Realized P&L
+$21
Unrealized P&L
-$28
Hit rate
82.6%
Resolved
62
Trades
6,867
lifetime
Volume
$184.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$877
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 18:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
82% 81% $-40
Politics
16% 50% +$33
Sports
1% 33% +$28
Crypto
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 134 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No -549 $-517 91¢ $-502 +$15 06-07 22:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -100 $-83 86¢ $-86 $-2 05-29 10:17
Spain snap election called in 2026? No -108 $-25 78¢ $-84 $-60 06-21 10:58
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +50 $33 100¢ $50 +$17 06-11 00:20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +50 $35 100¢ $50 +$15 06-11 00:34
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No -60 $-27 60¢ $-36 $-9 05-31 16:14
UK Recession in 2026? Yes -73 $-23 26¢ $-19 +$3 06-18 14:12
Japan recession in 2026? Yes -121 $-15 14¢ $-17 $-3 06-18 14:14
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes -49 $-18 28¢ $-14 +$4 05-28 18:28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -100 $-14 $-8 +$6 05-31 12:44
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +9 $6 72¢ $6 +$0 06-19 11:49
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes +19 $13 15¢ $3 $-11 06-06 16:12
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -0 $3 48¢ $-0 $-4 06-02 19:54