Realized P&L
-$3.10K
Unrealized P&L
+$143
Hit rate
72.7%
Resolved
4
Trades
3,759
lifetime
Volume
$50.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$2.44K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
45% 50% $-3,523
Other
45% 100% +$421
Crypto
10%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 199 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +1,743 $248 11¢ $183 $-65 06-08 23:41
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,198 $108 15¢ $174 +$66 06-04 11:06
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes +929 $147 16¢ $153 +$6 06-01 21:02
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -2,490 $-162 $-153 +$9 05-29 16:59
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +698 $133 20¢ $143 +$10 06-08 13:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,111 $102 $137 +$35 06-08 22:16
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +849 $124 14¢ $115 $-9 06-04 09:56
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +889 $89 11¢ $93 +$4 06-06 22:23
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +844 $73 11¢ $93 +$20 06-08 04:48
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -2,089 $-148 $-87 +$61 06-09 08:32
Iran coup attempt by June 30? Yes +2,576 $125 $84 $-41 06-05 17:16
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -643 $-85 12¢ $-80 +$5 06-02 23:20
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes +2,689 $60 $77 +$17 06-07 07:11
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +77 $75 98¢ $75 $-0 06-10 02:59
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,360 $78 $75 $-3 06-07 16:00
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -145 $-79 50¢ $-73 +$6 05-28 07:05
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +340 $85 21¢ $71 $-14 06-07 05:58
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -58 $-53 95¢ $-55 $-2 06-09 18:57
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes +2,407 $44 $52 +$8 06-10 02:59
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +138 $40 37¢ $51 +$11 06-06 08:44
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -516 $-64 10¢ $-49 +$15 06-06 18:54
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +250 $49 18¢ $46 $-3 06-09 19:18
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes -456 $-37 10¢ $-46 $-8 06-05 04:16
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes +173 $42 25¢ $43 +$1 06-05 16:09
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Yes -124 $-64 34¢ $-41 +$23 05-30 17:43
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +207 $39 20¢ $40 +$1 06-09 21:50
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? Yes +527 $43 $39 $-4 06-08 09:40
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +212 $38 18¢ $39 +$1 06-10 02:44
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes -148 $-43 26¢ $-38 +$5 06-07 17:00
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes -1,125 $-25 $-38 $-13 06-07 03:48