Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$275

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

30.1%

Resolved

135

Trades

647

lifetime

Volume

$4.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$41

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-11

last 10-08 21:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

47% 12% -$186

Crypto

30% 45% -$52

Politics

17% 0% -$20

Tech

3% 0% -$10

Sports

2% 0% -$7

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?	No		+41	$35	94¢	$38	+$3	08-23 19:55
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?	Yes		+41	$6	6¢	$3	-$4	08-24 09:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will cata coll finish in the top 10 of the 2026 womens ballon dor	5	$220	262	60	+202	No	-$11	09-30 06:17
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	11	$200	193	172	+21	open	—	10-05 17:34
Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	3	$187	107	107	+0	Down	+$27	10-08 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$100	182	182	+0	Down	-$20	10-08 20:32
Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$90	122	0	+122	Down	+$32	10-08 21:01
Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$85	55	55	+0	Up	+$25	10-08 21:00
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?	5	$84	164	0	+164	open	—	09-29 13:16
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-08-30?	1	$83	277	0	+277	No	-$83	08-30 12:22
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?	6	$71	140	20	+120	Yes	-$7	08-25 06:58
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	6	$66	95	44	+51	open	—	08-22 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$60	78	0	+78	Up	+$18	10-08 20:42
Will Javier Lamarque Cano win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	2	$59	110	0	+110	open	—	08-21 07:43
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 18:40 UTC	1	$59	114	0	+114	Down	+$55	10-05 18:41
Will OFI finish top 8 in UEL league phase?	3	$54	100	0	+100	open	—	09-30 07:35
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 25?	2	$52	100	0	+100	No	-$2	08-23 08:01
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	5	$51	80	0	+80	Yes	-$11	08-20 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$50	29	28	+1	Down	+$1	08-27 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$49	149	0	+149	Up	-$49	10-08 21:10
Will Sandy Alcantara win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?	4	$48	100	20	+80	open	—	08-21 08:16
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 30%-35%?	9	$48	82	40	+42	open	—	08-25 06:58
iran successfully targets shipping on august 17 2026 20260729163314537	6	$48	105	23	+82	Yes	-$2	08-16 12:06
Will Control Resonant win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?	6	$46	94	6	+88	open	—	08-26 09:12
Will Detroit Lions finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?	4	$44	55	55	+0	open	—	09-29 12:15
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?	4	$43	91	9	+82	open	—	08-24 09:36
Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$40	77	0	+77	Up	-$40	10-08 21:06
will nvda dip to 192 in august 2026	4	$40	79	1	+78	No	-$1	08-21 00:35
will trump say epstein in august 20260728220215934	2	$32	60	0	+60	No	-$2	08-20 21:53
Will "Outer Banks: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week?	6	$31	40	20	+20	No	-$2	08-27 21:35
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 21:45 UTC	2	$31	21	21	+0	Up	+$11	08-27 21:48
will finding emily score at least 96 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	2	$31	40	0	+40	No	-$11	08-24 20:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 21:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	149	33¢	$49	0x6d5423…
10-08 21:06:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0x078a50…
10-08 21:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0xf4ecb2…
10-08 21:01:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	122	74¢	$90	0x2b46cb…
10-08 21:00:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x118a18…
10-08 21:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	79	38¢	$30	0x89c7c5…
10-08 20:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	78	39¢	$30	0x0253f7…
10-08 20:56:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	55	54¢	$30	0xf11045…
10-08 20:52:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	62	15¢	$9	0x68d644…
10-08 20:52:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x3d5267…
10-08 20:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0xd0fab1…
10-08 20:46:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	63	48¢	$30	0x30da0f…
10-08 20:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	78	77¢	$60	0x5d824b…
10-08 20:42:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x55f7ea…
10-08 20:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x036f4c…
10-08 20:35:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	54	55¢	$30	0xf5af97…
10-08 20:35:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x9735d7…
10-08 20:33:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xb0b6ab…
10-08 20:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	182	22¢	$40	0x8bad3e…
10-08 20:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	182	33¢	$60	0x850132…
10-08 20:30:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x4d7939…
10-07 21:47:18	Will Rafael Fiziev fight Mateusz Gamrot next?	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0xcecd3b…
10-07 21:47:12	Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or above $60 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x0a6590…
10-07 21:47:06	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x01063e…
10-07 07:40:02	Will Rafael Fiziev fight Mateusz Gamrot next?	Yes	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0x23ed5a…
10-07 07:15:45	Will Rafael Fiziev fight Mateusz Gamrot next?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x933b3a…
10-07 01:07:20	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0x80ec6f…
10-07 01:07:20	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	9¢	$3	0x79bc88…
10-06 19:10:32	Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or above $60 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0xe52101…
10-06 19:10:32	Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or above $60 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0xc778c0…
10-06 18:54:45	Will Gilberto Mora play for Real Madrid next?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xcb895b…
10-06 18:32:45	Will Gilberto Mora play for Real Madrid next?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xfa0c9a…
10-06 18:32:45	Will Gilberto Mora play for Real Madrid next?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x2f67bc…
10-06 16:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x68580e…
10-06 12:25:31	Will jawgemo have the most kills for G2 Esports at VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x012b94…
10-06 12:25:21	Will jawgemo have the most kills for G2 Esports at VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x0dd5e4…
10-06 09:50:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0xd40c9f…
10-05 18:41:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	114	51¢	$59	0x34c1f6…
10-05 17:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	41	24¢	$10	0xcf50be…
10-05 17:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	41	25¢	$10	0x2ab606…
10-05 17:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x04ac77…
10-05 17:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0b940a…
10-05 17:35:44	Solana Up or Down - October 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xe0c844…
10-05 17:34:35	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-09 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0xe8d4e6…
10-05 17:34:31	Will Sui dip to $0.40 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x277979…
10-05 17:34:26	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-01 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0xb753d9…
10-05 17:34:01	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x748a63…
10-05 17:31:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xe57305…
10-05 17:31:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x73ba2b…
10-02 09:06:15	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	No	SELL	122	41¢	$50	0x85f0b3…
10-02 08:44:03	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x453a8a…
10-02 08:43:51	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xc160a0…
10-02 08:38:20	Will Sui dip to $0.40 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x405118…
10-02 08:36:18	Will Sui dip to $0.40 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	5¢	$1	0xe40bc8…
10-02 08:28:50	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on October 4?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x2beaad…
10-02 08:26:18	Will Sui dip to $0.40 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0xec1449…
10-02 08:22:11	Will Sui dip to $0.40 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	23	18¢	$4	0xad80ea…
10-02 07:52:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 4?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x9af0c8…
10-02 07:50:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xec1fc7…
10-02 07:50:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 4?	Yes	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0xc723da…
10-02 07:50:05	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0x3bf43b…
10-02 06:28:02	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	Yes	SELL	13	12¢	$2	0x43866d…
10-02 05:45:17	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	Yes	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0xeaa451…
10-02 05:44:56	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x6e99fe…
10-02 03:57:23	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8bde8a…
10-02 03:53:11	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	Yes	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0x891efe…
10-02 03:49:36	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?	Yes	BUY	53	11¢	$6	0xe02fb8…
10-02 00:09:42	Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	Yes	SELL	105	5¢	$5	0xe99496…
10-02 00:08:41	Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x8bb9ec…
10-02 00:08:38	Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xef2f82…
10-02 00:08:29	Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	Yes	BUY	53	10¢	$5	0x1ba4f1…
10-01 23:17:45	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xce9265…
10-01 16:13:47	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 5%-10%?	Yes	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x5214c8…
10-01 16:13:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x875251…
10-01 16:11:44	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 5%-10%?	Yes	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0xc6ab0a…
10-01 16:11:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x2c72b8…
10-01 15:51:17	Will Drew Campbell come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0x825513…
10-01 15:50:38	Will Drew Campbell come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?	Yes	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0xba97cc…
10-01 15:50:38	Will Drew Campbell come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?	Yes	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0x9fa3d8…
10-01 15:50:38	Will Drew Campbell come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x9c01b6…
10-01 13:49:56	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-09 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0x50bf46…
10-01 13:37:36	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-09 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	25	17¢	$4	0x1c3a47…
10-01 12:10:03	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-07 House election by 0%-5%?	Yes	SELL	13	12¢	$2	0x1a96d7…
10-01 12:09:53	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-07 House election by 0%-5%?	Yes	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0x0922a2…
10-01 09:07:42	Will East Carolina Pirates Win the 2026 American Conference?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xa6c436…
10-01 09:05:35	Will East Carolina Pirates Win the 2026 American Conference?	Yes	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0x10220a…
10-01 09:05:27	Will East Carolina Pirates Win the 2026 American Conference?	Yes	BUY	51	9¢	$5	0x4cd3fe…
10-01 08:27:47	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-01 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	SELL	14	13¢	$2	0x703500…
10-01 08:27:08	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-01 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x54b093…
10-01 06:31:51	Will UK annual inflation be between 2.8% and 3% in September?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x1c29a4…
10-01 04:25:45	Will UK annual inflation be between 2.8% and 3% in September?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xd35b4e…
10-01 01:07:48	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-01 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x1a2fda…
10-01 00:34:02	will xagusd dip to 52 in october 2026	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x784718…
09-30 23:36:29	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-01 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x03f59c…
09-30 23:04:48	Will Chase Brown be the first RB to 1,000 rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	45	1¢	$0	0x76938a…
09-30 22:44:56	will databricks valuation hit high 220b by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	46	8¢	$4	0xacbfa1…
09-30 22:44:36	will databricks valuation hit high 220b by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	46	18¢	$8	0x3b071d…
09-30 22:24:15	Will Chase Brown be the first RB to 1,000 rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	45	14¢	$6	0x4b706a…
09-30 21:58:17	will xagusd dip to 52 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x1140ef…
09-30 19:59:38	will krakens valuation hit high 15pt5b by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x725aa2…