Slow-Incision — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.53K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.6%

Resolved

319

Trades

1,297

lifetime

Volume

$17.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 08-05 23:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

49% 15% -$1,750

Crypto

43% 44% -$667

Sports

8% 20% -$102

Politics

0% 0% -$7

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-05).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	92	$1.8K	3,900	3,900	+0	No	+$7	05-06 16:29
Will Club Independiente Petrolero win on 2026-05-13?	4	$1.5K	1,051	1,051	+0	Yes	+$554	05-13 23:48
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?	11	$585	390	390	+0	No	+$92	05-14 19:56
Will CD Oriente Petrolero win on 2026-05-14?	4	$490	392	392	+0	No	+$96	05-15 01:32
Thunder vs. Lakers	2	$482	1,047	1,047	+0	Thunder	+$0	05-09 18:47
will turkey qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	5	$456	278	278	+0	Yes	+$73	03-31 20:40
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$454	250	250	+0	open	—	05-08 17:52
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?	1	$299	609	0	+609	No	-$299	05-13 10:02
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12?	1	$294	576	0	+576	No	-$294	05-12 16:48
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?	6	$270	320	320	+0	No	-$91	05-17 19:44
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	13	$236	51,947	0	+51,947	No	-$236	06-03 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	11	$201	150	150	+0	Down	+$96	05-05 13:25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?	2	$199	140	140	+0	Yes	+$0	05-14 20:01
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?	1	$194	693	0	+693	No	-$194	05-15 13:54
cbb okl wvir 2026 04 05	14	$186	175	225	-50	West Virginia Mountaineers	+$31	04-05 18:32
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	7	$179	8,619	100	+8,519	No	-$177	07-23 13:45
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?	18	$150	10,490	60	+10,430	No	-$148	06-17 02:33
lal mal rea 2026 04 04 mal	8	$145	150	150	+0	Yes	+$100	04-04 15:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	6	$134	100	100	+0	Down	+$64	05-05 14:14
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	4	$131	111	111	+0	Sean Strickland	+$91	05-10 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	5	$130	100	100	+0	Up	+$60	05-05 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	37	$124	100	100	+0	Up	+$66	05-05 14:44
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	2	$121	94	93	+1	Yes	+$22	04-08 20:05
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	4	$109	530	175	+355	No	-$57	04-15 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	13	$106	75	75	+0	Down	+$40	05-07 15:18
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	2	$103	242	0	+242	Yes	-$103	07-23 20:37
ucl rma1 ben 2026 02 25 ben	1	$100	500	0	+500	No	-$100	02-25 18:55
ucl psv1 bay 2026 01 28 psv1	1	$100	526	0	+526	No	-$100	01-27 08:01
lal rso bar 2026 01 18 bar	1	$100	256	0	+256	No	-$100	01-18 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$98	80	80	+0	Up	+$27	05-09 20:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-05 23:47:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xafec0d…
07-23 20:37:46	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	No	BUY	91	37¢	$34	0x62de0e…
07-23 13:45:00	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,129	1¢	$14	0x873baf…
07-23 11:39:00	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	No	BUY	151	46¢	$70	0x81406f…
07-19 15:06:55	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	30	41¢	$13	0x0038a6…
07-16 11:48:14	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,458	2¢	$28	0x7255eb…
07-11 19:32:17	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	569	2¢	$12	0xe28672…
07-03 10:36:47	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	90	2¢	$2	0xbb6086…
07-03 10:36:29	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xbc7811…
06-28 21:37:11	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,005	3¢	$28	0xd7f4b3…
06-26 10:54:49	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,368	2¢	$94	0xb1b3cf…
06-17 02:33:16	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,690	0¢	$6	0x001b93…
06-17 02:32:55	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?	No	BUY	157	7¢	$11	0x14538a…
06-10 09:35:06	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?	Yes	BUY	702	1¢	$6	0x77a167…
06-08 13:32:06	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,297	1¢	$19	0xc18d90…
06-03 22:48:57	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,195	1¢	$22	0x0bc3b1…
06-03 22:48:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,763	0¢	$11	0x64928a…
06-03 22:47:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x2278d6…
06-03 22:47:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,187	0¢	$29	0x1e0c47…
06-03 21:22:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,790	0¢	$5	0xcec98a…
06-03 09:19:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,983	0¢	$15	0x9cb134…
06-02 21:30:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,171	1¢	$42	0x34e0d9…
06-02 18:58:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,324	1¢	$12	0x0667e0…
06-02 18:40:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,999	1¢	$18	0x6218d3…
06-02 15:33:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,790	1¢	$29	0x06d712…
06-02 15:16:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,776	1¢	$47	0xadb310…
06-02 03:15:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,113	0¢	$18	0x5b3ab5…
06-01 19:03:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,000	0¢	$6	0x9df662…
06-01 19:01:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$4	0x4c3a3a…
06-01 18:37:30	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?	Yes	BUY	676	1¢	$7	0xb2dbfa…
05-31 14:46:24	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,140	0¢	$5	0x649ca6…
05-31 14:44:30	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x149ca0…
05-31 14:44:14	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xfcae9c…
05-31 14:43:55	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x4520e4…
05-31 14:43:31	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0x6e2f4d…
05-31 14:43:22	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x098d90…
05-31 14:43:06	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x72c61d…
05-31 14:42:50	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	301	0¢	$1	0x2eedb0…
05-30 23:22:29	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,127	1¢	$7	0x1091b6…
05-21 12:30:20	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	270	7¢	$20	0xcd8f34…
05-20 20:18:04	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?	Yes	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x8f71a2…
05-20 17:33:51	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?	Yes	BUY	22	60¢	$13	0x3e1de2…
05-17 21:08:35	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	623	6¢	$37	0xa61a35…
05-17 20:00:57	Will FC Metz win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	144	13¢	$19	0xb3f5b4…
05-17 20:00:39	Will FC Lorient win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	231	13¢	$30	0xe8d403…
05-17 19:57:16	Will FC Lorient win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xff3efd…
05-17 19:56:54	Will FC Metz win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	113	12¢	$14	0x47eeb1…
05-17 19:46:25	Will FC Metz win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	113	13¢	$15	0xc960ea…
05-17 19:45:33	Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	194	8¢	$16	0x3061d4…
05-17 19:45:12	Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	194	11¢	$21	0x0aa09c…
05-17 19:44:39	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0x0c01f1…
05-17 19:32:50	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	214	40¢	$86	0x69b3d6…
05-17 19:16:12	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x1999e9…
05-17 19:16:11	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	134	56¢	$75	0x249842…
05-17 19:16:02	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x866ca3…
05-17 16:30:08	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?	No	BUY	123	54¢	$67	0xd4be63…
05-17 16:29:40	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	120	56¢	$67	0x4c0453…
05-16 16:12:25	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	120	57¢	$68	0x15597d…
05-16 13:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	52¢	$17	0x1c7ed2…
05-16 13:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x51ad86…
05-16 13:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb9efbf…
05-16 13:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xf7885c…
05-16 13:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x171b80…
05-16 13:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xececf0…
05-16 13:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$6	0x5f9616…
05-16 13:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$4	0xbb14a9…
05-16 13:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x921777…
05-16 13:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	23	94¢	$21	0x81be91…
05-16 13:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x052459…
05-16 13:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x033831…
05-16 13:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0xfce587…
05-16 13:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xcde578…
05-16 13:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xb39a3f…
05-16 13:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0x35353e…
05-16 13:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x4294c4…
05-16 12:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	14	53¢	$7	0x90b10e…
05-16 12:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x23ac85…
05-16 12:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xeeff8c…
05-16 12:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x4ba5c4…
05-16 12:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x8fa745…
05-16 12:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xda88a6…
05-16 12:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xde40e6…
05-16 12:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xbc1816…
05-16 12:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x262038…
05-16 12:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4514c1…
05-16 12:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0xd3d30b…
05-16 12:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	15	45¢	$7	0x536374…
05-16 12:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xd50437…
05-16 12:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	15	57¢	$9	0xc5ca15…
05-16 12:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x4a3403…
05-16 12:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x835606…
05-16 12:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xfada67…
05-16 12:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xff680a…
05-16 12:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfbb23e…
05-16 12:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xcdd9ea…
05-16 12:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xddd6cf…
05-16 12:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x2ae510…
05-16 11:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xe73433…
05-16 11:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x53069c…
05-16 11:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0xeac4f9…