Glaring-Farrow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$502

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$118

6 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 06-06 00:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

82% — —

Politics

15% — —

Sports

3% 0% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alberta join the US?	No	+50	$47	96¢	$48	+$1	06-05 08:23
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	+26	$25	97¢	$25	+$0	05-31 21:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	+25	$25	99¢	$25	+$0	06-03 11:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+10	$8	90¢	$9	+$1	06-01 04:34
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	No	+5	$5	95¢	$5	+$0	05-30 23:59
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+6	$5	80¢	$5	$-0	06-12 17:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$213	114	114	+0	open	—	05-30 19:37
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$52	28	28	+0	open	—	05-28 20:55
Will Alberta join the US?	7	$47	50	0	+50	open	—	06-05 08:23
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	3	$33	18	18	+0	open	—	05-24 12:43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$25	56	0	+56	open	—	04-27 14:14
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	05-31 21:18
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	1	$25	28	0	+28	open	—	06-12 13:58
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	06-03 11:00
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	2	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	06-06 00:16
ebola pandemic in 2026	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	06-04 04:07
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-23 13:07
Trump on $250 bill this year?	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	05-31 21:15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	06-01 04:34
Sabres vs. Canadiens	1	$5	9	0	+9	Sabres	$-5	05-13 00:45
Sabres vs. Canadiens	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-17 00:11
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$5	8	0	+8	Cavaliers	$-5	05-14 00:09
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-30 23:59
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	06-12 17:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 17:47:16	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x28de2a…
06-12 13:58:06	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x5121fc…
06-06 00:16:21	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$13	0xea0048…
06-05 08:23:51	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x60b689…
06-05 08:12:46	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xf3afb7…
06-05 08:11:13	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xd5c2dc…
06-05 08:09:37	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x41a19e…
06-05 08:04:36	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x81f03e…
06-05 05:49:54	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$2	0xa39ad1…
06-05 02:31:39	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xfd3a12…
06-04 04:07:06	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xd07884…
06-03 11:00:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xad00c8…
06-01 04:34:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xf6a749…
05-31 21:18:34	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x7afd4f…
05-31 21:15:01	Trump on $250 bill this year?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xc85c9b…
05-30 23:59:39	Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x94ba5a…
05-30 19:37:19	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	114	99¢	$113	0xcd4ecd…
05-30 02:47:01	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xecb74f…
05-28 20:55:55	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0x34cc7a…
05-24 12:43:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	18	97¢	$18	0x43bd8f…
05-23 15:17:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x027b70…
05-23 13:23:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xb351af…
05-23 13:07:58	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xc1f13e…
05-17 00:11:23	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xaa7e00…
05-14 00:09:54	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x80bd07…
05-13 00:45:23	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x7661b5…
05-11 13:15:59	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x8e7bd3…
04-27 14:14:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xd47f6f…
04-26 18:56:14	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xbbb69c…