Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$638
$2,364 in 24h
Trades
55
Unique wallets
44
Liquidity
$2,728
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 19:06
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $1 | $12 | $11 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | — | $196 | $196 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 35 | $15 | $379 | $364 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | — | $171 | $171 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $6 | $6 |
| Median | 15 | $1 | $214 | $213 |
| Below median | 10 | $1 | $191 | $189 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $7 | $5 | +$2 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shameful-Dictionary 0x8a25…ba81 | No | +156 | $151 | $151 | 1 | 05-14 02:32 |
| Disguised-Mantel 0x2691…6c3c | Yes | +147 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 05:30 |
| Sophisticated-Bag 0x228e…08ef | No | +111 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-14 06:26 |
| Imaginary-Rush 0x0729…5f54 | No | +87 | $85 | $85 | 2 | 05-14 16:36 |
| Shiny-Research 0xdd4f…5aa2 | No | +54 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 05-14 13:54 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +38 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 05-14 04:40 |
| Self-Assured-Put 0x0377…ae31 | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 21:07 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-14 04:40 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-13 23:47 |
| Sociable-Bore 0xc327…a208 | Yes | +28 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 16:09 |
| Vigilant-Homeland 0x1442…33af | Yes | +27 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 05:58 |
| Intent-Electricity-Geology 0x438c…986b | Yes | +27 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 01:16 |
| Elastic-Consist 0xa6c0…4606 | No | +21 | $20 | $39 | 4 | 05-14 12:42 |
| Insidious-Maelstrom 0x63bd…aff2 | Yes | +18 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 19:06 |
| Wavy-Surround 0x9a12…fe57 | Yes | +16 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 22:18 |
| Deserted-Disease-News 0x11fb…b7b5 | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 10:29 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +13 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 05-14 00:12 |
| Athletic-Cement 0x5cb1…e80c | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 15:13 |
| Subdued-Smock 0xf5ec…f469 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 16:19 |
| Low-Carrot 0xe7e9…fb3c | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 06:11 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-14 16:26 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-14 17:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 06:56 |
| Infamous-Illness 0x8f25…5490 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 17:29 |
| Crazy-Sock 0x45a4…de86 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 07:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x3f64…452a | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 18:34 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 15:38 |
| Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 04:40 |
| Torn-Semicolon 0xfd9b…96bf | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 04:17 |
| Grotesque-Racer 0x94ce…066b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 12:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 19:06:48 | Insidious-Maelstrom 0x63bd…aff2 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x430b83… |
| 05-14 18:34:22 | (anonymous) 0x3f64…452a | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x32a0d8… |
| 05-14 17:29:38 | Infamous-Illness 0x8f25…5490 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x2e77aa… |
| 05-14 17:16:36 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x362ad7… |
| 05-14 16:36:33 | Imaginary-Rush 0x0729…5f54 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xfdd1b4… |
| 05-14 16:26:47 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xf70833… |
| 05-14 16:19:00 | Subdued-Smock 0xf5ec…f469 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x94d5c0… |
| 05-14 16:14:34 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x2c590f… |
| 05-14 16:09:10 | Sociable-Bore 0xc327…a208 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xef0203… |
| 05-14 15:38:33 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xfa31c7… |
| 05-14 15:38:31 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x576c9d… |
| 05-14 15:13:59 | Athletic-Cement 0x5cb1…e80c | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xd5c5d7… |
| 05-14 14:26:02 | Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5ad9a9… |
| 05-14 13:54:11 | Shiny-Research 0xdd4f…5aa2 | No | BUY | 54 | 96¢ | $52 | 0x711a23… |
| 05-14 12:42:31 | Elastic-Consist 0xa6c0…4606 | No | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x6b8dda… |
| 05-14 12:30:34 | Grotesque-Racer 0x94ce…066b | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xb5127a… |
| 05-14 10:29:38 | Deserted-Disease-News 0x11fb…b7b5 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x61850d… |
| 05-14 09:19:35 | Pleasant-Stock 0xdca5…4342 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x568da3… |
| 05-14 06:26:04 | Sophisticated-Bag 0x228e…08ef | No | BUY | 111 | 90¢ | $100 | 0x82667f… |
| 05-14 06:18:55 | Flat-Opponent 0xde2a…fac1 | No | SELL | 21 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xa13136… |
| 05-14 05:30:57 | Disguised-Mantel 0x2691…6c3c | Yes | BUY | 147 | 3¢ | $5 | 0x3d45ff… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0x2ecab0… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc3b48b… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6341ce… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x557f16… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 38 | 97¢ | $37 | 0x167ddd… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xbd56a7… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2fa487… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xfc939d… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x26e29a… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xfab2bc… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2ff42f… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7ae1e7… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3bccd7… |
| 05-14 02:32:04 | Shameful-Dictionary 0x8a25…ba81 | No | BUY | 156 | 97¢ | $151 | 0x6b5b75… |
| 05-14 01:50:35 | Decent-Celebration 0x9783…8dd9 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x5b6894… |
| 05-14 01:35:38 | Imaginary-Rush 0x0729…5f54 | No | BUY | 37 | 97¢ | $36 | 0x0b159b… |
| 05-14 01:16:59 | Intent-Electricity-Geology 0x438c…986b | Yes | BUY | 27 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x3223f4… |
| 05-14 00:41:02 | Elastic-Consist 0xa6c0…4606 | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x435b2b… |
| 05-14 00:12:04 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0xe238d1… |
| 05-14 00:04:24 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x59aa4e… |
| 05-14 00:04:08 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x9dfd26… |
| 05-13 23:55:28 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x3e23d8… |
| 05-13 23:47:11 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x4419ce… |
| 05-13 23:47:11 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x01f098… |
| 05-13 23:47:11 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 92¢ | $28 | 0xa65816… |
| 05-13 22:43:12 | Elastic-Consist 0xa6c0…4606 | No | SELL | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0x23a250… |
| 05-13 22:18:17 | Wavy-Surround 0x9a12…fe57 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x6f076c… |
| 05-13 21:57:54 | Elastic-Consist 0xa6c0…4606 | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x6f06a3… |
| 05-13 21:07:42 | Self-Assured-Put 0x0377…ae31 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xabbb00… |
| 05-13 07:01:15 | Crazy-Sock 0x45a4…de86 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x7ac103… |
| 05-13 06:56:28 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x322f0e… |
| 05-13 06:11:30 | Low-Carrot 0xe7e9…fb3c | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0xd2ca70… |
| 05-13 05:58:29 | Vigilant-Homeland 0x1442…33af | Yes | BUY | 27 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xa7ddde… |
| 05-13 04:17:10 | Torn-Semicolon 0xfd9b…96bf | Yes | BUY | 3 | 39¢ | $1 | 0x65aa82… |