Sociable-Bore — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.90K

Unrealized P&L

+$42

Hit rate

49.2%

Resolved

Trades

600

lifetime

Volume

$41.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

$367

1 position

First seen

2026-01-24

last 06-02 05:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

68% 25% $-489

Sports

14% 60% $-2,438

Crypto

10% 73% +$25

Politics

8% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 185 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		+439	$325	84¢	$367	+$42	06-02 05:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	25	$5.7K	4,325	4,325	+0	open	—	05-09 07:40
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	26	$4.2K	3,590	3,590	+0	open	—	05-06 16:23
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$2.4K	2,927	0	+2,927	Sean Strickland	$-2,400	05-09 08:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$2.3K	1,523	1,523	+0	open	—	05-28 14:28
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aleksandar Vukic vs Patrick Kypson	6	$2.3K	2,806	2,806	+0	Aleksandar Vukic	+$654	05-06 16:41
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Jaume Munar	16	$2.1K	2,045	2,045	+0	Matteo Arnaldi	+$51	05-06 16:09
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	2	$1.9K	2,367	2,367	+0	Nongshim Esports Academy	$-118	05-07 05:56
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Alexander Shevchenko	16	$1.6K	1,645	1,643	+2	Alexander Shevchenko	$-1	05-06 13:48
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres	9	$1.5K	1,004	1,004	+0	St. Louis Cardinals	+$26	05-09 03:14
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Maya Joint vs Viktorija Golubic	2	$840	1,740	1,740	+0	Viktorija Golubic	+$40	05-07 13:25
Jiujiang: Xinxin Yao vs Xiaodi You	9	$746	773	773	+0	Xiaodi You	$-78	05-09 05:30
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	3	$704	400	400	+0	open	—	04-08 12:04
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Laura Siegemund vs Sara Bejlek	6	$680	1,519	1,519	+0	Laura Siegemund	+$80	05-06 14:25
Istanbul: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Laura Pigossi	8	$669	760	760	+0	Laura Pigossi	+$49	05-07 09:29
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tommy Paul vs Aleksandar Vukic	15	$668	6,182	0	+6,182	Tommy Paul	$-668	05-08 12:55
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marco Trungelliti vs Zachary Svajda	4	$666	1,332	266	+1,065	Zachary Svajda	$-134	05-06 12:57
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	6	$645	446	445	+1	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$8	05-09 04:36
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	12	$628	1,466	0	+1,466	open	—	04-09 17:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	4	$594	386	386	+0	open	—	06-02 05:23
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	7	$570	3,579	1,461	+2,117	open	—	05-19 04:46
Jiujiang: Zhuoxuan Bai vs En-Shuo Liang	7	$545	529	529	+0	En-Shuo Liang	$-13	05-09 06:51
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	5	$492	547	205	+342	New York Mets	$-82	05-09 04:28
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	5	$428	281	281	+0	open	—	05-08 13:54
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Federico Cina vs Alexander Blockx	3	$392	602	290	+313	Alexander Blockx	$-108	05-07 12:26
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	5	$365	377	377	+0	open	—	05-08 14:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	5	$359	304	189	+116	Down	+$25	05-07 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	7	$351	275	158	+117	open	—	05-02 16:18
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karolina Pliskova vs Jaqueline Cristian	4	$338	320	320	+0	Karolina Pliskova	+$98	05-08 19:58
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karolina Pliskova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	6	$336	365	365	+0	Karolina Pliskova	$-71	05-06 19:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$325	439	0	+439	open	—	06-02 05:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 05:25:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	439	74¢	$325	0x40d4cd…
06-02 05:23:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	346	94¢	$325	0x1527c9…
05-28 16:57:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	346	72¢	$249	0xd39801…
05-28 16:47:01	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xb65f2a…
05-28 16:41:05	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x484f2c…
05-28 16:21:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	25¢	$10	0xbde1af…
05-28 14:29:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xc3dfc7…
05-28 14:28:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	14¢	$11	0x059246…
05-28 14:23:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x86a6fa…
05-28 09:59:59	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	578	17¢	$100	0xe58172…
05-19 04:46:31	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	372	6¢	$22	0x0bb16b…
05-19 04:40:24	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	1,746	6¢	$100	0x8dad5e…
05-18 18:07:29	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	1,461	6¢	$86	0x6d837f…
05-17 14:20:50	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xb248da…
05-17 14:20:34	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	1,340	24¢	$324	0xa93f67…
05-16 02:16:33	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x49fe82…
05-14 16:41:33	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	108	33¢	$36	0xa8bd67…
05-14 16:31:22	Will Applied Materials (AMAT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe5ff6b…
05-14 16:20:06	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $220 in May?	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xd00c32…
05-14 16:18:41	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $220 in May?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xba9772…
05-14 16:14:34	Will Applied Materials (AMAT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x63b552…
05-14 10:59:18	LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Kiwoom DRX	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9e7961…
05-14 10:54:36	LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	LGD Gaming	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0e72f7…
05-14 09:14:41	Will Applied Materials (AMAT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x29eaea…
05-14 09:12:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x74ab7b…
05-14 09:04:58	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	176	1¢	$1	0x2b3532…
05-14 08:49:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd3e2c6…
05-14 08:35:48	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0x2221fe…
05-14 06:51:23	Panathinaikos vs. Mykonos	Mykonos	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x68b60f…
05-14 06:51:07	T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Jersey vs Switzerland	Switzerland	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa7dca5…
05-14 06:50:52	T20 Series Pakistan vs Zimbabwe, Women: Pakistan vs Zimbabwe	Zimbabwe	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x73b185…
05-14 06:38:56	Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	REKONIX	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xc53f06…
05-14 06:38:23	LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	BNK FEARX	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x39ea3d…
05-14 06:36:48	Valencia: Alejandro Tabilo vs Aleksandar Kovacevic	Aleksandar Kovacevic	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xb7363a…
05-14 06:36:01	Paris: Emma Navarro vs Katie Volynets	Emma Navarro	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x86c0cf…
05-14 03:32:32	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x52a50b…
05-13 18:02:30	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0f1016…
05-13 18:01:39	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x8e3b83…
05-13 18:01:09	Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x8af3ae…
05-13 18:00:34	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x181153…
05-13 17:59:47	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x319b93…
05-13 17:59:07	Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x8e94c5…
05-13 17:57:13	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x5e80ce…
05-13 17:55:03	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x1fe0c9…
05-13 17:53:18	Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x4ee451…
05-13 13:42:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?	No	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x9aad74…
05-13 13:27:20	Will Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	316	3¢	$10	0x022716…
05-13 13:18:37	Will Newsmax (NMAX) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x6eb07d…
05-13 08:27:32	Will Wix.com (WIX) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xfcd0d6…
05-11 16:04:11	Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0x5d6cfe…
05-10 18:48:25	Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	73	7¢	$5	0x051163…
05-10 06:01:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	200	6¢	$11	0x0736b5…
05-10 05:03:05	T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Papua New Guinea vs Cook Islands	Cook Islands	BUY	455	10¢	$46	0x38edf3…
05-09 15:36:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	628	1¢	$5	0x3ecd51…
05-09 15:22:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xdaaab4…
05-09 14:26:16	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Etcheverry vs Mattia Bellucci	Tomas Etcheverry	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0x22390e…
05-09 13:26:10	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Etcheverry vs Mattia Bellucci	Tomas Etcheverry	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xddcfc4…
05-09 13:24:49	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Etcheverry vs Mattia Bellucci	Tomas Etcheverry	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x4f258f…
05-09 13:12:31	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Etcheverry vs Mattia Bellucci	Tomas Etcheverry	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x422282…
05-09 10:41:50	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Corentin Moutet	SELL	1	53¢	$0	0x099ff1…
05-09 10:37:56	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x50b2b6…
05-09 10:37:33	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Corentin Moutet	SELL	24	38¢	$9	0x747a68…
05-09 10:37:19	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Corentin Moutet	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xdfcdaa…
05-09 10:30:35	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	SELL	94	65¢	$61	0xeb1dba…
05-09 10:28:22	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xd6a15e…
05-09 08:11:31	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	2,927	82¢	$2,400	0x96ae0e…
05-09 07:50:29	Will Wix.com (WIX) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xe96540…
05-09 07:49:14	Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xe8f361…
05-09 07:48:18	Will Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	108	9¢	$10	0x44b511…
05-09 07:46:38	Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xe00f69…
05-09 07:40:13	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	562	77¢	$431	0x40383f…
05-09 07:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xf0f537…
05-09 06:51:39	Jiujiang: Zhuoxuan Bai vs En-Shuo Liang	Zhuoxuan Bai	SELL	91	62¢	$56	0x19e3bf…
05-09 06:44:18	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	957	80¢	$761	0x818987…
05-09 06:42:37	Jiujiang: Zhuoxuan Bai vs En-Shuo Liang	En-Shuo Liang	SELL	218	53¢	$115	0x3ad5d1…
05-09 06:42:21	Jiujiang: Zhuoxuan Bai vs En-Shuo Liang	Zhuoxuan Bai	SELL	220	43¢	$95	0xcd18b2…
05-09 06:11:36	Jiujiang: Zhuoxuan Bai vs En-Shuo Liang	Zhuoxuan Bai	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xd6e2dd…
05-09 06:11:33	Jiujiang: Zhuoxuan Bai vs En-Shuo Liang	En-Shuo Liang	BUY	102	40¢	$41	0xc8828c…
05-09 06:09:04	Jiujiang: Zhuoxuan Bai vs En-Shuo Liang	En-Shuo Liang	BUY	115	33¢	$38	0x7ab17b…
05-09 06:08:59	Jiujiang: Zhuoxuan Bai vs En-Shuo Liang	Zhuoxuan Bai	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xd9f705…
05-09 05:30:18	Jiujiang: Xinxin Yao vs Xiaodi You	Xiaodi You	SELL	319	79¢	$252	0xb86f23…
05-09 05:30:17	Jiujiang: Xinxin Yao vs Xiaodi You	Xinxin Yao	SELL	454	18¢	$82	0xa07afe…
05-09 04:54:01	Jiujiang: Xinxin Yao vs Xiaodi You	Xinxin Yao	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xb1a067…
05-09 04:53:58	Jiujiang: Xinxin Yao vs Xiaodi You	Xiaodi You	BUY	112	33¢	$37	0xc2b25c…
05-09 04:51:10	Jiujiang: Xinxin Yao vs Xiaodi You	Xiaodi You	BUY	105	36¢	$38	0xd8a88a…
05-09 04:50:58	Jiujiang: Xinxin Yao vs Xiaodi You	Xinxin Yao	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x37a193…
05-09 04:47:08	Jiujiang: Xinxin Yao vs Xiaodi You	Xinxin Yao	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x2bf60f…
05-09 04:46:49	Jiujiang: Xinxin Yao vs Xiaodi You	Xiaodi You	BUY	103	35¢	$36	0x7090a3…
05-09 04:46:39	Jiujiang: Xinxin Yao vs Xiaodi You	Xinxin Yao	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xd7e8ab…
05-09 04:36:49	Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Atlanta Braves	SELL	106	6¢	$6	0xe9c553…
05-09 04:36:42	Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	340	94¢	$320	0xfb353d…
05-09 04:34:45	Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x02c76f…
05-09 04:34:27	Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x7e2be7…
05-09 04:32:37	Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Atlanta Braves	BUY	106	18¢	$19	0x2921d6…
05-09 04:32:28	Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0xbf98c2…
05-09 04:28:09	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	SELL	147	100¢	$146	0x89f7b5…
05-09 04:28:04	New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	New York Mets	SELL	205	100¢	$205	0x39ad76…
05-09 04:20:01	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	81¢	$488	0x2c3a5d…
05-09 04:08:12	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x579fff…
05-09 04:07:16	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x44639b…