Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

43.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$934

lifetime

Avg / trade

$85

Open exposure

$29

1 position

First seen

2026-02-01

last 06-24 03:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

35% 0% $-8

Other

26% — —

Crypto

21% — —

Sports

18% 100% +$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?	No		-32	$-28	89¢	$-29	$-1	06-24 03:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	2	$223	199	199	+0	Yes	$-8	03-18 09:05
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$193	180	180	+0	open	—	02-28 13:59
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$172	185	185	+0	Yes	+$24	02-21 02:20
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	1	$127	207	0	+207	open	—	04-12 09:57
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	02-07 12:02
will spy reach 770 in june 2026	1	$92	96	0	+96	open	—	06-24 03:21
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?	1	$28	0	32	-32	open	—	06-24 03:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 03:21:26	will spy reach 770 in june 2026	No	BUY	96	96¢	$92	0xc175b1…
06-24 03:20:25	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?	No	SELL	32	87¢	$28	0x0dffce…
04-12 09:57:57	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	207	61¢	$127	0x78384f…
03-18 09:05:33	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	199	54¢	$107	0x4492a2…
02-28 14:00:35	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	199	58¢	$115	0x443cde…
02-28 13:59:13	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	180	54¢	$97	0x5e4336…
02-21 02:22:26	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	180	53¢	$95	0x809d44…
02-21 02:20:34	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	185	53¢	$98	0x75029c…
02-13 02:24:21	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	185	40¢	$74	0x7ebc3e…
02-07 12:02:31	Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x9af785…
02-01 02:44:28	Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xae46de…