Sparse-Apartment 0xaa4652…d04a23
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
97.1%
Resolved
4
Trades
699
lifetime
Volume
$4.26K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$238
28 positions
First seen
2026-02-04
last 06-12 00:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
46% 75% +$1
Other
27% — —
Tech
27% — —
Sports
1% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -41 $-34 90¢ $-37 $-3 06-01 14:29
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30? No -22 $-22 99¢ $-22 $-0 06-01 14:28
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No -20 $-14 72¢ $-14 $-0 06-12 00:51
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? No -14 $-12 87¢ $-12 +$0 06-01 14:29
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? Yes -16 $-11 73¢ $-11 $-0 06-11 08:09
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30? No -10 $-10 99¢ $-10 $-0 06-01 14:23
Anthropic acquired before 2027? No -10 $-9 95¢ $-10 $-0 06-12 00:50
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? No -10 $-9 95¢ $-10 $-0 06-01 14:23
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? Yes -20 $-12 46¢ $-9 +$2 06-01 14:29
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -20 $-14 47¢ $-9 +$5 06-01 14:22
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? No -10 $-9 93¢ $-9 $-0 06-01 14:30
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No -10 $-9 92¢ $-9 $-0 06-12 00:53
Trump declares election interference national emergency? No -10 $-8 90¢ $-9 $-1 06-01 14:30
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? No -10 $-9 88¢ $-9 $-0 06-12 00:53
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No -10 $-9 88¢ $-9 $-0 06-01 14:28
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? No -10 $-9 86¢ $-9 $-0 06-12 00:51
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? Yes -8 $-7 84¢ $-7 $-0 06-01 14:24
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? Yes -9 $-7 78¢ $-7 $-0 06-01 14:30
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? Yes -8 $-6 85¢ $-6 $-0 06-01 14:24
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok? No -5 $-5 99¢ $-5 +$0 06-01 14:24
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI -22 $-17 18¢ $-4 +$13 06-01 14:22
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? Yes -9 $-2 38¢ $-3 $-1 06-11 08:09
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes -3 $-2 89¢ $-2 $-0 06-12 00:54
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes -4 $-1 39¢ $-2 $-0 06-12 00:54
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -9 $-1 12¢ $-1 $-0 06-12 00:57
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -1 $-1 95¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 14:27
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -1 $-1 98¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 14:25
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026? Yes -15 $-0 2¢ $-0 $-0 06-12 00:54