Slow-Incision — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$76

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.3%

Resolved

187

Trades

1,124

lifetime

Volume

$10.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 06-03 22:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 45% $-152

Other

14% — —

Sports

14% 33% +$76

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 279 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Thunder vs. Lakers	2	$482	1,047	1,047	+0	Thunder	+$0	05-09 18:47
will turkey qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	5	$456	278	278	+0	open	—	03-31 20:40
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	13	$236	51,947	0	+51,947	open	—	06-03 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	11	$201	150	150	+0	Down	+$96	05-05 13:25
cbb okl wvir 2026 04 05	14	$186	175	225	-50	open	—	04-05 18:32
lal mal rea 2026 04 04 mal	8	$145	150	150	+0	open	—	04-04 15:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	6	$134	100	100	+0	Down	+$64	05-05 14:14
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	4	$131	111	111	+0	Sean Strickland	+$91	05-10 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	5	$130	100	100	+0	Up	+$60	05-05 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	37	$124	100	100	+0	Up	+$66	05-05 14:44
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	2	$121	94	93	+1	open	—	04-08 20:05
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	4	$109	530	175	+355	open	—	04-15 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	13	$106	75	75	+0	Down	+$40	05-07 15:18
ucl rma1 ben 2026 02 25 ben	1	$100	500	0	+500	open	—	02-25 18:55
ucl psv1 bay 2026 01 28 psv1	1	$100	526	0	+526	open	—	01-27 08:01
lal rso bar 2026 01 18 bar	1	$100	256	0	+256	open	—	01-18 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$98	80	80	+0	Up	+$27	05-09 20:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	10	$96	300	100	+200	Up	+$4	05-05 10:58
ucl new1 qar1 2026 02 24 qar1	1	$94	1,879	0	+1,879	open	—	02-24 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$92	100	100	+0	Down	+$10	05-05 10:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	7	$90	100	75	+25	Up	+$8	05-07 11:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$90	100	100	+0	Up	+$6	05-05 11:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	9	$90	200	200	+0	Up	+$4	05-05 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	22	$90	100	100	+0	Up	+$8	05-05 11:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	23	$87	200	100	+100	Down	$-3	05-05 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	8	$86	100	100	+0	Up	+$4	05-05 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	17	$83	100	100	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	13	$81	62	62	+0	Up	+$30	05-05 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$78	100	100	+0	Up	+$6	05-05 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	18	$77	90	90	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 10:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 22:48:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,763	0¢	$11	0x64928a…
06-03 22:47:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x2278d6…
06-03 22:47:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,187	0¢	$29	0x1e0c47…
06-03 21:22:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,790	0¢	$5	0xcec98a…
06-03 09:19:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,983	0¢	$15	0x9cb134…
06-02 21:30:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,171	1¢	$42	0x34e0d9…
06-02 18:58:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,324	1¢	$12	0x0667e0…
06-02 18:40:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,999	1¢	$18	0x6218d3…
06-02 15:33:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,790	1¢	$29	0x06d712…
06-02 15:16:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,776	1¢	$47	0xadb310…
06-02 03:15:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,113	0¢	$18	0x5b3ab5…
06-01 19:03:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,000	0¢	$6	0x9df662…
06-01 19:01:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$4	0x4c3a3a…
05-31 14:44:30	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x149ca0…
05-31 14:44:14	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xfcae9c…
05-31 14:43:55	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x4520e4…
05-31 14:43:31	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0x6e2f4d…
05-31 14:43:22	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x098d90…
05-31 14:43:06	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x72c61d…
05-31 14:42:50	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	301	0¢	$1	0x2eedb0…
05-30 23:22:29	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,127	1¢	$7	0x1091b6…
05-21 12:30:20	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	270	7¢	$20	0xcd8f34…
05-17 21:08:35	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	623	6¢	$37	0xa61a35…
05-16 13:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	52¢	$17	0x1c7ed2…
05-16 13:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x51ad86…
05-16 13:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb9efbf…
05-16 13:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xf7885c…
05-16 13:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x171b80…
05-16 13:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xececf0…
05-16 13:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$6	0x5f9616…
05-16 13:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$4	0xbb14a9…
05-16 13:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x921777…
05-16 13:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	23	94¢	$21	0x81be91…
05-16 13:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x052459…
05-16 13:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x033831…
05-16 13:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0xfce587…
05-16 13:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xcde578…
05-16 13:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xb39a3f…
05-16 13:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0x35353e…
05-16 13:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x4294c4…
05-16 12:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	14	53¢	$7	0x90b10e…
05-16 12:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x23ac85…
05-16 12:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xeeff8c…
05-16 12:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x4ba5c4…
05-16 12:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x8fa745…
05-16 12:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xda88a6…
05-16 12:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xde40e6…
05-16 12:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xbc1816…
05-16 12:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x262038…
05-16 12:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4514c1…
05-16 12:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0xd3d30b…
05-16 12:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	15	45¢	$7	0x536374…
05-16 12:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xd50437…
05-16 12:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	15	57¢	$9	0xc5ca15…
05-16 12:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x4a3403…
05-16 12:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x835606…
05-16 12:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xfada67…
05-16 12:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xff680a…
05-16 12:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfbb23e…
05-16 12:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xcdd9ea…
05-16 12:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xddd6cf…
05-16 12:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x2ae510…
05-16 11:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xe73433…
05-16 11:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x53069c…
05-16 11:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0xeac4f9…
05-16 11:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x10e069…
05-16 11:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xce481b…
05-16 11:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0xfeadee…
05-16 11:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x8ee917…
05-16 11:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x7a8989…
05-16 11:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x816bf0…
05-16 11:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xd77e53…
05-16 11:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x898d53…
05-16 11:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x5174e3…
05-16 11:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0xc48e21…
05-16 11:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0xb2c9b4…
05-16 11:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0x445551…
05-16 11:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc9dd01…
05-16 11:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf675fc…
05-16 11:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x096563…
05-16 11:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9e418f…
05-16 11:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2a5fd8…
05-16 11:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb24a0c…
05-16 11:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x9ec3c3…
05-16 10:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xed6bdd…
05-16 10:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0xdaa6ad…
05-16 10:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$6	0x3a228d…
05-16 10:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x437a36…
05-16 10:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x85893c…
05-16 10:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xfc6e09…
05-16 10:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9ff85b…
05-16 10:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x7fa03f…
05-16 10:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x430c83…
05-13 23:56:19	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	Yes	BUY	814	1¢	$8	0x993959…
05-13 23:55:51	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,008	2¢	$25	0xb91fcb…
05-11 17:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0x205c21…
05-11 17:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xddd5fc…
05-11 17:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	23	49¢	$11	0xaadb1a…
05-11 17:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	66	49¢	$33	0x729cdc…
05-11 17:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0xc3c4fb…