Sparse-Apartment 0xaa4652…d04a23
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$22
Hit rate
97.1%
Resolved
4
Trades
707
lifetime
Volume
$4.29K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$196
25 positions
First seen
2026-02-04
last 07-02 05:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
45% 75% +$1
Tech
27% — —
Other
27% — —
Sports
1% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -41 $-34 94¢ $-38 $-4 06-01 14:29
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No -20 $-14 82¢ $-16 $-2 06-12 00:51
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? No -14 $-12 88¢ $-12 $-0 06-01 14:29
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? Yes -16 $-11 68¢ $-11 +$0 06-11 08:09
Anthropic acquired before 2027? No -10 $-9 98¢ $-10 $-0 06-12 00:50
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? No -10 $-9 95¢ $-9 $-0 06-01 14:23
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No -10 $-9 94¢ $-9 $-0 06-12 00:53
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? No -10 $-9 93¢ $-9 $-0 06-01 14:30
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? No -10 $-9 92¢ $-9 $-1 06-12 00:53
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No -10 $-9 90¢ $-9 $-0 06-01 14:28
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? No -10 $-9 88¢ $-9 $-0 06-12 00:51
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? Yes -20 $-12 40¢ $-8 +$3 06-01 14:29
Trump declares election interference national emergency? No -10 $-8 68¢ $-7 +$1 06-01 14:30
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? Yes -9 $-7 72¢ $-6 +$0 06-01 14:30
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? Yes -8 $-6 82¢ $-6 $-0 06-01 14:24
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? Yes -8 $-7 66¢ $-5 +$1 06-01 14:24
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -20 $-14 23¢ $-5 +$9 06-01 14:22
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? Yes -22 $-4 18¢ $-4 +$0 06-12 05:37
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? Yes -9 $-2 31¢ $-3 $-1 06-11 08:09
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31? Yes -23 $-2 11¢ $-2 $-0 06-12 05:37
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI -22 $-17 11¢ $-2 +$14 06-01 14:22
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes -3 $-2 82¢ $-2 +$0 06-12 00:54
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes -4 $-1 26¢ $-1 +$0 06-12 00:54
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 14:27
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -9 $-1 8¢ $-1 +$0 06-12 00:57