09 13:43:09	btc updown 15m 1781011800	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x1424ff…
06-09 13:33:10	btc updown 5m 1781011800	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x091a00…
06-09 13:13:40	btc updown 15m 1781010000	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x19368d…
06-09 12:53:55	btc updown 5m 1781009400	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x99d00a…
06-09 12:18:09	btc updown 5m 1781007300	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x581645…
06-09 10:13:07	btc updown 15m 1780999200	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x1c7086…
06-09 09:14:52	btc updown 15m 1780995600	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xd218e5…
06-09 09:13:16	btc updown 5m 1780996200	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x675e26…
06-09 06:29:06	btc updown 5m 1780986300	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x3ca9e6…
06-09 05:29:19	btc updown 5m 1780982700	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5fe219…
06-09 04:18:06	btc updown 5m 1780978500	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xd0f87e…
06-09 03:13:06	btc updown 15m 1780974000	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9d814b…
06-09 01:18:07	btc updown 5m 1780967700	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x45d21d…
06-08 23:43:16	btc updown 5m 1780962000	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x54225e…
06-08 23:13:07	btc updown 5m 1780960200	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x73aeb2…
06-08 21:13:06	btc updown 5m 1780953000	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xd38498…
06-08 18:58:12	btc updown 15m 1780944300	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x44606e…
06-08 17:28:10	btc updown 5m 1780939500	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x23b331…
06-08 17:13:06	btc updown 5m 1780938600	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x3f85a6…
06-08 16:14:07	btc updown 5m 1780935000	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xef0939…
06-08 15:43:04	btc updown 5m 1780933200	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x672d86…
06-08 15:28:18	btc updown 15m 1780931700	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x1f801c…
06-08 15:19:37	btc updown 5m 1780931700	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x1a4430…
06-08 13:43:06	btc updown 15m 1780925400	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x0ca889…
06-08 13:33:06	btc updown 5m 1780925400	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x1020cc…
06-08 13:14:22	btc updown 15m 1780923600	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x50c249…
06-08 13:03:06	btc updown 5m 1780923600	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0x04fdb1…
06-08 12:23:07	btc updown 5m 1780921200	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x8c3d7c…
06-08 12:13:09	btc updown 5m 1780920600	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2d9851…
06-08 11:44:18	btc updown 15m 1780918200	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xe95f92…
06-08 11:33:06	btc updown 5m 1780918200	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x362027…
06-08 09:43:06	btc updown 5m 1780911600	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xeab4e6…
06-08 06:23:07	btc updown 5m 1780899600	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xcb9e63…
06-08 04:13:12	btc updown 5m 1780891800	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0x2fbdb4…
06-08 03:43:43	btc updown 5m 1780890000	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x325bfa…
06-07 22:43:07	btc updown 5m 1780872000	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0x28b207…
06-07 22:18:09	btc updown 5m 1780870500	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x9f7e36…
06-07 21:53:10	btc updown 5m 1780869000	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x9e6b1b…
06-07 18:23:25	btc updown 5m 1780856400	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x1954b0…
06-07 18:08:06	btc updown 5m 1780855500	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xaccc74…
06-07 17:14:03	btc updown 5m 1780852200	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xfaa3d7…
06-07 15:43:07	btc updown 5m 1780846800	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x459c0a…
06-07 15:28:09	btc updown 5m 1780845900	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xbc5a3b…
06-07 13:08:06	btc updown 5m 1780837500	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa54687…
06-07 12:33:04	btc updown 5m 1780835400	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x6bd071…
06-07 12:08:06	btc updown 5m 1780833900	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0x39f5fd…
06-07 11:28:06	btc updown 5m 1780831500	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xdd1e9e…
06-07 09:43:06	btc updown 5m 1780825200	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x903a0f…
06-07 07:38:31	btc updown 5m 1780817700	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x32b568…
06-07 05:13:51	btc updown 15m 1780808400	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xbd179c…
06-07 04:44:18	btc updown 5m 1780807200	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x7361aa…
06-07 03:43:04	btc updown 5m 1780803600	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x92e900…
06-07 03:23:22	btc updown 5m 1780802400	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x9b17b1…
06-07 03:08:04	btc updown 5m 1780801500	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xa5096f…
06-07 00:58:55	btc updown 5m 1780793700	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x0f1413…
06-06 22:28:16	btc updown 5m 1780784700	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xd69b0d…
06-06 20:33:27	btc updown 5m 1780777800	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x1bc98a…
06-06 19:58:40	btc updown 15m 1780775100	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x839bbf…
06-06 19:49:27	btc updown 5m 1780775100	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x64089c…
06-06 18:13:06	btc updown 15m 1780768800	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x0e3c00…
06-06 18:03:25	btc updown 5m 1780768800	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x16e9f4…