Adored-Turning 0x3a5a19…703427
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$21
Unrealized P&L
-$49
Hit rate
82.6%
Resolved
62
Trades
7,348
lifetime
Volume
$196.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$895
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 18:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
83% 81% $-40
Politics
15% 50% +$33
Sports
1% 33% +$28
Crypto
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 131 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No -549 $-517 96¢ $-526 $-9 06-07 22:27
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +174 $126 78¢ $135 +$9 07-16 12:56
Spain snap election called in 2026? No -108 $-25 76¢ $-82 $-57 06-21 10:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -60 $-49 74¢ $-45 +$4 07-20 14:41
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +60 $40 70¢ $42 +$1 07-20 18:13
UK Recession in 2026? Yes -73 $-23 16¢ $-12 +$11 06-18 14:12
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No -20 $-3 58¢ $-12 $-9 07-01 11:14
Japan recession in 2026? Yes -121 $-15 10¢ $-11 +$3 06-18 14:14
Spain snap election called in 2026? Yes +45 $13 24¢ $11 $-2 07-16 16:24
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes -49 $-18 22¢ $-11 +$7 05-28 18:28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -100 $-14 6¢ $-6 +$9 05-31 12:44
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes +19 $13 12¢ $2 $-11 06-06 16:12
Blue wave in 2026? Yes +1 $2 76¢ $1 $-1 07-02 15:07
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -0 $3 42¢ $-0 $-4 06-02 19:54