Realized P&L
+$36.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.93K
Hit rate
78.0%
Resolved
585
Trades
4,742
lifetime
Volume
$950.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$201
Open exposure
$18.8K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 09:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 184 days
Categories
Politics
56% 56% +$5,434
Other
35% 65% +$21,361
Tech
6% 62% +$5,728
Crypto
3% 100% +$3,565
Sports
0% 60% +$14
Pop-Culture
0% 60% +$95
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +3,000 $2,130 90¢ $2.7K +$555 10-17 22:42
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? No +4,824 $1,788 52¢ $2.5K +$696 10-12 15:43
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +2,500 $1,555 96¢ $2.4K +$836 09-09 16:30
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +2,280 $1,472 80¢ $1.8K +$340 10-27 20:36
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +1,905 $1,308 82¢ $1.6K +$263 10-05 18:05
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,700 $1,054 68¢ $1.1K +$94 10-15 17:01
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +1,500 $1,025 66¢ $997 -$27 10-10 11:48
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +2,000 $880 44¢ $870 -$10 10-04 02:51
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,000 $470 84¢ $845 +$375 10-10 22:01
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +1,221 $653 66¢ $806 +$153 10-20 12:22
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +904 $661 82¢ $746 +$85 10-07 21:58
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +1,000 $710 70¢ $695 -$15 10-15 11:40
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +715 -$611 74¢ $529 +$1,141 10-28 15:04
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? Yes +2,132 $809 18¢ $373 -$436 10-12 15:42
will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669 No +238 $181 97¢ $232 +$51 08-15 12:06
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? No +198 $139 96¢ $190 +$50 05-20 21:14
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +129 $111 99¢ $128 +$16 05-19 16:48
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? Yes +800 $176 12¢ $100 -$76 08-09 21:23
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +3,000 $568 3¢ $92 -$477 05-12 14:31
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? Yes +1,827 $160 4¢ $79 -$80 10-01 15:49
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +1,323 $662 3¢ $34 -$629 09-15 13:08
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes +32 $10 55¢ $18 +$7 08-08 16:25
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +200 $44 0¢ $1 -$43 10-13 06:52
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +0 -$64 6¢ $0 +$64 07-30 04:24