Realized P&L
+$1.32K
Unrealized P&L
+$154
Hit rate
62.6%
Resolved
1,008
Trades
3,406
lifetime
Volume
$91.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$2.21K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 16:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 234 days
Categories
Sports
57% 53% +$1,973
Other
30% 48% -$530
Politics
11% 42% +$69
Tech
1% 50% -$38
Crypto
1% 33% -$120
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$29
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +300 $144 92¢ $274 +$130 06-18 05:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +200 $140 97¢ $194 +$54 06-24 17:02
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -200 -$195 97¢ $-194 +$1 09-23 08:43
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +200 $148 95¢ $190 +$42 10-26 02:54
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East? No +259 $151 55¢ $143 -$8 10-20 05:51
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +250 $148 42¢ $105 -$43 10-24 18:19
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -100 -$98 99¢ $-99 -$1 09-16 13:09
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +100 $90 92¢ $92 +$2 10-01 05:15
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +100 $71 89¢ $89 +$18 09-14 14:00
No one announced as next James Bond? No +100 $77 84¢ $84 +$7 09-27 15:52
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +100 $78 83¢ $83 +$6 08-24 05:03
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +120 $89 66¢ $80 -$9 10-29 04:44
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +300 $89 22¢ $64 -$24 10-19 07:10
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +300 $48 20¢ $62 +$14 09-18 14:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +100 $71 57¢ $57 -$14 09-22 15:22
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +500 $30 10¢ $50 +$20 05-26 04:43
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +500 $19 9¢ $46 +$27 10-20 19:31
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $60 20¢ $41 -$19 10-11 20:53
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +300 $52 13¢ $39 -$13 10-06 14:54
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +500 $18 7¢ $35 +$17 05-26 04:41
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +200 $40 15¢ $29 -$11 10-24 04:51
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +100 $26 28¢ $28 +$2 10-20 19:17
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $25 28¢ $28 +$3 10-23 05:03
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +100 $19 26¢ $26 +$8 10-05 06:27
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +336 $18 5¢ $17 -$1 10-06 09:36
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +100 $20 15¢ $15 -$5 10-06 08:10
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +150 $43 10¢ $14 -$29 10-05 10:09
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? No +100 $23 14¢ $14 -$9 08-14 17:42
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +300 $16 3¢ $9 -$7 09-26 17:47
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +300 $8 2¢ $6 -$3 10-09 11:32