Realized P&L
-$6.94K
Unrealized P&L
+$325
Hit rate
61.5%
Resolved
231
Trades
26,353
lifetime
Volume
$209.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$3.34K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 09:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 64 days
Categories
Other
56% 59% +$382
Politics
41% 61% -$3,293
Crypto
3% 33% -$4,189
Tech
0% 67% +$163
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +1,936 $1,898 99¢ $1.9K +$14 06-21 00:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +896 $216 18¢ $157 -$59 08-27 08:15
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +158 $143 98¢ $156 +$13 06-11 16:03
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +151 $133 96¢ $144 +$10 09-26 02:40
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? Yes +1,090 $78 6¢ $71 -$7 10-31 12:48
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -68 -$66 99¢ $-67 -$1 10-02 13:30
NATO article 5 before 2027? Yes -1,533 -$142 4¢ $-67 +$76 09-24 19:51
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +587 $36 10¢ $56 +$19 10-28 05:00
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +256 $132 20¢ $52 -$79 10-29 05:45
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes +4,174 $48 1¢ $52 +$4 06-10 02:59
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No +50 $31 96¢ $48 +$17 09-05 00:58
New pandemic in 2026? Yes -1,272 -$143 3¢ $-41 +$102 10-17 02:26
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +772 -$50 5¢ $41 +$91 10-27 16:36
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +630 -$37 6¢ $35 +$72 10-31 08:01
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes +1,179 $47 3¢ $34 -$14 10-27 05:30
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? Yes -679 -$72 5¢ $-33 +$39 08-13 00:56
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Yes -1,652 -$70 2¢ $-33 +$37 08-10 01:01
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? Yes +789 $45 4¢ $32 -$13 10-31 01:47
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +201 $58 16¢ $31 -$27 10-26 11:11
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? Yes +2,038 $3 2¢ $31 +$27 10-31 01:48
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +889 $76 3¢ $30 -$46 10-28 19:49
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes -978 -$149 3¢ $-30 +$119 10-07 09:20
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +308 -$10 9¢ $29 +$39 10-12 08:17
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes +760 $125 4¢ $27 -$98 10-30 07:30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +893 $139 3¢ $26 -$113 09-22 19:10
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +591 -$43 4¢ $24 +$67 10-31 05:25
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? Yes +310 $11 8¢ $23 +$12 10-26 14:55
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes +285 $15 8¢ $21 +$6 10-30 17:52
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +140 $6 12¢ $17 +$11 10-31 12:48
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +18 $12 97¢ $17 +$5 07-07 01:54